{"id":97035,"date":"2026-01-16T07:31:35","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T06:31:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=97035"},"modified":"2026-01-16T07:31:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T06:31:52","slug":"andrew-korybko-proc-usa-signalizovaly-podporu-jednotkam-nato-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/16\/andrew-korybko-proc-usa-signalizovaly-podporu-jednotkam-nato-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Pro\u010d USA signalizovaly podporu jednotk\u00e1m NATO na Ukrajin\u011b?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Mohlo by se jednat o vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed taktiku, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je donutit Rusko k \u00fastupk\u016fm v jeho maximalistick\u00fdch c\u00edlech v konfliktu jako protihodnotu za to, \u017ee se nep\u0159ehodnot\u00ed priorita Ruska v jeho zdr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed oproti \u010c\u00edn\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 na jednotky st\u00e1t\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b, a t\u00edm se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost jejich skute\u010dn\u00e9ho nasazen\u00ed tam.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francie a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/630692-uk-france-ukraine-troop-deployment\/\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">se ned\u00e1vno zav\u00e1zaly\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">k nasazen\u00ed vojsk na Ukrajinu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v r\u00e1mci sv\u00fdch nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch navrhovan\u00fdch\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/ukraine-already-kinda-has-article\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">pro tuto zemi, jejich\u017e princip\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/jan\/07\/ukraine-war-briefing-us-backs-european-ceasefire-security-guarantees-for-first-time\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">poprv\u00e9 v historii ocenili\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">Steve Witkoff a Jared Kushner, zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanci USA pro rozhovory s Ruskem.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.consilium.europa.eu\/en\/press\/press-releases\/2026\/01\/06\/robust-security-guarantees-for-a-solid-and-lasting-peace-in-ukraine-statement-of-the-coalition-of-the-willing-issued-by-france\/\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e1 deklarace\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, kterou Francie a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed podepsaly, rovn\u011b\u017e zav\u00e1zala k podpo\u0159e \u201e\u00fa\u010dasti v navrhovan\u00e9m mechanismu monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed a ov\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pod veden\u00edm USA\u201c. To v\u0161e v Rusku jist\u011b vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 obavy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ministr v\u00e1lky Pete Hegseth loni v \u00fanoru b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho projevu v \u00fast\u0159ed\u00ed NATO\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.war.gov\/News\/Speeches\/Speech\/Article\/4064113\/opening-remarks-by-secretary-of-defense-pete-hegseth-at-ukraine-defense-contact\/#:~:text=If%20these%20troops,deployed%20to%20Ukraine\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">prohl\u00e1sil\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, \u017ee jeho zem\u011b nebude pova\u017eovat jednotky \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b za jednotky spadaj\u00edc\u00ed pod \u010dl\u00e1nek 5 a \u017ee tam nenasad\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 sv\u00e9 jednotky jako sou\u010d\u00e1st \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky. S ohledem na Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017eskou deklaraci by se v\u0161ak n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed v Rusku mohli pt\u00e1t, zda USA brzy nepl\u00e1nuj\u00ed zvr\u00e1tit ob\u011b politiky na ochranu vojsk sv\u00fdch spojenc\u016f v NATO na Ukrajin\u011b po jejich nasazen\u00ed a nasadit tam i sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed jednotky k monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">S\u00e1m Putin\u00a0<\/span><span dir=\"auto\">je\u0161t\u011b v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/en.kremlin.ru\/events\/president\/news\/77927#sel=322:1:V1y,322:38:mo3\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">varoval , \u017ee Rusko bude pova\u017eovat z\u00e1padn\u00ed jednotky na Ukrajin\u011b za \u201elegitimn\u00ed c\u00edle ke zni\u010den\u00ed\u201c. Je proto snadn\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit, jak by se jejich hromadn\u00e9 nasazen\u00ed, na rozd\u00edl od men\u0161\u00ed neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti francouzsk\u00fdch a britsk\u00fdch vojsk v Od\u011bse, kterou ru\u0161t\u00ed \u0161pioni\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/svr-revealed-that-british-and-french\" rel=\"\">potvrdili\u00a0<\/a>pozd\u011bji t\u00e9ho\u017e m\u011bs\u00edce, mohlo vymknout kontrole a p\u0159er\u016fst ve t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku, pokud se Rusko zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na jejich s\u00edly. To se v\u0161ak nemus\u00ed st\u00e1t, pokud je podpora USA nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm z\u00e1ruk\u00e1m pouze vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed taktikou (alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Abych to vysv\u011btlil, Trump 2.0 mohl pokra\u010dovat v z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny zbran\u011bmi zdarma a nikdy nezah\u00e1jit rozhovory s Ruskem, pokud by nebyl up\u0159\u00edmn\u00fd v ot\u00e1zce ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu, a