{"id":99428,"date":"2026-02-14T00:11:41","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T23:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=99428"},"modified":"2026-02-13T09:17:25","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T08:17:25","slug":"thomas-roper-ktere-zeme-mohou-vyvinout-jaderne-zbrane-a-v-jakem-casovem-ramci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/14\/thomas-roper-ktere-zeme-mohou-vyvinout-jaderne-zbrane-a-v-jakem-casovem-ramci\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Kter\u00e9 zem\u011b mohou vyvinout jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b a v jak\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k vypr\u0161en\u00ed platnosti smlouvy New START a obvin\u011bn\u00edm v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu, \u017ee chce vyvinout jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 pod\u00edvat se na to, kter\u00e9 zem\u011b mohou jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b skute\u010dn\u011b vyvinout a v jak\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Smlouva START, kter\u00e1 omezovala po\u010det rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/anti-spiegel.ru\/2026\/der-6-februar-der-tag-ab-dem-ein-atomkrieg-wahrscheinlicher-wird\/\"><u><span dir=\"auto\">vypr\u0161ela<\/span><\/u><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny , proto\u017ee USA odm\u00edtly rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy na jej\u00ed prodlou\u017een\u00ed a vyjedn\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 smlouvy. Nyn\u00ed, poprv\u00e9 za v\u00edce ne\u017e 50 let, ji\u017e neexistuje smlouva omezuj\u00edc\u00ed z\u00e1vody v jadern\u00e9m zbrojen\u00ed, co\u017e n\u011bmeck\u00e1 m\u00e9dia nepova\u017eovala za dostate\u010dn\u011b zpravodajsky zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, aby si vyslou\u017eilo v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 titulky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Agresivn\u00ed politika USA nav\u00edc nut\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b k z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, aby se chr\u00e1nily p\u0159ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edmi \u00fatoky USA, jak ukazuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklady \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Venezuely v posledn\u00edch letech, nebo i v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 dob\u011b. Pokud by tyto zem\u011b jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b vlastnily, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad Severn\u00ed Korea, USA by se jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed odv\u00e1\u017eily proti nim podniknout vojensk\u00fd z\u00e1sah.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se nyn\u00ed zd\u00e1, \u017ee hroz\u00ed nov\u00e9, nekontrolovan\u00e9 z\u00e1vody v jadern\u00e9m zbrojen\u00ed, a to nejen mezi USA a Ruskem, stoj\u00ed za to prozkoumat, kter\u00e9 zem\u011b jsou schopny vyvinout jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b a v jak\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci. Agentura TASS publikovala na toto t\u00e9ma\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tass.ru\/opinions\/26411043\"><u><span dir=\"auto\">\u010dl\u00e1nek<\/span><\/u><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, kter\u00fd jsem p\u0159elo\u017eil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Za\u010d\u00e1tek p\u0159ekladu:<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Cht\u00edt vs. Moci: Kter\u00e9 zem\u011b mohou vyvinout jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b a v jak\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Boris Rozhin o potenci\u00e1lu roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed klubu jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k eskalaci vojensk\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 krize kolem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu tureck\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Hakan Fidan prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Ankara se zapoj\u00ed do z\u00e1vod\u016f v jadern\u00e9m zbrojen\u00ed, pokud kter\u00e1koli zem\u011b v regionu z\u00edsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b. To by se fakticky rovnalo vypov\u011bzen\u00ed Smlouvy o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed klubu jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed je v sou\u010dasnosti omezeno jak tlakem velmoc\u00ed, tak i Smlouvou o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, jednou z m\u00e1la dochovan\u00fdch dohod z minul\u00e9 \u00e9ry na toto t\u00e9ma.