{"id":98224,"date":"2026-01-31T00:12:46","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T23:12:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98224"},"modified":"2026-01-30T11:19:59","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T10:19:59","slug":"martin-jay-po-gronskem-triku-nasleduje-hra-s-iranem-trump-se-ocita-v-dilematu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/31\/martin-jay-po-gronskem-triku-nasleduje-hra-s-iranem-trump-se-ocita-v-dilematu\/","title":{"rendered":"Martin Jay: Po gr\u00f3nsk\u00e9m triku n\u00e1sleduje hra s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Trump se ocit\u00e1 v dilematu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Trump je mo\u017en\u00e1 bl\u00e1zen \u2013 a poprv\u00e9 v historii pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b tyto term\u00edny i \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici. Ale nen\u00ed hloup\u00fd.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump\u016fv ned\u00e1vn\u00fd \u00fastup v ot\u00e1zce Gr\u00f3nska je zaj\u00edmav\u00fd v tom smyslu, \u017ee to byl nerv\u00f3zn\u00ed trh s dluhopisy a jeho vlastn\u00ed slab\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky v pr\u016fzkumech ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, kter\u00e9 mu zabr\u00e1nily prosadit nejban\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed krok americk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky, jak\u00fd kdy \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed prezident za posledn\u00ed stolet\u00ed provedl. Evropan\u00e9 r\u00e1di v\u011b\u0159ili, \u017ee to byl jejich odpor \u2013 n\u011bkolik zem\u00ed dokonce vyslalo vojensk\u00e9 kontingenty \u2013 aby demonstrovali n\u011bco, co si Trump \u00fadajn\u011b nedok\u00e1zal p\u0159edstavit: \u017ee a\u010dkoli byl p\u0159ipraven zni\u010dit NATO pro sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed politick\u00fd prosp\u011bch, nikdo neo\u010dek\u00e1val, \u017ee st\u00e1ty EU ud\u011blaj\u00ed tot\u00e9\u017e, jen aby se postavily \u201e\u0161\u00edlen\u00e9mu Donaldovi\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zahnat se do kouta a pak se s pomoc\u00ed kou\u0159ov\u00fdch clon a davosk\u00e9ho tiskov\u00e9ho cirkusu elegantn\u011b vymanit z rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by skon\u010dilo katastrof\u00e1ln\u011b a d\u00e1le by ho izolovalo od sv\u011btov\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f, by se dalo jist\u011b popsat jako geni\u00e1ln\u00ed tah. Vyhnul se kulce \u2013 z vlastn\u00ed zbran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale \u00cdr\u00e1n je n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee dv\u011b americk\u00e9 letadlov\u00e9 lod\u011b nyn\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed k Persk\u00e9mu z\u00e1livu (nebo alespo\u0148 t\u00edmto obecn\u00fdm sm\u011brem), sotva kdo v\u00ed, jak\u00fd bude Trump\u016fv dal\u0161\u00ed krok \u2013 z prost\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu, \u017ee to nev\u00ed ani Trump. Zku\u0161en\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i jako Alastair Crooke spr\u00e1vn\u011b poukazuj\u00ed na to, \u017ee Trump usiluje o \u010dist\u00fd a rychl\u00fd \u00fader, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee pova\u017eovat za v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Realisticky to v\u0161ak bude obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9. Teher\u00e1n ji\u017e prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli \u00fatok povede k tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce. U\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 omezen\u00e9 reakce.<\/span><\/p>\n

S bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edmi se volbami do poloviny volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed Trump opravdu nepot\u0159ebuje v\u00e1lku na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, kter\u00e1 by dom\u016f p\u0159inesla americk\u00e9 pytle na mrtvoly. To by s velkou pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed vedlo k tomu, \u017ee by jeho strana prohr\u00e1la ob\u011b komory parlamentu, co\u017e by p\u0159ipravilo cestu k pr\u00e1vn\u00edm spor\u016fm. I kdy\u017e se ho ty druh\u00e9 osobn\u011b nemus\u00ed t\u00fdkat, stoj\u00ed za zm\u00ednku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka zn\u00ed: Jak se mu poda\u0159\u00ed vyvl\u00e9knout z masivn\u00ed konfrontace s \u00cdr\u00e1nci a z\u00e1rove\u0148 klamat, \u017ee vy\u0161el s plnou vervou, vyhro\u017eoval teher\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu veden\u00ed \u2013 a \u017ee se podvolilo? Odpov\u011b\u010f zn\u00ed: s obrovsk\u00fdm mno\u017estv\u00edm fale\u0161n\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v, kter\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia ochotn\u011b poskytnou. Jakmile se \u201earm\u00e1da\u201c p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed k Persk\u00e9mu z\u00e1livu, na\u0161e televizn\u00ed obrazovky se zapln\u00ed z\u00e1b\u011bry st\u00edha\u010dek \u0159\u00edt\u00edc\u00edch se po ranvej\u00edch a stoupaj\u00edc\u00edch k nebi \u2013 doprov\u00e1zen\u00e9, jak se d\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1vat, videoz\u00e1znamy CIA\/Mossadu, kter\u00e9 zobrazuj\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n na pokraji kolapsu a re\u017eim jako rozpadaj\u00edc\u00ed se.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina z toho pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude pravda. Trump vede americkou arm\u00e1du proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a zasad\u00ed posledn\u00ed r\u00e1nu fale\u0161n\u00fdm zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m. I kdy\u017e velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st aktivit Mossadu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu byla nyn\u00ed odhalena \u2013 zadr\u017een\u00ed demonstranti a v\u0161echna jejich za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed Starlink jsou nyn\u00ed v rukou \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f \u2013 Trump m\u00e1 v \u00cdr\u00e1nu st\u00e1le ur\u010ditou politickou volnost. \u00cdr\u00e1nci a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 dob\u0159e v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee kr\u00e1\u010dej\u00ed po lan\u011b: Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b necht\u011bj\u00ed podporovat Izrael a USA hlasit\u00fdm vol\u00e1n\u00ed po zm\u011bn\u011b; na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed nov\u00e9 veden\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nicm\u00e9n\u011b udr\u017e\u00ed tyto nep\u0159\u00e1tele daleko od jejich b\u0159eh\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Levicov\u00fd koment\u00e1tor a ekonom Yanis Varoufakis ned\u00e1vno napsal:<\/span>