to v\u0161e p\u0159i postupn\u00e9 eskalaci proti Rusku v r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edstupu \u201eva\u0159en\u00ed \u017e\u00e1by\u201c pro normalizaci cesty ke t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Zdr\u017een\u00ed se t\u011bchto krok\u016f a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 n\u00e1hl\u00e9 zapojen\u00ed se do bezprecedentn\u00ed eskalace roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 na jednotky st\u00e1t\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b a dokonce i vysl\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edch vojsk je mo\u017en\u00e9, ale nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTrumpova doktr\u00edna\u201c, o kter\u00e9 se \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i mohou dozv\u011bd\u011bt v\u00edce\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-trump-doctrine-is-shaped-by-elbridge\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, odsuzuje Rusko na ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed pozici ve sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u0159\u00e1du veden\u00e9m USA. Jedin\u00e9, co USA cht\u011bj\u00ed, je odep\u0159\u00edt \u010c\u00edn\u011b p\u0159\u00edstup k v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti rusk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, kter\u00e9 pot\u0159ebuje k udr\u017een\u00ed sv\u00e9ho r\u016fstu, a tedy i sv\u00e9 supervelmocensk\u00e9 trajektorie, a to masivn\u00edmi investicemi do n\u011bkter\u00fdch lo\u017eisek jako pob\u00eddkou ke kompromis\u016fm v oblasti sv\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b a n\u00e1sledn\u00fdm p\u0159eplacen\u00edm \u010c\u00edny o p\u0159\u00edstup k dal\u0161\u00edm v budoucnu. Tato protihodnota v\u0161ak pro Putina z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nep\u0159ijateln\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I kdyby se jeho postoj nezm\u011bnil a konflikt by pokra\u010doval, dosa\u017een\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9ho c\u00edle v\u016f\u010di Rusku by se pro USA mohlo st\u00e1t \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l m\u00e9n\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm, pokud brzy z\u00edskaj\u00ed kontrolu nad zdroji \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Nig\u00e9rie a dal\u0161\u00edch v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch zem\u00ed BRI po\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/five-takeaways-from-the-us-special-military-operation-in-venezuela\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">ohromuj\u00edc\u00edm\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/heres-how-the-us-proxy-control-of\" rel=\"\">\u00fasp\u011bchu\u00a0<\/a>ve Venezuele. V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee by n\u00e1m\u011bstek ministra v\u00e1lky pro politick\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti Elbridge Colby, jeho\u017e \u201e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Strategy-Denial-American-Defense-Conflict\/dp\/0300256434\" rel=\"\">Strategie pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>\u201c je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem \u201eTrumpovy doktr\u00edny\u201c, up\u0159ednost\u0148oval ruskou frontu nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky p\u0159ed \u010d\u00ednskou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Koneckonc\u016f, v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 dopl\u0148kov\u00e9 politiky zahrnuj\u00ed radik\u00e1ln\u011b zes\u00edlen\u00fd mnohostrann\u00fd vojensk\u00fd tlak na \u010c\u00ednu soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s odep\u0159en\u00edm p\u0159\u00edstupu ke zdroj\u016fm (a trh\u016fm), kter\u00e9 pot\u0159ebuje, co\u017e by zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu ub\u00edralo na hodnot\u011b. Pokud se nevojensk\u00e9 aspekty Colbyho \u201estrategie pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c prosad\u00ed v hlavn\u00edch zem\u00edch BRI a mezi americk\u00fdmi partnery v Indo-Pacifiku, EU a Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, pak by n\u00e1klady na tvrdohlav\u00fd pokus o pokrok v tomto s Ruskem nebyly opodstatn\u011bn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA by proto s men\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ily \u010dl\u00e1nek 5 na jednotky st\u00e1t\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b a v tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i by tam p\u0159irozen\u011b ani nenasadily sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed jednotky. M\u00edsto toho by mohly navrhnout kompromis, kdy by jejich spojenci soust\u0159edili sv\u00e9 jednotky v Polsku a Rumunsku, zat\u00edmco USA by mohly monitorovat p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pomoc\u00ed d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f, jako jsou satelity a drony. Tento navrhovan\u00fd kompromis by byl vy\u017eadov\u00e1n okolnostmi, ale kontext by Rus\u016fm pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebyl sd\u011blen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sp\u00ed\u0161e by to mohlo b\u00fdt prezentov\u00e1no jako\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/analyzing-all-28-points-of-the-leaked\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">pragmatick\u00fd kompromis\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">pro Rusko, kter\u00e9 by omezilo sv\u00e9 c\u00edle, zejm\u00e9na ty t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se demilitarizace a \u00fazem\u00ed. Putin se k tomu v\u0161ak zdr\u00e1h\u00e1, ale tak\u00e9 by mo\u017en\u00e1 necht\u011bl riskovat naru\u0161en\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed v r\u00e1mci permanentn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy, zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a diplomatick\u00e9 byrokracie USA (\u201ehlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu\u201c), kde