{"id":99258,"date":"2026-02-11T05:20:41","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T04:20:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=99258"},"modified":"2026-02-11T05:20:41","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T04:20:41","slug":"michael-svatos-ukrajinska-ofenziva-omyl-ruska-ofenziva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/11\/michael-svatos-ukrajinska-ofenziva-omyl-ruska-ofenziva\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Ukrajinsk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva? Omyl, rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva!"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva? Omyl, rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva! Ukrajinci tajemn\u011b miz\u00ed z cel\u00fdch \u00fasek\u016f fronty! \u0160okuj\u00edc\u00ed mapy, kam a\u017e rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da v\u010dera pronikla!<\/h2>\n

Je tomu sotva p\u00e1r dn\u00ed, kdy nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed patra kyjevsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci ohla\u0161ovala \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 \u00fatoky sv\u00fdch pozemn\u00edch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch kohort vyzbrojen\u00fdch nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vkou americk\u00fdch tank\u016f Abrams dodan\u00fdch z Austr\u00e1lie proti rusk\u00e9 obran\u011b, a chv\u00e1stala se n\u011bkolika \u201cosvobozen\u00fdmi\u201d vesnicemi i m\u011bsty. Le\u010d v\u010dera pr\u00e1sknul vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00fd n\u011bmeck\u00fd Rusofob, Julian R\u00f6pcke, \u017ee se rusk\u00e9 obrn\u011bn\u00e9 kolony z\u010dista jasna na n\u011bkolika m\u00edstech objevily 10km v t\u00fdlu ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany, a \u201cosvobodily\u201d n\u011bkolik vesnic. Zd\u00e1 se tak, \u017ee Ukrajinci budou m\u00edt pravdu ve sv\u00fdch hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch, \u017ee po vypnut\u00ed Starlinku ztratili ru\u0161t\u00ed velitel\u00e9 taktickou orientaci na boji\u0161ti, a sm\u016flu, proto\u017ee Rusov\u00e9 si to po ztr\u00e1t\u011b orientace instinktivn\u011b nam\u00ed\u0159ili p\u0159\u00edmo na z\u00e1pad! A to Ukrajince zabolelo.<\/p>\n

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Na prvn\u00ed map\u011b jasn\u011b vid\u00edte frontovou linii u m\u011bsta Kupjansk, kter\u00e9 Ukrajinci na p\u0159elomu ledna a \u00fanora leto\u0161n\u00edho roku podle sv\u00fdch hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u201cosvobodili\u201d. Prostor v\u00fdchodn\u011b od m\u011bsta Kupjansk a\u017e k linii fronty Ukrajinci trvale ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed od ofenz\u00edvy z l\u00e9ta 2022. Nebo sp\u00ed\u0161 ovl\u00e1dali. Proto\u017ee v\u010dera se 10km v hloubce t\u00e9to pevn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany (viz b\u00edl\u00e1 oboustrann\u00e1 \u0161ipka) pohybovala rusk\u00e1 kolona v s\u00edle 2 obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel, 11 \u010dty\u0159kolek, 2 velk\u00fdch bugin, o s\u00edle n\u011bkolika des\u00edtek p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f. Ukrajinci sice ihned, jakmile R\u00f6pcke svou informaci zve\u0159ejnil, stru\u010dn\u011b vyhl\u00e1sili, \u017ee v\u0161echny Rusy pobili, a jejich obrn\u011bn\u00e1 vozidla i buginy rozst\u0159\u00edleli, le\u010d vysv\u011btlit, jak se rusk\u00e1 obrn\u011bn\u00e1 kolona dostala a\u017e tak hluboko do jejich obrany odm\u00edtli. A zd\u00e1 se tak, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 fronta na tomto \u00faseku u\u017e nedr\u017e\u00ed pohromad\u011b, a nikdo ani netu\u0161\u00ed, kudy vlastn\u011b vede. A to nen\u00ed jedin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad, bylo jich v\u010dera v\u00edc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Jak vid\u00edte na t\u00e9to druh\u00e9 map\u011b okol\u00ed Kupjanska, (pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed jsem do mapy zase domaloval stejnou 10km dlouhou b\u00edlou \u0161ipku), rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da v\u010dera\u00a0 potichu bez z\u00e1jmu mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed pronikla na \u0161irok\u00e9 front\u011b 10km na z\u00e1pad, a\u017e k samotn\u00fdm v\u00fdchodn\u00edm okraj\u016fm m\u011bsta Kupjansk. \u010cerven\u011b zv\u00fdrazn\u011bn\u00e1 plocha je prostor, kter\u00fd v\u010dera Rusov\u00e9 \u201cosvobodili\u201d, a ten nen\u00ed mal\u00fd, nam\u011b\u0159il jsem skoro 60km2.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Proto\u017ee \u00fazem\u00ed, do n\u011bho\u017e v\u010dera Rusov\u00e9 vnikli, je \u00fadol\u00edm \u0159eky Oskol, a toto \u00fadol\u00ed je o 100 a\u017e 150 metr\u016f n\u00ed\u017ee ne\u017e v\u0161echen okoln\u00ed ter\u00e9n, (jak\u00e9 to m\u00e1 taktick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky v rusk\u00fdch pl\u00e1nech,\u00a0jsme podrobn\u011b vysv\u011btlili v anal\u00fdze MAP 2520<\/a>), nem\u00e1 v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00fd pr\u016fnik do tohoto \u00fadol\u00ed jin\u00fd smysl ne\u017e, \u017ee v\u0161ichni Ukrajinci br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed toto \u00fadol\u00ed u\u017e byli drony vybiti, a krom nacionalist\u016f trvale zalezl\u00fdch v panelov\u00fdch domech ve \u010dtvrti Kupjansk-Uzlovoj, a v samotn\u00e9m m\u011bst\u011b Kupjansk, tak \u00fadol\u00ed samotn\u00e9 u\u017e nikdo nebr\u00e1nil, a Rusov\u00e9 tak v n\u011bm u\u017e nem\u011bli koho zab\u00edjet,\u00a0 a tak se rusk\u00e1 velen\u00ed rozhodlo, \u017ee nade\u0161el \u010das pro kone\u010dn\u00fd \u0161turm m\u011bsta Kupjansk. Ergo, podle Gerasimova p\u0159edpisu pro veden\u00ed taktick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, kdy\u017e nen\u00ed na \u00fazem\u00ed obsazen\u00e9m nep\u0159\u00edtelem u\u017e koho zab\u00edjet, rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se p\u0159esune vp\u0159ed, dokud nenaraz\u00ed na nov\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, kde se nach\u00e1z\u00ed dostatek nep\u0159\u00e1tel k zab\u00edjen\u00ed. Tento postup odpov\u00edd\u00e1 i nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm Lavrova, \u017ee do m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b je daleko.<\/p>\n

