{"id":98878,"date":"2026-02-07T00:18:51","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T23:18:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98878"},"modified":"2026-02-06T11:03:14","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T10:03:14","slug":"seymour-hersh-co-se-bude-dit-dal-v-iranu-otazka-zavisi-na-trumpovi-a-iranske-armade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/07\/seymour-hersh-co-se-bude-dit-dal-v-iranu-otazka-zavisi-na-trumpovi-a-iranske-armade\/","title":{"rendered":"Seymour Hersh: Co se bude d\u00edt d\u00e1l v \u00cdr\u00e1nu? Ot\u00e1zka z\u00e1vis\u00ed na Trumpovi a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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M\u00fdm sou\u010dasn\u00fdm nejobl\u00edben\u011bj\u0161\u00edm guru zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky je Eliot A. Cohen, emeritn\u00ed profesor na Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies ve Washingtonu, D.C., kter\u00fd se v dob\u011b, kdy m\u011bl b\u00fdt odchodem do d\u016fchodu, uk\u00e1zal jako inovativn\u00ed kritik prezidenta Donalda Trumpa. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 eseji v The\u00a0<\/span>Atlantic<\/span><\/em>\u00a0navrhuje, aby vhodn\u00fdm osloven\u00edm Trumpa bylo \u201eV\u00e1\u017een\u00fd v\u016fd\u010de\u201c \u2013 titul, kter\u00fd nosil severokorejsk\u00fd Kim \u010cong-il, jen\u017e stejn\u011b jako Trump vl\u00e1dl bez kritiky zevnit\u0159 sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bylo mi \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee americk\u00fd \u201edrah\u00fd v\u016fdce\u201c dostal \u00fakol, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl b\u00fdt extr\u00e9mn\u011b delik\u00e1tn\u00ed: zvl\u00e1dat eskaluj\u00edc\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s n\u00e1sledky brut\u00e1ln\u00edho potla\u010den\u00ed ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho povst\u00e1n\u00ed ajatoll\u00e1hem Chamene\u00edm, kter\u00e9 podle jeho tvrzen\u00ed vy\u017e\u00e1dalo \u201en\u011bkolik tis\u00edc\u201c mrtv\u00fdch. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed je dosud 3 117, ale je v\u0161eobecn\u011b pova\u017eov\u00e1n za hrub\u011b podhodnocen\u00fd; n\u011bkter\u00e9 odhady uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo a\u017e 16 500. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy, s\u00edla o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 200 000 mu\u017e\u00edch, dostaly povolen\u00ed st\u0159\u00edlet na protestuj\u00edc\u00ed bez rozd\u00edlu a u\u010dinily tak jako odvetu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Svr\u017een\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed je ji\u017e dlouho c\u00edlem Izraele, stejn\u011b jako mnoha sil v Americe a Evrop\u011b \u2013 a bezpo\u010dtu \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f. Nebude to v\u0161ak mo\u017en\u00e9, pokud \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se sv\u00fdmi 760 000 aktivn\u00edmi a z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edmi voj\u00e1ky (bez Revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy) nebude souhlasit nebo nebude p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dena k \u00fa\u010dasti. Pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to mo\u017enosti op\u011bt aktivn\u011b prob\u00edh\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ed n\u011bkolika t\u00fddny mi bylo \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee David Barnea, brzy odch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed \u0161\u00e9f Mossadu, izraelsk\u00e9 jednotky pro vra\u017eedn\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed operace a boj proti terorismu, minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc podnikl m\u00e1lo pov\u0161imnutou n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu Washingtonu v doprovodu n\u011bkolika vojensk\u00fdch velitel\u016f, aby projednal, jak postupovat v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee bude rozhodnuto o agresivn\u00edm svr\u017een\u00ed n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e1 operace, pokud by byla schv\u00e1lena, by se neuskute\u010dnila po dobu n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, kdy by bylo pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed a zb\u00fdval by dostatek \u010dasu na v\u00fdcvik a p\u0159\u00edpravu nezbytn\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch a komandov\u00fdch operac\u00ed, pokud by byly nutn\u00e9. Za pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd c\u00edlov\u00fd term\u00edn byl pova\u017eov\u00e1n \u010derven. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm by vy\u017eadovala pe\u010dlivou integraci pravideln\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, jej\u00ed\u017e jednotky by musely hr\u00e1t kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli, pokud by \u2013 jak se o\u010dek\u00e1valo \u2013 \u010d\u00e1sti Revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy z\u016fstaly loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b vypuknut\u00ed otev\u0159en\u00e9ho odporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bylo mi \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee je nal\u00e9hav\u011b nutn\u00e9 ujistit nerv\u00f3zn\u00ed veden\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, \u017ee Amerika se zav\u00e1\u017ee k jejich podpo\u0159e, pokud se postav\u00ed proti ajatoll\u00e1hovi.<\/span><\/p>\n

