{"id":99834,"date":"2026-02-19T00:12:54","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T23:12:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=99834"},"modified":"2026-02-18T13:03:27","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T12:03:27","slug":"trump-panikari-iran-uvadi-na-trh-strategii-ruska-a-ciny-behem-3-svetove-valky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/19\/trump-panikari-iran-uvadi-na-trh-strategii-ruska-a-ciny-behem-3-svetove-valky\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump panika\u0159\u00ed: \u00cdr\u00e1n uv\u00e1d\u00ed na trh strategii Ruska a \u010c\u00edny b\u011bhem 3. sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V dob\u011b stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edho se geopolitick\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed projevuje \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u016fsobivou suverenitu a p\u0159edstavuje obrovsk\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy pro Z\u00e1pad, zejm\u00e9na pro Trumpovu administrativu. Pepe Escobar ve sv\u00e9m ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m koment\u00e1\u0159i zkoum\u00e1, jak \u00cdr\u00e1n, podporovan\u00fd Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou, odol\u00e1v\u00e1 tlaku USA a u\u010d\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih lekce odolnosti. To by mohlo v\u00e9st k z\u00e1sadn\u00edmu posunu ve sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u0159\u00e1du, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dem by mohla b\u00fdt BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Pepe Escobar: Trump v PANICE! \u00cdr\u00e1n pr\u00e1v\u011b UVOLNIL strategii Ruska a \u010c\u00edny pro 3. sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/WHp_gcmb8pI?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n demonstruje formu suverenity, kterou m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt jen m\u00e1lo n\u00e1rod\u016f na sv\u011bt\u011b. Podobn\u011b jako Rusko a \u010c\u00edna se zem\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed po\u017eadavk\u016fm a hrozb\u00e1m Z\u00e1padu. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 navy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti USA na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b nen\u00ed tak zastra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed, jak se zd\u00e1 \u2013 na rozd\u00edl od konflikt\u016f v Jemenu nebo n\u00e1sledk\u016f 7. \u0159\u00edjna. \u00cdr\u00e1n vys\u00edl\u00e1 jasn\u00fd sign\u00e1l: Neustoup\u00edme. Pro n\u011bkoho, jako je Donald Trump, to p\u0159edstavuje nep\u0159ekonatelnou ze\u010f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Suverenita je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 a jen n\u011bkolik zem\u00ed, jako je \u00cdr\u00e1n, Jemen (pod kontrolou H\u00fat\u00ed\u016f) nebo Kuba, si ji m\u016f\u017ee skute\u010dn\u011b udr\u017eet i p\u0159es desetilet\u00ed sankc\u00ed a hladomoru. Velk\u00e9 mocnosti jako Braz\u00edlie nebo Indie se naopak p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm konfrontac\u00edm s USA vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih situaci pozorn\u011b sleduje. Poselstv\u00ed je jasn\u00e9: bez suverenity neexistuje respekt ze strany hegemona. Se suverenitou se v\u0161ak lze hegemonovi postavit. \u00cdr\u00e1n tyto lekce u\u010d\u00ed v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase a mnoz\u00ed doufaj\u00ed, \u017ee se budou \u0161\u00ed\u0159it d\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A\u017e doned\u00e1vna bylo ot\u00e1zkou, zda pokus o zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu usp\u011bje. B\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed v\u0161ak selhal. Pro\u010d? \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u011bl vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace od sv\u00fdch partner\u016f Ruska a \u010c\u00edny, ch\u00e1pal hrozbu a srovn\u00e1val ji s p\u0159edchoz\u00edmi barevn\u00fdmi revolucemi. Brut\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1sah byl kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd \u2013 neexistuje jin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak takov\u00e9 operace kontrolovat. EU obvi\u0148uje \u00cdr\u00e1n z tis\u00edc\u016f \u00famrt\u00ed, ale seznam ukazuje, \u017ee mnoho ob\u011bt\u00ed poch\u00e1z\u00ed z policejn\u00edch a vl\u00e1dn\u00edch struktur. Dal\u0161\u00ed lekce pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih: Takto se je t\u0159eba br\u00e1nit.