{"id":97921,"date":"2026-01-27T05:46:39","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T04:46:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=97921"},"modified":"2026-01-27T05:46:39","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T04:46:39","slug":"doktrina-bez-koncove-hry-co-trump-dela-se-svetovym-radem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/27\/doktrina-bez-koncove-hry-co-trump-dela-se-svetovym-radem\/","title":{"rendered":"Doktr\u00edna bez koncov\u00e9 hry: Co Trump d\u011bl\u00e1 se sv\u011btov\u00fdm \u0159\u00e1dem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pro\u010d se nov\u00e9 americk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice neda\u0159\u00ed prom\u011bnit tlak ve v\u00fdsledky<\/h3>\n

Leden 2026 je rokem, kdy Donald Trump slo\u017eil p\u0159\u00edsahu jako 47. prezident Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Jen m\u00e1lo n\u00e1rodn\u00edch l\u00eddr\u016f se m\u016f\u017ee s Trumpem m\u011b\u0159it, pokud jde o ve\u0159ejnou anga\u017eovanost a \u0161k\u00e1lu \u0159e\u0161en\u00fdch glob\u00e1ln\u00edch ot\u00e1zek. Je nepochybn\u011b nejcitovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hlavou st\u00e1tu. Vysok\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed pozornosti v\u011bnovan\u00e9 americk\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice je v\u0161ak pro sou\u010dasnou americkou administrativu dvouse\u010dnou zbran\u00ed. Nut\u00ed veden\u00ed \u0159e\u0161it nekone\u010dn\u00fd proud rozmanit\u00fdch v\u00fdzev v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase a pod neust\u00e1l\u00fdm tlakem. Tato dynamika formovala rozpoznateln\u00fd diplomatick\u00fd styl Trumpovy administrativy, kter\u00fd se vyzna\u010duje nekonzistentnost\u00ed, usp\u011bchanost\u00ed a polovi\u010dat\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

V d\u016fsledku toho z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 mnoho ot\u00e1zek, kter\u00fdmi se zab\u00fdval prezident Trump a jeho v\u011brn\u00ed spolupracovn\u00edci \u2013 viceprezident USA J. D. Vance, ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed USA a poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Marco Rubio, zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanec Steve Witkoff a Trump\u016fv ze\u0165 Jared Kushner \u2013 z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00fdch. To podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 Trump\u016fv obraz jako\u017eto impozantn\u00edho v\u016fdce, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee kohokoli donutit, aby se pod\u0159\u00eddil jeho p\u0159\u00e1n\u00edm. Tendence americk\u00e9ho prezidenta m\u011bnit svou politiku vysv\u011btluje popularitu memu TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out \u2013 Trump se v\u017edycky zbab\u011ble zdr\u017e\u00ed).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Politick\u00fd kalend\u00e1\u0159 na rok 2026 mezit\u00edm slibuje nov\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy. Pokud se k nim nebude p\u0159istupovat efektivn\u011b, demokrat\u00e9 by mohli v listopadov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch do poloviny volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed z\u00edskat kontrolu nad americk\u00fdm Kongresem, co\u017e by mohlo naru\u0161it Trumpovu agendu a\u017e do p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb v roce 2028. Hrozba dal\u0161\u00edho uzav\u0159en\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, nutnost vy\u0159e\u0161it ukrajinskou krizi, zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed eskalaci osmi v\u00e1lek, kter\u00e9 Trump v roce 2025 zastavil, p\u0159\u00edpravy na oslavy 250. v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed nez\u00e1vislosti USA, po\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed summitu G20 a mistrovstv\u00ed sv\u011bta ve fotbale \u2013 to budou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 faktory, kter\u00e9 budou v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech formovat mocenskou dynamiku v USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Donald Trump, jak se slu\u0161\u00ed, zah\u00e1jil rok 2026 v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm zes\u00edlen\u00edm bod\u016f nap\u011bt\u00ed v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politice. Mus\u00edme poznamenat, \u017ee navzdory zd\u00e1nliv\u00e9 nelogi\u010dnosti Trumpov\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jsou v\u0161echny jeho \u010diny v souladu s logikou, kterou jeho t\u00fdm nast\u00ednil v revidovan\u00e9 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategii zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 v prosinci. Pokud bychom tento dokument zredukovali na n\u011bkolik kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch bod\u016f, sou\u010dasn\u00e1 americk\u00e1 administrativa se zam\u011b\u0159uje na p\u0159etv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed instituc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed spr\u00e1vy prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm agresivn\u00ed r\u00e9toriky hrani\u010d\u00edc\u00ed s hrubou silou, zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule jako z\u00f3ny v\u00fdhradn\u00edch americk\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f, omezen\u00ed \u010c\u00edny a p\u0159esunut\u00ed odpov\u011bdnosti za strategickou situaci v Evrop\u011b, na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a v Africe na mlad\u0161\u00ed spojence.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee v\u0161e, co se odehr\u00e1lo v roce 2026, dokonale odpov\u00edd\u00e1 tomu, co lze ji\u017e nazvat Trumpovou doktr\u00ednou. 3. ledna, hned po Nov\u00e9m roce, USA zajaly venezuelsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Nicol\u00e1se Madura v pr\u016fb\u011bhu dramatick\u00e9 operace hodn\u00e9 hollywoodsk\u00e9ho trh\u00e1ku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pl\u00e1n zahrnoval zni\u010den\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti Madurovy osobn\u00ed gardy slo\u017een\u00e9 z kub\u00e1nsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a z\u00e1rove\u0148 neutralizaci rusk\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch v zemi. USA doufaly, \u017ee zrada v Madurov\u011b nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edm kruhu u\u010din\u00ed z t\u00e9to zem\u011b snadn\u00fd c\u00edl, jeliko\u017e Venezuela je pro americk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 ve sv\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span>\u201em\u011bkk\u00e9m podb\u0159i\u0161ku\u201c,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0kde slou\u017e\u00ed jako obrovsk\u00e1 z\u00e1sob\u00e1rna ropy, kterou \u010c\u00edna aktivn\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 pro sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 pot\u0159eby.<\/span><\/p>\n

