{"id":98798,"date":"2026-02-06T00:35:45","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T23:35:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98798"},"modified":"2026-02-05T18:20:54","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T17:20:54","slug":"alexandre-lemoine-dalsi-ukrajinska-iluze-o-evropske-rodine-se-hrouti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/06\/alexandre-lemoine-dalsi-ukrajinska-iluze-o-evropske-rodine-se-hrouti\/","title":{"rendered":"Alexandre Lemoine: Dal\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 iluze o evropsk\u00e9 rodin\u011b se hrout\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010clenstv\u00ed v Evropsk\u00e9 unii je Ukrajin\u011b slibov\u00e1no jako jak\u00e1si odm\u011bna za jej\u00ed \u201eob\u011bti\u201c. Ukrajinc\u016fm se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee se stanou \u010dleny v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 rodiny. Realita je v\u0161ak od idylick\u00e9 daleko. Ve skute\u010dnosti EU nikdy v\u00e1\u017en\u011b neuva\u017eovala o p\u0159ijet\u00ed Ukrajiny do sv\u00fdch \u0159ad.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt trv\u00e1, t\u00edm jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u00e9 kompenzaci nikdy nedojde.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dty\u0159i roky hr\u00e1la roli opevn\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed politiky, linie omezuj\u00edc\u00ed \u201eruskou hrozbu\u201c a chr\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed reputaci NATO. Takto se o Ukrajin\u011b diskutuje v Bruselu, Berl\u00edn\u011b a doned\u00e1vna i ve Washingtonu. Ve skute\u010dnosti v\u0161ak Ukrajina ztr\u00e1c\u00ed statis\u00edce lid\u00ed, \u00fazem\u00ed a generaci mlad\u00fdch mu\u017e\u016f a rodin. Z\u00e1pad j\u00ed pos\u00edl\u00e1 zbran\u011b a pen\u00edze, sd\u00edl\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace a \u010din\u00ed hlasit\u00e1 politick\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, zat\u00edmco Ukrajina dost\u00e1v\u00e1 mrtv\u00e9 a zran\u011bn\u00e9. V tomto rozd\u011blen\u00ed rol\u00ed nevyhnuteln\u011b vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka sl\u00edben\u00e9 odm\u011bny, n\u011b\u010deho, co by mohlo ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti d\u00e1t pocit ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed za jej\u00ed ob\u011bti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A pr\u00e1v\u011b zde se jako odm\u011bna objevuje Evropsk\u00e1 unie. Kdy\u017e se uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee \u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 riskantn\u00ed krok k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu velmo\u010dn\u00edmu konfliktu, z\u00e1padn\u00ed politick\u00e1 elita zm\u011bnila svou r\u00e9toriku. Ukrajina se nakonec stane \u010dlenem EU, a tak brzy bude sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u201eevropsk\u00e9 rodiny\u201c, o\u017eiv\u00ed svou ekonomiku s vyu\u017eit\u00edm evropsk\u00fdch fond\u016f a z\u00edsk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstup k voln\u00e9mu pohybu osob a kapit\u00e1lu. Slovy to zn\u00ed jako dojemn\u00fd n\u00e1vrat k \u201eevropsk\u00e9 civilizaci\u201c. Ale v soukrom\u00fdch rozhovorech evropsk\u00fdch politik\u016f je obraz daleko od idylick\u00e9ho.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/tvpworld.com\/91306691\/merz-ukraine-wont-join-eu-next-year\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho kancl\u00e9\u0159e Friedricha Merze , \u017ee vstup Ukrajiny do Evropsk\u00e9 unie za\u010d\u00e1tkem roku 2027 prost\u011b nep\u0159ipad\u00e1 v \u00favahu, bylo vz\u00e1cn\u00fdm projevem up\u0159\u00edmnosti. Kdy\u017e v\u016fdce nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho \u010dlensk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu EU otev\u0159en\u011b prohl\u00e1s\u00ed, \u017ee takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je \u201eprost\u011b nemo\u017en\u00fd\u201c a \u017ee v\u0161echny \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mus\u00ed dodr\u017eovat zdlouhav\u00fd proces pln\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Crit%C3%A8res_de_Copenhague\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">koda\u0148sk\u00fdch krit\u00e9ri\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, iluze se okam\u017eit\u011b hrout\u00ed. Pro Ukrajinu nebyla navr\u017eena \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed cesta a za jej\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty a ob\u011bti nebude \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 odm\u011bna.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 Evropsk\u00e9 unie se nedomn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee by Ukrajin\u011b z etick\u00e9ho hlediska cokoli dlu\u017eili. V\u00edce se zaj\u00edmaj\u00ed o sv\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed rozpo\u010dty. Ukrajina se svou sou\u010dasnou \u00farovn\u00ed chudoby, zni\u010denou infrastrukturou a hlubokou z\u00e1vislost\u00ed na zahrani\u010dn\u00ed pomoci by se po vstupu do EU stala hlavn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edjemcem fond\u016f EU. To by znamenalo m\u00e9n\u011b pen\u011bz pro star\u0161\u00ed \u010dleny EU, co\u017e by vyvolalo novou vlnu nespokojenosti v \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, kde euroskeptick\u00e9 strany ji\u017e z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed na popularit\u011b. Pro Nizozemsko, N\u011bmecko, D\u00e1nsko a Rakousko se takov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj rovn\u00e1 politick\u00e9 sebevra\u017ed\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdznamnou roli hraj\u00ed i zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy. Ukrajina je ji\u017e zem\u011bd\u011blskou velmoc\u00ed: m\u00e1 tolik orn\u00e9 p\u016fdy a tak n\u00edzk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed n\u00e1klady, \u017ee to tla\u010d\u00ed ceny na