{"id":99378,"date":"2026-02-13T00:32:27","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T23:32:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=99378"},"modified":"2026-02-12T20:32:30","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T19:32:30","slug":"valka-proti-iranu-zazeh-globalni-krize","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/13\/valka-proti-iranu-zazeh-globalni-krize\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu: Z\u00e1\u017eeh glob\u00e1ln\u00ed krize"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00edce ne\u017e jadern\u00e1 eskalace by z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu mohla rozpoutat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd \u0161ok dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00fd na to, aby rozpadl k\u0159ehkou strukturu sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du.<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. \u00fanora 2026 varoval \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce Al\u00ed Chamene\u00ed, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli vojensk\u00e1 konfrontace zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n nez\u016fstane omezena na jeho hranice.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJak\u00e1koli v\u00e1lka by se neomezila pouze na \u00cdr\u00e1n a zap\u00e1lila by cel\u00fd region.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Tato pozn\u00e1mka nebyla pronesena jako slogan ani r\u00e9torick\u00e1 eskalace, ale jako strategick\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed zalo\u017een\u00e9 na geografii, energetick\u00fdch toc\u00edch a vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky. V Teher\u00e1nu bylo prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u0161iroce interpretov\u00e1no nejen jako vzkaz Washingtonu, ale tak\u00e9 jako\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>varov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0region\u00e1ln\u00edm vl\u00e1d\u00e1m, jejich\u017e politick\u00e1 stabilita a ekonomick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed z\u00e1vis\u00ed na nep\u0159eru\u0161en\u00e9m v\u00fdvozu ropy a bezpe\u010dnosti n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch tras v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuto logiku d\u016fsledn\u011b opakuj\u00ed vysoc\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed politi\u010dt\u00ed a vojen\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9. Sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e zd\u016fraz\u0148ovat p\u0159\u00edmou konfrontaci na boji\u0161ti se Teher\u00e1n ve sv\u00fdch projevech zam\u011b\u0159uje na region\u00e1ln\u00ed dopady a syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 d\u016fsledky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Arag\u010d\u010d\u00ed prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee pokud by USA za\u00fato\u010dily na \u00cdr\u00e1n, Teher\u00e1n by se odvetil proti\u00a0<\/span>americk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v cel\u00e9m regionu, a dal jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli konflikt by se okam\u017eit\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159il za hranice \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Mohammad Pakpour, vrchn\u00ed velitel \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard (IRGC), podobn\u011b zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je p\u0159ipraven na v\u0161echny sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, v\u010detn\u011b toho, co popsal\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>jako<\/span><\/a> \u201etot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku\u201c, a zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee eskalace nez\u016fstane omezen\u00e1 ani symbolick\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Al\u00ed \u0160amch\u00e1n\u00ed, hlavn\u00ed poradce nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce, tento postoj pos\u00edlil varov\u00e1n\u00edm, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli vojensk\u00e1 akce USA bude pova\u017eov\u00e1na za\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd akt<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a setk\u00e1 se s okam\u017eitou a komplexn\u00ed odvetou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Varov\u00e1n\u00ed zakotven\u00e9 v geografii<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tato prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed dohromady odhaluj\u00ed ucelenou strategickou doktr\u00ednu zako\u0159en\u011bnou v geografii \u00cdr\u00e1nu a jeho roli v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm energetick\u00e9m syst\u00e9mu. Jej\u00edm j\u00e1drem je\u00a0<\/span>Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u2013 \u00fazk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fdm v roce 2024 denn\u011b pro\u0161lo p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje p\u011btinu celosv\u011btov\u00e9 spot\u0159eby ropy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed je, \u017ee Spr\u00e1va energetick\u00fdch informac\u00ed (\u00a0<\/span>EIA<\/span><\/a>\u00a0) odhaduje, \u017ee p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 84 procent ropy a kondenz\u00e1tu a 83 procent zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu (LNG) p\u0159epravovan\u00e9ho pr\u016flivem bylo ur\u010deno pro asijsk\u00e9 trhy, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jako hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjemci byly ozna\u010deny \u010c\u00edna, Indie, Japonsko a Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea.<\/span><\/p>\n

