{"id":98732,"date":"2026-02-05T07:55:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T06:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98732"},"modified":"2026-02-05T07:55:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T06:55:00","slug":"americka-ofenziva-skrti-kubu-neomonroismus-riskuje-ze-se-mu-doma-vymsti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/05\/americka-ofenziva-skrti-kubu-neomonroismus-riskuje-ze-se-mu-doma-vymsti\/","title":{"rendered":"Americk\u00e1 ofenziva \u0161krt\u00ed Kubu: neomonroismus riskuje, \u017ee se mu doma vymst\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zat\u00edmco Trump stup\u0148uje ekonomickou v\u00e1lku proti Kub\u011b, administrativa o\u017eivuje zn\u00e1mou logiku zm\u011bny re\u017eimu, kter\u00e1 je zako\u0159en\u011bna v tlaku a ekonomick\u00e9m \u0161krcen\u00ed. Historie u\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee takov\u00e9 strategie prohlubuj\u00ed utrpen\u00ed, ani\u017e by zaru\u010dovaly kolaps re\u017eimu. D\u016fsledky se mohou dotknout daleko za hranicemi Havany a zm\u011bnit vztahy s USA v cel\u00e9 Latinsk\u00e9 Americe a etnopolitick\u00e9 vztahy doma.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump pr\u00e1v\u011b eskaloval dlouhodobou ekonomickou v\u00e1lku Washingtonu proti Kub\u011b vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm \u201estavu\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1rodn\u00ed nouze<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c (\u00a0<\/span>dal\u0161\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0!), jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je uvalit sankce a\u00a0<\/span>cla<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na jakoukoli zemi, kter\u00e1 ostrovu dod\u00e1v\u00e1 ropu. Mexiko, potenci\u00e1ln\u011b nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dodavatel ropy pro Kubu po\u00a0<\/span>omezen\u00ed provozu Venezuely<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span>do\u010dasn\u011b pozastavilo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0dod\u00e1vky. C\u00edl je dostate\u010dn\u011b jasn\u00fd: dostat kub\u00e1nskou ekonomiku\u00a0<\/span>na okraj<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, vyvolat soci\u00e1ln\u00ed nepokoje a t\u00edm prosazovat zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 embargo existuje ji\u017e dlouho, ale nem\u011blo by se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 pouze o jeho zp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bn\u00ed; sp\u00ed\u0161e se\u00a0tentokr\u00e1t jedn\u00e1 o pokus o\u00a0<\/span>tot\u00e1ln\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>udu\u0161en\u00ed .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Havana reagovala p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b: prezident Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel\u00a0<\/span>odm\u00edtl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Trumpovy hrozby \u201euzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody, ne\u017e bude p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b\u201c a trval na tom, \u017ee \u201enikdo n\u00e1m ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1, co m\u00e1me d\u011blat\u201c, zat\u00edmco kub\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 varuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fapln\u00e9 zastaven\u00ed dod\u00e1vek paliva by m\u011blo katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed dopad na infrastrukturu a z\u00e1kladn\u00ed slu\u017eby. Odborn\u00edci varuj\u00ed, \u017ee by to znamenalo skute\u010dnou blok\u00e1du s obrovsk\u00fdmi humanit\u00e1rn\u00edmi d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato eskalace je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho vzorce Trumpova druh\u00e9ho prezidentstv\u00ed s jest\u0159\u00e1b\u00edm Marcem Rubiem na postu ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed: Od roku 2024<\/span><\/a>\u00a0to popisuji\u00a0jako\u00a0<\/span>neo-monroeismus<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Znamen\u00e1 to\u00a0<\/span>novou etapu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0washingtonsk\u00e9 doktr\u00edny kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, kter\u00e1 v sob\u011b m\u00eds\u00ed protiteroristickou r\u00e9toriku,\u00a0<\/span>narkopolitiku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a pru\u017en\u00e1 ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed projekce moci v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe a Karibiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Doposud se\u00a0na Kubu sm\u011b\u0159ovalo\u00a0<\/a><\/span>pos\u00edlen\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva v Karibiku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, sankce a hrozby,\u00a0ani\u017e by se objevily zn\u00e1mky pl\u00e1nu na invazi. Historie v\u0161ak ukazuje, \u017ee eskalaci \u010dasto p\u0159edch\u00e1z\u00ed zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed: vid\u011bli jsme to ned\u00e1vno ve Venezuele, kde\u00a0dosud nedo\u0161lo\u00a0k okupaci , ale k vojensk\u00e9\u00a0<\/a>invazi s c\u00edlem un\u00e9st<\/a>\u00a0prezidenta a k mo\u017en\u00e9 tajn\u00e9\u00a0p\u0159\u00edtomnosti\/infiltraci\u00a0CIA a speci\u00e1ln\u00edch jednotek.