{"id":96965,"date":"2026-01-15T04:54:11","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T03:54:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96965"},"modified":"2026-01-15T04:54:11","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T03:54:11","slug":"spotovy-trh-s-elektrinou-v-roce-2025-vice-zapornych-hodin-presto-mezirocne-o-15-drazsi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/15\/spotovy-trh-s-elektrinou-v-roce-2025-vice-zapornych-hodin-presto-mezirocne-o-15-drazsi\/","title":{"rendered":"Spotov\u00fd trh s elekt\u0159inou v roce 2025: v\u00edce z\u00e1porn\u00fdch hodin, p\u0159esto meziro\u010dn\u011b o 15 % dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Rok 2025 p\u0159inesl na spotov\u00e9m trhu s elekt\u0159inou obrat, kter\u00fd by je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed dv\u011bma lety \u010dekal m\u00e1lokdo. Po dramatick\u00e9m propadu cen po energetick\u00e9 krizi v\u00a0roce 2022 se toti\u017e ceny znovu vydaly nahoru, a to i p\u0159esto, \u017ee se na trhu objevilo 348 hodin se z\u00e1pornou cenou elekt\u0159iny. Data nav\u00edc ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed b\u011b\u017enou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed trhu, ani\u017e by samy o sob\u011b znamenaly dal\u0161\u00ed plo\u0161n\u00e9 zlev\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco v\u00a0letech 2023 a\u017e 2024 spotov\u00fd trh klesal, v\u00a0roce 2025 sestupn\u00fd trend skon\u010dil. V roce 2023 klesla pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 ro\u010dn\u00ed spotov\u00e1 cena elekt\u0159iny zhruba na 40 % \u00farovn\u011b krizov\u00e9ho roku 2022 a dostala se dokonce pod ceny roku 2021, v roce 2024 pokra\u010doval pokles je\u0161t\u011b o dal\u0161\u00edch 12 %. Za cel\u00fd rok 2025 spotov\u00e1 cena elekt\u0159iny meziro\u010dn\u011b vzrostla o 15 % a trh tak po dvou letech zlev\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed znovu zm\u011bnil sm\u011br. \u201ePo extr\u00e9mn\u00edch v\u00fdkyvech, kter\u00e9 jsme za\u017eili v letech 2022 a 2023, se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee spotov\u00fd trh sm\u011b\u0159uje k dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed stabilizaci na ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch cen\u00e1ch. Rok 2025 ale uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee trh z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 velmi citliv\u00fd na sezonn\u00ed a klimatick\u00e9 vlivy a \u017ee n\u00e1vrat r\u016fstu cen nelze podce\u0148ovat,\u201c<\/em> \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Michal Kulig, \u0159editel spole\u010dnosti Yello v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

P\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9 zimn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem zdra\u017een\u00ed byly ceny v\u00a01. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed a \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b tak\u00e9 v\u00fdvoj v dal\u0161\u00edch dvou \u010dtvrtlet\u00edch roku 2025. Nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed skok p\u0159i\u0161el hned na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku \u2013 v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed vzrostla spotov\u00e1 cena elekt\u0159iny meziro\u010dn\u011b o 66 % oproti stejn\u00e9mu obdob\u00ed roku 2024. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento n\u00e1r\u016fst v\u00fdrazn\u011b ovlivnil celoro\u010dn\u00ed \u010d\u00edsla. Naopak v z\u00e1v\u011bru roku se situace za\u010dala znovu uklid\u0148ovat. Ve \u010dtvrt\u00e9m \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed do\u0161lo k poklesu cen o 15 % a listopad s prosincem p\u0159inesly dokonce v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 zlevn\u011bn\u00ed o 20, respektive 22 %.<\/p>\n

