{"id":97380,"date":"2026-01-21T00:21:57","date_gmt":"2026-01-20T23:21:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=97380"},"modified":"2026-01-20T11:42:19","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T10:42:19","slug":"leo-hohmann-byla-valka-s-iranem-zazehnana-nebo-pouze-odlozena","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/21\/leo-hohmann-byla-valka-s-iranem-zazehnana-nebo-pouze-odlozena\/","title":{"rendered":"Leo Hohmann: Byla v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem za\u017eehn\u00e1na \u2013 nebo pouze odlo\u017eena?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Trumpa z\u0159ejm\u011b znepokojil rusk\u00fd slib tentokr\u00e1t podpo\u0159it \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 ale p\u0159epracuje nyn\u00ed, jak navrhl Lindsey Graham, sv\u016fj bojov\u00fd pl\u00e1n pro \u201erozs\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00ed\u201c operaci a riskuje t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prezident Donald Trump \u00fadajn\u011b ve st\u0159edu odvolal pl\u00e1novanou invazi do \u00cdr\u00e1nu pot\u00e9, co mu jeho poradci na zased\u00e1n\u00ed Rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti nezaru\u010dili rychlou a rozhodnou por\u00e1\u017eku isl\u00e1msk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Neexistuj\u00ed v\u0161ak \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee by USA st\u00e1hly vojensk\u00e9 zdroje z regionu, a k \u00fatoku by mohlo doj\u00edt i pozd\u011bji.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010clov\u011bk by o\u010dek\u00e1val, \u017ee se Trump setk\u00e1 se sv\u00fdmi poradci a nech\u00e1 si od nich vy\u0161et\u0159it situaci, ne\u017e ve\u0159ejn\u011b \u0159ekne \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm protestuj\u00edc\u00edm, aby pokra\u010dovali v demonstrac\u00edch, proto\u017ee \u201epomoc je na cest\u011b\u201c. Ale to je Donald Trump. Nedok\u00e1\u017ee ovl\u00e1dat sv\u00e1 slova a v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b to pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b lidi st\u00e1lo \u017eivot. V\u011b\u0159ili, \u017ee pomoc doraz\u00ed v hodin\u011b nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nouze \u2013 a nestala se. Trump si to rozmyslel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zem\u011b odvolaly sv\u016fj mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed person\u00e1l z Teher\u00e1nu a regionu. Byly nasazeny vojensk\u00e9 zdroje. Propagandistick\u00e1 v\u00e1lka byla v pln\u00e9m proudu a prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm soci\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed a r\u016fzn\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch kan\u00e1l\u016f zprava, zleva i ze st\u0159edu p\u0159i\u017eivovala podporu pro v\u00e1lku doma.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zpr\u00e1vy nazna\u010dovaly, \u017ee \u00fatok USA na \u00cdr\u00e1n je \u201ebezprost\u0159edn\u00ed\u201c a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b k n\u011bmu dojde do 24 hodin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale \u00fadajn\u00e1 dynamika narazila na zem n\u011bkdy ve st\u0159edu odpoledne, kdy\u017e Trump poznamenal, \u017ee re\u017eim z\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159estal st\u0159\u00edlet na protestuj\u00edc\u00ed. V p\u00e1tek Trump znovu zve\u0159ejnil p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek, v n\u011bm\u017e uvedl, \u017ee respektuje skute\u010dnost, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim zru\u0161il v\u0161echny pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 popravy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jasn\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed z Ruska mohlo tak\u00e9 spustit Trumpovu zm\u011bnu n\u00e1zoru. Pot\u00e9, co Trump \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm protestuj\u00edc\u00edm sl\u00edbil, \u017ee \u201epomoc je na cest\u011b\u201c, rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed prohl\u00e1silo, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 intervence v \u00cdr\u00e1nu bude m\u00edt \u201ekatastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky\u201c. Toto je kryc\u00ed slovo pro t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To op\u011bt neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee k v\u00e1lce nedojde. Naopak, byl bych p\u0159ekvapen, kdyby k n\u00ed nedo\u0161lo. USA prost\u011b nebyly p\u0159ipraveny na tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invazi a pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 vypuknut\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, tak\u017ee v\u0161e bylo prozat\u00edm odlo\u017eeno.