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Kuba se nach\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo v centru t\u00e9to dynamiky Nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Washingtonsk\u00e1 n\u00e1tlakov\u00e1 kampa\u0148 se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 na pozad\u00ed rostouc\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 a technologick\u00e9 anga\u017eovanosti v Karibiku, na co\u017e jsem upozornil\u00a0<\/span>ji\u017e v roce 2020.<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Americk\u00e1 dominance v Karibiku byla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u00fapln\u00e1 od roku 1898 a jak\u00e9koli naru\u0161en\u00ed tohoto statusu je ve Washingtonu vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako ne\u00fanosn\u00e9. Z pohledu Washingtonu je ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161krcen\u00ed Kuby tak\u00e9 sign\u00e1lem Pekingu, \u017ee Karibik z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 americk\u00fdm jezerem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je pravda, \u017ee Kuba je z dom\u00e1c\u00edho hlediska zraniteln\u00e1. Roky sankc\u00ed, umocn\u011bn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1tou venezuelsk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch dotac\u00ed a vnit\u0159n\u00edmi probl\u00e9my a selh\u00e1n\u00edmi, vedly k\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdpadk\u016fm proudu, inflaci, kolapsu cestovn\u00edho ruchu a masov\u00e9 emigraci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Ostrov je ji\u017e n\u011bjakou dobu v krizi a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee ekonomick\u00fd kolaps se prom\u00edtne do politick\u00e9ho kolapsu. Toto o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se v\u0161ak opakovan\u011b nenaplnilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Christopher Sabatini, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk z Chatham House,\u00a0<\/span>varuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Kuba nen\u00ed Venezuela. Re\u017eim je soudr\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slo\u017eky disciplinovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 solidn\u00ed organizovan\u00e1 politick\u00e1 opozice p\u0159ipraven\u00e1 zas\u00e1hnout (i ve Venezuele je st\u00e1le u moci bol\u00edvarovsk\u00fd re\u017eim). Pokus o \u00fanos ve stylu Madura by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b znamenal katastrofu. Omezen\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti infrastruktu\u0159e by m\u00e1lo znamenaly a c\u00edlen\u00ed na\u00a0civiln\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed propojen\u00e9 s\u00a0<\/span>\u010c\u00ednou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0by riskovalo p\u0159\u00edli\u0161nou provokaci Pekingu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu se zd\u00e1, \u017ee volbou Washingtonu je kolektivn\u00ed trest: omezit t\u011b\u017ebu ropy, omezit remitence, zp\u0159\u00edsnit finance a doufat, \u017ee vypuknou protesty (kritici by tuto logiku mohli ozna\u010dit za teroristickou). Pokud to bude fungovat, mohla by n\u00e1sledovat americk\u00e1 \u201epodpora\u201c maskovan\u00e1 jako humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed pomoc.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sahasranshu Dash (v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk ICAEPA\u00a0<\/span>)<\/span><\/a>\u00a0jde je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1l a\u00a0<\/span>tvrd\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Kuba je zp\u011bt na washingtonsk\u00e9 agend\u011b zm\u011bny re\u017eimu pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee Venezuela byla zjevn\u011b \u201eneutralizov\u00e1na\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Logika je zde kruhov\u00e1 a symbolick\u00e1: sankce prohlubuj\u00ed utrpen\u00ed, utrpen\u00ed \u017eene migraci a migrace je pak pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na jako d\u016fkaz \u201eselh\u00e1n\u00ed re\u017eimu\u201c, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se ospravedl\u0148uje dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace. Politiku pam\u011bti posiluj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bvlivn\u00e9 sektory kub\u00e1nsko-americk\u00e9 diaspory (\u00a0<\/span>t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 3 miliony<\/span><\/a>\u00a0lid\u00ed), kter\u00e1 zahrnuje i s\u00edt\u011b historicky propojen\u00e9 s\u00a0<\/span>americk\u00fdmi tajn\u00fdmi slu\u017ebami<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>organizovan\u00fdm zlo\u010dinem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, tzv.\u00a0<\/span>Miami Mafia<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. V\u00fdsledkem je sebeposiluj\u00edc\u00ed cyklus, kter\u00fd riskuje, \u017ee Kubu dotla\u010d\u00ed do naprost\u00e9ho kolapsu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z pohledu americk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu se v\u0161ak tato strategie m\u016f\u017ee obr\u00e1tit proti n\u011bmu doma. Navzdory ur\u010dit\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 kub\u00e1nsko-americk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e intervence<\/span><\/a>\u00a0riskuje Trump\u016fv neomonroismus, pokud se eskalace, \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed odcizen\u00ed Latinoameri\u010dan\u016f. Tato demografick\u00e1 skupina byla\u00a0<\/span>kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0pro jeho vlastn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v roce 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