\u201eZejm\u00e9na prvn\u00ed \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed bylo z pohledu cen mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b siln\u00e9. Kombinace vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed popt\u00e1vky, po\u010das\u00ed a situace na evropsk\u00e9m trhu se propsala do v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho meziro\u010dn\u00edho zdra\u017een\u00ed. Naopak konec roku uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee ani chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce automaticky neznamenaj\u00ed tlak na r\u016fst cen, co\u017e je pro spotov\u00fd trh pom\u011brn\u011b atypick\u00e9,\u201c<\/em> dopl\u0148uje Michal Kulig<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Objevilo se 348 z\u00e1porn\u00fdch spotov\u00fdch hodin<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd obr\u00e1zek nab\u00edz\u00ed i pohled na z\u00e1porn\u00e9 ceny elekt\u0159iny, kter\u00e9 jsou \u010dasto vn\u00edm\u00e1ny jako d\u016fkaz masivn\u00edho rozvoje fotovoltaiky a p\u0159ebytk\u016f v\u00fdroby. V roce 2025 se na spotov\u00e9m trhu objevilo celkem 348 hodin se z\u00e1pornou cenou, zat\u00edmco v roce 2024 jich bylo 315. Rozd\u00edl tedy existuje, ale nen\u00ed dramatick\u00fd. Nav\u00edc je pot\u0159eba vz\u00edt v \u00favahu technickou zm\u011bnu obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed, nebo\u0165 od \u0159\u00edjna 2025 do\u0161lo k p\u0159echodu na \u010dtvrthodinov\u00fd obchodn\u00ed interval. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 hodina se tak d\u011bl\u00ed na \u010dty\u0159i periody, co\u017e logicky zvy\u0161uje pravd\u011bpodobnost v\u00fdskytu z\u00e1porn\u00fdch cen.<\/p>\n

\u201e\u010cist\u011b z pohledu absolutn\u00edch \u010d\u00edsel m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e1r\u016fst z\u00e1porn\u00fdch hodin vypadat v\u00fdrazn\u00fd, ale p\u0159i zohledn\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159echodu na \u010dtvrthodinov\u00e9 obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed jde sp\u00ed\u0161e o technick\u00fd efekt ne\u017e o skute\u010dn\u00fd zlom v chov\u00e1n\u00ed trhu,\u201c<\/em> upozor\u0148uje Michal Kulig<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Kdy d\u00e1v\u00e1 spotov\u00fd tarif smysl<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Celkov\u00e1 data tak sp\u00ed\u0161e potvrzuj\u00ed, \u017ee boom fotovoltaick\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren, kter\u00fd m\u011bl na spotov\u00fd trh v\u00fdrazn\u00fd dopad v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech, u\u017e m\u00e1 vrchol za sebou. Tomu odpov\u00edd\u00e1 i srovnateln\u00fd v\u00fdskyt cen t\u011bsn\u011b nad nulou, tedy pod hranic\u00ed 1 EUR\/MWh. V roce 2025 se takov\u00e9 ceny objevily ve 138 hodin\u00e1ch a rozd\u00edl oproti roku 2024 \u010din\u00ed pouze zhruba 7 %, co\u017e je p\u0159i celkov\u00e9m objemu obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed velmi podobn\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo.<\/p>\n

\u201eNevid\u00edme \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd dramatick\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst extr\u00e9mn\u011b levn\u00e9 elekt\u0159iny za spotov\u00e9 ceny. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b spotov\u00e9 tarify st\u00e1le d\u00e1vaj\u00ed velk\u00fd smysl, je-li fotovoltaika \u0159\u00edzena chyt\u0159e. Tedy pomoc\u00ed inteligentn\u00edho \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v\u00fdroby a spotov\u00e9 optimalizace odb\u011bru, kdy FVE reaguje na aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny na spotov\u00e9m trhu. Takov\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nab\u00edz\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad na\u0161e sestersk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost PREsolidsun, specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na dod\u00e1vku fotovoltaick\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f,\u201c<\/em> \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Michal Kulig<\/strong>. To m\u016f\u017ee zahrnovat nap\u0159\u00edklad ukl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ebytk\u016f do bateri\u00ed v dob\u011b n\u00edzk\u00fdch cen a jejich vyu\u017eit\u00ed v hodin\u00e1ch dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed elekt\u0159iny nebo flexibiln\u00ed odb\u011br spot\u0159ebi\u010d\u016f nastaven\u00fd tak, aby dom\u00e1cnost \u010di firma maximalizovala vyu\u017eit\u00ed levn\u00e9 elekt\u0159iny a\u00a0minimalizovala n\u00e1klady.<\/p>\n

Nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed spotov\u00e1 cena byla v kv\u011btnu<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Podobn\u011b vyrovnan\u00fd obr\u00e1zek nab\u00edz\u00ed i pohled na samotnou hloubku z\u00e1porn\u00fdch cen. P\u0159esto\u017ee minim\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1porn\u00e1 cena v roce 2025 dos\u00e1hla v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed hodnoty ne\u017e o rok d\u0159\u00edve, jde sp\u00ed\u0161e o statistickou anom\u00e1lii ne\u017e o nov\u00fd trend. Nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed cena v roce 2025 klesla na -5 599,90 K\u010d za MWh, zat\u00edmco v roce 2024 to bylo -3 459,73 K\u010d za MWh. V obou p\u0159\u00edpadech p\u0159itom do\u0161lo k\u00a0tomuto extr\u00e9mu v kv\u011btnu.<\/p>\n

\u201eExtr\u00e9mn\u00ed z\u00e1porn\u00e9 ceny jsou v\u017edy kombinac\u00ed v\u00edce faktor\u016f, nelze je automaticky spojovat s\u00a0jedn\u00edm konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm jevem. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b kv\u011btna jde dlouhodob\u011b sp\u00ed\u0161e o vliv velmi prom\u011bnliv\u00e9ho osvitu ne\u017e o kalend\u00e1\u0159n\u00ed efekty, jako jsou st\u00e1tn\u00ed sv\u00e1tky,\u201c<\/em> vysv\u011btluje Michal Kulig<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Nov\u00fd sm\u011br spotov\u00e9ho trhu<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Celkov\u011b rok 2025 ukazuje, \u017ee spotov\u00fd trh s elekt\u0159inou v \u010cesku vstupuje do nov\u00e9 f\u00e1ze. Po\u00a0obdob\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u00edch v\u00fdkyv\u016f a prudk\u00e9ho zlev\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed se ceny za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed chovat st\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bji, i kdy\u017e st\u00e1le z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed citliv\u00e9 na po\u010das\u00ed, sezonu a kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed impulzy.<\/p>\n

\u201ePro z\u00e1kazn\u00edky je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edtat s t\u00edm, \u017ee jednoduch\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e u\u017e u energi\u00ed neplat\u00ed. Spotov\u00fd trh se postupn\u011b stabilizuje, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 dynamick\u00fd. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl sledovat data v del\u0161\u00edm kontextu a nepodlehnout jednotliv\u00fdm extr\u00e9m\u016fm,\u201c<\/em> uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Michal Kulig<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

O Yello<\/strong><\/p>\n

Spole\u010dnost Yello (www.yello.cz<\/a>) je alternativn\u00ed dodavatel energi\u00ed v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice. Zalo\u017eena byla v\u00a0roce 2012 a od po\u010d\u00e1tku na tuzemsk\u00e9m trhu napom\u00e1h\u00e1 des\u00edtk\u00e1m tis\u00edc klient\u016f k f\u00e9rov\u00fdm cen\u00e1m. Jedn\u00e1 se o adaptaci \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho konceptu Yello Strom, kter\u00fd s\u00e1z\u00ed na jednoduchost a p\u0159\u00edmo\u010darost. N\u011bmeck\u00e9 Yello je dce\u0159inou spole\u010dnost\u00ed t\u0159et\u00edho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho dodavatele energi\u00ed EnBW, \u010desk\u00e1 verze Yello je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Skupiny PRE. Po startu v\u00a0roce 2012, ve kter\u00e9m za\u010dala s\u00a0prodejem silov\u00e9 elekt\u0159iny, p\u0159idala hned v\u00a0roce 2013 prodej zemn\u00edho plynu. V\u00a0roce 2019 spustila jedine\u010dnou slu\u017ebu F\u00e9rov\u00e1 baterie, kter\u00e1 ukl\u00e1d\u00e1 nespot\u0159ebovanou elekt\u0159inu k pozd\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu vyu\u017eit\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rok 2025 p\u0159inesl na spotov\u00e9m trhu s elekt\u0159inou obrat, kter\u00fd by je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed dv\u011bma lety…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96967,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1907,1299,331],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96965"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96965"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96965\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}