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trumpova administrativa je nyn\u00ed nucena vypracovat nov\u00fd bojov\u00fd pl\u00e1n, pokud skute\u010dn\u011b usiluje o zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 a j\u00e1 v\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee ano. Trump a Netanjahu v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee jejich p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost by se mohla brzy zav\u0159\u00edt. Ve skute\u010dnosti u\u017e mo\u017en\u00e1 skon\u010dila a jak\u00fdkoli nov\u00fd \u00fato\u010dn\u00fd pl\u00e1n by mohl v\u00e9st k hr\u016fzn\u00e9mu krveprolit\u00ed a zat\u00e1hnout do v\u00e1lky Rusko, a mo\u017en\u00e1 i \u010c\u00ednu a dal\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud jsme se ale o Trumpovi n\u011bco nau\u010dili, tak je to, \u017ee miluje v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed \u2013 \u010d\u00edm dramati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, t\u00edm lep\u0161\u00ed. Rychl\u00e1 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se odehr\u00e1vaj\u00ed st\u0159\u00eddav\u011b. I kdy\u017e jsou tato v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e jen vjemem ne\u017e realitou, p\u0159ip\u00ed\u0161e si plnou z\u00e1sluhu a v\u00edt\u011bzn\u011b se vyd\u00e1 na cestu. \u00cdr\u00e1n mu nenab\u00eddl \u017e\u00e1dnou mo\u017enost, jak se st\u00e1t jasn\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzem, a tak ustoupil, dokud mu nebude p\u0159edlo\u017eena atraktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nab\u00eddka. Jeho ego mu nakonec nedovol\u00ed ustoupit trvale. Za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n. A \u00cdr\u00e1n bude p\u0159edstavovat mnohem t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdzvu, ne\u017e jakou Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 \u010delili ve v\u00e1lce v Ir\u00e1ku v roce 2003.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lka v \u010dervnu 2025 byla jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fasp\u011bchem. V\u00fdrazn\u011b oslabila \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, ale k tomu se j\u00ed moc nepoda\u0159ilo. Nepoda\u0159ilo se j\u00ed svrhnout re\u017eim ani ho v\u00fdrazn\u011b oslabit. V\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee Trump a Netanjahu v \u010dervnu prome\u0161kali p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost zasadit \u00cdr\u00e1nu rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fader.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a Izraelci neust\u00e1le podce\u0148uj\u00ed schopnost \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu udr\u017eet si moc.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Posledn\u00ed t\u0159i t\u00fddny protest\u016f v \u00cdr\u00e1nu by m\u011bly oslabit re\u017eim natolik, \u017ee by USA mohly vyslat svou arm\u00e1du a v podstat\u011b prov\u00e9st \u010dist\u00edc\u00ed operaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Protesty se v\u0161ak poda\u0159ilo dostat pod kontrolu a Trumpova administrativa si uv\u011bdomila, \u017ee americk\u00e9 jednotky by v Teher\u00e1nu narazily na siln\u00fd odpor. Navzdory v\u0161em fale\u0161n\u00fdm zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m o jeho \u00fadajn\u00e9m p\u00e1du re\u017eim z\u016fstal pevn\u011b u moci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9 uv\u011b\u0159it tomu, co v\u011bt\u0161ina m\u00e9di\u00ed informuje o Ukrajin\u011b, Venezuele nebo \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Nejsou to skute\u010dn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy zalo\u017een\u00e9 na faktech z ter\u00e9nu. Jsou to narativy diktovan\u00e9 dezinformacemi CIA a bohu\u017eel p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho jinak solidn\u00edch konzervativn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed jim nalet\u00ed a \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed tato fale\u0161n\u00e1 tvrzen\u00ed. Pokud jde o jejich zpravodajstv\u00ed o mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztaz\u00edch, konzervativn\u00ed m\u00e9dia \u2013 a\u017e na n\u011bkolik v\u00fdjimek \u2013 jsou sotva lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e liber\u00e1ln\u00ed mainstream.