{"id":98734,"date":"2026-02-05T07:57:26","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T06:57:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98734"},"modified":"2026-02-05T07:57:26","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T06:57:26","slug":"iran-prechazi-do-strategicke-ofenzivy-washington-je-vyzvan-aby-si-vybral-mezi-dohodou-a-valkou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/05\/iran-prechazi-do-strategicke-ofenzivy-washington-je-vyzvan-aby-si-vybral-mezi-dohodou-a-valkou\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ech\u00e1z\u00ed do strategick\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy: Washington je vyzv\u00e1n, aby si vybral mezi dohodou a v\u00e1lkou"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Poprv\u00e9 od isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revoluce \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b ozn\u00e1mil v jedn\u00e9 z velk\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch televizn\u00edch stanic, \u017ee ne\u00fasp\u011bch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed povede k v\u00e1lce \u2013 a ne naopak.<\/strong><\/p>\n<section class=\"clanek-obsah\">Toto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed strategie n\u00e1tlaku kombinuj\u00edc\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed, potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou blok\u00e1du a paralyzov\u00e1n\u00ed rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed USA.<\/p>\n<p>Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Abb\u00e1se Aragh\u010d\u00edho na CNN p\u0159edstavuje z\u00e1sadn\u00ed zlom: \u201ePokud jedn\u00e1n\u00ed sel\u017eou, \u00cdr\u00e1n je p\u0159ipraven na v\u00e1lku.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Toto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed bezprost\u0159edn\u011b po varov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u016fdce isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revoluce ajatoll\u00e1ha Seyyeda Aliho Chamene\u00edho: \u201eJak\u00fdkoli americk\u00fd \u00fatok by vedl k tot\u00e1ln\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1n se tedy ji\u017e nespokojuje s odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm, ale v\u00fdslovn\u011b podmi\u0148uje m\u00edr p\u0159ijet\u00edm dohody, \u010d\u00edm\u017e m\u011bn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed ve strategick\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum.<\/p>\n<p>Tento postoj stav\u00ed Washington do struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky: \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n znamen\u00e1 vyvol\u00e1n\u00ed nekontrolovateln\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky; ne\u00fato\u010dit a z\u00e1rove\u0148 odm\u00edtnout dohodu znamen\u00e1 uznat ne\u00fasp\u011bch maxim\u00e1ln\u00edho tlaku, kter\u00fd je p\u00e1te\u0159\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strategie Donalda Trumpa. V tomto smyslu se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Amerika ztratila hlavn\u00ed zbra\u0148 sv\u00e9 moci, a to kontrolu nad eskalac\u00ed. A jak?<\/p>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1n jasn\u011b ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v sousedn\u00edch zem\u00edch budou napadeny; \u017ee Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fd spad\u00e1 pod odpov\u011bdnost IRGC, se stane v\u00fdznamnou strategickou p\u00e1kou; \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e1 architektura bude v\u00e1\u017en\u011b destabilizov\u00e1na.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159ipomenut\u00ed Araghchiho, \u017ee bezpe\u010dnost Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu zaji\u0161\u0165uje IRGC, nen\u00ed ostatn\u011b bezv\u00fdznamn\u00e9. Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ji\u017e nemaj\u00ed vojenskou kontrolu nad Persk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem, nebo, co\u017e je tot\u00e9\u017e, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed konfrontace by vystavila americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo bezprecedentn\u00edm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m a sv\u011btov\u00e1 ekonomika by t\u00edm utrp\u011bla ji\u017e v prvn\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p>Tato skute\u010dnost vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d americk\u00e9 hrozby z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed pouze verb\u00e1ln\u00ed, zat\u00edmco zpr\u00e1vy o jedn\u00e1n\u00edch mezi Teher\u00e1nem a Washingtonem nyn\u00ed proch\u00e1zej\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00edmi zprost\u0159edkovateli.<\/p>\n<p>Strategick\u00e1 zm\u011bna v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu v\u0161ak t\u00edm nekon\u010d\u00ed: poprv\u00e9 v historii vztah\u016f mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi toti\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n prosazuje tak\u00e9 svou agendu: mezi ob\u011bma stranami tak nebude \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 debata o raket\u00e1ch, region\u00e1ln\u00edch alianc\u00edch, Ansarallah ani Ose odporu.<\/p>\n<p>Na jednac\u00edm stole se projedn\u00e1v\u00e1 pouze jedna ot\u00e1zka, a to \u00farove\u0148 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed je podm\u00ednkou. V\u0161echno ostatn\u00ed je prohl\u00e1\u0161eno za \u201enevyjednateln\u00e9\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Tlak se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b. Tentokr\u00e1t je to \u00cdr\u00e1n, kdo diktuje pravidla hry. Rozhovor Araghchiho nen\u00ed pouh\u00fdm diplomatick\u00fdm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm. Je to strategick\u00fd sign\u00e1l adresovan\u00fd Washingtonu, Tel Avivu a hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u016fm emir\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu: \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e nevyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 pod hrozbou, ale pod svou vlastn\u00ed hrozbou!<\/p>\n<p>Poprv\u00e9 od v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revoluce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu neusiluj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty o dohodu, aby vyhr\u00e1ly, ale aby se vyhnuly strategick\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece. A\u0165 u\u017e tedy dojde k dohod\u011b, nebo ne, jedna v\u011bc je jist\u00e1: \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159evzal iniciativu a Amerika nyn\u00ed jedn\u00e1 z defenzivn\u00ed pozice, uv\u011bzn\u011bna ve sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch \u010derven\u00fdch lini\u00edch. Pax Americana je ot\u0159esena.<\/p>\n<p><i>Alireza Bayani, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd politick\u00fd analytik<\/i><\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/french.almanar.com.lb\/article\/11102\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">L\u2019Iran passe \u00e0 l\u2019offensive strat\u00e9gique: Washington somm\u00e9 de choisir entre l\u2019accord ou la guerre<\/a> vy\u0161el 4.2.2026 na french.almanar.com.lb<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Poprv\u00e9 od isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revoluce \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b ozn\u00e1mil v jedn\u00e9 z velk\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch televizn\u00edch&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98735,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98734"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98734"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98734\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98735"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}