Obdobn\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00ed i boje na z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Gaj\u010dur. 9. \u00fanora se Ukrajinci s velkou pompou chlubili, \u017ee \u201cosvobodili\u201d ves o n\u011bkolika m\u00e1lo domc\u00edch\u00a0 Staroukrajinka, a zajali v n\u00ed dva Rusy. A v\u010dera 10. \u00fanora u\u017e R\u00f6pcke pr\u00e1sknul, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 jednotky \u201cosvobodili\u201d vesnici Zaliznychne. Ta v\u0161ak m\u00e1 n\u00e1dra\u017e\u00ed, velkou \u0161kolu, po\u0161tu, dva krav\u00edny, 6 vysok\u00fdch betonov\u00fdch sil, a dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 a administrativn\u00ed budovy, a hodn\u011b p\u0159es 100 dom\u016f, a le\u017e\u00ed\u00a0 2km ji\u017en\u011b od vesnice Staroukrajinka, na k\u0159i\u017eovatce cest vedouc\u00edch z m\u011bsta Huljajpole. Kam se najednou pod\u011bli v\u0161ichni jej\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed obr\u00e1nci, je stejnou z\u00e1hadou jako jejich n\u00e1hl\u00e9 zmizen\u00ed z \u00fadol\u00ed \u0159eky Oskol u Kupjanska. N\u00e1sleduj\u00ed dv\u011b shodn\u00e9 mapy, prvn\u00ed z 9. \u00fanora a druh\u00e1 z 10. \u00fanora.<\/p>\n

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9. \u00fanora se Ukrajinci holedbali, \u017ee osvobodili miniaturn\u00ed vesnici Staroukrajinka (v mod\u0159e zv\u00fdrazn\u011bn\u00e9m prostoru), a zajali v n\u00ed dva Rusy. Pov\u0161imn\u011bte si, \u017ee od velk\u00e9 vesnice\u00a0Zaliznychne (n\u011bmecky Salisnytschne) jsou rusk\u00e9 jednotky 9. \u00fanora je\u0161t\u011b 3.4km v\u00fdchodn\u011b.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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A stejn\u00e1 mapa z 10. \u00fanora. Jak vid\u00edte, rusk\u00e9 p\u011bchota se v\u010dera radovala, \u017ee osvobodila velkou vesnici Zaliznychne. P\u0159i v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch se takov\u00e9to v\u011bci, \u017ee jedna arm\u00e1da osvobod\u00ed jednu vesnici, a druh\u00e1 nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da vz\u00e1p\u011bt\u00ed jinou vesnici hned kousek vedle, d\u011bj\u00ed pravideln\u011b. Ale kdy\u017e jedna arm\u00e1da osvobozuje urputn\u00fdmi zte\u010demi proti tvrd\u00e9 obran\u011b, jako te\u010f Ukrajinci, a druh\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, jako te\u010f Rusov\u00e9, osvobozuje poklidn\u00fdmi promen\u00e1dami, proto\u017ee na \u00faseku jej\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u0161t\u00ed obr\u00e1nci n\u011bjak n\u00e1hle a z\u00e1hadn\u011b zmizeli, vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 to prvn\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e9 domn\u011bnky, \u017ee Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se u\u017e za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 rozpadat. Respektive, pokud bude tento stav i nad\u00e1le pokra\u010dovat, v\u00e1lka skon\u010d\u00ed rychleji, ne\u017e si zat\u00edm lze p\u0159edstavit.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Zdroj map = X JulianR\u00f6pcke.\u00a0Zde link na posledn\u00ed mapu<\/a>. Dnes byla jen krat\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdza, odepisoval jsem na maily, jak jsem sl\u00edbil. Z leto\u0161n\u00edch mi zb\u00fdv\u00e1 odpov\u011bd\u011bt u\u017e pouze na maily do\u0161l\u00e9 ve dnech 1. a\u017e 8. ledna. D\u011bkuji za n\u011b, a d\u011bkuji pochopen\u00ed, \u017ee odpov\u00edd\u00e1m se zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva? Omyl, rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva! Ukrajinci tajemn\u011b miz\u00ed z cel\u00fdch \u00fasek\u016f fronty! \u0160okuj\u00edc\u00ed mapy, kam…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":70438,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,9749,2752,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99258"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99258"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99258\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70438"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}