{"id":98031,"date":"2026-01-29T00:13:20","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T23:13:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=98031"},"modified":"2026-01-28T12:11:43","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T11:11:43","slug":"iran-eurasijsky-klicovy-bod","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/29\/iran-eurasijsky-klicovy-bod\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n: Eurasijsk\u00fd kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd bod"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Geografick\u00e1 poloha \u00cdr\u00e1nu z n\u011bj ud\u011blala strategick\u00fd kloub \u2013 takov\u00fd, kter\u00fd ukotvuje hloubku Ruska na jihu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 d\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010c\u00edn\u011b \u00fanik z americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed kontroly.<\/h4>\n

V kulo\u00e1rech strategick\u00e9ho rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed USA se s \u00cdr\u00e1nem ji\u017e nezach\u00e1z\u00ed jako se samostatn\u00fdm region\u00e1ln\u00edm souborem. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Teher\u00e1nem se stalo neodd\u011bliteln\u00fdm od samotn\u00e9 sout\u011b\u017ee velmoc\u00ed. Koordinace mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem, Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou se posunula nad r\u00e1mec\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>situa\u010dn\u00edho slad\u011bn\u00ed<\/span><\/a> a splynula s t\u00edm, co z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytici st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji popisuj\u00ed jako formu \u201estruktur\u00e1ln\u00ed synergie\u201c, kter\u00e1 podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 schopnost Washingtonu izolovat sv\u00e9 rivaly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto hodnocen\u00ed se p\u0159ekr\u00fdv\u00e1 se z\u00e1v\u011bry Carnegieho nadace ve sv\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b o\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>budouc\u00edch hrozb\u00e1ch<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Ameriky , kter\u00e1 ozna\u010duje \u00cdr\u00e1n za \u201e\u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed uzel\u201c v euroasijsk\u00e9 pevnine \u2013 takov\u00fd, kter\u00fd zabra\u0148uje geografick\u00e9 izolaci Ruska a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zaji\u0161\u0165uje energetick\u00e9 pot\u0159eby \u010c\u00edny mimo dosah americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed kontroly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak\u00e1koli v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 destabilizace Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky by nez\u016fstala omezena na jej\u00ed hranice. Projevila by se dvoj\u00ed strategickou blok\u00e1dou zam\u011b\u0159enou na \u010c\u00ednu i Rusko: o\u017eiven\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho chaosu ve vnitrozem\u00ed Eurasie a z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u00fatok na finan\u010dn\u00ed a energetick\u00e9 platformy, na kter\u00e9 se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed mocnosti st\u00e1le v\u00edce spol\u00e9haj\u00ed, aby oslabily unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed dominanci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Geografie jako strategick\u00e1 hloubka<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Pro Moskvu za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 v\u00fdznam \u00cdr\u00e1nu geografi\u00ed. Nab\u00edz\u00ed Rusku z\u00e1sadn\u00ed geopolitick\u00fd prostor za jeho bezprost\u0159edn\u00edmi hranicemi. Podle studi\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Valdajsk\u00e9ho klubu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00fdznam \u00cdr\u00e1nu ve form\u00e1ln\u00ed alian\u010dn\u00ed politice, ale v jeho funkci jedin\u00e9ho pozemn\u00edho mostu spojuj\u00edc\u00edho eurasijsk\u00e9 srdce s Indick\u00fdm oce\u00e1nem prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho severoji\u017en\u00edho dopravn\u00edho koridoru (\u00a0<\/span>INSTC<\/span><\/a>\u00a0).<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato trasa poskytuje Rusku izolaci od n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho tlaku NATO v Baltsk\u00e9m a St\u0159edomo\u0159sk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, \u010d\u00edm\u017e efektivn\u011b prom\u011b\u0148uje \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed ve strategickou hloubku chr\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed ji\u017en\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato geografick\u00e1 vz\u00e1jemn\u00e1 z\u00e1vislost vedla ke spole\u010dn\u00e9mu politick\u00e9mu z\u00e1jmu, kter\u00fd p\u0159esahuje taktickou koordinaci. Stabilita\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0slou\u017e\u00ed jako pojistka proti tomu, aby se Kavkaz a St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie \u0159\u00edtily sm\u011brem k fragmentaci, kter\u00e1 p\u0159edch\u00e1zela v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b. V\u00fdzkum Rusk\u00e9 rady pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitosti (\u00a0<\/span>RIAC<\/span><\/a> ) ozna\u010duje \u00edr\u00e1nskou geografii za z\u00e1kladn\u00ed k\u00e1men konceptu \u201eVelk\u00e9 Eurasie\u201c, kter\u00fd je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm prvkem snahy Moskvy o oslaben\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed hegemonie na cel\u00e9m kontinentu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Peking hraje \u00cdr\u00e1n srovnatelnou roli v jin\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 rovnici. S rostouc\u00edm tlakem americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva v Tich\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu je st\u00e1le obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nahradit \u010d\u00ednskou z\u00e1padn\u00ed expanzi p\u0159es \u00cdr\u00e1n. V\u00fdzkum Rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy (\u00a0<\/span>CFR<\/span><\/a>\u00a0) identifikuje \u00cdr\u00e1n jako jeden z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch geografick\u00fdch uzl\u016f v iniciativ\u011b P\u00e1s a stezka (BRI), kter\u00fd poskytuje Pekingu pozemn\u00ed koridor do z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie, jen\u017e obch\u00e1z\u00ed USA kontrolovan\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed \u00fazk\u00e1 m\u00edsta \u2013 od Tchajwansk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a\u017e po st\u0159edomo\u0159sk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstupy.