{"id":96941,"date":"2026-01-15T00:33:02","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T23:33:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96941"},"modified":"2026-01-14T19:13:40","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T18:13:40","slug":"petr-vlk-reisnerova-dalsi-analyza-valky-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/15\/petr-vlk-reisnerova-dalsi-analyza-valky-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr Vlk: Reisnerova dal\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdza v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>N\u011bmeck\u00fd\u00a0 zpravodajsk\u00fd server\u00a0 n-tv.de\u00a0 uve\u0159ejnil\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 hodnot\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0 rozhovor\u00a0 rakousk\u00e9ho\u00a0 vojensk\u00e9ho\u00a0 analytika\u00a0 plukovn\u00edka\u00a0 gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu\u00a0 Markuse\u00a0 Reisnera ohledn\u011b\u00a0 v\u00fdvoje na\u00a0 Ukrajin\u011b<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"western\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.n-tv.de\/politik\/Die-juengsten-Aktionen-zeigen-Trump-legt-nach-id30231911.html\"><strong>\u201eDie j\u00fcngsten Aktionen zeigen: Trump legt nach\u201c<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Posledn\u00ed\u00a0 akce ukazuj\u00ed \u2013 Trump\u00a0 zvy\u0161uje\u00a0 tlak<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>N\u011bmeck\u00fd\u00a0 zpravodajsk\u00fd server\u00a0 n-tv.de\u00a0 uve\u0159ejnil\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 hodnot\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0 rozhovor\u00a0 rakousk\u00e9ho\u00a0 vojensk\u00e9ho\u00a0 analytika\u00a0 plukovn\u00edka\u00a0 gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu\u00a0 Markuse\u00a0 Reisnera ohledn\u011b\u00a0 v\u00fdvoje na\u00a0 Ukrajin\u011b. Tato hodnocen\u00ed se stala\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 pevnou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed\u00a0 Kosy kv\u016fli\u00a0 sv\u00e9\u00a0 nesporn\u00e9 st\u0159\u00edzlivosti a\u00a0 v\u011bcnosti, tak\u017ee\u00a0 i tentokr\u00e1t<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"western\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.n-tv.de\/politik\/Die-juengsten-Aktionen-zeigen-Trump-legt-nach-id30231911.html\"><strong>\u201eDie j\u00fcngsten Aktionen zeigen: Trump legt nach\u201c<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Posledn\u00ed\u00a0 akce ukazuj\u00ed \u2013 Trump\u00a0 zvy\u0161uje\u00a0 tlak<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-m__XI0da Typography_weight-bold__uT6mq storyline_lead_text_leadtext__q_wg8\">Unesen\u00fd dikt\u00e1tor, hrozby pro Gr\u00f3nsko a mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Jakou strategii sleduje Donald Trump a m\u016f\u017ee z toho m\u00edt prosp\u011bch Ukrajina? Plukovn\u00edk Reisner analyzuje, \u017ee Putin nen\u00ed k chov\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1padu lhostejn\u00fd \u2013 \u00fatok v Ore\u0161niku to podle n\u011bj tak\u00e9 dokazuje.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">ntv.de: Pane Reisner, americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nov\u00fd rok s velk\u00fdm t\u0159eskem. \u00danos Madura, nov\u00e9 hrozby v\u016f\u010di Gr\u00f3nsku a nyn\u00ed ozn\u00e1men\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s re\u017eimem v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Existuje za t\u00edm n\u011bjak\u00fd pl\u00e1n?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Za t\u011bmito \u010diny se skr\u00fdv\u00e1 eskaluj\u00edc\u00ed konflikt mezi USA a \u010c\u00ednou. Venezuela a \u00cdr\u00e1n jsou pro Peking d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdmi oporami a dodavateli ropy. Zm\u011bna re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Venezuele by mohla znamenat, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna ztrat\u00ed a\u017e \u010dtvrtinu sv\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy. To by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u011blo d\u016fsledky. Rusko je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b tak\u00e9 spolehliv\u00fdm dodavatelem ropy pro \u010c\u00ednu a i zde vid\u00edme, jak USA jednaj\u00ed. Zabavuj\u00ed jeden tanker za druh\u00fdm od rusk\u00e9 st\u00ednov\u00e9 flotily, naposledy u pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie americk\u00fdmi speci\u00e1ln\u00edmi jednotkami vyslan\u00fdmi tam z Ameriky. Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru to ukazuje, \u017ee Trump situaci vyhrocuje.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Mohly se USA rozhodnout zaujmout siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed protipozici v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di Kremlu?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Mnoz\u00ed nyn\u00ed sd\u00edlej\u00ed tuto nad\u011bji: Trump si uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee Putin nen\u00ed ochoten vyjedn\u00e1vat, a proto je zapot\u0159eb\u00ed tvrd\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup. Kv\u016fli ud\u00e1lostem ve Venezuele byla jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o 28bodov\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu pro Ukrajinu op\u011bt odlo\u017eena. To Evropan\u016fm koupilo \u010das a umo\u017enilo jim dohodnout se s USA na vlastn\u00edm 20bodov\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu. Uvid\u00edme, jak\u00e9 to bude m\u00edt d\u016fsledky.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se Evropan\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed v r\u00e1mci koalice ochotn\u00fdch vytvo\u0159it konkr\u00e9tn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pl\u00e1ny na obdob\u00ed po mo\u017en\u00e9 dohod\u011b o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. M\u011blo by to Putina znerv\u00f3z\u0148ovat?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">USA jsou \u00fadajn\u011b p\u0159ipraveny monitorovat linii p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pomoc\u00ed senzor\u016f, dron\u016f a satelit\u016f. D\u00e1le podporuj\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky pro Ukrajinu, kter\u00e9 se v hrub\u00fdch rysech podobaj\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stem \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 NATO. St\u00e1le neexistuje dohoda o nasazen\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch vojsk na ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, ale Z\u00e1pad tuto mo\u017enost alespo\u0148 intenzivn\u011b diskutuje. C\u00edtily by se v\u0161ak z\u00e1padn\u00ed st\u00e1ty v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b obnoven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed povinny bojovat s Ruskem? M\u00e1m v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 pochybnosti.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Rusko kategoricky odm\u00edt\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost z\u00e1padn\u00edch vojsk na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Pou\u017eit\u00ed rakety Ore\u0161nik minul\u00fd \u010dtvrtek p\u0159edstavuje jasnou eskalaci Kremlu v reakci na z\u00e1padn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny. To jsme v minulosti vid\u011bli opakovan\u011b: kdy\u017e se situace z Putinova pohledu stala kritickou, jednal rozhodn\u011b. Kdy\u017e se situace v roce 2022 stala nebezpe\u010dnou pro rusk\u00e9 jednotky pobl\u00ed\u017e Chersonu, Rusov\u00e9 pohrozili pou\u017eit\u00edm jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"Infographic_infographic__lxZcx\"><a href=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/?attachment_id=1032556\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1032556\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-1032556\" src=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 521px) 100vw, 521px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=521&amp;h=472 521w, https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=150&amp;h=136 150w, https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=300&amp;h=272 300w, https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png 549w\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"574\" data-attachment-id=\"1032556\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/2026\/01\/14\/reisnerova-dalsi-analyza-valky-na-ukrajine\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-nejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv-de\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png\" data-orig-size=\"549,497\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Screenshot 