{"id":97501,"date":"2026-01-22T03:51:01","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T02:51:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=97501"},"modified":"2026-01-22T03:51:01","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T02:51:01","slug":"trumpova-velka-strategie-konsolidace-se-stretava-se-zajmy-velkych-technologickych-firem-hlubokeho-statu-a-izraele","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/22\/trumpova-velka-strategie-konsolidace-se-stretava-se-zajmy-velkych-technologickych-firem-hlubokeho-statu-a-izraele\/","title":{"rendered":"Trumpova velk\u00e1 strategie \u201ekonsolidace\u201c se st\u0159et\u00e1v\u00e1 se z\u00e1jmy velk\u00fdch technologick\u00fdch firem, hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu a Izraele"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee USA \u010del\u00ed multipolarit\u011b a vnit\u0159n\u00edmu rozkolu, Trumpova zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika osciluje mezi zdr\u017eenlivost\u00ed a eskalac\u00ed. Expert A. Wess Mitchell tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee koncept konsolidace je Trumpovou velkou strategi\u00ed, nicm\u00e9n\u011b delegov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 obrany a depriorizace Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v praxi mnohem obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Jako hlavn\u00ed rozpory se jev\u00ed Gr\u00f3nsko, \u00cdr\u00e1n a NATO.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump\u016fv Washington se sna\u017e\u00ed o tolik r\u016fzn\u00fdch v\u011bc\u00ed najednou, \u017ee pochopen\u00ed dne\u0161n\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky USA se stalo obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fdm \u00fakolem i pro zku\u0161en\u00e9 pozorovatele. Obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky a m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory, hrozby a gesta sm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed, stahov\u00e1n\u00ed vojsk a eskalace \u2013 to v\u0161e v washingtonsk\u00fdch sd\u011blen\u00edch neklidn\u011b koexistuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Do tohoto zmatku vn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed ned\u00e1vn\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek A. Wesse Mitchella s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Velk\u00e1 strategie Trumpovy zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Mitchell, b\u00fdval\u00fd n\u00e1m\u011bstek ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed pro Evropu a Eurasii, tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee za novou N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategi\u00ed (NSS) Trumpovy administrativy stoj\u00ed ucelen\u00e1 logika. Podle Mitchella je touto logikou \u201ekonsolidace\u201c: historicky podlo\u017een\u00e1 \u201evelk\u00e1 strategie\u201c, podle n\u00ed\u017e p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e1 velmoc akceptuje kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 \u201ekompromisy\u201c, aby znovu vybudovala svou z\u00e1kladn\u00ed s\u00edlu pro dlouhodobou konkurenci.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA, jak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 (stejn\u011b jako mnoho expert\u016f), jsou vojensky i ekonomicky\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, neschopn\u00e9 bojovat na v\u00edce front\u00e1ch a z\u00e1rove\u0148 ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u010c\u00ednou p\u016fdu pod nohama v pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 a technologick\u00e9 kapacit\u011b. \u201eKonsolidace\u201c proto znamen\u00e1 z\u00fa\u017een\u00ed z\u00e1vazk\u016f, \u201edelegov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee na spojence, \u201epos\u00edlen\u00ed\u201c z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule, \u201eodstran\u011bn\u00ed priorit\u201c sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch oblast\u00ed a n\u00e1kup \u010dasu diplomaci\u00ed p\u0159i reindustrializaci doma. Mitchell ve skute\u010dnosti tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tento p\u0159\u00edstup nen\u00ed izolacionistick\u00fd, ale obez\u0159etn\u00fd, zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00fd v klasick\u00e9 logice slad\u011bn\u00ed \u201e\u00fa\u010del\u016f\u201c s \u201eprost\u0159edky\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mitchell tak identifikuje p\u011bt \u201ekonsolida\u010dn\u00edch\u201c pil\u00ed\u0159\u016f: 1. dominance z\u00e1padn\u00ed hemisf\u00e9ry (\u201e\u00a0<\/span>neomonroeismus<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, jak to naz\u00fdv\u00e1m), 2. \u0159\u00edzen\u00fd modus vivendi s \u010c\u00ednou, 3. delegov\u00e1n\u00ed obrany na Evropu, 4. zmen\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edch zapleten\u00ed a 5. dom\u00e1c\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Budu argumentovat, \u017ee t\u011bchto p\u011bt bod\u016f (zejm\u00e9na t\u0159et\u00ed a \u010dtvrt\u00fd) \u010del\u00ed nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159em zdroj\u016fm tlaku: obrann\u00e9mu sektoru, velk\u00fdm technologick\u00fdm firm\u00e1m a izraelsk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m nen\u00ed v tom, zda \u201ekonsolidace\u201c d\u00e1v\u00e1 