V lednu 2025 jsem\u00a0<\/span>varoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Trump\u016fv agresivn\u00ed postoj v\u016f\u010di sousedn\u00edmu Mexiku by mohl m\u00edt dom\u00e1c\u00ed etnopolitick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky, v\u010detn\u011b protest\u016f a volebn\u00edch negativn\u00edch reakc\u00ed. V listopadu 2024 Trump z\u00edskal bezprecedentn\u00edch\u00a0<\/span>43 procent<\/span><\/a>\u00a0latinskoamerick\u00fdch hlas\u016f, co\u017e je \u010d\u00edslo, kter\u00e9 by\u00a0<\/span>nem\u011blo b\u00fdt br\u00e1no jako samoz\u0159ejmost<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Samotn\u00ed mexi\u010dt\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 tvo\u0159ili v roce 2022\u00a0<\/span>11,2 procenta<\/span><\/a>\u00a0populace USA a \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed hisp\u00e1nsk\u00e1 populace (kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edbuzn\u00e9 v zahrani\u010d\u00ed) m\u016f\u017ee washingtonsk\u00e9 kroky na Kub\u011b, ve Venezuele, Kolumbii a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch vn\u00edmat sp\u00ed\u0161e jako vzorec nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Latinsk\u00e9 Americe ne\u017e jako ojedin\u011bl\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpady.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee protesty a\u00a0<\/span>gener\u00e1ln\u00ed st\u00e1vka<\/span><\/a>\u00a0proti zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed ICE ji\u017e propukaj\u00ed,\u00a0<\/span>ekonomick\u00e9 obavy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0rostou a administrativu pron\u00e1sleduj\u00ed\u00a0skand\u00e1ly, jako je hr\u016fzn\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>af\u00e9ra s Epsteinov\u00fdmi spisy , riskuje otev\u0159en\u011b agresivn\u00ed politika v\u016f\u010di Latinsk\u00e9 Americe\u00a0<\/span><\/a>prohlouben\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed polarizace<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ipo\u010dt\u011bte k tomu Trumpovy\u00a0<\/span>hrozby v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>Gr\u00f3nsku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a dal\u0161\u00edm zem\u00edm a rozpor s izolacionismem \u201eAmerika na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b\u201c slibovan\u00fdm MAGA se st\u00e1v\u00e1 t\u011b\u017eko ignorovateln\u00fdm. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, tento p\u0159\u00edstup se m\u016f\u017ee uk\u00e1zat jako sebezni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed: v zahrani\u010d\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u011b agresivn\u00ed a doma dostate\u010dn\u011b destabilizuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abychom to shrnuli, Washington se ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e \u0161est desetilet\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed svrhnout kub\u00e1nsk\u00fd socialistick\u00fd syst\u00e9m. Poka\u017ed\u00e9 selhal. Neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1ruka, \u017ee ropn\u00e9 \u0161krcen\u00ed a celn\u00ed v\u00e1lka usp\u011bj\u00ed tam, kde invaze, sabot\u00e1\u017ee a tajn\u00e9 operace neusp\u011bj\u00ed. Co ale s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed op\u011bt vyvolaj\u00ed, je humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed utrpen\u00ed,\u00a0<\/span>migra\u010dn\u00ed toky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a geopolitick\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u00ed pro washingtonsk\u00e9 rivaly.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdyby kub\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim nakonec padl, skute\u010dnou ot\u00e1zkou by m\u011blo b\u00fdt, zda jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ipraveny na d\u016fsledky pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v t\u00e9to akci na Kub\u011b a jinde v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe, se v\u0161emi potenci\u00e1ln\u011b spojen\u00fdmi lidsk\u00fdmi ob\u011b\u0165mi (zejm\u00e9na pokud budou pou\u017eity vojensk\u00e9 prost\u0159edky).\u00a0Koneckonc\u016f, samotn\u00e9 USA jsou\u00a0<\/span>st\u00e1le v\u00edce<\/span><\/a>\u00a0latinskoamerickou\u00a0<\/span>zem\u00ed .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zat\u00edmco Trump stup\u0148uje ekonomickou v\u00e1lku proti Kub\u011b, administrativa o\u017eivuje zn\u00e1mou logiku zm\u011bny re\u017eimu, kter\u00e1 je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98733,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,346,135,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98732"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98732"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98732\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98733"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}