2026-01-13 at 14-42-23 Reisner\u016fv pohled na frontu \u201eNejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akce ukazuj\u00ed Trump situaci vyhrocuje\u201c &amp;#8211; ntv.de\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-42-23-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=549\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">A pou\u017eit\u00ed Ore\u0161niku, nov\u011b vyvinut\u00e9 hypersonick\u00e9 st\u0159ely, m\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00edm podporovatel\u016fm uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee Rusko je nad\u0159azen\u00e9?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Prvn\u00ed raketa Ore\u0161nik m\u011bla tak\u00e9 tento c\u00edl. Byla nasazena v listopadu 2024 v reakci na pou\u017eit\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu proti vojensk\u00fdm c\u00edl\u016fm na rusk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed u Kurska. Kdy\u017e se v l\u00e9t\u011b diskutovalo o dod\u00e1vce americk\u00fdch raket Tomahawk, Kreml znovu pohrozil pou\u017eit\u00edm Poseidonu, podvodn\u00edho torp\u00e9da, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt vyzbrojeno i jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi. Nyn\u00ed, s obnoven\u00fdm pou\u017eit\u00edm Ore\u0161niku, m\u00e1me \u010dtvrtou eskalaci tohoto druhu, tentokr\u00e1t proti Lvovu, velmi bl\u00edzko polsk\u00fdch hranic, pouh\u00fdch 90 kilometr\u016f daleko. Jasn\u00e1 zn\u00e1mka toho, \u017ee tato raketa nesla zpr\u00e1vu \u2013 adresovanou Evrop\u011b a USA.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Lvov mohl b\u00fdt tak\u00e9 napaden st\u0159elami s plochou dr\u00e1hou letu.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Pak by se \u00fatoku nev\u011bnovala tolik pozornosti. Ore\u0161nik m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e9st v\u00edce hlavic, v\u010detn\u011b jadern\u00fdch. M\u00e1 dolet 5 000 kilometr\u016f, dosahuje rychlosti p\u0159esahuj\u00edc\u00ed Mach 10, a proto je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 jej zachytit. Proti Ore\u0161niku jsou zapot\u0159eb\u00ed velmi siln\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 syst\u00e9my. Pokud vylou\u010d\u00edme USA s jejich z\u00e1kladnami protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany v Polsku a Rumunsku, N\u011bmci by byli v budoucnu prvn\u00edmi, kdo by byl schopen tuto raketu st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu zachytit s izraelsk\u00fdm obrann\u00fdm syst\u00e9mem Arrow III.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Nedo\u0161lo jen k \u00fatoku Ore\u0161niku na Lvov, ale tak\u00e9 k leteck\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm na Kyjev, Od\u011bsu a dal\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta, kter\u00e9 mnoha lidem od\u0159\u00edzly elekt\u0159inu, vodu a teplo.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">M\u00edsto toho, aby Ukrajinci byli bez energie \u010dty\u0159i a\u017e osm hodin jako d\u0159\u00edve, nyn\u00ed \u010dasto za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed dvan\u00e1ct a\u017e \u0161estn\u00e1ct hodin bez dod\u00e1vek. A to se d\u011bje uprost\u0159ed vlny chladu s teplotami a\u017e k minus deseti stup\u0148\u016fm Celsia. Prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee se Rusov\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed u\u010dinit velk\u00e1 m\u011bsta neobyvateln\u00fdmi. K tomu u\u010dinil n\u011bkolik velmi drastick\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed. Ukrajinci v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee na Z\u00e1pad\u011b je st\u00e1le spousta protiletadlov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f ulo\u017een\u00fdch ve skladech. M\u011bli by je dostat, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Zelenskyj. A tak\u00e9 nech\u00e1pu, pro\u010d ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed podporovatel\u00e9 tyto zbran\u011b zadr\u017euj\u00ed. Jsou pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f tak zoufale pot\u0159ebn\u00e9. Nav\u00edc jsou \u010dist\u011b obrann\u00e9. Je to u\u017e te\u010f d\u016fvod k obav\u00e1m o jejich vlastn\u00ed schopnosti?