To vy\u017eadovalo pe\u010dlivou komunikaci a Trump \u2013 ve sv\u00e9m charakteristick\u00e9m stylu \u2013 se t\u00e9to role o v\u00edkendu ujal s bojovnou r\u00e9torikou. Titulek\u00a0<\/span>New York Times<\/span><\/em>\u00a0v sobotu zn\u011bl: \u201eTrump op\u011bt tla\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi hrozbami a nejasn\u00fdmi d\u016fkazy.\u201c O den pozd\u011bji CNN informovala: \u201eTrump: Pokud s \u00cdr\u00e1nem nebude dosa\u017eeno dohody, sv\u011bt \u201azist\u00ed\u2018, zda by americk\u00fd \u00fader spustil region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku.\u201c Nevyhnuteln\u00e1 reakce Teher\u00e1nu n\u00e1sledovala v ned\u011bln\u00ed report\u00e1\u017ei BBC: \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce varuje p\u0159ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lkou, pokud USA za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Prezidentovy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 hrozby uv\u00edtali n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed ameri\u010dt\u00ed experti, kte\u0159\u00ed s izraelskou vl\u00e1dou po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed spolupracovali a radili j\u00ed v citliv\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch. Jeden z nich mi \u0159ekl: \u201eOpozice pot\u0159ebuje arm\u00e1du \u2013 a nejen arm\u00e1du \u2013 jako s\u00edlu a odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit \u00cdr\u00e1nu sklouznout do vnit\u0159n\u00ed v\u00e1lky mezi mnoha historick\u00fdmi frakcemi z persk\u00e9 \u00e9ry. Na ka\u017ed\u00e9 k\u0159i\u017eovatce USA povzbuzovaly revoluce a slibovaly podporu, jen aby je pak ponechaly napospas jejich nevyhnuteln\u00e9mu z\u00e1niku a selh\u00e1n\u00ed. Tentokr\u00e1t byla administrativa varov\u00e1na, \u017ee mus\u00ed projevit odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed od prvn\u00edho dne a vytrvat a\u017e do konce. Trumpova prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1m mohou zn\u00edt jako star\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va, ale pro \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid jsou to manna.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Expert se pot\u00e9 obr\u00e1til k kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce: roli Chamene\u00edho, kter\u00fd je zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed Revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard a schv\u00e1len\u00ed nemilosrdn\u00e9ho z\u00e1sahu proti p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b mlad\u00fdm protestuj\u00edc\u00edm. \u201eChamene\u00ed a jeho kump\u00e1ni maj\u00ed jen k\u0159ehkou kontrolu,\u201c \u0159ekl mi, \u201eale p\u0159esto kontrolu \u2013 co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee opozici p\u0159\u00edtomnou v cel\u00e9 populaci brzd\u00ed strach a nedostatek organizace.\u201c Nyn\u00ed v\u0161ak, po ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m krveprolit\u00ed, \u201epanuje nespokojenost a odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed odstranit Chamene\u00edho na v\u0161ech \u00farovn\u00edch a ve v\u0161ech sektorech.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Panuje v\u0161eobecn\u00e1 shoda, uvedl expert, \u017ee Benjamin Netanjahu, kontroverzn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r, by nebyl sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9ho budouc\u00edho washingtonsk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu na pomoc \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu lidu se sesazen\u00edm ajatoll\u00e1ha. \u201eV\u0161echno by to zni\u010dilo,\u201c \u0159ekl. \u201eKdyby Izraelce muslimsk\u00fd sv\u011bt vn\u00edmal jako spolupachatele svr\u017een\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00da\u0159edn\u00edk nevysv\u011btlil, jak se takov\u00fdm vjem\u016fm lze vyhnout, zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee jednou z reakc\u00ed Trumpovy administrativy na ned\u00e1vnou krizi v \u00cdr\u00e1nu bylo setk\u00e1n\u00ed s \u0161\u00e9fem Mossadu v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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M\u00fdm sou\u010dasn\u00fdm nejobl\u00edben\u011bj\u0161\u00edm guru zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky je Eliot A. Cohen, emeritn\u00ed profesor na Johns Hopkins…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98879,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,1794,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98878"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98878"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98878\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98879"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98878"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98878"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98878"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}