teoretick\u00fd smysl. Skute\u010dnou ot\u00e1zkou je, zda takovou strategii m\u016f\u017ee prosazovat vnit\u0159n\u011b rozd\u011blen\u00e1, politicky rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 a siln\u011b lobbovan\u00e1 supervelmoc pod Trumpov\u00fdm veden\u00edm. Kontextem nen\u00ed jen vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt a upadaj\u00edc\u00ed, p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 USA, ale tak\u00e9 zem\u011b uv\u00edzl\u00e1 ve\u00a0<\/span>vnit\u0159n\u00edm konfliktu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdm \u201e\u00a0<\/span>hlubok\u00fdm st\u00e1tem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c a prezidentem, kter\u00fd otev\u0159en\u011b vede \u201ev\u00e1lku\u201c a \u201e\u00a0<\/span>\u010distky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c proti jeho frakc\u00edm (aby\u00a0<\/span>zv\u00fd\u0161il svou vlastn\u00ed moc<\/span><\/a>\u00a0). Jde o to, \u017ee \u201ekonsolidace\u201c p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00fd stupe\u0148 vnit\u0159n\u00ed soudr\u017enosti a strategick\u00e9 discipl\u00edny, kter\u00e1 Washingtonu st\u00e1le v\u00edce chyb\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V b\u0159eznu 2025 jsem\u00a0<\/span>tvrdil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Trump je ji\u017e nyn\u00ed pod siln\u00fdm tlakem americk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu. Navzdory jeho r\u00e9torice o \u201em\u00edru skrze s\u00edlu\u201c Trumpovy sporadick\u00e9 deeskala\u010dn\u00ed impulsy ohro\u017euj\u00ed cykly zad\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zak\u00e1zek, dlouhodob\u00e9 zbrojn\u00ed programy a politickou ekonomii permanentn\u00ed mobilizace. Nen\u00ed tedy divu, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd n\u00e1znak \u0161krt\u016f se setk\u00e1v\u00e1 s protitlakem ve form\u011b nov\u00fdch opera\u010dn\u00edch s\u00e1l\u016f, nov\u00fdch hrozeb a nov\u00fdch ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed pro v\u00fddaje. P\u0159\u00edli\u0161 rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e, kter\u00e1 se pokou\u0161\u00ed o konsolidaci, zat\u00edmco jej\u00ed vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna vy\u017eaduje expanzi, je dostate\u010dn\u011b p\u0159\u00edkr\u00fd rozpor, aby podkopal cel\u00fd projekt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pak jsou tu velk\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 firmy. Jak jsem\u00a0<\/span>poznamenal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0loni, technologick\u00ed giganti propojen\u00ed s \u201ehlubok\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty\u201c formuj\u00ed Trumpovu glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politiku zp\u016fsoby, o kter\u00fdch se m\u00e1lo informuje. Od datov\u00e9 infrastruktury a dohledu a\u017e po arktickou konektivitu a vesm\u00edrn\u00e9 syst\u00e9my jsou z\u00e1jmy velk\u00fdch technologick\u00fdch firem z\u00e1sadn\u011b v rozporu se strategickou zdr\u017eenlivost\u00ed. Arktida, a zejm\u00e9na Gr\u00f3nsko, to jasn\u011b ilustruj\u00ed. Trumpova n\u00e1tlakov\u00e1 kampa\u0148 proti Gr\u00f3nsku je tak\u00e9 tlakem na digit\u00e1ln\u00ed, logistickou a zdrojovou dominanci ,\u00a0<\/span>kter\u00e1 je ji\u017e poh\u00e1n\u011bna<\/span><\/a>\u00a0imperativy technologick\u00e9ho sektoru. Zat\u00edmco tedy Mitchell hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201euvoln\u011bn\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159ky p\u00e1sma\u201c, Washington ve skute\u010dnosti otev\u00edr\u00e1 novou frontu s Evropou a Ruskem sou\u010dasn\u011b na Dalek\u00e9m severu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takzvan\u00e1 \u201e\u00a0<\/span>izraelsk\u00e1 lobby<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c p\u0159edstavuje t\u0159et\u00ed vektor tlaku. V \u010dervnu 2025 ji\u017e bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Trumpovy pokusy o\u00a0<\/span>rekalibraci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0americko-izraelsk\u00fdch vztah\u016f se setkaj\u00ed s v\u00fdzvami. Ne\u00fanavn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed Tel Avivu o konfrontaci s \u00cdr\u00e1nem stav\u00ed Washington do obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 situace. Trumpovo flirtov\u00e1n\u00ed s \u201e\u00a0<\/span>odsunut\u00edm<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c Izraele na vedlej\u0161\u00ed kolej a z\u00e1rove\u0148 po\u017eadov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fastupk\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b p\u0159\u00edstupu ke\u00a0<\/span>zdroj\u016fm Gazy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, jasn\u011b ilustruje takov\u00fd pokus uklidnit obrann\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy a proizraelsk\u00e9 voli\u010de a z\u00e1rove\u0148 prosazovat dominanci. Tolik k \u010dist\u00e9mu odchodu z bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edch zapleten\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pak je tu Epsteinova af\u00e9ra, kter\u00e1 p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed destabilizuj\u00edc\u00ed vrstvu. Krom\u011b konspira\u010dn\u00edch teori\u00ed by se jej\u00ed potenci\u00e1l pro vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed a intriky elit nem\u011bl podce\u0148ovat, jak jsem ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve\u00a0<\/span>zd\u016fraznil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V syst\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd je ji\u017e tak ta\u017een mnoha sm\u011bry, mohou takov\u00e9 p\u00e1kov\u00e9 mechanismy nen\u00e1padn\u011b, ale rozhodn\u011b ovliv\u0148ovat politick\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky. \u201eKonsolidace\u201c se pak st\u00e1v\u00e1 obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, kdy\u017e je v s\u00e1zce samotn\u00e9 politick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mitchell\u016fv t\u0159et\u00ed bod, delegov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 obrany na Evropany, nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00ed sv\u00e9 nejt\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed zkou\u0161ce. Trumpovy (technologicky poh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9) otev\u0159en\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>hrozby<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a tlak ohledn\u011b Gr\u00f3nska jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zaly\u00a0<\/span>nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0mezi USA a Evropou a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b\u00a0<\/span>podkopaly<\/span><\/a>\u00a0samotn\u00e9 NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit, jak m\u016f\u017ee Washington neust\u00e1le\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159esouvat b\u0159emeno<\/span><\/a>\u00a0nap\u0159\u00edklad Ukrajiny na Evropu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si ji antagonizovat. Nen\u00ed p\u0159ita\u017een\u00e9 za vlasy spekulovat, \u017ee ot\u00e1zka Gr\u00f3nska nejen rozbije NATO, ale tak\u00e9 znovu p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed Evropu\u00a0<\/span>k Rusku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, co\u017e se strategicky obr\u00e1t\u00ed proti nim. Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, delegov\u00e1n\u00ed vy\u017eaduje d\u016fv\u011bru; n\u00e1tlak ji v\u0161ak naru\u0161uje.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010ctvrt\u00fd bod, deprivace Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, je stejn\u011b problematick\u00fd. Trumpovo\u00a0<\/span>nap\u011bt\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(vyvolan\u00e9 izraelsk\u00fdm a obrann\u00fdm tlakem) ukazuje\u00a0<\/span>, jak obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bude sta\u017een\u00ed se z konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, sou\u010dasn\u00e1 americk\u00e1 administrativa osciluje mezi zdr\u017eenlivost\u00ed a eskalac\u00ed, zastaven\u00edm st\u00e1vek a obnoven\u00fdmi hrozbami. V teorii se m\u016f\u017ee jednat o \u201ekonsolidaci\u201c, ale v praxi to ne v\u017edy b\u00fdv\u00e1. Vnit\u0159n\u011b rozd\u011blen\u00e9 USA, ta\u017een\u00e9 spojenci, lobby a tlakem pr\u016fmyslu, se pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s udr\u017een\u00edm discipl\u00edny, kterou takov\u00e1 strategie vy\u017eaduje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mitchellova anal\u00fdza je spr\u00e1vn\u00e1: konsolidace je rozumn\u00e1 velk\u00e1 strategie. Z americk\u00e9ho pohledu v\u0161ak v\u00fdzvy spo\u010d\u00edvaj\u00ed v jej\u00edm proveden\u00ed. Trumpa op\u011bt t\u00e1hne sou\u010dasn\u011b obrann\u00fd sektor, velk\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 firmy, izraelsk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy a vnitropolitick\u00e9 intriky, zat\u00edmco se sna\u017e\u00ed uklidnit v\u0161echny akt\u00e9ry najednou. To m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt politicky nezbytn\u00e9, ale strategicky je to nesoudr\u017en\u00e9. To vede k p\u0159ehnan\u00e9mu z\u00e1vazku, zat\u00edmco zdr\u017eenlivost (v jin\u00fdch oblastech) bez jednoty vede k paral\u00fdze. USA dnes projevuj\u00ed ob\u011b tendence najednou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Konsolidace se tak m\u016f\u017ee prom\u011bnit v mozaiku improvizac\u00ed. Zda se tato rozd\u011blen\u00e1 supervelmoc dok\u00e1\u017ee skute\u010dn\u011b konsolidovat, a ne se znovu p\u0159ehnan\u011b napnout, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159enou ot\u00e1zkou. A jak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 s\u00e1m Mitchell, \u201ep\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 syst\u00e9my maj\u00ed tendenci se hroutit\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee USA \u010del\u00ed multipolarit\u011b a vnit\u0159n\u00edmu rozkolu, Trumpova zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika osciluje mezi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":97502,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,107,1894,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97501"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97501"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97501\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97502"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97501"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97501"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97501"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}