{"id":98165,"date":"2026-01-30T00:30:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T23:30:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98165"},"modified":"2026-01-29T14:15:50","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T13:15:50","slug":"rad-zalozeny-na-pravidlech-ktery-kdysi-omezoval-ambice-velmoci-se-ukazal-jako-iluze","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/30\/rad-zalozeny-na-pravidlech-ktery-kdysi-omezoval-ambice-velmoci-se-ukazal-jako-iluze\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0158\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech, kter\u00fd kdysi omezoval ambice velmoc\u00ed, se uk\u00e1zal jako iluze"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud si z tohoto t\u00fddne m\u016f\u017eeme vz\u00edt jedno ponau\u010den\u00ed, pak je to, \u017ee \u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech, kter\u00fd kdysi omezoval ambice velmoc\u00ed, se uk\u00e1zal jako iluzorn\u00ed. V Davosu to Kana\u010fan Mark Carney vyj\u00e1d\u0159il s pozoruhodnou jasnost\u00ed. Sv\u011bt, tvrdil, nepro\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 transformaci, ale roztr\u017eku. Stal se drsn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm m\u00edstem, kde siln\u00ed testuj\u00ed hranice a od slab\u00fdch se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee se p\u0159izp\u016fsob\u00ed. V takov\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed by m\u011bly st\u0159edn\u00ed mocnosti p\u0159estat \u201e\u017e\u00edt ve l\u017ei\u201c a podniknout kroky sm\u011brem ke strategick\u00e9 autonomii a diverzifikovan\u00fdm z\u00e1vislostem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch 24 hodin poskytlo u\u010debnicov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad toho, jak tento nov\u00fd sv\u011bt funguje \u2013 nebo nefunguje. Prezident Donald Trump n\u00e1hle ustoupil od sv\u00e9ho celn\u00edho blockbustu proti osmi evropsk\u00fdm spojenc\u016fm. Diskuse o n\u00e1siln\u00e9m vynucov\u00e1n\u00ed gr\u00f3nsk\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky byly rychle opu\u0161t\u011bny po setk\u00e1n\u00ed s gener\u00e1ln\u00edm tajemn\u00edkem NATO Markem Ruttem, kter\u00e9 vedlo k \u201er\u00e1mci pro budouc\u00ed dohodu\u201c. Trhy nalezly ve \u010dtvrtek podporu po ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch z po\u010d\u00e1tku t\u00fddne, a to v n\u00e1vaznosti na zn\u00e1m\u00fd vzorec TACO s rychl\u00fdm o\u017eiven\u00edm rizikov\u00fdch aktiv. Americk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluhopisy se stabilizovaly, zat\u00edmco dolar oslaboval, a zanech\u00e1valy p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed podt\u00f3n \u201eprodejte Ameriku\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Detaily jsou st\u00e1le vz\u00e1cn\u00e9, ale objevuj\u00ed se dv\u011b hlavn\u00ed t\u00e9mata:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0se zd\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1 mise NATO pod veden\u00edm USA, do kter\u00e9 by se zapojily arktick\u00e9 \u010dleny aliance (v\u010detn\u011b \u0160v\u00e9dska a Finska, kter\u00e9 mohou p\u0159isp\u011bt sv\u00fdmi odborn\u00fdmi znalostmi) a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b i dal\u0161\u00ed, s c\u00edlem pos\u00edlit region\u00e1ln\u00ed obranu. Tento v\u00fdsledek byl docela mo\u017en\u00fd v r\u00e1mci americko-d\u00e1nsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 dohody z roku 1951, kter\u00e1 Washingtonu d\u00e1v\u00e1 \u0161irokou pravomoc rozm\u00edstit vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly v Gr\u00f3nsku \u2013 bez diplomatick\u00fdch \u0161kod zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed eskalac\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Za druh\u00e9,<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0toto ch\u00e1p\u00e1n\u00ed se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt odrazem dlouhodob\u00fdch obav Washingtonu o politickou budoucnost Gr\u00f3nska. Pln\u011b nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 Gr\u00f3nsko by teoreticky mohlo usilovat o u\u017e\u0161\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 nebo bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed vazby s Ruskem nebo \u010c\u00ednou. Revidovan\u00fd nebo nov\u011b interpretovan\u00fd r\u00e1mec m\u00e1 zajistit, aby budouc\u00ed zm\u011bna statusu Gr\u00f3nska nevedla k odvol\u00e1n\u00ed povolen\u00ed pro vojensk\u00e9 aktivity USA na ostrov\u011b. To je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pro ambice USA v oblasti protiraketov\u00e9 obrany, v\u010detn\u011b navrhovan\u00e9 \u201eZlat\u00e9 kupole\u201c.