Madurovo ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed nav\u00edc umo\u017e\u0148uje USA vr\u00e1tit se ke sv\u00e9mu tradi\u010dn\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edstupu\u00a0<\/span>\u201evelk\u00e9 klacku\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, co\u017e vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 strach na Kub\u011b, v Mexiku, Panam\u011b a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch regionu. Bylo by v\u0161ak p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 p\u0159ipisovat to Trumpovi; unesen\u00fd venezuelsk\u00fd prezident bude souzen u newyorsk\u00e9ho soudu, kde maj\u00ed demokrat\u00e9 zna\u010dn\u00fd vliv, zat\u00edmco Venezuela z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pod kontrolou star\u00fdch elit v \u010dele s b\u00fdvalou viceprezidentkou Delcy Rodr\u00edguezovou.<\/span><\/p>\n

V prvn\u00edch lednov\u00fdch t\u00fddnech se na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b zem\u011bkoule odehr\u00e1ly ne\u010dekan\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti, kdy\u017e v \u00cdr\u00e1nu vypukly masov\u00e9 protesty. S rozs\u00e1hlou ob\u010danskou neposlu\u0161nost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 vypukla ve v\u00edce ne\u017e 200 m\u011bstech, se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika zalo\u017een\u00e1 v roce 1979 pod veden\u00edm r\u00e1hbar\u016f je na pokraji kolapsu, co\u017e by potenci\u00e1ln\u011b mohlo vydl\u00e1\u017edit cestu k n\u00e1vratu k moci exilov\u00e9ho syna sesazen\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e1ha z dynastie Pahlav\u00ed. Takov\u00fd posun by umo\u017enil USA znovu z\u00edskat kontrolu nad jedn\u00edm z p\u0159edn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch producent\u016f plynu a naru\u0161it t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny dopravn\u00ed a logistick\u00e9 koridory nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d Velkou Eurasi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto se Trump, pr\u00e1v\u011b kdy\u017e se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee vojensk\u00e1 akce je na spadnut\u00ed, ne\u010dekan\u011b rozhodl ustoupit, zjevn\u011b dbal na radu izraelsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua, kter\u00fd se pou\u010dil z ho\u0159k\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v \u010dervnu 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump, dychtiv\u00fd viditeln\u011b se distancovat od situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, se vr\u00e1til k diskusi o mo\u017en\u00e9 akvizici Gr\u00f3nska. Tvrdil, \u017ee Gr\u00f3nsko bylo nespravedliv\u011b kolonizov\u00e1no D\u00e1nskem, kter\u00e9 nen\u00ed schopno ostrov a celou z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli zabezpe\u010dit p\u0159ed hrozbami ze strany \u010c\u00edny a Ruska. Trumpov\u00fdm ritu\u00e1ln\u00edm vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00edm Moskvy a Pekingu jako slovn\u00edch ob\u011btn\u00edch ber\u00e1nk\u016f je skute\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem Trumpa p\u0159i prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed kontroly nad Gr\u00f3nskem pos\u00edlit pozice USA v arktick\u00e9 oblasti a v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu zablokovat Severomo\u0159skou trasu, kter\u00e1 se postupn\u011b st\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017eivotaschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed alternativou ke st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edm obchodn\u00edm tras\u00e1m mezi \u010c\u00ednou a EU, je\u017e proch\u00e1zej\u00ed geopoliticky turbulentn\u00edmi oblastmi ji\u017en\u00edch mo\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropu zachv\u00e1tila panika, kdy\u017e se p\u0159ipravovala na nejhor\u0161\u00ed: mo\u017enou vojenskou operaci USA proti jej\u00edmu mlad\u0161\u00edmu spojenci v NATO a mo\u017en\u00fd rozpad cel\u00e9ho bloku. Trump v\u0161ak na v\u00fdro\u010dn\u00edm zased\u00e1n\u00ed Sv\u011btov\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra v Davosu rychle ujistil v\u0161echny, \u017ee usiluje o vz\u00e1jemn\u011b v\u00fdhodnou dohodu, kter\u00e1 by mohla znamenat pouze suverenitu USA nad oblastmi, kde se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed jej\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, podobn\u011b jako britsk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny na Kypru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Gr\u00f3nsko do\u010dasn\u011b zast\u00ednilo ve zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch Ukrajinu, nebylo mo\u017en\u00e9 se ubr\u00e1nit zamy\u0161len\u00ed nad propojenost\u00ed t\u011bchto dvou t\u00e9mat, kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed na opa\u010dn\u00fdch konc\u00edch spektra evropsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti. Mezit\u00edm Donald Trump ne\u010dekan\u011b povolal ukrajinsk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce Vladimira Zelensk\u00e9ho do \u0160v\u00fdcarska a z\u00e1rove\u0148 vyslal Witkoffa a Kushnera do Moskvy. N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den se diskuse obnovily v t\u0159\u00edstrann\u00e9m form\u00e1tu (Rusko-USA-Ukrajina), v n\u011bm\u017e se se\u0161ly dv\u011b pracovn\u00ed skupiny zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na bezpe\u010dnost a ekonomiku. Vedle zn\u00e1m\u00fdch tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed z americk\u00e9 delegace se z\u00fa\u010dastnil i Josh Gruenbaum, komisa\u0159 americk\u00e9 Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed akvizi\u010dn\u00ed slu\u017eby. To jasn\u011b znamenalo, \u017ee toto kolo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se net\u00fdkalo pouze \u00fazemn\u00edch spor\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b, ale m\u011blo se dotknout i osudu rusk\u00fdch suver\u00e9nn\u00edch aktiv v hodnot\u011b 5 miliard dolar\u016f, kter\u00e1 zmrazila Bidenova administrativa.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ed jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi prezident Putin navrhl pou\u017e\u00edt 1 miliardu dolar\u016f jako p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek do Rady m\u00edru, kterou inicioval Trump, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e tyto prost\u0159edky by m\u011bly b\u00fdt sm\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1ny na humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s obnovou Gazy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed roli Ruska v t\u00e9to nov\u011b vznikl\u00e9 struktu\u0159e, Putin na\u0159\u00eddil ministerstvu zahrani\u010d\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdm agentur\u00e1m, aby prozkoumaly v\u0161echny podrobnosti t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se fungov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to multilater\u00e1ln\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 instituce. Rusko se proto chopilo iniciativy a prostudovalo povahu Trumpova n\u00e1vrhu (kter\u00fd glob\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00e9dia sp\u011b\u0161n\u011b ozna\u010dila za\u00a0<\/span>\u201en\u00e1hra\u017eku OSN\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump\u016fv projekt vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 \u0159adu ot\u00e1zek:<\/span><\/p>\n