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Strategick\u00e9 pil\u00ed\u0159e \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">S\u00edla \u00cdr\u00e1nu je zalo\u017eena na n\u011bkolika pil\u00ed\u0159\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9 je zcela odd\u011blen od z\u00e1padn\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za druh\u00e9, m\u00e1 za sebou dva mocn\u00e9 spojence: Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu, kte\u0159\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby mohou dodat v\u0161e pot\u0159ebn\u00e9. Jen m\u00e1lo zem\u00ed, a to i v r\u00e1mci zem\u00ed BRICS, je v podobn\u00e9 situaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To n\u00e1s p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed k v\u00fdvoji v BRICS. Sergej Rjabkov, nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00fd diplomat pro BRICS, diplomaticky zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 pokrok v oblasti platebn\u00edch mechanism\u016f a n\u00e1rodn\u00edch m\u011bn. Vysokorychlostn\u00ed vlak ji\u017e opustil stanici a nab\u00edr\u00e1 rychlost p\u0159ed listopadov\u00fdm summitem v Indii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dve\u0159e do BRICS z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed otev\u0159en\u00e9, ale d\u016fraz je kladen na integraci nov\u00fdch \u010dlen\u016f \u2013 nyn\u00ed jich je 10 plus 10 partner\u016f, tak\u017ee 20 zem\u00ed se mus\u00ed shodnout na kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Setk\u00e1n\u00ed \u0161erp\u016f BRICS jsou obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1: po\u017eaduj\u00ed jednotn\u00fd hlas v nal\u00e9hav\u00fdch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch. To zahrnuje v\u0161e od \u00fanosu Madura ve Venezuele a\u017e po hrozby v\u016f\u010di Libanonu, \u00cdr\u00e1nu a dal\u0161\u00edm zem\u00edm. Jednotn\u00fd postoj BRICS by byl revolu\u010dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">BRICS mus\u00ed d\u00e1le vytvo\u0159it finan\u010dn\u00ed a platebn\u00ed syst\u00e9my odoln\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu tlaku. Toto rozhodnut\u00ed navazuje na ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed Indick\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed banky a existuj\u00ed novinky t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se syst\u00e9mu BRICS Pay \u2013 p\u016fvodn\u011b pl\u00e1novan\u00e9ho na rok 2027, nyn\u00ed p\u0159esunut\u00e9ho na rok 2026. Konsenzus dosa\u017een\u00fd letos, mo\u017en\u00e1 dokonce prezentovan\u00fd na summitu v Indii, by byl pr\u016flomov\u00fd. Trump by pak mohl muset v reakci na tuto situaci napadnout 20 zem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Lavrov, Thiel a nov\u00e1 fronta<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna zintenziv\u0148uje sv\u00e9 zbavov\u00e1n\u00ed se americk\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch dluhopis\u016f \u2013 co\u017e je p\u0159\u00edkaz z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch pozic, kter\u00fd se nyn\u00ed zrychluje. Rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov byl v televizi BRICS neobvykle ostr\u00fd. Trumpovu politiku ozna\u010dil za \u201e\u010dist\u00fd bidenismus\u201c, a to navzdory \u00fadajn\u00e9mu odporu Trumpova t\u00fdmu. Sankce proti Rusku se prodlu\u017euj\u00ed a ducha summitu v Anchorage \u2013 kde se USA sna\u017eily \u010c\u00ednu pon\u00ed\u017eit \u2013 ni\u010d\u00ed s\u00e1m Trump.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Lavrov, obvykle zdvo\u0159il\u00fd, je v tomto ohledu mimo: USA cht\u011bj\u00ed dostat v\u0161echny procesy pod svou kontrolu a po\u017eaduj\u00ed jednostrann\u00e9 \u00fastupky. Rusko je i nad\u00e1le otev\u0159en\u00e9 rozhovor\u016fm, ale pouze na vz\u00e1jemn\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9m z\u00e1klad\u011b. Spolu s partnery z BRICS chce vytvo\u0159it architekturu, kter\u00e1 je imunn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di nez\u00e1konn\u00fdm akc\u00edm Z\u00e1padu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto je manifest pro BRICS, \u0160OS, rusko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih. Lavrov ztr\u00e1c\u00ed svou taoistickou trp\u011blivost a st\u00e1v\u00e1 se asertivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm. Navazuje na dohody z Kazan\u011b (\u0159\u00edjen 2024), Ria (\u010dervenec leto\u0161n\u00edho roku) a summit \u0160OS v Tchien-\u0165inu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prob\u00edhaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy na summit BRICS v Indii, jeho\u017e hlavn\u00edm poradcem bude Rusko. P\u016fvodn\u00ed RIC (Rusko, Indie, \u010c\u00edna) by se mohla st\u00e1t RI (s \u00cdr\u00e1nem) \u2013 organicky jednaj\u00ed proti Trumpovi 2.0 a maj\u00ed na tento rok velk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Energie jako n\u00e1stroj moci<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu tlaku