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi neokonzervativci jsou ti, kte\u0159\u00ed za\u010dnou v\u011b\u0159it vlastn\u00ed propagand\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b p\u0159evl\u00e1dal narativ, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika je na pokraji kolapsu a \u017ee n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f pouli\u010dn\u00edch protest\u016f by ji mohlo oslabit natolik, aby ji p\u0159ipravilo na vojensk\u00fd p\u0159evrat veden\u00fd USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Politolog John Mearsheimer z Chicagsk\u00e9 univerzity hovo\u0159il s podplukovn\u00edkem Danielem Davisem o \u00cdr\u00e1nu v rozhovoru ze 14. ledna. Ud\u00e1losti popsal jako klasickou \u010dty\u0159f\u00e1zovou barevnou revoluci iniciovanou CIA. V \u010dase od 25. minuty vysv\u011btluje, jak tyto psychologick\u00e9 operace funguj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Profesor John Mearsheimer: NATO m\u00e1 HLUBOK\u00c9 POT\u00cd\u017dE a na Ukrajin\u011b t\u011b\u017ece prohr\u00e1v\u00e1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/pP3xHQ39Hno?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mearsheimer \u0159ekl:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eKdy\u017e protesty poprv\u00e9 vypukly a my jsme sly\u0161eli, jak je prezentovala z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia, v podstat\u011b se jednalo o to, \u017ee v \u00cdr\u00e1nu je velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou s re\u017eimem hluboce nespokojeni, \u017ee re\u017eim zemi \u0159\u00eddil \u0161patn\u011b a \u017ee se rozhodli, \u017ee je \u010das nejen protestovat, ale i re\u017eim svrhnout. A to se na Z\u00e1pad\u011b zd\u00e1 naprosto v\u011brohodn\u00e9, proto\u017ee kdo by mohl m\u00edt r\u00e1d re\u017eim, jako je ten v \u00cdr\u00e1nu? Ale te\u010f si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je naprosto jasn\u00e9, \u017ee toto zobrazen\u00ed je nepravdiv\u00e9. To, co se d\u011bje v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, p\u0159\u00edmo odpov\u00edd\u00e1 americko-izraelsk\u00e9mu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i pro zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pot\u00e9 nast\u00ednil klasick\u00fd \u010dty\u0159krokov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd CIA pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed revoluc\u00ed, je\u017e maj\u00ed v\u00e9st ke zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Probl\u00e9m byl v tom, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nikdy nepostoupil za druhou f\u00e1zi a nebyl p\u0159ipraven na vojenskou intervenci USA. A Trump byl alespo\u0148 natolik chytr\u00fd, \u017ee naslouchal sv\u00fdm poradc\u016fm a nepokra\u010doval v operaci, kter\u00e1 byla odsouzena k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu. Ob\u00e1v\u00e1m se, \u017ee se na obzoru ji\u017e r\u00fdsuje je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 operace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zde je rozbor toho, jak CIA podle profesora Mearsheimera organizuje revoluce:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePrvn\u00edm prvkem je, \u017ee na zemi uval\u00edme sankce, zni\u010d\u00edme jej\u00ed ekonomiku a ud\u011bl\u00e1me v\u0161e, co je v na\u0161ich sil\u00e1ch, abychom obyvatelstvo hluboce nespokojili, proto\u017ee nesou obrovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1klady,\u201c \u0159ekl. \u201eT\u011bmito sankcemi je trest\u00e1me. Ud\u011blali jsme to ve Venezuele. Ud\u011blali jsme to v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Ale kdo nese hlavn\u00ed odpov\u011bdnost za vytvo\u0159en\u00ed t\u011bchto hrozn\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch podm\u00ednek? Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Druh\u00fdm krokem je, aby americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nakonec rozhodla, \u017ee ekonomika je dostate\u010dn\u011b oslaben\u00e1 a je \u010das zorganizovat masivn\u00ed pouli\u010dn\u00ed protesty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eA my budeme tyto masivn\u00ed protesty podn\u011bcovat,\u201c \u0159ekl Mearsheimer. \u201eP\u0159esn\u011b to se stalo v \u00cdr\u00e1nu na konci prosince 2025. Nyn\u00ed existuje dostatek d\u016fkaz\u016f o tom, \u017ee Mossad byl hluboce zapojen do toho, co se v \u00cdr\u00e1nu stalo. Nav\u00edc existuj\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed prezidenta Trumpa a b\u00fdval\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Mika Pompea, kter\u00e1 jasn\u011b ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se na podn\u011bcov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to krize pod\u00edlely od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kdy\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1nci vypnuli internet, aby naru\u0161ili komunikaci protestuj\u00edc\u00edch, v \u00cdr\u00e1nu se n\u00e1hle objevilo 40 000 termin\u00e1l\u016f Starlink. Ty poch\u00e1zely od Elona Muska, v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho podnikatele v oblasti zbran\u00ed, kter\u00fd je \u00fazce napojen na americk\u00fd vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd a zpravodajsk\u00fd komplex.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">T\u0159et\u00edm krokem je rozpoutat masivn\u00ed dezinforma\u010dn\u00ed kampa\u0148, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 podle Mearsheimera p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit v\u0161echny na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, \u017ee tyto protesty vznikly organicky, \u017ee USA a Izrael s nimi nemaj\u00ed nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho a \u017ee demonstranti byli v\u00fdhradn\u011b \u201eu\u0161lechtil\u00fdmi vlastenci\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee mezi nimi nebyli \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed opravdov\u00ed vlastenci. Bylo jich mnoho. Ale nebyli hlavn\u00edmi organiz\u00e1tory.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTato dezinforma\u010dn\u00ed kampa\u0148 vys\u00edl\u00e1 v \u00cdr\u00e1nu zpr\u00e1vu, \u017ee s re\u017eimem je konec, \u017ee \u200b\u200bprotestuj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed a \u017ee neexistuje zp\u016fsob, jak to zastavit,\u201c \u0159ekl Mearsheimer. \u201eSna\u017e\u00edme se tedy touto dezinforma\u010dn\u00ed kampan\u00ed vytvo\u0159it v \u00cdr\u00e1nu dynamiku.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jakmile protesty dos\u00e1hnou ur\u010dit\u00e9ho bodu, n\u00e1sleduje \u010dtvrt\u00e1 a posledn\u00ed f\u00e1ze: Americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zas\u00e1hne, aby zachr\u00e1nila situaci, a za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na ve\u0161kerou kritickou infrastrukturu a elitn\u00ed \u00fakryty v \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eProv\u00e1d\u00edme tah z milosti, svrh\u00e1v\u00e1me re\u017eim,\u201c \u0159ekl Mearsheimer. \u201eTo je z\u00e1kladn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159. M\u016f\u017eete ho vid\u011bt ve Venezuele. Je to zm\u011bna re\u017eimu, jak jsme vid\u011bli u\u017e mnohokr\u00e1t. A te\u010f je\u0161t\u011b jedna posledn\u00ed pozn\u00e1mka: Selhala.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro\u010d selhala barevn\u00e1 revoluce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, podporovan\u00e1 USA a Izraelem?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mearsheimer vysv\u011btlil:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eZaprv\u00e9, po\u010det protest\u016f do st\u0159edy drasticky klesl. Pokud selhal druh\u00fd a t\u0159et\u00ed pil\u00ed\u0159 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, jak m\u016f\u017ee vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla zachr\u00e1nit situaci? Trump rozhodn\u011b zam\u00fd\u0161lel pou\u017e\u00edt vojenskou s\u00edlu, ale to se m\u011blo st\u00e1t a\u017e tehdy, kdy\u017e bude re\u017eim na konci. Nyn\u00ed re\u017eim na konci nen\u00ed. Re\u017eim zde vyhr\u00e1l. Protesty rozdrtil. Ne \u00fapln\u011b. Ale rozdrt\u00ed je \u00fapln\u011b. A poprav\u00ed velk\u00fd po\u010det v\u016fdc\u016f t\u011bchto protest\u016f. Ot\u00e1zkou tedy je: Co m\u016f\u017ee Trump ud\u011blat te\u010f? Je v jin\u00e9 pozici, ne\u017e jakou p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal. V\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee situaci m\u016f\u017ee zachr\u00e1nit vojenskou silou?\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mohu \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee jsem nikdy nevid\u011bl Lindseyho Grahama, hlavn\u00edho povzbuzovatele neokonzervativc\u016f, tak skl\u00ed\u010den\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bjako byl ve \u010dtvrtek pot\u00e9, co Trump \u00fatok odvolal.