{"id":98528,"date":"2026-02-03T06:16:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T05:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98528"},"modified":"2026-02-03T06:16:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T05:16:00","slug":"andrew-korybko-jak-zareaguji-klicove-zeme-na-pokus-usa-o-obnoveni-unipolarity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/03\/andrew-korybko-jak-zareaguji-klicove-zeme-na-pokus-usa-o-obnoveni-unipolarity\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Jak zareaguj\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 zem\u011b na pokus USA o obnoven\u00ed unipolarity?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Obnoven\u00ed unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed politiky USA riskuje rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, pokud nezv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed rozum.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e9 strategie\u00a0<\/a><\/span>n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a obrany\u00a0<\/span>USA\u00a0, kter\u00e9 souhrnn\u011b formuluj\u00ed \u201e\u00a0Trumpovu doktr\u00ednu\u00a0<\/a>\u201c, jasn\u011b ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm strategick\u00fdm c\u00edlem USA je obnovit jejich dominantn\u00ed postaven\u00ed (unipolaritu) ve sv\u011bt\u011b. Na rozd\u00edl od kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed \u00e9ry, kter\u00e1 n\u00e1sledovala po skon\u010den\u00ed star\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, se tentokr\u00e1t USA v\u00fdslovn\u011b zdr\u00e1haj\u00ed zapl\u00e9st se do z\u00e1mo\u0159sk\u00fdch konflikt\u016f, kter\u00e9 by mohly v\u00e9st k jejich p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00ed, a nyn\u00ed se tak\u00e9 budou v\u00edce spol\u00e9hat na sv\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed partnery, kte\u0159\u00ed sd\u00edlej\u00ed b\u0159emeno prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed jejich spole\u010dn\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna, Rusko, \u00cdr\u00e1n a Severn\u00ed Korea jsou ozna\u010deny za protivn\u00edky USA, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e prvn\u00ed z nich je v N\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrann\u00e9 strategii ozna\u010den za \u201enejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1t v na\u0161em porovn\u00e1n\u00ed od 19. stolet\u00ed\u201c a ka\u017ed\u00e1 z nich se nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed rozhodnout, zda USA vyzvat, vyv\u00e1\u017eit je, nebo se k nim p\u0159idat. V men\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed i pro rostouc\u00ed mocnosti, jako je Indie, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed s USA\u00a0<\/span>komplikovan\u00e9 vztahy\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. V opa\u010dn\u00e9m po\u0159ad\u00ed Indie USA nikdy nevyzvat nebude, ale pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude vyva\u017eovat a p\u0159idat se.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vyva\u017eovac\u00ed aspekt se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na Rusko, aby preventivn\u011b odvr\u00e1tilo potenci\u00e1ln\u011b nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159enou ekonomickou a vojensko-technickou z\u00e1vislost na USA, kter\u00e1 by mohla b\u00fdt zneu\u017eita k donucovac\u00edm \u00fa\u010del\u016fm. Pokud jde o aspekt \u201erozjet\u00e9ho vlaku\u201c, t\u00fdk\u00e1 se to up\u0159\u00edmn\u00e9ho z\u00e1jmu Indie dodr\u017eovat svou\u00a0<\/span>novou obchodn\u00ed dohodu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>s USA a dos\u00e1hnout s nimi i v\u00edce obrann\u00fdch dohod, i kdy\u017e pod podm\u00ednkou, \u017ee prvn\u00ed z nich USA nevyu\u017eije k zaplaven\u00ed sv\u00e9ho trhu a druh\u00e1 nevy\u017eaduje rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00fdch vojsk na jej\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Naproti tomu Severn\u00ed Korea se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nikdy nep\u0159id\u00e1 k USA, m\u00edsto toho rad\u011bji vyva\u017euje USA triangulac\u00ed mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Ruskem (aby se vyhnula nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti na kter\u00e9mkoli z nich), zat\u00edmco je ob\u010das zpochyb\u0148uje vojensk\u00fdmi testy v reakci na region\u00e1ln\u00ed kroky USA. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b i nad\u00e1le uplat\u0148ovat v\u0161echny t\u0159i politiky: zpochyb\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed USA v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, jejich vyva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed triangulac\u00ed mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Ruskem a vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 dohody, aby se s nimi jednoho dne p\u0159idala.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko usiluje o tot\u00e9\u017e za Trumpa 2.0: jeho\u00a0<\/span>rozvoj strategick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>zpochyb\u0148uje obnoven\u00ed unipolarity USA; triangulace mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Indi\u00ed (aby se zabr\u00e1nilo nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti na kter\u00e9koli z nich) vyva\u017euje USA; a prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se sna\u017e\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout s n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>dohody\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. \u010c\u00edna nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimkou: jej\u00ed vlastn\u00ed budov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly tak\u00e9 zpochyb\u0148uje obnoven\u00ed unipolarity; jej\u00ed partne\u0159i v iniciativ\u011b BRI j\u00ed pom\u00e1haj\u00ed vyva\u017eovat USA; a prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed obchodn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se tak\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout dohody s n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z velkostrategick\u00e9ho hlediska USA, vzhledem k tomu, jak vn\u00edm\u00e1 \u010c\u00ednu jako \u201enejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1t v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s n\u00e1mi od 19. stolet\u00ed\u201c, se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee nab\u00eddnou Indii\u00a0<\/span>a Rusku srovnateln\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed partnersk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, aby je motivovaly k relativn\u00edmu distancov\u00e1n\u00ed od \u010c\u00edny. \u00cdr\u00e1n bude\u00a0<\/span>tak \u010di onak pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, aby USA mohly kontrolovat toky zdroj\u016f do \u010c\u00edny, Severn\u00ed Korea z\u016fstane pod kontrolou a \u010c\u00edna bude donucena k jednostrann\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohod\u011b za to, \u017ee naru\u0161ila trajektorii sv\u00e9 supervelmoci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u201enejl\u00e9pe promy\u0161len\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny my\u0161\u00ed a lid\u00ed se \u010dasto zvrtnou\u201c, tak\u017ee v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt pln\u011b realizov\u00e1n. Ve skute\u010dnosti by se mohl obr\u00e1tit proti nim, pokud by \u010c\u00edna m\u011bla pocit, \u017ee je tla\u010dena do dilematu s nulov\u00fdm sou\u010dtem, podobn\u00e9ho c\u00edsa\u0159sk\u00e9mu Japonsku z roku 1941, a to pod\u0159\u00eddit se USA nebo zah\u00e1jit v\u00e1lku ze zoufal\u00e9 snahy odvr\u00e1tit nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, co\u017e je p\u0159esn\u011b to, \u010demu se USA cht\u011bj\u00ed vyhnout. Obnoven\u00ed unipolarity USA proto riskuje rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, pokud nezv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed rozum.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Obnoven\u00ed unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed politiky USA riskuje rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, pokud nezv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed rozum. Nov\u00e9 strategie\u00a0n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti\u00a0a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98529,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2181,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98528"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98528\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}