se \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd obchod s ropou s \u00cdr\u00e1nem zvy\u0161uje, co\u017e agentura Reuters prezentuje jako n\u00e1hradu za venezuelskou ropu \u2013 \u010d\u00edsla jsou v\u0161ak ne\u00fapln\u00e1. Ve skute\u010dnosti celkov\u00fd obchod roste. Rusk\u00fd export ropy do \u010c\u00edny dosahuje rekordn\u00edch maxim a p\u0159edb\u011bhl Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Energie je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1: Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n jsou energetick\u00e9 velmoci. Pro Trumpovu administrativu je kontrola nad ropou a energi\u00ed posedl\u00e1 \u2013 za v\u0161echno se mus\u00ed platit v americk\u00fdch dolarech. Obchod mezi Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou se v\u0161ak tomuto probl\u00e9mu vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 pomoc\u00ed plynovod\u016f, jako je S\u00edla Sibi\u0159e, a brzy i druh\u00fd p\u0159es Mongolsko. \u010c\u00edna zaji\u0161\u0165uje dod\u00e1vky z Venezuely, \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A tady se v\u011bci pro Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii komplikuj\u00ed: MBS mus\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Trumpa, \u017ee ropa by se \u010c\u00edn\u011b m\u011bla prod\u00e1vat v dolarech, ale \u010c\u00edna po\u017eaduje petrojuany. Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie varuje p\u0159ed \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00e9 by zni\u010dily Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv \u2013 z\u00e1kladny, Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, v\u0161echno. Sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mezi Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a \u00cdr\u00e1nem za\u010dalo v Rusku a bylo zpe\u010det\u011bno v \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Sa\u00fadov\u00e9 v\u011bd\u00ed: \u010c\u00edna jako nep\u0159\u00edtel je v\u011b\u010dn\u00e1, stejn\u011b jako jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed. \u0160achovnice se pohybuje v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase; vazalov\u00e9 u\u017e slep\u011b neposlouchaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Hormuz \u2013 posledn\u00ed eso<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump ztr\u00e1c\u00ed sp\u00e1nek kv\u016fli hrozb\u011b uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 ropn\u00e9 trasy pro \u010c\u00ednu. \u010c\u00edna v\u0161ak zvy\u0161uje obchod s Ruskem jako alternativn\u00ed trasou. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia vykresluj\u00ed katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed obraz pro \u010c\u00ednu a Rusko, ale st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a USA sv\u00edr\u00e1 panika.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n by silnici uzav\u0159el pouze jako posledn\u00ed mo\u017enost, po konzultaci s Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou. \u010c\u00edna by s rezervami a rychl\u00fdm proti\u00fatokem mohla tolerovat n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed. Dlouhodob\u00fd konflikt by zp\u016fsobil kolaps glob\u00e1ln\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu: ropa za 700 dolar\u016f za barel, krach deriv\u00e1t\u016f. Simulace Goldman Sachs z roku 2010 p\u0159ed t\u00edm varovaly \u2013 dnes je to je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo m\u011bl v Trumpov\u011b administrativ\u011b IQ nad 10, to v\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Realisticky se to nestane: \u010c\u00edna je z\u00e1sobov\u00e1na p\u0159es Rusko, Kazachst\u00e1n a Turkmenist\u00e1n. Rusko m\u00e1 p\u0159ebytky. Rozhodnut\u00ed je na Trumpovi: Taco, nebo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 krize? V\u011bci se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi \u2013 \u010das hr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V dob\u011b stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edho se geopolitick\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed projevuje \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u016fsobivou suverenitu a p\u0159edstavuje obrovsk\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy pro&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99835,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99834"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99834"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99834\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/99835"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99834"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99834"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99834"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}