{"id":98829,"date":"2026-02-06T04:24:10","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T03:24:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98829"},"modified":"2026-02-06T04:24:10","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T03:24:10","slug":"mohamed-lamine-kaba-trump-a-netanjahu-ustupuji-pred-chameneim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/06\/mohamed-lamine-kaba-trump-a-netanjahu-ustupuji-pred-chameneim\/","title":{"rendered":"Mohamed Lamine Kaba: Trump a Netanjahu ustupuj\u00ed p\u0159ed Chamene\u00edm"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Kdy\u017e odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159estane b\u00fdt v\u011brohodn\u00e9, moc ustupuje, ani\u017e by to p\u0159iznala. To je to, co Trump a Netanjahu d\u011blaj\u00ed p\u0159ed Chamene\u00edm.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Leden 2026 se zap\u00ed\u0161e do an\u00e1l\u016f mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f jako moment strategick\u00e9 pravdy pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Izrael. Po t\u00fddnech v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch hrozeb, ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch ultim\u00e1t a pe\u010dliv\u011b zinscenovan\u00fdch \u00fanik\u016f informac\u00ed o bezprost\u0159edn\u00edch \u00fatoc\u00edch proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu Washington a Tel Aviv n\u00e1hle zpomalily, upravily sv\u016fj postoj a znovu zavedly jazyk opatrnosti, kter\u00fd byl d\u0159\u00edve pova\u017eov\u00e1n za vyhrazen\u00fd pro obdob\u00ed slabosti. Tento zjevn\u00fd \u00fastup neplyne ani z mor\u00e1ln\u00ed zdr\u017eenlivosti, ani z promy\u0161len\u00e9ho diplomatick\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed, ale z konfrontace s geopolitickou realitou, kter\u00e1 se vymkla kontrole.<\/p>\n<p>To, co je zde v s\u00e1zce, p\u0159esahuje \u00cdr\u00e1n a dokonce i Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod: jde o st\u0159et mezi mocenskou architekturou zd\u011bd\u011bnou z 20. stolet\u00ed a sv\u011btem, kter\u00fd se v 21. stolet\u00ed ji\u017e nenech\u00e1 touto architekturou disciplinovat. \u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou proto je: Ustoupili Trump a Netanjahu z vlastn\u00ed v\u016fle, nebo proto, \u017ee je kola syst\u00e9mu sm\u011b\u0159ovala k syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece?<\/p>\n<p>Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek se sna\u017e\u00ed uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee schopnost dvojice USA-Izrael zp\u016fsobit \u0161kodu z\u00e1vis\u00ed na vnit\u0159n\u00edch faktorech \u00cdr\u00e1nu, ale tak\u00e9 na postoji bezprost\u0159edn\u00edch soused\u016f ur\u010den\u00e9ho protivn\u00edka.<\/p>\n<p>Brutalitu strategick\u00e9ho obratu, kter\u00fd jsme mohli pozorovat b\u011bhem prvn\u00edho m\u011bs\u00edce tohoto roku, lze pochopit pouze dekonstrukc\u00ed m\u00fdtu, na kter\u00e9m po desetilet\u00ed spo\u010d\u00edvala projekce americk\u00e9 a izraelsk\u00e9 moci na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Na rozd\u00edl od ofici\u00e1ln\u00edho narativu, kter\u00fd zesiluj\u00ed mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia, z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159evaha nikdy nespo\u010d\u00edvala pouze v kvalit\u011b zbran\u00ed, technologick\u00e9 vysp\u011blosti nebo v\u00fdcviku voj\u00e1k\u016f. Spol\u00e9hala se p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na tolerantn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, na aktivn\u00ed nebo pasivn\u00ed komplictv\u00ed soused\u016f ur\u010den\u00e9ho protivn\u00edka, na infiltraci m\u00edstn\u00edch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch apar\u00e1t\u016f a na metodick\u00e9 z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed loajality. Kdy\u017e tento ekosyst\u00e9m funguje, s\u00edla se st\u00e1v\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed. Kdy\u017e v\u0161ak sel\u017ee, v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd stroj odhal\u00ed svou struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed zranitelnost.<\/p>\n<p>Venezuelsk\u00fd precedens je v tomto ohledu velmi pou\u010dn\u00fd. Americk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 operace zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na Caracas se nikdy nespol\u00e9haly na konven\u010dn\u00ed invazi, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e na c\u00edlen\u00e9 upl\u00e1cen\u00ed vysok\u00fdch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f, sliby amnestie, ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161krty a vnit\u0159n\u00ed fragmentaci vojensk\u00e9ho velen\u00ed. Tam, kde se poda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout zrady, rostl americk\u00fd vliv. Tam, kde selhal, se palebn\u00e1 s\u00edla uk\u00e1zala jako ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1. Tento model, p\u0159enesen\u00fd na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad, narazil na ze\u010f. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed apar\u00e1t nejen\u017ee prok\u00e1zal v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ideologickou a institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed odolnost, ne\u017e z\u00e1padn\u00ed pl\u00e1nova\u010di o\u010dek\u00e1vali, ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm region\u00e1ln\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed odm\u00edtlo hr\u00e1t svou tradi\u010dn\u00ed roli jako ozvu\u010dn\u00e1 deska americk\u00e9 strategie.<\/p>\n<p>Kategorick\u00e9 odm\u00edtnut\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch soused\u016f nab\u00eddnout sv\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed jako zadn\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu, logistickou platformu nebo vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor znamen\u00e1 historick\u00fd zlom. Toto odm\u00edtnut\u00ed nen\u00ed pouze ideologick\u00e9, ale je de facto racion\u00e1ln\u00ed. Hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsta Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, traumatizovan\u00e1 ekonomick\u00fdmi, energetick\u00fdmi a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmi d\u016fsledky proxy v\u00e1lek, pochopila, \u017ee otev\u0159en\u00fd konflikt s \u00cdr\u00e1nem by nebyl ani kr\u00e1tk\u00fd, ani kontrolovateln\u00fd. T\u00edm, \u017ee si udr\u017euj\u00ed odstup, zbavily Washington a Tel Aviv toho, co dosud bylo jejich rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00fdhodou: region\u00e1ln\u00ed hloubky. Bez t\u00e9to hloubky se jak\u00fdkoli \u00fader st\u00e1v\u00e1 izolovan\u00fdm, n\u00e1kladn\u00fdm, politicky riskantn\u00edm a strategicky steriln\u00edm \u010dinem.<\/p>\n<p>Pr\u00e1v\u011b v tomto opera\u010dn\u00edm vakuu doch\u00e1z\u00ed k vzestupu troj\u00faheln\u00edku Moskva-Peking-Teher\u00e1n. Nejedn\u00e1 se o ideologick\u00e9 spojenectv\u00ed ani form\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00fd pakt, ale o sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f. Rusko vn\u00edm\u00e1 stabilizaci \u00cdr\u00e1nu jako ochrann\u00fd val proti obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed Z\u00e1padem a p\u00e1ku ve sv\u00e9m glob\u00e1ln\u00edm st\u0159etu s NATO, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e si uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee tento st\u0159et je tak\u00e9 jedin\u00fdm spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b. \u010c\u00edna pova\u017euje \u00cdr\u00e1n za centr\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00fd a logistick\u00fd uzel pro sv\u016fj euroasijsk\u00fd projekt, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e se de facto sna\u017e\u00ed neutralizovat jak\u00e9koli v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed obchodn\u00edch tras, samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nov\u00fdch hedv\u00e1bn\u00fdch stezek. \u00cdr\u00e1n ze sv\u00e9 strany pochopil, \u017ee jeho p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed ji\u017e nez\u00e1vis\u00ed na asymetrick\u00e9 konfrontaci s Washingtonem, ale na jeho integraci do syst\u00e9mu nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho a multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Tato rekonfigurace z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnila anal\u00fdzu n\u00e1klad\u016f a p\u0159\u00ednos\u016f jak\u00e9koli americk\u00e9 nebo izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 akce. \u00dader proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu by ji\u017e nebyl sign\u00e1lem dominance, ale spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem multidimenzion\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 nestability, kter\u00fd by okam\u017eit\u011b vyvolal asymetrick\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9, kybernetick\u00e9 a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed reakce s nem\u00e9n\u011b okam\u017eit\u00fdmi dopady na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trhy a energetickou bilanci. Trump, navzdory sv\u00e9 r\u00e9torice s\u00edly, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 akt\u00e9rem p\u0159ecitliv\u011bl\u00fdm na ekonomick\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly a rizika nekontrolovan\u00e9ho chaosu; je to \u201evyjednava\u010d\u201c, kter\u00fd klade \u201eMake America Great Again\u201c (MAGA) a \u201eAmerica First\u201c do pop\u0159ed\u00ed