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 st\u0159edn\u00ed poloha mezi eurasijsk\u00fdm vnitrozem\u00edm a otev\u0159en\u00fdm mo\u0159em proto vynutila trval\u00e9\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>propojen\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0mezi Teher\u00e1nem, Moskvou a Pekingem. V t\u00e9to konfiguraci je politick\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nost poh\u00e1n\u011bna m\u00e9n\u011b ideologi\u00ed ne\u017e fyziogeografickou nutnost\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak\u00fdkoli pokus o destabilizaci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 n\u00e1horn\u00ed plo\u0161iny by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b spustil kask\u00e1dovit\u00fd ot\u0159es nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d vnitrozem\u00edm Eurasie a eskaloval region\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontaci v syst\u00e9movou blok\u00e1du zam\u011b\u0159enou na zastaven\u00ed vzestupu soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edch mocensk\u00fdch center.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stav vyrovn\u00e1vac\u00ed pam\u011bti a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed firewall<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Krom\u011b logistiky funguje \u00cdr\u00e1n jako stabiliza\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1razn\u00edk v r\u00e1mci bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Eurasie. Jedna v\u00fdzkumn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>RAND<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na t\u00e9ma \u201eRoz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska\u201c hovo\u0159\u00ed o strategi\u00edch vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed protivn\u00edka, kter\u00e9 zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed vyu\u017eit\u00ed perifern\u00ed nestability k vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edch mocnost\u00ed. Z tohoto pohledu p\u0159edstavuje \u00cdr\u00e1n kritickou bari\u00e9ru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nestabilita uvnit\u0159 \u00cdr\u00e1nu by mechanicky podkopala bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed koordinaci na ji\u017en\u00ed periferii Ruska, zejm\u00e9na na Kavkaze a ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii.\u00a0 Hodnocen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>RIAC<\/span><\/a> varuj\u00ed, \u017ee takov\u00e9 zhroucen\u00ed by otev\u0159elo cesty pro extremistick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b, transkontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed pa\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a p\u0159el\u00e9v\u00e1n\u00ed militant\u016f \u2013 hrozby, kter\u00e9 Moskva opakovan\u011b klasifikovala jako existen\u010dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro \u010c\u00ednu spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 obava v \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed n\u00e1kazy. Stabilita \u00cdr\u00e1nu omezuje p\u0159enos nepokoj\u016f p\u0159es horsk\u00e9 koridory St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie, kde Teher\u00e1n funguje jako ned\u00edln\u00fd\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed partner<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v r\u00e1mci \u0160anghajsk\u00e9 organizace pro spolupr\u00e1ci (\u00a0<\/span>SCO<\/span><\/a>\u00a0). Tato role poskytuje Pekingu ur\u010dit\u00fd stupe\u0148 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed izolace, co\u017e mu umo\u017e\u0148uje sledovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ambice, ani\u017e by byl zatahov\u00e1n do vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch hrani\u010dn\u00edch konflikt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Energetick\u00e1 a finan\u010dn\u00ed suverenita<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Z ekonomick\u00e9ho hlediska role \u00cdr\u00e1nu p\u0159esahuje konven\u010dn\u00ed obchodn\u00ed logiku. Jeho partnerstv\u00ed s Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou st\u00e1le v\u00edce tvo\u0159\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>alternativn\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0finan\u010dn\u00ed a energetick\u00e9 architektury, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je otupit z\u00e1padn\u00ed vliv.