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b vlastn\u00ed Rusko, USA, \u010c\u00edna, Francie, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie, Indie, P\u00e1kist\u00e1n, Severn\u00ed Korea a Izrael. Posledn\u00ed dv\u011b zem\u011b se de facto staly jadern\u00fdmi mocnostmi navzdory existuj\u00edc\u00edm omezen\u00edm a slou\u017e\u00ed jako p\u0159\u00edklady toho, jak m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt Smlouva o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed poru\u0161ena za ur\u010dit\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch a politick\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed. V dob\u011b eroze mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va a ru\u0161en\u00ed \u0159ady mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch smluv se proto zvy\u0161uje riziko kolapsu re\u017eimu ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vojensko-politick\u00e1 situace ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde p\u0159evl\u00e1d\u00e1 n\u00e1sil\u00ed a velmoci otev\u0159en\u011b ohro\u017euj\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed mocnosti a po\u017eaduj\u00ed jejich podroben\u00ed, \u017eiv\u00ed touhu relativn\u011b slab\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f po \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 ochran\u011b p\u0159ed vojenskou agres\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezi zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edmo \u010di nep\u0159\u00edmo deklarovaly sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 ambice, pat\u0159\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, Turecko, N\u011bmecko, Japonsko, Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea, Braz\u00edlie a Ukrajina.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale cht\u00edt n\u011bco je jedna v\u011bc a m\u00edt k tomu prost\u0159edky je v\u011bc druh\u00e1. Existuj\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00e9 zp\u016fsoby, jak jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b z\u00edskat.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed ciz\u00edch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed na vlastn\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159esn\u011b tohle d\u011bl\u00e1 B\u011blorusko, kter\u00e9 na sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed rozm\u00edstilo rusk\u00e9 nosi\u010de jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed (raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my Iskander, balistick\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu Ore\u0161nik a st\u00edha\u010dky Su-25 schopn\u00e9 n\u00e9st taktick\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b), aby se chr\u00e1nilo p\u0159ed \u00fatokem NATO. Rusko si nad t\u011bmito zbran\u011bmi ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 kontrolu, a t\u00edm roz\u0161i\u0159uje sv\u016fj jadern\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk pro obrann\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely na \u00fazem\u00ed sv\u00e9ho spojence.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na stejn\u00e9m principu jsou americk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b um\u00edst\u011bny tak\u00e9 v n\u011bkolika zem\u00edch NATO. Nach\u00e1zej\u00ed se nap\u0159\u00edklad na leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b Incirlik v Turecku, stejn\u011b jako ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii, It\u00e1lii, N\u011bmecku, Nizozemsku a Belgii. Celkem je v \u0161esti zem\u00edch um\u00edst\u011bno p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 150 jadern\u00fdch bomb. Za zm\u00ednku tak\u00e9 stoj\u00ed, \u017ee v roce 2016 byla \u0159ada jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed p\u0159esunuta z Turecka do Rumunska, kde jsou opakovan\u011b pozorov\u00e1ny jejich p\u0159epravn\u00ed letouny \u2013 strategick\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry B-52 a B-1B Lancer.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed pro vlastn\u00ed pot\u0159ebu s podporou jin\u00e9 mocnosti<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee USA pom\u00e1haly Brit\u00e1nii se z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v ur\u010dit\u00fdch f\u00e1z\u00edch jej\u00edho jadern\u00e9ho programu, zat\u00edmco \u010c\u00edna pom\u00e1hala Severn\u00ed Koreji s v\u00fdvojem jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a jejich nosi\u010d\u016f. Lze tak\u00e9 zm\u00ednit p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek Izraele Jihoafrick\u00e9 republice, kter\u00e1 se v 90. letech vzdala sv\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu. A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b mus\u00edm zm\u00ednit roli Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu v \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m jadern\u00e9m programu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za vl\u00e1dy Nikity Chru\u0161\u010dova podepsal SSSR v roce 1956 s \u010c\u00ednou dohodu, v n\u00ed\u017e Moskva podporovala v\u00fdstavbu civiln\u00edch a vojensk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v \u010c\u00edn\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b z\u00e1vodu na v\u00fdrobu jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Peking obdr\u017eel dokumentaci a vybaven\u00ed ze sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu, stejn\u011b jako prototypy prvn\u00edch balistick\u00fdch raket a kompletn\u00ed technologick\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek pro jejich v\u00fdvoj a v\u00fdrobu. V SSSR byla tak\u00e9 vy\u0161kolena \u0159ada specialist\u016f z \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nez\u00e1visl\u00fd v\u00fdvoj jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edklady jsou USA a SSSR, kter\u00e9 se \u00fa\u010dastnily z\u00e1vod\u016f v jadern\u00e9m zbrojen\u00ed s nacistick\u00fdm N\u011bmeckem a v druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b 40. let 20. stolet\u00ed se ujaly veden\u00ed. To tak\u00e9 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry vysv\u011btluje