v\u0161ech sv\u00fdch slogan\u016f, s heslem \u201eI will make deal\u201c jako sv\u00fdm mottem v uzav\u0159en\u00fdch i otev\u0159en\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch. Netanjahu, politicky oslaben\u00fd a z\u00e1visl\u00fd na ji\u017e nadm\u011brn\u011b exponovan\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00edle, v\u00ed, \u017ee prodlou\u017een\u00e1 region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka by p\u0159ekro\u010dila absorp\u010dn\u00ed kapacitu jeho vlastn\u00ed zem\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Nejznepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pravdou je, \u017ee americk\u00e1 a izraelsk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla, zbaven\u00e1 m\u00edstn\u00ed podpory, vnit\u0159n\u00ed komplice a organizovan\u00fdch zrad, se ukazuje jako mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed, ne\u017e tvrd\u00ed. Technologie nenahrazuje geopolitiku a vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159evaha nevyrovn\u00e1v\u00e1 strategickou izolaci. V lednu 2026 to nebyly jen \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety, kter\u00e9 zastavily Washington a Tel Aviv, ale tak\u00e9 pozn\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee sestupn\u00e1 spir\u00e1la je vede ke konfliktu, kter\u00fd nemohou politicky ovl\u00e1dnout ani vyhr\u00e1t. Trump a Netanjahu jsou nejen opovrhov\u00e1ni v\u011bt\u0161inou vlastn\u00edho lidu, ale nav\u00edc se proti nim obrac\u00ed cel\u00fd sv\u011bt.<\/p>\n<p>Tento \u00fastup tedy nen\u00ed ani n\u00e1hodou, ani taktickou pauzou. P\u0159edstavuje implicitn\u00ed p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed: unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d skon\u010dil a jak\u00fdkoli pokus o jeho obnoven\u00ed silou nyn\u00ed m\u00e1 opa\u010dn\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinek. \u00cdr\u00e1n nezv\u00edt\u011bzil v\u00e1lkou, ale transformac\u00ed samotn\u00e9ho boji\u0161t\u011b. T\u00edm, \u017ee donutil sv\u00e9 protivn\u00edky \u010delit skute\u010dn\u00fdm n\u00e1klad\u016fm eskalace, posunul t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011b konfrontace.<\/p>\n<p>Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Trumpovo a Netanjahuovo couv\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed Chamene\u00edm nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mkou moudrosti, ale p\u0159\u00edznakem sv\u011bta, kter\u00fd se stal p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 slo\u017eit\u00fdm na to, aby ho bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 \u0159\u00eddit star\u00fdmi reflexy. Je to jeden z v\u00fdmluvn\u00fdch d\u016fkaz\u016f toho, \u017ee v nov\u00e9m glob\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0159\u00e1du se moc ji\u017e neprohla\u0161uje, ale vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed a chr\u00e1n\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm rovnov\u00e1hy vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdch z\u00e1vislost\u00ed. Ti, kte\u0159\u00ed trvaj\u00ed na zam\u011b\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u010dasto p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b zji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed ve \u0161kole Washingtonu a Tel Avivu, \u017ee mechanismus, kter\u00fd uvedli do pohybu, hroz\u00ed v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b rozdrtit je samotn\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1v\u011brem lze \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee v tomto obr\u00e1cen\u00e9m sm\u011bru ji\u017e net\u0159esou se c\u00edle, ale ti, kdo vyhro\u017euj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/chinabeyondthewall.org\/trump-and-netanyahu-back-down-in-the-face-of-khamenei\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Trump and Netanyahu back down in the face of Khamenei<\/a> vy\u0161el 5.2.2026 na chinabeyondthewall.org<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kdy\u017e odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159estane b\u00fdt v\u011brohodn\u00e9, moc ustupuje, ani\u017e by to p\u0159iznala. To je to, co&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":71614,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,4537,38,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98829"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98829"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98829\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71614"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98829"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98829"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98829"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}