{"id":97836,"date":"2026-01-26T07:31:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T06:31:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=97836"},"modified":"2026-01-26T07:31:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T06:31:17","slug":"michael-svatos-rozpouta-trio-trump-netanjahu-starmer-historicky-nejvetsi-vlnu-uprchliku-do-evropy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/26\/michael-svatos-rozpouta-trio-trump-netanjahu-starmer-historicky-nejvetsi-vlnu-uprchliku-do-evropy\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Rozpout\u00e1 trio Trump-Netanjahu-Starmer historicky nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vlnu uprchl\u00edk\u016f do Evropy!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rozpout\u00e1 trio Trump-Netanjahu-Starmer historicky nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vlnu uprchl\u00edk\u016f do Evropy! Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee to nen\u00ed vylou\u010deno!<\/h3>\n

P\u0159es v\u00edkend se za\u010daly mno\u017eit spekulace na t\u00e9ma, zda USA a Izrael a Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie brzy letecky za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Ir\u00e1n, a hlavn\u011b, jak\u00e9 d\u011bsiv\u00e9 d\u016fsledky to bude m\u00edt pro Evropu, proto\u017ee j\u00ed pr\u00fd zaval\u00ed historicky nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vlna uprchl\u00edk\u016f.\u00a0 Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj v t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti se proto pokus\u00edm v dne\u0161n\u00ed pond\u011bln\u00ed rann\u00ed anal\u00fdze podrobn\u011b shrnout.<\/p>\n

V\u010dera v ned\u011bli 25. ledna dos\u00e1hla americk\u00e1 \u00fadern\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed leteck\u00e1 skupina Carrier Strike Group 3 opera\u010dn\u00edho postaven\u00ed v Arabsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, odkud m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 operace proti Ir\u00e1nu. Podle dostupn\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f m\u00e1 hlavn\u00ed \u00fadern\u00e1 s\u00edla tohoto svazu CVN-72 Abraham Lincoln na palub\u011b 30 a\u017e 36 letadel F-18E\/F, a 10 a\u017e 12 letadel F-35C Lightning-2, a disponuje tedy nezbytnou silou, aby zabr\u00e1nila n\u011bjak\u00e9 v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odvet\u011b proti mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doprav\u011b v Arabsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i za p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 americko-izraelsko-britsk\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Hlavn\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti Ir\u00e1nu by v\u0161ak muselo v\u00e9st letectvo z pozemn\u00edch z\u00e1kladen, proto\u017ee kapacita n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed skupiny CSG-3 v Arabsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i je k tomu nedostate\u010dn\u00e1, a nav\u00edc by se na mo\u0159i velmi t\u011b\u017eko dlouhodob\u011b dopl\u0148ovala palivem a munic\u00ed. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, jak vid\u00edte na grafice n\u00ed\u017ee, shrom\u00e1\u017edily USA, Izrael a Brit\u00e1nie v oblasti na leteck\u00fdch z\u00e1kladn\u00e1ch p\u016fsobivou s\u00edlu, a ta by pro veden\u00ed omezen\u00e9 vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Ir\u00e1nu po dobu n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f technicky sta\u010dila.<\/p>\n