sou\u010dasnou vedouc\u00ed roli USA a Ruska v oblasti jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">B\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se Francie p\u0159ipojila k t\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed nez\u00e1visle dos\u00e1hli c\u00edle v\u00fdvoje jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Indie a P\u00e1kist\u00e1n tak\u00e9 samy rozv\u00edjely sv\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 programy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Okolnosti, za kter\u00fdch Izrael z\u00edskal jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, jsou pom\u011brn\u011b nejasn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdvoj \u0161pinav\u00e9 bomby<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je sp\u00ed\u0161e konceptem z teroristick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. I kdy\u017e \u0161pinav\u00e1 bomba nen\u00ed pova\u017eov\u00e1na za plnohodnotnou jadernou zbra\u0148, je p\u0159esto klasifikov\u00e1na jako zbra\u0148 hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je zalo\u017een na mo\u017enosti vyu\u017eit\u00ed civiln\u00edch jadern\u00fdch objekt\u016f nebo vyho\u0159el\u00fdch palivov\u00fdch ty\u010d\u00ed k v\u00fdvoji zbran\u011b schopn\u00e9 radioaktivn\u011b kontaminovat oblast. Tato ot\u00e1zka byla prim\u00e1rn\u011b diskutov\u00e1na v souvislosti s pokusy Banderova re\u017eimu o z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm vojensk\u00e9 operace na Ukrajin\u011b. To byl mimochodem jeden z argument\u016f pro zah\u00e1jen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace: Rusko nemohlo dovolit, aby se jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b objevily na jeho hranic\u00edch, zejm\u00e9na ne v rukou takov\u00e9ho re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dokumenty nalezen\u00e9 v Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rn\u011b v roce 2022 potvrdily \u0159adu v\u00fdvoj\u016f v tomto sm\u011bru. Bander\u016fv re\u017eim se tak\u00e9 netajil svou touhou vlastnit alespo\u0148 \u0161pinavou bombu, kter\u00e1 by Rusko \u201ezadr\u017eela\u201c. D\u00edky b\u00fdval\u00fdm sov\u011btsk\u00fdm pracovn\u00edk\u016fm a p\u0159\u00edstupu ke zdroj\u016fm ze \u010dty\u0159 ukrajinsk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren m\u00e1 Ukrajina ur\u010dit\u00fd technologick\u00fd z\u00e1klad. Pravideln\u011b se oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed v\u00fdzvy k \u201edod\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159i pohledu na sou\u010dasn\u00fd seznam rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edch se mocnost\u00ed by n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b mohly velmi snadno z\u00edskat jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b pom\u011brn\u011b rychle. To plat\u00ed zejm\u00e9na pro st\u00e1ty s rozvinutou jadernou energetikou, silnou v\u011bdeckou a technologickou z\u00e1kladnou s vlastn\u00edm jadern\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem, pokro\u010dil\u00fdm pr\u016fmyslem a raketovou v\u011bdou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nap\u0159\u00edklad Japonsko a Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea jsou podle odhad\u016f schopny vyvinout jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika let. Braz\u00edlie na podzim roku 2025 ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee p\u0159ezkoum\u00e1 sv\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny na vyu\u017eit\u00ed t\u00e9to technologie, a to i pro obrann\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely, a zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdzkumu a v\u00fdvoje. \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e disponuje dob\u0159e rozvinut\u00fdm raketov\u00fdm a jadern\u00fdm pr\u016fmyslem a tak\u00e9 zna\u010dn\u00fdm mno\u017estv\u00edm obohacen\u00e9ho uranu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Turecko a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie budou v tomto ohledu \u010delit v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdzv\u00e1m, jeliko\u017e Rij\u00e1d nem\u00e1 ani vlastn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny, ani rozvinut\u00fd raketov\u00fd program. Ankara v oblasti balistick\u00fdch raket v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b zaost\u00e1v\u00e1 za sv\u011btov\u00fdmi l\u00eddry. Rusko mezit\u00edm stav\u00ed jedinou tureckou jadernou elektr\u00e1rnu, zejm\u00e9na bez transferu kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mohly b\u00fdt pou\u017eity k v\u00fdvoji jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Je v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee se tyto zem\u011b budou moci spolehnout na zahrani\u010dn\u00ed pomoc p\u0159i v\u00fdvoji a z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. St\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed projekty Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 aliance, jej\u00ed\u017e sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed je i jadern\u011b vyzbrojen\u00fd P\u00e1kist\u00e1n, nab\u00edzej\u00ed (by\u0165 st\u00e1le nejist\u00e9) hypotetick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e pro rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v Turecku nebo Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, nebo pro transfer technologi\u00ed k urychlen\u00ed jejich vlastn\u00edch