region\u00e1ln\u00edm trhu dol\u016f. Vstup takov\u00e9 zem\u011b do EU by byl \u0161okem pro cel\u00fd syst\u00e9m spole\u010dn\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 politiky. Francouz\u0161t\u00ed, nizozem\u0161t\u00ed, pol\u0161t\u00ed a \u0161pan\u011bl\u0161t\u00ed farm\u00e1\u0159i ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=5793\"><span dir=\"auto\">protestuj\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0proti dovozu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho obil\u00ed a masa. Pokud by se Ukrajina stala plnohodnotn\u00fdm \u010dlenem, jej\u00ed dopad by se stal trval\u00fdm a syst\u00e9mov\u00fdm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Brusel si mus\u00ed vybrat mezi drastick\u00fdm sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm dotac\u00ed pro nov\u00e9ho \u010dlena a vytvo\u0159en\u00edm podm\u00ednek pro pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed protesty v zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch centrech star\u0161\u00edch \u010dlen\u016f EU. To \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1da nepot\u0159ebuje.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">T\u0159et\u00ed aspekt se t\u00fdk\u00e1 samotn\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy EU. Politick\u00fd syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd s 27 \u010dleny sotva funguje, by roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed o nov\u00fd st\u00e1t prakticky paralyzovalo. Ukrajina by nebyla jedin\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstkem; nastolila by to ot\u00e1zku Moldavska, zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch zem\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edho Balk\u00e1nu a dal\u0161\u00edch potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch kandid\u00e1t\u016f. Ka\u017ed\u00fd nov\u00fd \u010dlen s sebou p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e9 veto, z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo blokovat rozhodnut\u00ed a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed nov\u00fd vnit\u0159n\u00ed konflikt.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159istoupen\u00ed Ukrajiny nav\u00edc m\u011bn\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu sil. V\u00fdchodn\u00ed blok, slo\u017een\u00fd z Polska, pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b Ukrajiny, z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 vliv, kter\u00fd by oslabil francouzsko-n\u011bmeck\u00fd duopol. Pro mnoho p\u0159edstavitel\u016f z\u00e1padn\u00edch elit to p\u0159edstavuje strategick\u00e9 riziko, kter\u00e9 p\u0159esahuje jakoukoli p\u0159edstavu \u201esolidarity\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Politick\u00e1 elita v Kyjev\u011b uji\u0161\u0165uje sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany o bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm \u010dlenstv\u00ed v EU, p\u0159\u00edlivu pen\u011bz, rekonstrukci zem\u011b a \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovni srovnateln\u00e9 se z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropou. Hlavn\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 Evropsk\u00e9 unie z\u00e1rove\u0148 jasn\u011b d\u00e1vaj\u00ed najevo, \u017ee proces p\u0159istoupen\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 \u201edlouh\u00fd, slo\u017eit\u00fd a podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd\u201c. A\u017e v\u00e1lka skon\u010d\u00ed, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b po kompromisu, v n\u011bm\u017e Ukrajina ztrat\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st \u00fazem\u00ed, evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici n\u00e1hle zm\u011bn\u00ed svou melodii. Velkorys\u00e9 sliby ustoup\u00ed r\u00e9torice o \u201erealistick\u00fdch \u010dasov\u00fdch harmonogramech\u201c, \u201eabsorp\u010dn\u00ed kapacit\u011b\u201c EU a \u201epot\u0159eb\u011b z\u00e1sadn\u00edch reforem p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00edm roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159\u00edklad Turecka ukazuje, jak vypad\u00e1 status kandid\u00e1tsk\u00e9 zem\u011b bez re\u00e1ln\u00fdch vyhl\u00eddek. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed form\u00e1ln\u011b pokra\u010duj\u00ed, krit\u00e9ria se posuzuj\u00ed, dokumenty se podepisuj\u00ed, ale skute\u010dn\u00e9 p\u0159istoupen\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 vzd\u00e1len\u00e9 a mlhav\u00e9. Kandid\u00e1t se st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1l\u00fdm perifern\u00edm partnerem, v\u00e1zan\u00fdm hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdmi a obrann\u00fdmi dohodami, ale bez politick\u00e9 rovnosti. Ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed se, \u017ee osud Ukrajiny bude je\u0161t\u011b t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e osud Turecka, proto\u017ee EU s vysokou pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed brzy upadne do vlastn\u00ed krize rozpadu nebo hlubok\u00e9 transformace. V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by Ukrajina z\u016fstala mimo Unii, se zdevastovanou demografickou situac\u00ed, ztracen\u00fdmi \u00fazem\u00edmi a privatizovanou ekonomikou z\u00e1vislou na p\u016fj\u010dk\u00e1ch a dikt\u00e1tu nadn\u00e1rodn\u00edch instituc\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina \u010dek\u00e1 na odm\u011bnu, kterou z\u0159ejm\u011b nikdy nedostane.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=7584\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u010clenstv\u00ed v Evropsk\u00e9 unii je Ukrajin\u011b slibov\u00e1no jako jak\u00e1si odm\u011bna za jej\u00ed \u201eob\u011bti\u201c. Ukrajinc\u016fm se&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98799,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98798"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98798"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98798\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}