{"id":96997,"date":"2026-01-16T00:24:04","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T23:24:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96997"},"modified":"2026-01-15T23:42:02","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T22:42:02","slug":"german-gorraiz-lopez-zpusobi-trump-navrat-k-breznevove-doktrine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/16\/german-gorraiz-lopez-zpusobi-trump-navrat-k-breznevove-doktrine\/","title":{"rendered":"Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez: Zp\u016fsob\u00ed Trump n\u00e1vrat k Bre\u017en\u011bvov\u011b doktr\u00edn\u011b?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u201ePot\u0159eba rovn\u00e9ho zach\u00e1zen\u00ed a vyhnut\u00ed se dvoj\u00edmu metru.\u201c Americk\u00e1 intervence ve Venezuele by mohla slou\u017eit jako precedent pro Moskvu a Peking jako z\u00e1minka k obnoven\u00ed Bre\u017en\u011bvovy doktr\u00edny v jejich p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdch sf\u00e9r\u00e1ch vlivu (Trump v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe, Putin ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b a Si \u0164in-pching v Asii).<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Bre\u017en\u011bvova doktr\u00edna. Putin, Trump a Si \u0164in-pching se \u00fadajn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed obnovit Bre\u017en\u011bvovu doktr\u00ednu (zn\u00e1mou tak\u00e9 jako doktr\u00edna omezen\u00e9 suverenity), kter\u00e1 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee velk\u00e1 mocnost m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo zasahovat (i vojensky) do vnit\u0159n\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed zem\u00ed ve sv\u00e9 sf\u00e9\u0159e vlivu. To ukazuje na konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed se sv\u011btem sf\u00e9r vlivu, kde si ka\u017ed\u00e1 velk\u00e1 mocnost n\u00e1rokuje pr\u00e1vo zasahovat (i vojensky) ve sv\u00e9 \u201ez\u00f3n\u011b vlivu\u201c, zat\u00edmco men\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b se t\u011b\u0161\u00ed omezen\u00e9 suverenit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko. Za Putina jsme sv\u011bdky utv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00edho syst\u00e9mu: politick\u00e9 doktr\u00edny, kter\u00e1 v sob\u011b spojuje expanzivn\u00ed ide\u00e1ly rusk\u00e9ho nacionalismu, benevolenci v\u0161emocn\u00e9 pravoslavn\u00e9 c\u00edrkve, nepostradateln\u00e9 slu\u017eby FSB (n\u00e1stupkyn\u011b KGB), hojnost likvidity generovan\u00e9 energetick\u00fdmi spole\u010dnostmi (Gazprom) a prvky chru\u0161\u010dovovsk\u00e9 ideologie, symbolizovan\u00e9 autokratickou a personalizovanou moc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Putin uplat\u0148uje Bre\u017en\u011bvovu doktr\u00ednu, kdy dovedn\u011b kombinuje pomoc utla\u010dovan\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm etnick\u00fdm men\u0161in\u00e1m (Donbas, Krym, Ji\u017en\u00ed Osetie, Abch\u00e1zie), energetick\u00e9 vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed, hrozbu jadern\u00e9ho odstra\u0161en\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9 intervence, to v\u0161e pod z\u00e1minkou, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli proz\u00e1padn\u00ed orientace v t\u011bchto zem\u00edch ohro\u017euje existen\u010dn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty: Monroeova doktr\u00edna 2.0. Vojensk\u00e1 intervence ve Venezuele se zajet\u00edm Madura znamen\u00e1 n\u00e1vrat politiky \u201evelk\u00e9 klacku\u201c (jej\u00ed\u017e p\u016fvod je p\u0159ipisov\u00e1n americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi Theodorovi Rooseveltovi), syst\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd od za\u010d\u00e1tku 20. stolet\u00ed \u0159\u00edd\u00ed americkou hegemonickou politiku v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe v souladu s Monroeovou doktr\u00ednou \u201eAmerika pro Ameri\u010dany\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zavedou Brzezinsk\u00e9ho \u201ekonstruktivn\u00ed chaos\u201c aplikac\u00ed Kentovy teorie \u201ecukru a bi\u010de\u201c, jak ji rozvedl Sherman Kent ve sv\u00e9 knize\u00a0<\/span>Strategick\u00e9 zpravodajstv\u00ed pro americkou sv\u011btovou politiku<\/span><\/em>\u00a0(1949). V t\u00e9to knize Kent tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u201ev\u00e1lka nen\u00ed v\u017edy konven\u010dn\u00ed: velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st v\u00e1lek, starov\u011bk\u00fdch i modern\u00edch, byla ve skute\u010dnosti v\u017edy vedena nekonven\u010dn\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi: […] politick\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 zbran\u011b, stejn\u011b jako n\u00e1stroje ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, \u201azahrnuj\u00ed cukr a bi\u010d\u2018: blok\u00e1dy, zmrazen\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f, bojkoty, embarga a za\u0159azov\u00e1n\u00ed na \u010dern\u00e9 listiny na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b; dotace, p\u016fj\u010dky, bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed smlouvy, barter a obchodn\u00ed dohody pat\u0159\u00ed mezi dal\u0161\u00ed formy ekonomick\u00e9 aktivity.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Vztah mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Tchaj-wanem se vyzna\u010duje neust\u00e1l\u00fdm nap\u011bt\u00edm kv\u016fli n\u00e1rok\u016fm Pekingu na svrchovanost nad ostrovem. Peking pova\u017euje znovusjednocen\u00ed za \u201enevyhnuteln\u00e9\u201c a nevylu\u010duje pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly k jeho dosa\u017een\u00ed. \u010c\u00edna si n\u00e1rokuje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 cel\u00e9 Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e jako historick\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u201eAsiat\u00e9 mus\u00ed garantovat bezpe\u010dnost Asie\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pravideln\u011b stup\u0148uje vojensk\u00fd tlak prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00ed kolem ostrova, v\u010detn\u011b nasazen\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed a letadel simuluj\u00edc\u00edch blok\u00e1dy. Tchaj-wan zase nasazuje vlastn\u00ed s\u00edly a obrann\u00e9 syst\u00e9my. Tento spor m\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky kv\u016fli strategick\u00e9mu v\u00fdznamu Tchajwansk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, kter\u00fd je \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd pro n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed obchodn\u00ed cesty, a dominantn\u00edmu postaven\u00ed Tchaj-wanu v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdrob\u011b polovodi\u010d\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Konflikt by proto m\u011bl zna\u010dn\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch p\u011bt let bude proto rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edch pro ur\u010den\u00ed, zda se G3 tvo\u0159en\u00e1 Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou etabluje jako hegemonn\u00ed mocnost v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed spr\u00e1v\u011b, nebo zda to povede k vypuknut\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez<\/a> , politick\u00fd analytik<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201ePot\u0159eba rovn\u00e9ho zach\u00e1zen\u00ed a vyhnut\u00ed se dvoj\u00edmu metru.\u201c Americk\u00e1 intervence ve Venezuele by mohla slou\u017eit…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96998,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1833,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96997"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96997"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96997\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96998"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}