{"id":98266,"date":"2026-01-31T00:28:44","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T23:28:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98266"},"modified":"2026-01-30T12:47:27","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T11:47:27","slug":"philippe-rosenthal-tri-hlavni-problemy-brani-mirove-dohode-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/31\/philippe-rosenthal-tri-hlavni-problemy-brani-mirove-dohode-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Philippe Rosenthal: T\u0159i hlavn\u00ed probl\u00e9my br\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohod\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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M\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou je na spadnut\u00ed, nepo\u010d\u00edtaje v\u0161echny d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 body, ale v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohod\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed probl\u00e9my.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201eM\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou\u00a0<\/span>se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt na spadnut\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, s v\u00fdjimkou v\u0161ech podstatn\u00fdch bod\u016f,\u201c informuje\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Politico<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a dod\u00e1v\u00e1: \u201eP\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00ed t\u0159i body neshody, kter\u00e9 st\u00e1le br\u00e1n\u00ed uzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky.\u201c Jak\u00a0 p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>France24<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, \u201eRusko, Ukrajina a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se minul\u00fd p\u00e1tek setkaly na\u00a0<\/span>t\u0159\u00edstrann\u00e9 sch\u016fzce<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se zam\u011b\u0159ila na parametry pro ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, uvedl hlavn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd vyjednava\u010d Rustem Umerov. Kyjev uvedl, \u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi vyjednava\u010di jsou napl\u00e1nov\u00e1na na minulou sobotu.\u201c O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se nenaplnila a vyjednava\u010di z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed ve slep\u00e9 uli\u010dce: nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zky, kter\u00e9 jsou j\u00e1drem konfliktu, z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed sporn\u00fdm bodem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Patov\u00e1 situace. Nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zky, kter\u00e9 jsou j\u00e1drem konfliktu, z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed sporn\u00fdm bodem.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Politico<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00ed: \u201eMoskva a Kyjev se z rozhovor\u016f ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech (SAE) dostaly do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky kv\u016fli t\u0159em z\u00e1kladn\u00edm bod\u016fm neshody: rusk\u00e9mu n\u00e1roku na ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, budoucnosti bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk Ukrajiny a tomu, zda by boje m\u011bly p\u0159estat p\u0159ed dosa\u017een\u00edm dohody, nebo po n\u00ed.\u201c Tyto t\u0159i body se t\u00fdkaj\u00ed: \u00fazem\u00ed, bezpe\u010dnosti a p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka \u00fazem\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. \u201eA\u010dkoli Rusko ji\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee rozumn\u011b doufat, \u017ee v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti obsad\u00ed celou Ukrajinu, rusk\u00fd prezident si st\u00e1le klade za c\u00edl z\u00edskat p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm cel\u00fd Donbas a nav\u00edc ji\u017e anektovan\u00fd Krymsk\u00fd poloostrov,\u201c\u00a0 pokra\u010duje\u00a0<\/span>Politico<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva tak\u00e9 navrhuje, jak uvedl anglicky psan\u00fd politick\u00fd \u010dasopis, r\u00e1mec, kter\u00fd naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201eAnchorage Formula\u201c, podle kter\u00e9ho by Ukrajina postoupila cel\u00fd Donbas, v\u010detn\u011b oblast\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se Rusku dosud nepoda\u0159ilo dob\u00fdt. Kreml tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee se na tom Putin a Trump dohodli b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho setk\u00e1n\u00ed na Alja\u0161ce v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Kyjev by v\u0161ak postoupen\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed bylo nez\u00e1konn\u00e9 a extr\u00e9mn\u011b nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed. Zelenskyj nazna\u010dil, \u017ee je ochoten zv\u00e1\u017eit sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, v n\u011bm\u017e by oblast byla demilitarizov\u00e1na a ozna\u010dena za \u201esvobodnou ekonomickou z\u00f3nu\u201c, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e by ofici\u00e1ln\u011b z\u016fstala sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Ukrajiny. Moskva dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee to nesta\u010d\u00ed. Kreml zopakoval sv\u016fj postoj, \u017ee \u201edlouhodob\u00e9 urovn\u00e1n\u00ed nelze doufat bez vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed ot\u00e1zky\u201c, a znovu trval na tom, \u017ee pokrok v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch z\u00e1vis\u00ed na tom, zda Moskva z\u00edsk\u00e1 cel\u00fd Donbas.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve st\u0159edu americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Marco Rubio uznal\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>patovou situaci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ohledn\u011b Donbasu. \u201eJe to velk\u00e1 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eka,\u201c \u0159ekl sen\u00e1tn\u00edmu v\u00fdboru pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy. \u201eSt\u00e1le tu existuje mezera, ale alespo\u0148 se n\u00e1m poda\u0159ilo debatu znovu zam\u011b\u0159it na \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed ot\u00e1zku a jej\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9,\u201c varoval. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eDal\u0161\u00edm sporn\u00fdm bodem je spr\u00e1va Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny, nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v Evrop\u011b, kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1z\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e frontov\u00e9 linie a je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b pod ruskou kontrolou,\u201c pokra\u010duje Politico. Zelenskyj chce, aby jadernou elektr\u00e1rnu spole\u010dn\u011b kontrolovaly Ukrajina a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, zat\u00edmco Moskva chce b\u00fdt stranou jak\u00e9koli dohody a m\u00edsto toho navrhuje sd\u00edlet kontrolu nad elektr\u00e1rnou s Washingtonem, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b s Kyjevem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Pak je tu ot\u00e1zka takzvan\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk. Francie, Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed a N\u011bmecko v podstat\u011b slibuj\u00ed podporu Ukrajin\u011b, pokud by Rusko zah\u00e1jilo dal\u0161\u00ed pokus o rozs\u00e1hlou invazi. Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed a Francie se dohodly na nasazen\u00ed vojsk na Ukrajinu, jakmile bude dosa\u017eeno dohody. Witkoff, americk\u00fd zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanec, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed pl\u00e1n pochv\u00e1lil a ozna\u010dil jej za \u201eextr\u00e9mn\u011b robustn\u00ed\u201c. Z\u016fstal v\u0161ak v\u00e1gn\u00ed ohledn\u011b rozsahu z\u00e1vazku USA br\u00e1nit Ukrajinu. Podle\u00a0 \u010dl\u00e1nku\u00a0<\/span>Financial Times\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9ho v \u00fater\u00fd Trumpova administrativa\u00a0<\/span>podm\u00ednila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm Donbasu ze strany Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eDvacetibodov\u00fd pl\u00e1n navr\u017een\u00fd Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 vstup Ukrajiny do EU v roce 2027. \u010clenstv\u00ed v EU implikuje povinnost poskytovat si vz\u00e1jemnou pomoc v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b invaze. EU zah\u00e1jila s Ukrajinou jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o jej\u00edm vstupu, ale dosud nestanovila datum,\u201c\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>upozor\u0148uje Politico a<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1: \u201eMoskva ze sv\u00e9 strany trvala na tom, \u017ee neakceptuje p\u0159\u00edtomnost vojsk NATO na Ukrajin\u011b. M\u00edsto toho po\u017eadovala vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Za zm\u00ednku stoj\u00ed, \u017ee Moskva od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku odm\u00edtala p\u0159\u00edtomnost vojsk NATO na Ukrajin\u011b, co\u017e byl jeden z d\u016fvod\u016f tohoto konfliktu. Spojenci Kyjeva v tomto postoji setrv\u00e1vaj\u00ed, proto\u017ee si jsou dob\u0159e v\u011bdomi toho, \u017ee provokuj\u00ed Rusko a t\u00edm ma\u0159\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKreml \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee se bude c\u00edtit bezpe\u010dn\u011b, pouze kdy\u017e bude ot\u00e1zka \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v NATO definitivn\u011b sta\u017eena ze stolu, a\u017e bude ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da omezena na 600 000 mu\u017e\u016f (z p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 800 000 v sou\u010dasnosti a oproti tomu, co Kyjev a Francie podporuj\u00ed po m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohod\u011b) a a\u017e bude m\u00edt Moskva efektivn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo veta na jak\u00e9koli budouc\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se obrany Ukrajiny,\u201c\u00a0 r\u00e1d zd\u016fraz\u0148uje\u00a0<\/span>Politico<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Kyjev a jeho spojenci, v\u010detn\u011b Macronovy Francie, po\u017eaduj\u00ed okam\u017eit\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed: p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Moskva trv\u00e1 na nutnosti dohody p\u0159ed zv\u00e1\u017een\u00edm p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed boj\u016f, co\u017e je logick\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eDo uzav\u0159en\u00ed takov\u00e9 dohody bude Rusko i nad\u00e1le ne\u00fanavn\u011b sledovat c\u00edle speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace,\u201c \u0159ekl po Witkoffov\u011b n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b Moskvy Putin\u016fv poradce U\u0161akov, \u010d\u00edm\u017e zopakoval eufemismus Kremlu pro v\u00e1lku,\u00a0 informuje\u00a0<\/span>Politico\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a dodal, \u017ee \u201eanalytici poukazuj\u00ed na z\u00e1sadn\u00ed rozd\u00edl mezi ob\u011bma v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00edmi stranami: zat\u00edmco Ukrajina je ochotna ke kompromisu, Rusko s n\u00ed jednodu\u0161e souhlas\u00ed a z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u011brn\u00e9 sv\u00e9mu p\u016fvodn\u00edmu c\u00edli, kter\u00fdm je podmanit si Ukrajinu.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k chov\u00e1n\u00ed Francie a spojenc\u016f Ukrajiny jsou \u010diny Moskvy pochopiteln\u00e9. Mus\u00ed b\u00fdt nastolen trval\u00fd m\u00edr, nikoli pouh\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 umo\u017e\u0148uje doutnat a znovu se rozho\u0159et uhl\u00edky. Francie pod Macronem by m\u011bla zm\u011bnit sv\u016fj postoj a uv\u011bdomit si, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 pozice je nejbezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro ukon\u010den\u00ed boj\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b, zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee Macron byl o postoji Moskvy od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku dob\u0159e informov\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace je do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry v patov\u00e9 situaci kv\u016fli chov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho prezidenta. \u201eZelenskij se chce zapsat do historie jako prezident, kter\u00fd zachr\u00e1nil Ukrajinu,\u201c \u201ene jako ten, kdo prohr\u00e1l v\u00e1lku,\u201c\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Politico.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Philippe Rosenthal<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou je na spadnut\u00ed, nepo\u010d\u00edtaje v\u0161echny d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 body, ale v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98267,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,565,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98266"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98266\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98267"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}