Agentura Reuters<\/span><\/i>\u00a0opakovan\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>ozna\u010dila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv za \u201enejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ropnou tepnu sv\u011bta\u201c a poznamenala, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed producenti OPEC, v\u010detn\u011b Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Ir\u00e1ku, Kuvajtu a Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f, vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu sv\u00e9 ropy touto pr\u016flivem, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm do Asie.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato koncentrace energetick\u00fdch tok\u016f vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d nestabilitu v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu nelze pova\u017eovat za region\u00e1ln\u00ed nahodilost. P\u0159edstavuje struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed zranitelnost zakotvenou v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Olejov\u00fd \u0161krtic\u00ed bod, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed tlakov\u00fd ventil<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Z\u00e1vislost v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie na energii z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu tyto s\u00e1zky zna\u010dn\u011b zvy\u0161uje. Japonsko a Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea postr\u00e1daj\u00ed smyslupln\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed alternativy a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00fdhradn\u011b se spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dovoz. \u010c\u00edna i p\u0159es omezenou diverzifikaci ropovod\u016f z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed rop\u011b a zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9m zemn\u00edm plynu (LNG) ze z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Indie, jej\u00ed\u017e popt\u00e1vka po energii neust\u00e1le roste spolu s pr\u016fmyslovou expanz\u00ed, je vystavena podobn\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm. Tyto ekonomiky spole\u010dn\u011b tvo\u0159\u00ed pr\u016fmyslovou p\u00e1te\u0159 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdroby a exportn\u00ed produkce.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fsledky naru\u0161en\u00ed proto sahaj\u00ed daleko za samotn\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 trhy. V\u00fdchodoasijsk\u00e9 ekonomiky jsou hluboce integrov\u00e1ny do glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f, kter\u00e9 z\u00e1sobuj\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 a severoamerick\u00e9 trhy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpomalen\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed v Asii zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 energetikou by se rychle prom\u00edtlo do vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch v\u00fdrobn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f, zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed dod\u00e1vek a infla\u010dn\u00edch tlak\u016f v z\u00e1padn\u00edch ekonomik\u00e1ch. I bez \u00fapln\u00e9ho uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu by zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed rizika samo o sob\u011b sta\u010dilo k\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0pojistn\u00e9ho za lodn\u00ed dopravu, p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravy a vnesen\u00ed volatility na futures trhy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato dynamika pom\u00e1h\u00e1 vysv\u011btlit, pro\u010d \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 soustavn\u011b definuj\u00ed eskalaci jako syst\u00e9movou sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed. Z pohledu Teher\u00e1nu nen\u00ed pro dosa\u017een\u00ed p\u00e1kov\u00e9ho efektu nutn\u00e1 maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontace. I omezen\u00e9, ob\u010dasn\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed nebo trval\u00e1 nejistota v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu by znamenaly ne\u00fam\u011brn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady pro ekonomiky dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed energie.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto smyslu pr\u016fliv funguje m\u00e9n\u011b jako bin\u00e1rn\u00ed p\u0159ep\u00edna\u010d a sp\u00ed\u0161e jako tlakov\u00fd ventil schopn\u00fd p\u0159en\u00e9st lokalizovanou nestabilitu do glob\u00e1ln\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washingtonsk\u00e1 fantazie o odd\u011blen\u00ed energetiky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Navzdory t\u00e9to realit\u011b se ve Washingtonu obecn\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee nestabilita v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu ji\u017e nem\u00e1 pro USA rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed d\u016fsledky. Argument spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1vislost USA na z\u00e1padoasijsk\u00e9 rop\u011b\u00a0 prudce\u00a0<\/span>poklesla<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a \u017ee jak\u00e9koli naru\u0161en\u00ed by po\u0161kodilo p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm asijsk\u00e9 spot\u0159ebitele.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159i \u00fazk\u00e9m pohledu na \u00fadaje o dovozu z USA se tento p\u0159edpoklad jev\u00ed jako pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd. Podle\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00fadaj\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00fdch EIA USA nyn\u00ed dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed pouze malou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9 ropy od producent\u016f z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v\u011bt\u0161inu sv\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed z dom\u00e1c\u00edch zdroj\u016f nebo od partner\u016f, jako je Kanada a Mexiko.