{"id":99543,"date":"2026-02-15T05:50:04","date_gmt":"2026-02-15T04:50:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=99543"},"modified":"2026-02-15T06:05:41","modified_gmt":"2026-02-15T05:05:41","slug":"trump-netanjahu-hrozi-utok-na-mullahy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/15\/trump-netanjahu-hrozi-utok-na-mullahy\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump-Netanjahu: Hroz\u00ed \u00fatok na mull\u00e1hy?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Setk\u00e1n\u00ed mezi americk\u00fdmi a izraelsk\u00fdmi v\u016fdci ve\u0159ejn\u011b neodhalilo nic nov\u00e9ho. Co se ale d\u011bje v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed? Co \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed izrael\u0161t\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed a zpravodaj\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 o budouc\u00edm v\u00fdhledu?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Benjamin Netanjahu se setkal s Donaldem Trumpem v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b. Americk\u00fd prezident pot\u00e9 ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee chce v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s \u00cdr\u00e1nem pokra\u010dovat ve v\u0161ech mo\u017en\u00fdch pokusech. Netanjahu tak\u00e9 varoval, \u017ee mull\u00e1h\u016fm nelze v\u011b\u0159it. Tak\u017ee nic nov\u00e9ho, co se t\u00fd\u010de ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem Trump sl\u00edbil \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu obyvatelstvu, z n\u011bho\u017e velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st odm\u00edt\u00e1 islamistickou diktaturu v zemi, \u017ee \u201epomoc je v pln\u00e9m proudu\u201c. Zat\u00edmco v regionu od t\u00e9 doby do\u0161lo k masivn\u00edmu nahromad\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00fdch vojsk, \u00fatok byl odlo\u017een. M\u00edsto toho Trump n\u00e1hle obnovil jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s mull\u00e1hy.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fvody zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

Jedn\u00edm z d\u016fvod\u016f by mohlo b\u00fdt to, \u017ee se Trumpova administrativa ob\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odvety a vlastn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t. Tento n\u00e1zor vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0<\/span>Alastair Crooke<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>John Mearsheimer<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 jednotky jist\u011b dok\u00e1\u017eou zachytit mnoho raket, ale i s tis\u00edci jich n\u011bkter\u00e9 by se mohly dostat skrz a p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm ur\u010dit\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty jsou pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9. Pak je tu ot\u00e1zka, co Rusko a \u010c\u00edna v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b dodaly \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo z\u0159ejm\u011b ned\u00e1vno nasadilo k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed siln\u00fd torp\u00e9doborec typu 055, kter\u00fd p\u0159edstavuje skute\u010dnou hrozbu i pro americkou letadlovou lo\u010f, pro \u00fa\u010dely spole\u010dn\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch cvi\u010den\u00ed s Ruskem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem. \u00dadajn\u011b jej doprov\u00e1z\u00ed tak\u00e9 men\u0161\u00ed torp\u00e9doborec typu 052D a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed sledovac\u00ed a detek\u010dn\u00ed plavidlo Liaowang-1. (\u00a0<\/span>https:\/\/militarywatchmagazine.com\/article\/china-destroyer-near-iran-attack<\/span><\/a>\u00a0)<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 hypersonick\u00e1 raketa Ore\u0161nik, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ovladateln\u00e1 pouze rusk\u00fdm person\u00e1lem, je prakticky neobhajiteln\u00e1 \u2013 a potopen\u00ed americk\u00e9 letadlov\u00e9 lodi by pro Trumpa bylo katastrofou (podle vojensk\u00e9ho analytika Davida Hooksteada se masivn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>\u00fatok na americkou letadlovou lo\u010f p\u0159ipravuje i \u00cdr\u00e1n)<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00fdm d\u016fvodem zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed by mohlo b\u00fdt to, \u017ee koncentrace americk\u00fdch sil prost\u011b je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed dokon\u010dena. Tyto dva mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fvody je pro kohokoli, kdo se p\u0159\u00edmo nepod\u00edl\u00ed na vojensk\u00fdch a zpravodajsk\u00fdch operac\u00edch, obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 posoudit. V\u0161echno, co je v t\u00e9to oblasti publikov\u00e1no, jsou v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b spekulace.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fvodem \u010d\u00edslo t\u0159i pro zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed by mohlo b\u00fdt to, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed st\u00e1le prob\u00edhaj\u00ed v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed. Americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nazna\u010dila, \u017ee a) dohoda se vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim m\u00e1 na to, aby s n\u00ed souhlasil, jen m\u00e1lo \u010dasu. Jde pouze o vzd\u00e1n\u00ed se moci a odchod do exilu jako zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu? Nebo by se USA spokojily s n\u011b\u010d\u00edm men\u0161\u00edm?<\/span><\/p>\n