1) Kter\u00e9 zem\u011b se p\u0159ipoj\u00ed k Rad\u011b m\u00edru?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

2) Jak\u00fdmi principy se bude \u0159\u00eddit rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed?<\/span><\/p>\n

3) Je p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek ve v\u00fd\u0161i 1 miliardy dolar\u016f povinn\u00fd pro form\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast?<\/span><\/p>\n

4) Budou se jedn\u00e1n\u00ed omezovat na situaci v Gaze, nebo se budou t\u00fdkat i dal\u0161\u00edch region\u00e1ln\u00edch konflikt\u016f?<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed chov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho prezidenta n\u00e1s v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku u\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee s Donaldem Trumpem je mo\u017en\u00e9 v\u0161echno. Co Trump dnes pova\u017euje za kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt z\u00edtra zast\u00edn\u011bno n\u011bjak\u00fdm nov\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem, kter\u00fd se stane pro prezidenta a jeho t\u00fdm prvo\u0159ad\u00fdm. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 Trumpovy kroky v\u0161ak nezaru\u010duj\u00ed jednozna\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed USA ani p\u0159edem ur\u010den\u00fd v\u00fdsledek. Znakem zral\u00e9 diplomacie nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 jen v zah\u00e1jen\u00ed odv\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch iniciativ nebo \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f, ale v doveden\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed do logick\u00e9ho konce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od\u00a0<\/span>Alexandra Bobrova<\/span><\/strong> , PhD. v oboru historie a vedouc\u00edho katedry diplomatick\u00fdch studi\u00ed na Institutu pro strategick\u00fd v\u00fdzkum a progn\u00f3zy Univerzity Rusk\u00e9 demokratick\u00e9 republiky, autora knihy \u201eVelk\u00e1 strategie Ruska\u201c. Sledujte jeho telegramov\u00fd kan\u00e1l \u201eDiplomacie a sv\u011bt\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"Alexandr<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pro\u010d se nov\u00e9 americk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice neda\u0159\u00ed prom\u011bnit tlak ve v\u00fdsledky Leden 2026 je rokem,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":97922,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2190,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97921"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97921"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97921\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97922"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97921"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97921"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97921"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}