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch letech tvo\u0159il dovoz ropy a kondenz\u00e1tu z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu v\u00fdrazn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 10 procent celkov\u00e9ho dovozu ropy do USA, co\u017e odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed expanzi produkce b\u0159idlic v USA a struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed posuny v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch energie v Severn\u00ed Americe.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato logika se v\u0161ak hrout\u00ed, kdy\u017e se vezme v \u00favahu integrovan\u00e1 povaha glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky. Trhy s ropou funguj\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm glob\u00e1ln\u00edho stanovov\u00e1n\u00ed cen, lodn\u00ed dopravy, poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed a finan\u010dn\u00edch spekulac\u00ed. Jak EIA opakovan\u011b poznamenala, naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek v hlavn\u00edch uzlov\u00fdch bodech, jako je Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, m\u00e1 tendenci sp\u00ed\u0161e vyvol\u00e1vat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed cenov\u00e9 \u0161oky ne\u017e lok\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e se ropa z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu v USA fyzicky nespot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1, jej\u00ed cena je ur\u010dena o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edmi glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nab\u00eddky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od omezen\u00ed ke krizi<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee americk\u00e1 ekonomika je siln\u011b vystavena sekund\u00e1rn\u00edm a terci\u00e1rn\u00edm efekt\u016fm p\u0159en\u00e1\u0161en\u00fdm prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f. V\u00fdchodoasijsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, kter\u00e9 jsou siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na energii z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, pat\u0159\u00ed tak\u00e9 mezi nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvozce pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed do Evropy a Severn\u00ed Ameriky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Energetick\u00e9 \u0161oky v Asii by se tak do USA nedostaly p\u0159es palivov\u00e9 pumpy, ale p\u0159es tov\u00e1rny, p\u0159\u00edstavy a spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9 ceny. Evropa, kter\u00e1 je ji\u017e od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b zat\u00ed\u017eena energetickou nejistotou, by \u010delila obnoven\u00fdm infla\u010dn\u00edm tlak\u016fm, co\u017e by zes\u00edlilo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle anal\u00fdzy Institutu pro energetickou ekonomiku a finan\u010dn\u00ed anal\u00fdzu (\u00a0<\/span>IEEFA<\/span><\/a>\u00a0) z \u010dervna 2025 by naru\u0161en\u00ed dopravy v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu p\u0159\u00edmo ohrozilo zhruba 10 procent evropsk\u00e9ho dovozu LNG z Kataru a Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e mezi hlavn\u00ed odb\u011bratele pat\u0159\u00ed It\u00e1lie, Belgie a Polsko. Samotn\u00e1 It\u00e1lie se na tomto dovozu pod\u00edl\u00ed zhruba polovinou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto \u010d\u00edslo odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed pouze p\u0159\u00edmou expozici v\u016f\u010di LNG. \u0160ir\u0161\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 dopady na evropsk\u00e9 ceny energi\u00ed, dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce v\u00fdroby a inflaci by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b byly mnohem v\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, jeliko\u017e se energetick\u00e9 \u0161oky v Asii a na glob\u00e1ln\u00edch trz\u00edch budou \u0161\u00ed\u0159it do okol\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dohromady tento v\u00fdvoj ukazuje na n\u011bco hlub\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e jen s\u00e9rii izolovan\u00fdch region\u00e1ln\u00edch kriz\u00ed. Odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>erozi<\/span><\/a> glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bry v tzv. mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech. USA, dlouho prezentovan\u00e9 jako nositel standardu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho liberalismu, se v posledn\u00edch letech chovaly zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd vyvol\u00e1val rostouc\u00ed znepokojen\u00ed i mezi jejich nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edmi partnery.