program\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro N\u011bmecko, p\u0159esto\u017ee ji\u017e odstavilo sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny, kter\u00e9 mohly slou\u017eit jako z\u00e1klad jeho jadern\u00e9ho programu. N\u011bmecko v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b zva\u017euje r\u016fzn\u00e9 typy jadern\u00fdch z\u00e1ruk, a\u0165 u\u017e americk\u00e9 nebo evropsk\u00e9. Nelze v\u0161ak vylou\u010dit, \u017ee by se Berl\u00edn v d\u016fsledku krize v transatlantick\u00fdch vztaz\u00edch mohl pokusit zcela se osvobodit od vojensk\u00fdch omezen\u00ed (zejm\u00e9na omezen\u00ed dohody Dva plus \u010dty\u0159i), a to zejm\u00e9na v oblasti zbran\u00ed hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed. Domn\u00edv\u00e1m se, \u017ee to bude vy\u017eadovat jak jeho vlastn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed, tak i transfer n\u011bkter\u00fdch technologi\u00ed od spojenc\u016f v NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pot\u0159eba nov\u00fdch dohod<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Celkov\u011b v\u0161echny tyto aspekty nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee sv\u011bt se po rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny smluv, kter\u00e9 omezovaly z\u00e1vody v jadern\u00e9m zbrojen\u00ed, st\u00e1v\u00e1 nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a \u017ee re\u017eim ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed je podkop\u00e1v\u00e1n v d\u016fsledku objektivn\u00ed eroze nefunk\u010dn\u00edho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va. Rostouc\u00ed obavy a ned\u016fv\u011bra mezi st\u00e1ty je nut\u00ed k p\u0159ezbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed, mimo jin\u00e9 i prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm p\u0159\u00edstupu k r\u016fzn\u00fdm typ\u016fm zbran\u00ed hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed seznamu form\u00e1ln\u00edch i neform\u00e1ln\u00edch \u010dlen\u016f jadern\u00e9ho klubu je pro Rusko objektivn\u011b nev\u00fdhodn\u00e9. Pokud by se po\u010det jadern\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b dramaticky zv\u00fd\u0161il, Moskva by podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru byla nucena p\u0159ijmout opat\u0159en\u00ed k pos\u00edlen\u00ed jadern\u00e9 tri\u00e1dy a k revizi sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 doktr\u00edny s ohledem na potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed nov\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 hrozby vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed z eskalace z\u00e1vod\u016f v jadern\u00e9m zbrojen\u00ed. Vznik takov\u00fdch hrozeb na Ukrajin\u011b byl skute\u010dn\u011b jednou z p\u0159\u00ed\u010din nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu 21. stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak vid\u00edme, rusk\u00e1 diplomacie aktivn\u011b pracuje na zachov\u00e1n\u00ed nebo zm\u011bn\u011b Smlouvy START, stejn\u011b jako Smlouvy o v\u0161eobecn\u00e9m z\u00e1kazu jadern\u00fdch zkou\u0161ek a Smlouvy o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Ale k tangu jsou pot\u0159eba dva. Pokud by USA tyto dohody \u00famysln\u011b zni\u010dily, aby z\u00edskaly strategickou v\u00fdhodu, Rusko se k nim p\u0159irozen\u011b jednostrann\u011b nep\u0159ipoj\u00ed. To opakovan\u011b prohl\u00e1sili jak rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin, tak i ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud je kone\u010dn\u00fd kolaps star\u00e9ho smluvn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu nevyhnuteln\u00fd, pak se podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru mus\u00edme nyn\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na mnohem nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sv\u011bt, v n\u011bm\u017e by se po\u010det jadern\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed mohl v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm desetilet\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Konec p\u0159ekladu<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/anti-spiegel.ru\/2026\/welche-laender-koennen-in-welchem-zeitraum-atomwaffen-entwickeln\/\">Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-22016\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-298x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"140\" height=\"141\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-298x300.jpg 298w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper.jpg 596w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 140px) 100vw, 140px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vzhledem k vypr\u0161en\u00ed platnosti smlouvy New START a obvin\u011bn\u00edm v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu, \u017ee chce vyvinout jadern\u00e9&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66971,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1069,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99428"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99428"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99428\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66971"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99428"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99428"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99428"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}