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Grafika ukazuje rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed leteck\u00fdch sil koalice USA-Izrael-Brit\u00e1nie, kter\u00e1 se mo\u017en\u00e1 chyst\u00e1 bombardovat Ir\u00e1n. V lev\u00e9m spodn\u00edm rohu vid\u00edte v krou\u017eku opera\u010dn\u00ed postaven\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v\u010dera dos\u00e1hla americk\u00e1 \u00fadern\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed leteck\u00e1 skupina CSG-3. Modr\u00e9 troj\u00faheln\u00edky zna\u010d\u00ed z\u00e1kladny koalice, a \u010dervenou barvou je vyzna\u010den jejich n\u00e1zev. V popisc\u00edch o po\u010dtech letadel p\u0159ipraven\u00fdch k operaci je potom v\u017edy n\u00e1zev z\u00e1kladny, kde v\u010dera byly um\u00edst\u011bny, i jejich st\u00e1tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nost.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Pokud se t\u00fd\u010de po\u010dt\u016f \u00fadern\u00fdch bojov\u00fdch letadel koalice USA-Izrael-Brit\u00e1nie, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed mohou potenci\u00e1ln\u011b prov\u00e9st vzdu\u0161n\u00fd \u00fader proti Ir\u00e1nu, napo\u010d\u00edtal jsem 417 \u00fadern\u00fdch nadzvukov\u00fdch letadel operuj\u00edc\u00edch z pozemn\u00edch z\u00e1kladen, a 48 operuj\u00edc\u00edch z paluby CVN-72 Abraham Lincoln, plus 236 \u00fadern\u00fdch letadel Saudsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, Kataru a Emir\u00e1t\u016f, a ty by se k \u00fatok\u016fm mohly teoreticky p\u0159ipojit, kdyby se Ir\u00e1n pokusil v odvet\u011b za bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed uzav\u0159\u00edt Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u0159eprav\u011b ropy, jak nyn\u00ed vyhro\u017euje.<\/p>\n

USA u\u017e v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 reakci na d\u016frazn\u00e9 ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00fdhr\u016f\u017eky pronesen\u00e9 minul\u00fd t\u00fdden ve \u010dtvrtek Alim Abdollahi Aliabadim, vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdm re\u017eimn\u00edm v\u016fdcem zodpov\u011bdn\u00fdm za koordinaci mezi Ir\u00e1nskou arm\u00e1dou a ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi Revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami, v nich\u017e ozna\u010dil v\u0161echny americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v dost\u0159elu ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch sil (dron\u016f), a dosahu revolu\u010dn\u00edch pozemn\u00edch sil (d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u00e9), za legitimn\u00ed c\u00edle ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odvety,\u00a0st\u00e1hly n\u011bkolik tis\u00edc p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f sv\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy a civiln\u00edho person\u00e1lu z potenci\u00e1ln\u011b nejv\u00edce napadnuteln\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen<\/a>. Proto\u017ee tyto p\u0159esuny nejsou pro v\u011b\u010dn\u011b pr\u00e1zdnou kasu Pentagonu nikterak pominutelnou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e\u00ed, lze tedy uva\u017eovat, \u017ee vojensk\u00e1 administrativa USA s \u00fatokem po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 nehodl\u00e1 b\u00fdt ov\u0161em nucena Ameri\u010dan\u016fm vysv\u011btlovat, pro\u010d jejich rodinn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edci kv\u016fli n\u011bmu p\u0159i\u0161li o \u017eivot, nebo utrp\u011bli t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 zran\u011bn\u00ed. Nav\u00edc,\u00a0Gener\u00e1l Mohammad Pakpour<\/a>, nov\u00fd velitel ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch Revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard, v sobotu prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je \u201ep\u0159ipraven\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e kdy jindy, a u\u017e netrp\u011bliv\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed prsty na spou\u0161ti\u201c. Z oboj\u00edho lze tedy vyvozovat, \u017ee ob\u011b strany se na st\u0159et usilovn\u011b chystaj\u00ed, a na rozd\u00edl od lo\u0148sk\u00e9 kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 p\u0159est\u0159elky tentokr\u00e1te hodlaj\u00ed rozpoutat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed spekt\u00e1kl.<\/p>\n

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Gener\u00e1l Mohammad Pakpour, nov\u00fd komand\u00fdr\u00a0 ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch Revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard je u\u017e na Ameri\u010dany nat\u011b\u0161en\u00fd a \u201cu\u017e dr\u017e\u00ed prsty na spou\u0161ti\u201d, aby je tentokr\u00e1te pr\u00fd po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b vy\u0161kolil.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