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b vy\u017eadovalo souhlas D\u00e1nska a Gr\u00f3nska \u2013 nikoli NATO \u2013 a jak to v\u0161e bude provedeno, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejasn\u00e9. Pokud kone\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1vrh nebude spl\u0148ovat po\u017eadavky USA, mohly by se proto znovu objevit hrozby cel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto kontextu by bylo chybou interpretovat tuto epizodu jako zn\u00e1mku deeskalace. Tlak USA na suverenitu \u201eirelevantn\u00edho\u201c D\u00e1nska je demonstrac\u00ed s\u00edly, prezentovanou jako pragmatismus, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e cla jsou preferovan\u00fdm n\u00e1strojem. N\u00e1sledn\u00e1 dohoda Trumpa a Rutteho v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b neznamen\u00e1 n\u00e1vrat k pravidl\u016fm nebo postup\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed styl B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu je nyn\u00ed dob\u0159e zaveden\u00fd a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b se v nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vzd\u00e1len\u00e9 budoucnosti znovu objev\u00ed. Toto o\u010der\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159itahuje mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pozornost a hrozba bolesti slou\u017e\u00ed jako p\u00e1ka.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dadery budou pokra\u010dovat, dokud se nezlep\u0161\u00ed mor\u00e1lka \u2013 ale tato dynamika zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed je neproduktivn\u00ed: Deklarovan\u00e1 strategie USA, kter\u00e1 si p\u0159eje \u201esiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed Evropu\u201c jako protiv\u00e1hu \u010c\u00edny, \u0161patn\u011b lad\u00ed s taktikami, kter\u00e9 podkop\u00e1vaj\u00ed vz\u00e1jemnou d\u016fv\u011bru, sna\u017e\u00ed se rozd\u011blit evropskou jednotu a podporuj\u00ed obrann\u00e9 zaji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed proti jin\u00fdm \u2013 ne nutn\u011b stejn\u011b sm\u00fd\u0161lej\u00edc\u00edm \u2013 akt\u00e9r\u016fm. Nav\u00edc by se Evropa mohla v praxi odnau\u010dit sv\u00e9 nau\u010den\u00e9 bezmoci, jej\u00edmu neust\u00e1l\u00e9mu reflexu \u010dekat na diktov\u00e1n\u00ed podm\u00ednek Washingtonem. Budov\u00e1n\u00ed obrany (mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u010detn\u011b jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed), tlak na jednotn\u00fd trh a roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed obchodn\u00edch mo\u017enost\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b Mercosuru, poukazuj\u00ed na struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fapravy. Pokud jednou z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch siln\u00fdch str\u00e1nek USA od konce druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky byly siln\u00e9 aliance a m\u011bkk\u00e1 s\u00edla, mo\u017en\u00e1 podce\u0148uj\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. Trump \u0159ekl, \u017ee USA si vzpomenou, pokud D\u00e1nov\u00e9 nebudou hr\u00e1t spole\u010dn\u011b \u2013 ale stejn\u011b tak i Evropa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud jde o Mercosur, pot\u00e9, co Evropsk\u00fd parlament ve st\u0159edu dohodu neratifikoval, Komise nyn\u00ed signalizuje, \u017ee prozat\u00edmn\u00ed uplat\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed je nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed cestou vp\u0159ed \u2013 co\u017e je dal\u0161\u00edm sign\u00e1lem rostouc\u00ed role geopolitiky v evropsk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed strategii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Od\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Stefana Koopmana<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, hlavn\u00edho makroekonomick\u00e9ho strat\u00e9ga v Rabobank<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/political\/rules-based-order-once-constrained-great-power-ambition-has-proved-illusory\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pokud si z tohoto t\u00fddne m\u016f\u017eeme vz\u00edt jedno ponau\u010den\u00ed, pak je to, \u017ee \u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92143,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2181,1503,2332,5562,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98165"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98165"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98165\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92143"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98165"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98165"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98165"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}