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z pohledu Pekingu se \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 ropa stala formou strategick\u00e9 izolace. Data ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna nakupuje zhruba 1,3 milionu barel\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy denn\u011b \u2013 co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje asi 13,4 procenta jej\u00edho dovozu ropy po mo\u0159i \u2013 p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 80 procent \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho exportu sm\u011b\u0159uje na v\u00fdchod. Rostouc\u00ed m\u00edra vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm nedolarov\u00fdch mechanism\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b digit\u00e1ln\u00edho\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>j\u00fcanu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, d\u00e1le sn\u00ed\u017eila zranitelnost v\u016f\u010di tlaku USA, zejm\u00e9na v \u00fazk\u00fdch bodech, jako je Malaksk\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1vy z\u00a0<\/span>energetick\u00e9ho centra<\/span><\/i><\/a> potvrzuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna v roce 2025 dovezla v\u00edce ne\u017e 57 milion\u016f tun \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u2013 nebo pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u2013 ropy, \u010dasto p\u0159es zprost\u0159edkovatele, jako je Malajsie. Tato \u010d\u00edsla podtrhuj\u00ed klesaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnost sankc\u00ed, kdy\u017e se setkaj\u00ed s geoekonomickou nutnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd kalkul sleduje stejnou cestu. Spolupr\u00e1ce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem se uk\u00e1zala jako jedna z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch cest Moskvy k obejit\u00ed izolace zalo\u017een\u00e9 na syst\u00e9mu SWIFT. Data vl\u00e1dy Rusk\u00e9 federace ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>vzrostl o 35 procent<\/span><\/a>\u00a0po uzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody o voln\u00e9m obchodu Euroasijsk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 unie v kv\u011btnu 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm posunem byla m\u011bnov\u00e1 oblast. V lednu 2025\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>ozn\u00e1mila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka pln\u00e9 propojen\u00ed mezi rusk\u00fdm platebn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem MIR a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm platebn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem Shetab, \u010d\u00edm\u017e vznikl chr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed koridor. Podle \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f se \u00cdr\u00e1n a Rusko sna\u017e\u00ed v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm desetilet\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod na 10 miliard dolar\u016f, zat\u00edmco \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd v\u00fdvoz do Ruska by\u00a0<\/span>m\u011bl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0do konce aktu\u00e1ln\u00edho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho kalend\u00e1\u0159n\u00edho roku (20. b\u0159ezna 2026) vzr\u016fst na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1,4 miliardy dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n st\u00e1le v\u00edce funguje jako centrum reexportu rusk\u00fdch technologi\u00ed a zbo\u017e\u00ed, co\u017e ma\u0159\u00ed snahy o ekonomickou izolaci Moskvy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washingtonsk\u00e1 strategie separace<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

V tomto kontextu se americk\u00e1 strategie vyvinula. M\u00edsto aby se Washington spol\u00e9hal pouze na tlak nebo otev\u0159enou konfrontaci, p\u0159iklonil se k tomu, co z\u00e1padn\u00ed politick\u00e9 kruhy ozna\u010duj\u00ed jako \u201estrategii separace\u201c. Jde o pokus uvolnit vz\u00e1jemnou z\u00e1vislost mezi Teher\u00e1nem, Moskvou a Pekingem t\u00edm, \u017ee se nab\u00eddnou alternativn\u00ed cesty, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby se blok p\u0159\u00edmo konfrontoval.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 front\u011b se energetika stala hlavn\u00edm prost\u0159edkem ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Peking, nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd dovozce ropy, je i nad\u00e1le citliv\u00fd na stabilitu dod\u00e1vek a ceny. Kroky USA v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe \u2013 zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Venezuelu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u2013 jsou \u0161iroce interpretov\u00e1ny jako snaha o reintegraci velk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trhy v r\u00e1mci z\u00e1padn\u00edch regula\u010dn\u00edch r\u00e1mc\u016f, co\u017e by mohlo oslabit roli \u00cdr\u00e1nu v kalkulu energetick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington soub\u011b\u017en\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159il svou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed a koali\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch koridorech t\u00e1hnouc\u00ed se od Indick\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu po z\u00e1padn\u00ed Pacifik. Tento postoj je koncipov\u00e1n nejen jako odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edek, ale tak\u00e9 jako neust\u00e1l\u00e1 p\u0159ipom\u00ednka toho, \u017ee bezpe\u010dnost n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch dod\u00e1vek je i nad\u00e1le v\u00e1z\u00e1na na mocenskou rovnov\u00e1hu vedenou USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na rusk\u00e9 front\u011b hraje Ukrajina \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed roli. Zat\u00edmco trval\u00fd vojensk\u00fd a ekonomick\u00fd tlak m\u00e1 za c\u00edl vy\u010derpat kapacity Moskvy, ob\u010dasn\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly nazna\u010duj\u00ed z\u00e1jem o odd\u011blen\u00e9 dohody o evropsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti. Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed s\u00e1zka spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy Ruska by mohly b\u00fdt \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b uspokojeny v Evrop\u011b, co\u017e by sn\u00ed\u017eilo dlouhodobou hodnotu jeho partnerstv\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Anga\u017eovanost USA se tak\u00e9 zintenzivnila ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii a na Kavkaze \u2013 regionech, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed strategickou hloubku pro Rusko a kritick\u00e9 koridory pro \u010d\u00ednskou iniciativu BRI. Z pohledu Moskvy a Pekingu p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed a investi\u010dn\u00ed vazby v t\u011bchto oblastech snahu geograficky\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>obkl\u00ed\u010dit \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/span><\/a> a oslabit jeho roli jako\u017eto spojovac\u00edho uzlu Eurasie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d s\u00e1zka sel\u017ee<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Navzdory rozsahu t\u011bchto snah nar\u00e1\u017e\u00ed strategie separace na zako\u0159en\u011bnou ned\u016fv\u011bru jak v Moskv\u011b, tak v Pekingu. Pro ob\u011b mocnosti nen\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou rozsah nab\u00edzen\u00fdch pob\u00eddek, ale samotn\u00e1 struktura mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu \u2013 a nashrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti se sankcemi, n\u00e1tlakem a nest\u00e1l\u00fdmi z\u00e1vazky Z\u00e1padu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z rusk\u00e9ho pohledu p\u0159edstavuje jak\u00fdkoli kompromis mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a Ukrajinou strategickou past. \u00cdr\u00e1n zaji\u0161\u0165uje rusk\u00fd ji\u017en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k Indick\u00e9mu oce\u00e1nu; jeho kolaps by vystavil kavkazsko-st\u0159edoasijsk\u00fd oblouk chronick\u00e9 nestabilit\u011b. Zisky ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b by jen m\u00e1lo kompenzovaly struktur\u00e1ln\u011b oslaben\u00fd ji\u017en\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed je podobn\u011b podlo\u017eeno. Dodavatel\u00e9 alternativn\u00ed energie z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee Washington ovliv\u0148ovat nebo naru\u0161ovat. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 ropa naopak nab\u00edz\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed stupe\u0148 geografick\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 autonomie. Jej\u00ed hodnota spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 m\u00e9n\u011b v cen\u011b ne\u017e v odolnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Posledn\u00ed bari\u00e9ra<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

V j\u00e1dru spor o \u00cdr\u00e1n stav\u00ed proti sob\u011b dv\u011b logiky. Jedna p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee geopolitick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b lze rozb\u00edt pomoc\u00ed pob\u00eddek a selektivn\u00edho p\u0159eskupen\u00ed. Druh\u00e1 uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee geografie, nashrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti a eroze d\u016fv\u011bry \u010din\u00ed takov\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky k\u0159ehk\u00fdmi ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00fd se neust\u00e1le sm\u011b\u0159uje k multipolarit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kolaps \u00cdr\u00e1nu nebo jeho dlouhodob\u00e1 vnit\u0159n\u00ed destabilizace by nejen p\u0159eskupily energetick\u00e9 trhy nebo region\u00e1ln\u00ed uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed. Znovu by\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>otev\u0159ely z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii<\/span><\/a> jako z\u00f3nu t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00fdhradn\u00edho vlivu USA a uzav\u0159ely by strategick\u00fd oblouk nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d z\u00e1padn\u00ed Eurasi\u00ed. V\u00edce ne\u017e stolet\u00ed slou\u017eil tento region jako \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed d\u011bji\u0161t\u011b glob\u00e1ln\u00ed mocensk\u00e9 sout\u011b\u017ee \u2013 od imperi\u00e1ln\u00edch rivalit p\u0159es studenou v\u00e1lku a\u017e po sou\u010dasn\u00fd p\u0159echod k multipolarit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se tak st\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00edce ne\u017e jen kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm st\u00e1tem. Stejn\u011b jako Venezuela kdysi p\u0159edstavovala\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hranici<\/span><\/a>\u00a0odporu v\u016f\u010di moci USA na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli, \u00cdr\u00e1n nyn\u00ed stoj\u00ed jako posledn\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 bari\u00e9ra upevn\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00e9 hegemonie v srdci Eurasie.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeho soudr\u017enost slou\u017e\u00ed nejen jeho vlastn\u00edm n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm, ale tak\u00e9 \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu c\u00edli sd\u00edlen\u00e9mu Moskvou a Pekingem: omezit jednostrannou dominanci a zachovat strategickou autonomii v jejich bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm sousedstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abb\u00e1s al-Zejn<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Geografick\u00e1 poloha \u00cdr\u00e1nu z n\u011bj ud\u011blala strategick\u00fd kloub \u2013 takov\u00fd, kter\u00fd ukotvuje hloubku Ruska na…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98032,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,10479,1894],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98031"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98031"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98031\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98032"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98031"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98031"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98031"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}