<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Ukrajinci podnikaj\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 \u00fatoky a denn\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed 200 a\u017e 350 dron\u016f k \u00fatok\u016fm na kritickou infrastrukturu v Rusku. M\u00e1 to n\u011bjak\u00fd efekt? Nap\u0159\u00edklad \u00fatok na t\u0159i ropn\u00e9 plo\u0161iny v Kaspick\u00e9m mo\u0159i?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Ochrana takov\u00fdch platforem je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1, proto\u017ee pou\u017eit\u00ed obrann\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f na voln\u00e9m mo\u0159i je omezen\u00e9. Rusov\u00e9 mohou um\u00edstit syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany pouze na samotn\u00e9 platform\u011b nebo mus\u00ed um\u00edstit lod\u011b v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti. Pro Kreml je to v\u0161ak obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9, proto\u017ee Ukrajinci na Rusy vyv\u00edjej\u00ed tlak pomoc\u00ed bezpilotn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f. Pokud Rusov\u00e9 nyn\u00ed um\u00edst\u00ed lod\u011b na ka\u017ed\u00e9 ze sv\u00fdch platforem, riskuj\u00ed, \u017ee se tyto platformy stanou c\u00edlem ukrajinsk\u00fdch podvodn\u00edch nebo hladinov\u00fdch dron\u016f. Ukrajina je v tomto ohledu jist\u011b schopna vyv\u00edjet na Rusko m\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fd tlak.<\/p>\n<div class=\"Infographic_infographic__lxZcx\"><a href=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/?attachment_id=1032557\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1032557\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-1032557\" src=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 535px) 100vw, 535px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=535&amp;h=469 535w, https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=150&amp;h=131 150w, https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=300&amp;h=263 300w, https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png 548w\" alt=\"\" width=\"656\" height=\"575\" data-attachment-id=\"1032557\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/2026\/01\/14\/reisnerova-dalsi-analyza-valky-na-ukrajine\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-nejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv-de\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png\" data-orig-size=\"548,480\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Screenshot 2026-01-13 at 14-41-32 Reisner\u016fv pohled na frontu \u201eNejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akce ukazuj\u00ed Trump situaci vyhrocuje\u201c &amp;#8211; ntv.de\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/screenshot-2026-01-13-at-14-41-32-reisneruv-pohled-na-frontu-e2809enejnovejsi-akce-ukazuji-trump-situaci-vyhrocuje-ntv.de_.png?w=548\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Zvl\u00e1dne to v\u0161echno sama?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Ne, USA i nad\u00e1le hraj\u00ed v\u00fdznamnou, by\u0165 z\u00e1kulisn\u00ed, roli v \u00fatoc\u00edch na ruskou infrastrukturu. New York Times ned\u00e1vno podrobn\u011b popsaly rozsah a hloubku podpory CIA pro Ukrajince. Zpo\u010d\u00e1tku byly napadeny ropn\u00e9 n\u00e1dr\u017ee v rafin\u00e9ri\u00edch, kter\u00e9 produkovaly velkolep\u00e9 oblaka kou\u0159e a poskytovaly tak dobr\u00fd vizu\u00e1ln\u00ed dojem, ale kou\u0159 pouze nazna\u010duje ho\u0159\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1dr\u017e. Pot\u00e9 byly ter\u010dem \u00fatok\u016f kritick\u00e9 komponenty uvnit\u0159 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Trump byl \u00fadajn\u011b s v\u00fdsledkem velmi spokojen, proto\u017ee mu to umo\u017enilo vyv\u00edjet tlak na ob\u011b strany.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">A s ohledem na dosa\u017eiteln\u00fd efekt: Je v \u0159et\u011bzci zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed ropy efektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fato\u010dit na vrtnou plo\u0161inu nebo na rafinerii?