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Lindsey Graham nal\u00e9h\u00e1 na Donalda Trumpa, aby podnikl \u201erozs\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00ed\u201c kroky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, aby splnil po\u017eadavky nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho re\u017eimu.\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MrmKB3XaPCA?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory v\u0161emu, co Mearsheimer odhalil o ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 barevn\u00e9 revoluci v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, bychom nem\u011bli podce\u0148ovat roli Vladimira Putina v zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00e9mu \u00fatoku. Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pl\u00e1ny zhatil prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm o rusk\u00e9 p\u0159ipravenosti odp\u00e1lit hypersonick\u00e9 rakety Ore\u0161nik na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly v regionu \u2013 a Trump v\u00ed, \u017ee USA nemaj\u00ed proti t\u011bmto extr\u00e9mn\u011b rychl\u00fdm a vysoce obratn\u00fdm zbran\u00edm \u017e\u00e1dnou obranu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na rozd\u00edl od dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v \u010dervnu 2025 tentokr\u00e1t \u00cdr\u00e1n po\u017e\u00e1dal o ruskou \u2013 a mo\u017en\u00e1 i o \u010d\u00ednskou \u2013 pomoc. Zpr\u00e1vy nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee za naru\u0161en\u00ed termin\u00e1l\u016f Starlinku byli zodpov\u011bdn\u00ed Rusov\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato \u00farove\u0148 rusk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem v \u010dervnu neexistovala, ale Trump si Putina v souvislosti s v\u00e1lkou na Ukrajin\u011b natolik odcizil, \u017ee s n\u00edm Putin nyn\u00ed p\u0159eru\u0161il vztahy. U\u017e mu ned\u016fv\u011b\u0159uje. A Trump nyn\u00ed skl\u00edz\u00ed n\u00e1sledky sv\u00e9ho vlastn\u00edho selh\u00e1n\u00ed v udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed komunika\u010dn\u00edch kan\u00e1l\u016f s Putinem otev\u0159en\u00fdch. Sp\u00e1lil tento most t\u00edm, \u017ee splnil p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho a neokonzervativc\u016f \u2013 a Putin ho te\u010f u\u017e neposlouch\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Katar rovn\u011b\u017e ozn\u00e1mily, \u017ee nedovol\u00ed americk\u00fdm st\u00edha\u010dk\u00e1m prolet\u011bt sv\u00fdm vzdu\u0161n\u00fdm prostorem za \u00fa\u010delem \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n by tak\u00e9 mohl uzav\u0159\u00edt Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a naru\u0161it tok glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dod\u00e1vek ropy. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b dlouh\u00e9 a vlekl\u00e9 v\u00e1lky by to zni\u010dilo z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Douf\u00e1m, \u017ee tento \u010dl\u00e1nek objasnil, \u017ee \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159edstavuje velmi re\u00e1ln\u00e9 a slo\u017eit\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy. Neokonzervativci v\u0161echny tyto slo\u017eitosti p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017eej\u00ed a ve sv\u00e9m vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed se zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na emoce dan\u00e9ho okam\u017eiku, \u010d\u00edm\u017e v\u0161e redukuj\u00ed na svobodu a demokracii pro trp\u00edc\u00ed lid. To rezonuje s masami, ale je to to posledn\u00ed, o co jim skute\u010dn\u011b z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed. Neokonzervativci a jejich korpor\u00e1tn\u00ed kump\u00e1ni nevid\u00ed sv\u011bt z hlediska svobody a demokracie, ale z hlediska smluv a pen\u011bz na obnovu dal\u0161\u00ed zdevastovan\u00e9 zem\u011b. Vid\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed v\u00edce ropn\u00fdch pol\u00ed nebo k t\u011b\u017eb\u011b v\u00edce p\u016fdy pro nerostn\u00e9 suroviny. Je to extr\u00e9mn\u011b slo\u017eit\u00fd obraz, ale m\u00e9dia r\u00e1da \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed zjednodu\u0161en\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy, proto\u017ee p\u0159itahuj\u00ed \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e a zvy\u0161uj\u00ed dosah. V\u011bt\u0161ina