b) Mohla by prob\u00edhat jedn\u00e1n\u00ed i mezi Ruskem a USA \u2013 mo\u017en\u00e1 i ve spojen\u00ed s Ukrajinou? Je jist\u011b pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee po m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch stagnace se nyn\u00ed poprv\u00e9 konaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou, zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e1 USA. Je docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed USA \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 n\u011bco jako:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eAni my nem\u00e1me r\u00e1di ty \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 islamisty v Teher\u00e1nu. Ale u\u017e l\u00e9ta jste n\u00e1m na Ukrajin\u011b d\u011blali probl\u00e9my s dod\u00e1vkami zbran\u00ed a vojensk\u00fdmi poradci, co\u017e n\u00e1m v\u011bci zt\u011b\u017eovalo a prodra\u017eovalo. Te\u010f m\u016f\u017eeme ud\u011blat tot\u00e9\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Rychle p\u0159ij\u010fte s dobrou nab\u00eddkou pro Ukrajinu a my se do toho nevm\u011b\u0161ujeme!\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u011bt sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f<\/span><\/h3>\n

Co se bude d\u00edt d\u00e1l? Jak\u00e9 jsou mo\u017en\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky? Izraelsk\u00fd gener\u00e1l Amir Avivi, mluv\u010d\u00ed \u201eIzraelsk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho f\u00f3ra\u201c (IDSF), sdru\u017een\u00ed 34 000 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f s dobr\u00fdmi kontakty na vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed a vl\u00e1du, ji\u017e 19. ledna prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Izrael v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed, i kdyby Trump ustoupil, aby\u00a0<\/span>eliminoval hrozbu, kterou p\u0159edstavuje \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd raketov\u00fd arzen\u00e1l<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V dal\u0161\u00edm videu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0z 27. ledna Avivi uvedl, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem je \u201ebezprost\u0159edn\u00ed\u201c, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee je bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed. Pot\u00e9 nast\u00ednil t\u0159i mo\u017en\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e jej\u00edho v\u00fdvoje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 1: Mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 p\u0159edb\u011bhnou USA a za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a Izrael sv\u00fdm raketov\u00fdm arzen\u00e1lem. Avivi to pova\u017euje za nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, proto\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 rakety ani odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed by nebyly p\u0159edem zni\u010deny a zachycen\u00ed v\u0161ech raket by bylo prakticky nemo\u017en\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 2: USA brzy za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed a s izraelskou podporou zni\u010d\u00ed velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vojensk\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a velitelsk\u00fdch center islamist\u016f. Avivi to pova\u017euje za nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost, kter\u00e1 by minimalizovala ztr\u00e1ty p\u0159i proti\u00fatoc\u00edch a mohla by potenci\u00e1ln\u011b iniciovat zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 3: Pokud by USA v\u00e1haly p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 dlouho, Izrael by ude\u0159il s\u00e1m, aby zabr\u00e1nil sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i 1 a minimalizoval ob\u011bti mezi izraelsk\u00fdm obyvatelstvem. S\u00edla \u00fatoku by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b byla men\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e za \u00fa\u010dasti USA. To by mohlo b\u00fdt doprov\u00e1zeno operacemi na zemi; David Hoodstead ji\u017e informoval\u00a0<\/span>o masivn\u00ed explozi<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m jadern\u00e9m za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v Parchinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 4 (ne od Aviviho): Existuje jak\u00e1si \u201edohoda\u201c \u2013 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b s rusk\u00fdm zapojen\u00edm. Pro p\u0159edn\u00ed osobnosti re\u017eimu by to mohla b\u00fdt osobn\u00ed cesta ven, bezpe\u010dn\u00fd exil v Rusku nebo \u010c\u00edn\u011b, dle vzoru b\u00fdval\u00e9ho syrsk\u00e9ho prezidenta. Byla by z\u0159\u00edzena jak\u00e1si p\u0159echodn\u00e1 vl\u00e1da. Mordechaj Kedar, izraelsk\u00fd univerzitn\u00ed profesor arabsk\u00fdch studi\u00ed a b\u00fdval\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, uvedl, \u017ee mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 ji\u017e p\u0159ev\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed zlata do zahrani\u010d\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 5 (ne od Aviviho): S Ruskem nedojde k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dohod\u011b a Trump pod tlakem \u010c\u00edny, Ruska, Kataru a Turecka podlehne, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se spokoj\u00ed s drobn\u00fdmi \u00fastupky ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nu v jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se Izrael \u2013 proti v\u016fli Washingtonu \u2013 neodv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed jednat jednostrann\u011b. To by bylo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed pro mull\u00e1hy, jejich spojence a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed islamismus a por\u00e1\u017eka pro \u017eidovsk\u00fd st\u00e1t. A pro Trumpa, kter\u00fd se v o\u010d\u00edch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho lidu a sv\u011bta v\u017edy vysm\u00edval slab\u00fdm dohod\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 Obama a Biden s \u00cdr\u00e1nem uzav\u0159eli, by to byla dramatick\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta tv\u00e1\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj a hodnocen\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