\n\u201e\u2026vzd\u011blan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a\/nebo p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161liv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed lid\u00e9 se ob\u00e1vali toho, co by mohlo p\u0159ij\u00edt: ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, masivn\u00ed destabilizace, kter\u00e1 by podkopala z\u00e1kladn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost spole\u010dnosti. Doslova nikdo, s k\u00fdm jsem mluvil, re\u017eim neobhajoval. Ob\u00e1vali se v\u0161ak, \u017ee vzhledem k sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu vnitropolitick\u00e9mu kontextu nedostatku \u017eivotaschopn\u00e9 opozice a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu kontextu zlov\u011bstn\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch sil existuje jen mal\u00e1 nad\u011bje na m\u00edrov\u00fd p\u0159echod k lep\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1d\u011b. Sd\u00edl\u00edm tento strach. V\u011bci by se mohly je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161it a mnoz\u00ed jsou tak reflexivn\u011b proti re\u017eimu, \u017ee si neuv\u011bdomuj\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e1 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed a omezen\u00ed t\u00e9to chv\u00edle.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump by klidn\u011b mohl hr\u00e1t obrovsk\u00fd blaf, kdy\u017e p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eil letadlov\u00e9 lod\u011b. R\u00e1d \u2013 jak \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed voj\u00e1ci SAS \u2013 \u201estr\u010d\u00ed ocas na st\u016fl\u201c, ale je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se skute\u010dn\u011b zapojil do konfrontace s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. S postupem \u010dasu je st\u00e1le jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee kampa\u0148 z 12. \u010dervna byla pro Izrael a USA je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm selh\u00e1n\u00edm, ne\u017e se d\u0159\u00edve myslelo. Bomby svr\u017een\u00e9 na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 podzemn\u00ed jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nebyly ani takzvan\u00fdmi \u201ebunker busters\u201c a nemohly proniknout do jeskyn\u00ed, kde byl ulo\u017een materi\u00e1l \u2013 materi\u00e1l, kter\u00fd byl stejn\u011b p\u0159em\u00edst\u011bn o n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejpodivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed na bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed bylo, \u017ee Trump v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee nebude m\u00edt v\u016fbec \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdznam \u2013 a pr\u00e1v\u011b proto to pro n\u011bj byl perfektn\u00ed tah. Je to mu\u017e, kter\u00fd se vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 konflikt\u016fm a \u2013 podobn\u011b jako jeho otec, kter\u00fd se vyh\u00fdbal vojensk\u00e9 slu\u017eb\u011b \u2013 jeho odporn\u00e9 pozn\u00e1mky o britsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1c\u00edch, kte\u0159\u00ed nebojuj\u00ed na frontov\u00e9 linii v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, jsou obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b odporn\u00e9. B\u011bhem jeho prvn\u00edho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nci sest\u0159elili americk\u00fd dron a on kr\u00e1tce zva\u017eoval \u00fatok na vojensk\u00fd c\u00edl. Kdy\u017e v\u0161ak veden\u00ed Pentagonu nast\u00ednilo d\u016fsledky, rychle od toho ustoupil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump je mo\u017en\u00e1 bl\u00e1zen \u2013 a poprv\u00e9 v historii vysoce postaven\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b tento term\u00edn. Nen\u00ed ale hloup\u00fd a neud\u011bl\u00e1 nic, co by mohlo \u00cdr\u00e1n vyprovokovat k \u00fatoku na Izrael a st\u00e1ty Rady pro spolupr\u00e1ci arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu (GCC) nebo k blokov\u00e1n\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu na n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. To by m\u011blo tak masivn\u00ed dopad na ceny ropy, \u017ee by to d\u00e1le destabilizovalo trhy s dluhopisy \u2013 co\u017e je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd si nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit. USA a Izrael ji\u017e v \u00cdr\u00e1nu utrp\u011bly velkou por\u00e1\u017eku; jejich \u0161pion\u00e1\u017en\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165 byla odhalena. Vysl\u00e1n\u00ed letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed je z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti trik na z\u00e1chranu tv\u00e1\u0159e a mo\u017en\u00e1 i pokus p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Netanjahua, \u017ee Amerika stoj\u00ed za n\u00edm a jeho \u0161\u00edlen\u00fdm n\u00e1padem na \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Ve skute\u010dnosti v\u0161ak Trump nen\u00ed p\u0159ipraven p\u0159ijmout ani jedin\u00fd pytel s mrtvolami.<\/span><\/p>\n

A \u00cdr\u00e1nci to v\u011bd\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump je mo\u017en\u00e1 bl\u00e1zen \u2013 a poprv\u00e9 v historii pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b tyto term\u00edny i \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98225,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1503,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98224"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98224"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98224\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}