Ameri\u010dan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed nejsou ochotni investovat \u010das do pochopen\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f, tomu poka\u017ed\u00e9 nalet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rozhodnut\u00ed Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, jedn\u00e9 z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed v regionu, uzav\u0159\u00edt sv\u016fj vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor pro americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu tak\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuje obrovsk\u00fd zlom s dalekos\u00e1hl\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky pro americk\u00e9 imp\u00e9rium.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trumpova agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed by \u0159ekli a\u017e bezohledn\u00e1 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika by mohla \u00cdr\u00e1n a Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii dov\u00e9st k nov\u00e9 alianci. Dva tradi\u010dn\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 nyn\u00ed sd\u00edlej\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00fd z\u00e1jem: Izrael, s podporou prezidenta, kter\u00fd v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b stoj\u00ed na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b v \u010dele Izraele, je st\u00e1le v\u00edce vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako nebezpe\u010dn\u011b nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fd. Sa\u00fadov\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed jednali o normalizaci vztah\u016f s Izraelem, nyn\u00ed vid\u00ed Izrael jako zemi, kter\u00e1 p\u0159ekro\u010dila p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho \u010derven\u00fdch lini\u00ed. V jejich o\u010d\u00edch mus\u00ed b\u00fdt Izrael v r\u00e1mci celkov\u00e9 mocensk\u00e9 struktury Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu omezen. Netanjahu se stal na jejich vkus p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 agresivn\u00edm a sebev\u011bdom\u00fdm a pln\u011b vyu\u017eil sv\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed s Donaldem Trumpem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Abychom Trumpovi porozum\u011bli, m\u011bli bychom se pod\u00edvat na jeho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed podporovatele. Pat\u0159\u00ed mezi n\u011b miliard\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 kasinov\u00e1 magn\u00e1tka Miriam Adelsonov\u00e1 a mana\u017eer hedgeov\u00e9ho fondu Paul Singer. Singer koupil Citgo, americkou dce\u0159inou spole\u010dnost venezuelsk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti, a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b masivn\u011b profituje z Trumpova sesazen\u00ed Nicol\u00e1se Madura ve Venezuele. Adelson je siln\u00fdm zast\u00e1ncem americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 pro Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nakonec stejn\u011b za\u00fato\u010d\u00edme na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Zdvojn\u00e1sob\u00edme sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, budeme i nad\u00e1le hledat slabiny v re\u017eimu a \u010dekat na dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1minku. Ale jak\u00e1koli iluze, kterou Trump mohl m\u00edt o rychl\u00e9 operaci dovnit\u0159 a ven, kter\u00e1 by z n\u011bj ud\u011blala Supermana, je nyn\u00ed zni\u010dena. To si vy\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed operaci, ne\u017e Trump p\u016fvodn\u011b pl\u00e1noval, a mohlo by to rozpoutat kinetickou f\u00e1zi t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/leohohmann.substack.com\/p\/was-iran-war-averted-or-just-postponed?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=787967&amp;post_id=184807020&amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;isFreemail=true&amp;r=pf6gr&amp;triedRedirect=true&amp;utm_medium=email\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trumpa z\u0159ejm\u011b znepokojil rusk\u00fd slib tentokr\u00e1t podpo\u0159it \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 ale p\u0159epracuje nyn\u00ed, jak navrhl Lindsey&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81927,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97380"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97380\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}