USA maj\u00ed v oblasti teoretick\u00e9ho dosahu ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch dron\u016f a r\u016fzn\u00fdch pro\u00edr\u00e1nsky orientovan\u00fdch d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u016f 19 vojensk\u00fdch a leteck\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen, a na nich rozm\u00edst\u011bno 40 a\u017e 50 tis\u00edc sv\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f nebo civiln\u00edch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f. Tyto z\u00e1kladny se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v Bahrajnu, Egypt\u011b, Ir\u00e1ku, Jord\u00e1nsku, Kuvajtu, Kataru, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii a ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech. Gener\u00e1l Mohammad Pakpour m\u00e1 tedy na v\u00fdb\u011br, kam za\u00fato\u010dit. Jeho hlavn\u00ed \u00fader v\u0161ak bude asi sm\u011b\u0159ovat na Izrael,\u00a0proto\u017ee u\u017e Izraelce varoval<\/a><\/em>\u00a0\u201caby se vyhnuli jak\u00e9mukoli chybn\u00e9mu odhadu<\/em>\u201c. Rovn\u011b\u017e tak nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00fd diplomat Abb\u00e1s Arag\u010d\u010d\u00ed ne\u0161et\u0159il v\u00fdhru\u017ekami a r\u00e1zn\u011b minul\u00fd t\u00fdden varoval \u201cBudeme op\u011btovat palbu v\u0161\u00edm, co m\u00e1me! Tot\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontace bude mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b zu\u0159iv\u00e1 a bude trvat mnohem, mnohem d\u00e9le, ne\u017e slibuj\u00ed vymy\u0161len\u00e9 \u010dasov\u00e9 harmonogramy, kter\u00e9 se Izrael a jeho vazal (Brit\u00e1nie!?) sna\u017e\u00ed vnutit B\u00edl\u00e9mu domu<\/a><\/em>.\u201c.<\/p>\n

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Podle posledn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed se p\u0159\u00edznaky \u00fatoku na Ir\u00e1n mno\u017e\u00ed. \u00c1zerbajd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 letectvo vedlo o v\u00edkendu intenzivn\u00ed REB pr\u016fzkum ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho spojen\u00ed u sv\u00fdch hranic. Do \u0160pan\u011blska p\u0159ilet\u011bla americk\u00e1 tankovac\u00ed letadla, kter\u00e1 jsou nutn\u00e1 pro zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch p\u0159esun\u016f britsk\u00e9ho a americk\u00e9ho letectva do oblasti kolem Ir\u00e1nu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby, a do Kataru a Saudsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie p\u0159ilet\u011blo dohromady 8 britsk\u00fdch st\u00edha\u010dek Eurofighter Typhoon, a dokonce i Macron poslal do oblasti p\u00e1r sv\u00fdch st\u00edha\u010dek Dassault Rafale.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\u017de k \u00fatoku dojde,\u00a0m\u016f\u017ee nazna\u010dovat i nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed podivn\u00e1 ne\u010dinnost Brit\u00e1nie a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed EU proti rusk\u00fdm tanker\u016fm st\u00ednov\u00e9 flotily<\/a>. Podle britsk\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v nyn\u00ed proplouvaj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 tankery kolem Brit\u00e1nie naprosto neru\u0161en\u011b, n\u011bkter\u00e9 jsou sice doprov\u00e1zeny rusk\u00fdmi v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi lod\u011bmi, ale v\u011bt\u0161ina nikoli. Tato n\u00e1hl\u00e1 zdr\u017eenlivost p\u0159i zabavov\u00e1n\u00ed tanker\u016f m\u016f\u017ee souviset,\u00a0jak s p\u0159\u00edtomnost\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho lo\u010fstva kolem Anglie<\/a>, tak s vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi Zacharovov\u00e9, \u017ee Rusko dal\u0161\u00ed akty n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed nebude bez d\u016frazn\u00e9 odvety nad\u00e1le tolerovat, tak skute\u010dnost, \u017ee \u201cplynov\u00e9 z\u00e1sobn\u00edky v EU jsou letos v lednu na polovin\u011b sv\u00e9ho lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho stavu<\/a>\u201c, a \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho odvetn\u00e9ho \u00fatoku m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed dopravy arabsk\u00e9ho plynu LNG do Evropy v pr\u016flivu Hormuz. Z\u00e1soby ropy jsou sice na slu\u0161n\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch, ale z\u00e1soby plynu by mohly b\u00fdt kritick\u00e9,\u00a0u\u017e te\u010f n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed pr\u016fmysln\u00edci varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed hroz\u00edc\u00edm nedostatkem plynu<\/a>,\u00a0 a oboj\u00ed plyn LNG a ropu lze v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u016flivu Hormuz nahradit pouze dod\u00e1vkami z Ruska.<\/p>\n