m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed omezen\u00ed \u010c\u00edny p\u0159ednost p\u0159ed omezen\u00edm Ruska, jak by se mohlo st\u00e1t, kdyby odm\u00edtl kompromis a\/nebo pokra\u010doval v boji proti Donbasu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee USA po skon\u010den\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu dychtiv\u011b p\u0159ed\u00e1vaj\u00ed kontrolu Ruska v Evrop\u011b polsk\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/september-2025-was-the-most-eventful-month-for-poland-since-the-end-of-communism\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">Iniciativ\u011b\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/the-three-seas-initiative-will-play-a-prominent-role-in-post-conflict-europe\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">t\u0159\u00ed mo\u0159\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u201c ve\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germany-is-competing-with-poland\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">spolupr\u00e1ci s N\u011bmeckem\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, co\u017e by USA umo\u017enilo pln\u011b up\u0159ednostnit kontrolu \u010c\u00edny, by se bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed situace Ruska po skon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu mohla relativn\u011b zlep\u0161it (i kdy\u017e ne do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, jak se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo na za\u010d\u00e1tku\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/korybko-to-azerbaijani-media-all\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">speci\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/20-constructive-critiques-about-russias\" rel=\"\">operace\u00a0<\/a>), pokud Rusko souhlas\u00ed s kompromisem. Tato p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost by mohla b\u00fdt promarn\u011bna, pokud by Rusko pokra\u010dovalo ve sv\u00fdch maximalistick\u00fdch c\u00edlech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 tedy p\u011bt ot\u00e1zek, jejich\u017e odpov\u011bdi ur\u010d\u00ed, co by mohlo n\u00e1sledovat:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">1. Jak v\u00e1\u017en\u011b to USA mysl\u00ed s roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 na jednotky st\u00e1t\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdm nasazen\u00edm vlastn\u00edch vojsk tam, i kdy\u017e to bude m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek zma\u0159en\u00ed pl\u00e1n\u016f na siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed omezen\u00ed \u010c\u00edny?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">2. V\u011b\u0159\u00ed Putin, \u017ee je to v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9, nebo si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee blafuje? Jak by mohl reagovat na z\u00e1klad\u011b ka\u017ed\u00e9ho hodnocen\u00ed a jak\u00e9 faktory by mohly zm\u011bnit jeho pohled na z\u00e1m\u011bry?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">3. Jak\u00e1 je pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee se dynamika \u201ehlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu\u201c v USA vr\u00e1t\u00ed od up\u0159ednost\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed k rusk\u00e9mu, pokud Putin odm\u00edtne kompromis a\/nebo bude tla\u010dit vp\u0159ed po Donbasu?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">4. Jak by mohl \u00fasp\u011bch \u010di ne\u00fasp\u011bch USA v odep\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu \u010c\u00edny ke zdroj\u016fm (a trh\u016fm) jin\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, podobn\u011b jako to ud\u011blalo Venezuele, ovlivnit v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 skute\u010dnosti a tak\u00e9 jejich flexibilitu p\u0159i kompromisech s Ruskem?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">5. Do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry by Putin mohl slevit ze sv\u00fdch maximalistick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f? Dalo by se ho p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit k p\u0159ijet\u00ed vojsk NATO na Ukrajin\u011b po skon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu, pokud na n\u011b USA nevztahuj\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nek 5?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Putin se na v\u0161echno m\u016f\u017ee d\u00edvat v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b dv\u011bma zp\u016fsoby:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">1. Pl\u00e1ny USA na siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed omezen\u00ed \u010c\u00edny z\u016fstanou jejich prioritou, zejm\u00e9na pokud se jim poda\u0159\u00ed odep\u0159\u00edt \u010c\u00edn\u011b p\u0159\u00edstup k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu mno\u017estv\u00ed energi\u00ed a trh\u016f, tak\u017ee Rusko m\u016f\u017ee s jistotou odm\u00edtnout kompromis ve prosp\u011bch zachov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch maximalistick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f a postupu po Donbasu, ani\u017e by se muselo ob\u00e1vat, \u017ee USA zdvojn\u00e1sob\u00ed svou vojenskou podporu Ukrajin\u011b a\/nebo vyvolaj\u00ed kub\u00e1nskou krizi na pokraji zlomu zem\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 na jednotky st\u00e1t\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e9 by se tam pak mohly jednostrann\u011b nasadit vedle sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">2. Dynamika \u201ehlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu\u201c v USA z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 prom\u011bnliv\u00e1, tak\u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee odm\u00edtnut\u00ed kompromisu a n\u00e1sledn\u00fd postup po Donbasu by mohli b\u00fdt zmanipulov\u00e1ny nep\u0159\u00e1teli Ruska k p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed Trumpa, aby p\u0159ehodnotil svou omezov\u00e1n\u00ed oproti \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu, co\u017e by mohlo v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161it pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee USA zdvojn\u00e1sob\u00ed svou vojenskou podporu Ukrajin\u011b a\/nebo vyvolaj\u00ed kub\u00e1nskou krizi na pokraji zlomu zem\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 na jednotky st\u00e1t\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e9 by se tam pak mohly jednostrann\u011b nasadit vedle sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud jde o USA, ty preferuj\u00ed rychl\u00e9 politick\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu, aby mohly n\u00e1sledn\u011b siln\u011bji omezit \u010c\u00ednu, ale ne zcela za rusk\u00fdch podm\u00ednek, tak\u017ee pokud Putin odm\u00edtne kompromis, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b uval\u00ed na rusk\u00e9 partnery\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/economy\/2026\/1\/8\/trump-backs-bill-to-sanction-china-india-over-russian-oil-us-senator-says\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">dal\u0161\u00ed sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed sankce\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">. Pokud dojde k z\u00e1sadn\u00edmu rusk\u00e9mu pr\u016flomu, mohly by dokonce pohrozit roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 na jednotky st\u00e1t\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b, pokud Rusko nezastav\u00ed, a pot\u00e9 na\u0159\u00eddit jejich nasazen\u00ed k rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ukrajiny, pokud tak neu\u010din\u00ed, s rizikem t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fatoku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento p\u0159\u00edstup by se mohl obr\u00e1tit proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b a Rusku, pokud by se na sob\u011b staly v\u00edce z\u00e1visl\u00e9 kv\u016fli tomu, \u017ee by USA odep\u0159ely prvn\u00ed z nich p\u0159\u00edstup k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu mno\u017estv\u00ed zdroj\u016f a druh\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edstup k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu mno\u017estv\u00ed trh\u016f, na kter\u00fdch prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 zdroje (jako je tomu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Indie, pokud by do\u0161lo k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu tlaku ze strany sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch sankc\u00ed a Indie by n\u00e1sledn\u011b v r\u00e1mci dohody\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/sg.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/indias-reliance-talks-us-permit-154636038.html\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">nahradila ruskou ropu venezuelskou\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">). \u010c\u00edna by pak mohla z\u00edskat p\u0159\u00edstup k cel\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 surovinov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b za n\u00edzkou cenu, zat\u00edmco Rusko by z\u00edskalo financov\u00e1n\u00ed pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 k neomezen\u00e9mu pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Takov\u00e1 bezprecedentn\u00ed vz\u00e1jemn\u00e1 z\u00e1vislost by se jim v\u0161ak mohla vymst\u00edt, pokud by mezi nimi vyvolala nevoli a\/nebo pokud by USA jednomu z nich n\u00e1hle p\u0159edlo\u017eily mnohem lep\u0161\u00ed nab\u00eddku ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve pod podm\u00ednkou, \u017ee se druh\u00e9ho zbav\u00ed a t\u00edm nep\u0159\u00edmo pomohly USA strategicky je porazit. Aby bylo jasno, Putin a Si opakovan\u011b potvrdili, jak hluboce si navz\u00e1jem d\u016fv\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed, tak\u017ee tento temn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd, ale nem\u011bl by b\u00fdt ani lehkov\u00e1\u017en\u011b zavrhov\u00e1n, proto\u017ee tato mo\u017enost st\u00e1le existuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vra\u0165me se k t\u00e9matu americk\u00e9 podpory evropsk\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 je v\u016fbec poprv\u00e9 v historii. V t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi se d\u00e1 \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 pouze o vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed taktiku, ale tak\u00e9 to signalizuje (a\u0165 u\u017e up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b, \u010di nikoliv), \u017ee americk\u00fd \u201ehlubok\u00fd st\u00e1t\u201c nen\u00ed pevn\u011b za up\u0159ednost\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed, a mohl by se tak vr\u00e1tit k up\u0159ednost\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska, pokud Putin odm\u00edtne kompromis a\/nebo bude tla\u010dit vp\u0159ed po Donbasu. To je prozat\u00edm v\u0161e, co lze posoudit vzhledem ke slo\u017eitosti glob\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 transformace v jej\u00ed posledn\u00ed f\u00e1zi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/what-are-the-us-calculations-for\">Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-22017\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"162\" height=\"162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 162px) 100vw, 162px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mohlo by se jednat o vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed taktiku, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je donutit Rusko k \u00fastupk\u016fm v&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":97036,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,1076,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97035"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97035"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97035\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}