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b, bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b podporovan\u00e1 Washingtonem a dovoleno j\u00ed, aby se vyvinula v prodlou\u017eenou vyhlazovac\u00ed v\u00e1lku, vyhnala miliony Ukrajinc\u016f do Evropy a uvalila\u00a0\u00a0na evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty\u00a0 t\u011b\u017ekou\u00a0<\/span>soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a ekonomickou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 kroky USA v\u016f\u010di\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Venezuele<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u0161iroce kritizovan\u00e9 pr\u00e1vn\u00edmi experty jako poru\u0161en\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va a pozd\u011bji otev\u0159en\u011b formulovan\u00e9 jako p\u0159\u00edstup k energetick\u00fdm zdroj\u016fm, d\u00e1le podkop\u00e1valy tvrzen\u00ed o veden\u00ed v\u00e1zan\u00e9m pravidly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Opakovan\u00e9 hrozby proti suverenit\u011b zem\u00ed, jako je\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Kanada a Gr\u00f3nsko<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, spolu s p\u0159\u00edmou rol\u00ed Washingtonu p\u0159i usnad\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 akce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu v \u010dervnu 2025 b\u011bhem prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edch jadern\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, d\u00e1le po\u0161kodily image p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9ho a pr\u00e1vn\u00edho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozpadaj\u00edc\u00ed se po\u0159ad\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Kumulativn\u00edm efektem t\u011bchto akc\u00ed byl postupn\u00fd posun glob\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du sm\u011brem k situaci p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed pov\u00e1le\u010dnou \u00e9ru, v n\u00ed\u017e nekompromisn\u00ed realismus nahrazuje spolupr\u00e1ci a vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla st\u00e1le v\u00edce nahrazuje ekonomickou a institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed integraci jako organiza\u010dn\u00ed princip mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed politiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to souvislosti rostouc\u00ed viditelnost akt\u00e9r\u016f, jako jsou \u010c\u00edna a Rusko, jako\u017eto domn\u011bl\u00fdch stabiliza\u010dn\u00edch sil, nevypl\u00fdv\u00e1 z ideologick\u00e9ho spojen\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, ale ze syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 \u00fanavy z vnucen\u00e9 nestability a pragmatick\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed o obnoven\u00ed minim\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b p\u0159edv\u00eddatelnosti glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna, jej\u00ed\u017e ekonomick\u00e1 expozice v\u016f\u010di nestabilit\u011b v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu daleko p\u0159evy\u0161uje expozici Washingtonu, by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jak\u00e9koli dlouhodob\u00e9 krize \u010delila rostouc\u00edm motivac\u00edm k diplomatick\u00e9 intervenci. B\u011bhem ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch region\u00e1ln\u00edch eskalac\u00ed \u010d\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 opakovan\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>ozna\u010dovali<\/span><\/a>\u00a0stabilitu v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu za nezbytnou pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 zdrav\u00ed a varovali, \u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed \u201enen\u00ed v z\u00e1jmu \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 strany\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed sankce zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na omezen\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho energetick\u00e9ho sektoru dos\u00e1hly bodu nasycen\u00ed a prok\u00e1zaly omezenou \u00fa\u010dinnost p\u0159i z\u00e1sadn\u00edm naru\u0161en\u00ed exportu ropy a plynu z Moskvy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory tis\u00edc\u016fm omezen\u00ed Rusko nad\u00e1le hled\u00e1 zp\u016fsoby, jak\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>udr\u017eet toky energie<\/span><\/a>\u00a0prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm alternativn\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f a odb\u011bratel\u016f, co\u017e zd\u016fraz\u0148uje omezen\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a odolnost v\u00fdvozc\u016f energie p\u0159i p\u0159izp\u016fsobov\u00e1n\u00ed se geopolitick\u00e9mu tlaku.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud nepou\u017eijeme r\u00e9toriku, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed tuto struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed realitu. Geografie Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu zaji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee eskalaci nelze \u00fahledn\u011b omezit ani selektivn\u011b \u0159\u00eddit.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

I bez \u00fapln\u00e9ho uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu by ekonomick\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 ot\u0159esy vyvolan\u00e9 trval\u00fdm nap\u011bt\u00edm byly glob\u00e1ln\u00ed, trval\u00e9 a t\u011b\u017eko zvratn\u00e9. Skute\u010dn\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed v\u00e1lky nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v jej\u00edch po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edch kroc\u00edch, ale v dlouhodob\u00fdch \u0161kod\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 by zp\u016fsobila ji\u017e tak k\u0159ehk\u00e9mu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Peiman Salehi<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00edce ne\u017e jadern\u00e1 eskalace by z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu mohla rozpoutat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd \u0161ok dostate\u010dn\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99379,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,310,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99378"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99378"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99378\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/99379"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}