Asi nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozbu pro Evropany p\u0159edstavuje tato nov\u00e1 eskalace kolem Ir\u00e1nu a Palestiny, proto\u017ee m\u00e1 potenci\u00e1l vyvolat obrovskou, svou velikost\u00ed odsud nev\u00eddanou,\u00a0 vlnu muslimsk\u00fdch uprchl\u00edk\u016f do Evropy. Egyptsk\u00fd prezident Al-S\u00eds\u00ed p\u0159i oslav\u00e1ch sv\u00e1tku \u201cDne policie\u201d v K\u00e1hi\u0159e ozn\u00e1mil,\u00a0\u017ee v\u0161echny p\u0159ipravovan\u00e9 pokusy Izraele a jeho spojenc\u016f vyhnat 2.5 milionu Palestinc\u016f z P\u00e1sma Gazy do Egypta a Jord\u00e1nska budou znamenat, \u017ee Egypt okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159estane br\u00e1nit v\u0161em muslimsk\u00fdm uprchl\u00edk\u016fm, kter\u00e9 po dohod\u011b s EU zadr\u017euje na sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, aby umo\u017en\u00ed jim, aby se d\u00e1le neru\u0161en\u011b p\u0159esunuli do Evropy<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee v Egypt\u011b se podle odhad\u016f nyn\u00ed zdr\u017euje okolo 1.5 milionu uprchl\u00edk\u016f ze S\u00fad\u00e1nu zm\u00edtan\u00e9ho ob\u010danskou v\u00e1lkou, je p\u0159edstava, \u017ee se daj\u00ed spole\u010dn\u011b do pohybu se 2.5 miliony Palestinc\u016f, a s miliony Ir\u00e1nc\u016f, a Ir\u00e1\u010dan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed by mohli za\u010d\u00edt prchat v d\u016fsledku konfliktu, kter\u00fdm v odvet\u011b vyhro\u017eoval Ameri\u010dan\u016fm, \u017ee rozpout\u00e1 ir\u00e1nsk\u00fd gener\u00e1l Pakpour, pro Evropu naprosto d\u011bsiv\u00e1. A vyvolala by siln\u00e9 pos\u00edlen\u00ed nacionalistick\u00fdch pravicov\u00fdch stran, a zm\u011bnu ve slo\u017een\u00ed bruselsk\u00e9 komise EU. Ergo dal\u0161\u00ed konflikt, kter\u00fd vyhovuje Putinovi, proto\u017ee op\u011bt upozad\u00ed Ukrajinu. A m\u016f\u017ee dokonce uvolnit sankce na rusk\u00e9 energie. Z\u0159ejm\u011b proto ru\u0161t\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i nezast\u00edraj\u00ed, \u017ee reakce Kremlu na nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 akce proti Ir\u00e1nu jsou pon\u011bkud velmi mdl\u00e9.<\/p>\n

V sobotu jsem byl hostem na TV Bure\u0161,\u00a0po\u0159ad najdete zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rozpout\u00e1 trio Trump-Netanjahu-Starmer historicky nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vlnu uprchl\u00edk\u016f do Evropy! Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee to nen\u00ed vylou\u010deno!…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":93068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,283,38,107,148,37,303],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97836"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97836"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97836\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97836"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97836"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97836"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}