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">Rusk\u00e1 produkce ropy nen\u00ed z\u00e1visl\u00e1 pouze na vrtn\u00fdch plo\u0161in\u00e1ch v \u010cern\u00e9m nebo Kaspick\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Proto jsou mo\u017en\u00e9 r\u016fzn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstupy. Ukrajinci se mohou zam\u011b\u0159it na v\u00fdrobn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Mohou vy\u0159adit z provozu rafinerie, kde se ropa zpracov\u00e1v\u00e1, nebo se zam\u011b\u0159it na skladovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, \u010di dokonce termin\u00e1ly, ze kter\u00fdch se p\u0159epravuje. Z vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, aby ka\u017ed\u00e1 akce p\u0159inesla m\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\"><b class=\"bold\">Nap\u0159\u00edklad?<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_text-default__P3otY Typography_weight-normal__pqUbH storyline_paragraph_p__qSR5N\">M\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky by mohly znamenat: V\u00edce odpal\u016f raket a dron\u016f vede k men\u0161\u00edmu ni\u010den\u00ed kritick\u00e9 infrastruktury. \u00datoky na dod\u00e1vky ropy zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed \u00fazk\u00e1 hrdla na front\u011b, proto\u017ee jsou naru\u0161eny dod\u00e1vky paliva. Ukrajinci bohu\u017eel nejsou schopni sv\u00e9 \u00fatoky roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it. Probl\u00e9mem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nedostatek nasaditeln\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f. Kyjev sice m\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed podporu pro v\u00fdvoj dron\u016f a dal\u0161\u00ed projekty, ale st\u00e1le je k dispozici p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 m\u00e1lo. Ukrajinci pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed v\u00edce.<\/p>\n<p>ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo<\/p>\n<p>Plukovn\u00edk\u00a0 Reisner\u00a0 byl jako v\u017edycky\u00a0 v\u011bcn\u00fd. Probral nejen Ukrajinu, n\u00fdbr\u017e\u00a0 cel\u00fd\u00a0 sv\u011bt. Kde Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 utahuj\u00ed\u00a0 \u0161rouby.\u00a0 Ano, souhlas\u00edm\u00a0 -Rusku a\u00a0 \u010c\u00edn\u011b. A jejich spojenc\u016fm.<\/p>\n<p>Nicm\u00e9n\u011b\u00a0 si\u00a0 dovol\u00edm\u00a0 jednu\u00a0 v\u00fd\u010ditku\u00a0 a jedno p\u0159ipodotknut\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Za\u010dnu\u00a0 tou\u00a0 v\u00fd\u010ditkou\u00a0 \u2013\u00a0 opomenul\u00a0 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 Trump\u016fv\u00a0 \u00fader\u00a0 po Nov\u00e9m\u00a0 roce\u00a0 \u2013 t\u00edm je pro mne zat\u00edm\u00a0 jeho kampa\u0148\u00a0 na\u00a0 z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 Gronska.\u00a0 To, co\u00a0 Evropa pova\u017eovala\u00a0 hodn\u011b\u00a0 dlouho\u00a0 za\u00a0 nevkusn\u00fd\u00a0 buransk\u00fd\u00a0 Trump\u016fv\u00a0 \u017eert,\u00a0 se\u00a0 zhmotnilo do\u00a0 zcel a v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 mo\u017enosti!\u00a0 Zejm\u00e9na\u00a0 kdy\u017e\u00a0 vyhl\u00e1sil, \u017ee\u00a0 ho n\u011bjak\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo nezaj\u00edm\u00e1\u2026.\u00a0 Namistrovan\u00e1\u00a0 Evropa, jaksi najednou\u00a0 nev\u00ed, co s\u00a0 t\u00edm. Spojenec nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, nejz\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed,\u00a0 bez\u00a0 n\u011bj\u017e NATO ani Evropa nic neznamen\u00e1,\u00a0 natahuje\u00a0 svoj\u00ed\u00a0 hrabivou pracku\u00a0 na\u00a0 \u00fazem\u00ed\u00a0 spojence\u00a0 a d\u011bl\u00e1,\u00a0 \u017ee je\u00a0 to tak norm\u00e1ln\u00ed. A\u00a0 sta\u010d\u00ed\u00a0 m\u00e1lo\u00a0 malou\u010dko\u00a0 \u2013 aby Trump na\u00a0 svou\u00a0 stranu p\u0159et\u00e1hl\u00a0 v\u011bt\u0161inu\u00a0 z\u00a0 50 000 obyvatel Gronska a\u00a0 ti prohl\u00e1sili, \u017ee\u00a0 cht\u011bj\u00ed\u00a0 bu\u010f\u00a0 samostatnost\u00a0 nebo\u00a0 svazek s\u00a0 USA a\u00a0 bude vymalov\u00e1no.<\/p>\n<p>U\u017e je\u00a0 zkusil jednodu\u0161e podplatit\u00a0 \u2013 sl\u00edbil\u00a0 ka\u017ed\u00e9mu, po p\u0159ipojen\u00ed k Unii\u00a0 100 000USD. Cht\u011bl kupovat za\u00a0 p\u016fldarma\u00a0 \u2013 takhle pod cenou by\u00a0 Gronsko dostal\u00a0 z\u00a0 umolousan\u00fdch\u00a0 5 miliard infla\u010dn\u00edch\u00a0 dolar\u016f\u2026\u00a0 Kdyby\u00a0 do toho vrazil\u00a0 o n\u011bco\u00a0 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pakatel\u00a0 , \u0159ekn\u011bme\u00a0 10x\u00a0 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 \u2013 tedy\u00a0 \u00a01 000 000 USD\u00a0 na\u00a0 hlavu.