V jedn\u00e1n\u00edch jsou mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 ochotni diskutovat pouze o jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce \u2013 obvykl\u00e9 taktice odkl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed, pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed. Teher\u00e1n odm\u00edt\u00e1 rozhovory o repres\u00edch v\u016f\u010di obyvatelstvu, vyzbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch spojenc\u016f a programu balistick\u00fdch raket.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed by mohlo u\u010dinit n\u011bjak\u00e9 slovn\u00ed \u00fastupky (kter\u00e9 by pak nedodr\u017eelo) a pokusit se p\u0159e\u010dkat Trumpovo funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se v\u0161ak mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 pova\u017euj\u00ed za jednaj\u00edc\u00ed na bo\u017esk\u00fd rozkaz proti nev\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00edm a \u201esatansk\u00fdm USA\u201c, je apokalyptick\u00e1 atmosf\u00e9ra podobn\u00e1 bunkru a destruktivn\u00ed strategie odchodu zcela pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1. Pokud Trump zcela nekapituluje, jedn\u00e1n\u00ed by se mohla zhroutit.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru gener\u00e1l Avivi zopakoval, \u017ee i nad\u00e1le\u00a0<\/span>pova\u017euje za\u010d\u00e1tek vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem za \u201ebezprost\u0159edn\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Dodal tak\u00e9 n\u011bkolik bod\u016f:<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaprv\u00e9, \u00cdr\u00e1n od \u010dervna 2025 nejen obnovil sv\u016fj program balistick\u00fdch raket, ale tak\u00e9 tyto zbran\u011b technicky vylep\u0161il. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee vojensk\u00e1 konfrontace s \u00cdr\u00e1nem je nyn\u00ed na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, a na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b, \u017ee zni\u010den\u00ed tohoto arzen\u00e1lu je o to nal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, Avivi byl dot\u00e1z\u00e1n na skute\u010dnost, \u017ee v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b se st\u00e1le v\u00edce arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f vyslovuje proti \u00fatoku, kter\u00fd by \u2013 na rozd\u00edl od \u010dervna 2025 \u2013 mohl negativn\u011b ovlivnit i povolen\u00ed k p\u0159elet\u016fm. Avivi odpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee t\u011bmto zem\u00edm v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b hroz\u00ed ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed z \u00cdr\u00e1nu, a proto vyd\u00e1vaj\u00ed takov\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, ale \u017ee v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed prob\u00edhaj\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed povolen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00fd zpravodajsk\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk, kter\u00fd byl tak\u00e9 (anonymn\u011b) dotazov\u00e1n na platform\u011b IDSF, uvedl, \u017ee a\u010dkoli mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed v regionu (zejm\u00e9na Turecko, Katar a mo\u017en\u00e1 i Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie) tak\u00e9 nem\u00e1 r\u00e1do mull\u00e1hy, uv\u00edtaly by\u00a0<\/span>oslaben\u00ed re\u017eimu v Teher\u00e1nu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, ale ne jeho svr\u017een\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je logick\u00e9, proto\u017ee proz\u00e1padn\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 ve spojenectv\u00ed s Izraelem, SAE, \u0158eckem a Indi\u00ed \u2013 by v\u00fdrazn\u011b zm\u011bnil rovnov\u00e1hu sil v regionu. To by se nel\u00edbilo Turecku a Kataru, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00fd vliv v S\u00fdrii, Libyi a Som\u00e1lsku. A Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, kter\u00e1 se v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b postavila proti proz\u00e1padn\u00edm SAE a p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eila se k Turecku, by z toho tak\u00e9 byla nespokojen\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento izraelsk\u00fd zpravodajsk\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 pova\u017euje vojensk\u00fd \u00fader proti diktatu\u0159e mull\u00e1h\u016f v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dvou t\u00fddnech za pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd. Je tak\u00e9 t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee Netanjahua ve Washingtonu doprov\u00e1zel velitel izraelsk\u00e9ho letectva, kter\u00fd m\u011bl jist\u011b s americk\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi p\u0159edstaviteli v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed mnoho k projedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A kone\u010dn\u011b, Netanjahu pr\u00fd po Trumpovi po\u017eadoval, aby jak\u00e1koli dohoda zahrnovala \u00fapln\u00e9 zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu a arzen\u00e1lu balistick\u00fdch raket, stejn\u011b jako \u00fapln\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed podpory \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vazal\u016f. V opa\u010dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Netanjahu \u00fadajn\u011b Trumpovi a jeho t\u00fdmu \u0159ekl, \u017ee Izrael za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span>nejpozd\u011bji do konce b\u0159ezna,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a to i bez \u00fa\u010dasti USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od Erica Angerera<\/a><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Setk\u00e1n\u00ed mezi americk\u00fdmi a izraelsk\u00fdmi v\u016fdci ve\u0159ejn\u011b neodhalilo nic nov\u00e9ho. Co se ale d\u011bje v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99544,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99543"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99543"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99543\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/99544"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99543"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99543"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99543"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}