\u00a0 dost mo\u017en\u00e1 by\u00a0 usp\u011bl.\u00a0 Jen\u017ee Trump\u00a0 \u0161et\u0159\u00ed\u2026.<\/p>\n<p>Nicm\u00e9n\u011b\u00a0 kauza\u00a0 Gronsko je\u00a0 n\u011bco,\u00a0 co Reisner\u00a0 zcela\u00a0 ignoroval,\u00a0 a\u010dkoli nikdo v\u00a0 Evrop\u011b\u00a0 si s\u00a0 t\u00edm nev\u00ed rady.\u00a0 Tak\u00a0 dlouho\u00a0 v\u0161elijak\u00e9 Leyenov\u00e9, Macroni,\u00a0 ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm\u00a0 Fialov\u00e9, P\u00e1vkov\u00e9 a\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00ed podobn\u00ed\u00a0 poskoci\u00a0 velk\u00fdch\u00a0 bubnovali,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 krvav\u00fd\u00a0 Putler\u00a0 jen jen\u00a0 \u010dek\u00e1\u00a0 za\u00a0 dve\u0159mi, aby\u00a0 n\u00e1s\u00a0 zotro\u010dil a zokupoval,\u00a0 a\u017e nakonec\u00a0 Evropu a\u00a0 jej\u00ed spojence p\u0159epadnou USA. No uznejte,\u017ee\u00a0 takov\u00e1hle politick\u00e1\u00a0 bystrozrakost nem\u00e1\u00a0 chybu\u2026.<\/p>\n<p>A\u00a0 to p\u0159ipodotknut\u00ed?\u00a0 To se t\u00fdk\u00e1\u00a0 Trumpovy\u00a0 sil\u00e1ck\u00e9\u00a0 hry.\u00a0 U\u017e\u00a0 p\u0159i\u00a0 anal\u00fdze d\u011bn\u00ed kolem Venezuely jste\u00a0 \u010detli ,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 jeho kon\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 m\u00e1\u00a0 jasn\u00e9 limity. Jak ve Venezuele, tak\u00a0 v\u00a0 Ir\u00e1nu. Tou z\u00e1kladn\u00ed limitou\u00a0 je\u00a0 pozemn\u00ed operace.\u00a0 Americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, p\u0159es\u00a0 svou\u00a0 ve\u0161kerou\u00a0 s\u00edlu\u00a0 prost\u011b moment\u00e1ln\u011b na n\u011bjakou\u00a0 rozs\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 pozemn\u00ed operaci\u00a0 nem\u00e1 a m\u00edt\u00a0 nebude. Pot\u0159ebovala\u00a0 by\u00a0 mobilizovat ve\u0161ker\u00e9 svoje\u00a0 zdroje.\u00a0 Tomu\u00a0 nic nenasv\u011bd\u010duje a\u00a0 osobn\u011b\u00a0 si\u00a0 mysl\u00edm, \u017ee\u00a0 rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1\u00a0 vojensk\u00e1\u00a0 akce\u00a0 v zahrani\u010d\u00ed k\u00a0 tomu, je\u00a0 dnes\u00a0 nepr\u016fchoz\u00ed.\u00a0 A\u00a0 to i\u00a0 ve\u00a0 Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Trump si mohl\u00a0 dovolit\u00a0 rychlou spektakul\u00e1rn\u00ed\u00a0 v\u00fdsadkovou\u00a0 akci, ale nikoli\u00a0 n\u011bjakou del\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 v\u00e1lku. K\u00a0 t\u00e9 nedostane\u00a0 souhlas\u00a0 Kongresu a\u00a0 ani nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 po\u017eehn\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 voli\u010d\u016f. A\u00a0 za\u00a0 3\/4 roku\u00a0 jsou\u00a0 tzv. polo\u010dasov\u00e9\u00a0 volby.\u00a0 To\u00a0 se\u00a0 \u0161patn\u011b\u00a0 v\u00e1l\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Ni\u010d\u00edm z\u00a0 toho\u00a0 se\u00a0 Reisner\u00a0 neobt\u011b\u017eoval zab\u00fdvat . \u0160koda\u2026. Snad\u00a0 p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vlkovobloguje.wordpress.com\/2026\/01\/14\/reisnerova-dalsi-analyza-valky-na-ukrajine\/\">Petr Vlk<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-63439\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/petr-vlk.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"182\" height=\"176\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u011bmeck\u00fd\u00a0 zpravodajsk\u00fd server\u00a0 n-tv.de\u00a0 uve\u0159ejnil\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 hodnot\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0 rozhovor\u00a0 rakousk\u00e9ho\u00a0 vojensk\u00e9ho\u00a0 analytika\u00a0 plukovn\u00edka\u00a0 gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu\u00a0 Markuse\u00a0&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96942,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,452,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96941"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96941"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96941\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":96943,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96941\/revisions\/96943"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96942"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}