{"id":96892,"date":"2026-01-15T00:14:15","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T23:14:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96892"},"modified":"2026-01-14T10:31:35","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T09:31:35","slug":"thomas-kolbe-nemecka-stredni-trida-v-roce-2026-pod-utokem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/15\/thomas-kolbe-nemecka-stredni-trida-v-roce-2026-pod-utokem\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas Kolbe: N\u011bmeck\u00e1 st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda v roce 2026 pod \u00fatokem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u0160et\u0159ete v dob\u011b hojnosti, abyste m\u011bli v dob\u011b nouze. Star\u00e9 n\u011bmeck\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edslov\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se nyn\u00ed tragicky ukazuje jako pravdiv\u00e9. \u00datrapy plynouc\u00ed z naprosto zvr\u00e1cen\u00e9 klimaticko-socialistick\u00e9 ideologie teprve za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed. Tento socialistick\u00fd experiment pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b d\u00e1le zpusto\u0161\u00ed zemi, dokud nebude jej\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 podstata zcela vy\u010derp\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00fd rok za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 tak, jak skon\u010dil ten star\u00fd: fisk\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00fatokem na pen\u011b\u017eenky st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy. V Bruselu a Berl\u00edn\u011b panuje uspokojen\u00ed s t\u00edm, \u017ee ob\u010dan\u00e9 byli ti\u0161e a bez v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch pomp\u00e9z podrobeni dal\u0161\u00edmu zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed dan\u00ed \u2013 p\u0159\u00edjmy z nich, jako stoupaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edliv, sotva zvednou v\u0161echny lod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

1. ledna se cena CO\u2082 za tunu vypou\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9ho plynu zv\u00fd\u0161ila z 55 EUR na 65 EUR. Tato da\u0148, uvalen\u00e1 na fosiln\u00ed paliva, jako je benz\u00edn, nafta, zemn\u00ed plyn a topn\u00fd olej, prot\u00edn\u00e1 cel\u00fd hodnotov\u00fd \u0159et\u011bzec jako \u010derven\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1ra \u2013 a\u017e do \u00fa\u010dt\u016f soukrom\u00fdch dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed. Mechanismus zelen\u00e9 dan\u011b je nyn\u00ed pevn\u011b zako\u0159en\u011bn, st\u00e1le v\u00edce financuje roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed se aktivity Bruselu a je ost\u0159e br\u00e1n\u011bn vl\u00e1dnouc\u00edmi politiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Le\u017e o da\u0148ov\u00fdch \u00falev\u00e1ch<\/span><\/h3>\n

Zat\u00edmco feder\u00e1ln\u00ed vl\u00e1da oslavuje minim\u00e1ln\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 \u00falevy pro skupiny s ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmi a st\u0159edn\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edjmy, realita hovo\u0159\u00ed jinak. Ve skute\u010dnosti tito ne\u00fanavn\u00ed v\u00fdb\u011br\u010d\u00ed dan\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 b\u0159emeno d\u00e1le zvy\u0161uj\u00ed. Pouze odv\u00e1d\u011bc\u00ed taktika st\u00e1tn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed br\u00e1n\u00ed tomu, aby se uk\u00e1zaly pln\u00e9 n\u00e1klady rostouc\u00edho hyperst\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rok 2026 bude pro zmen\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed se n\u011bmeckou st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddu drah\u00fd \u2013 dopady toho se brzy projev\u00ed na prvn\u00ed v\u00fdplat\u011b v tomto roce. Odhal\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9ho soci\u00e1ln\u00edho st\u00e1tu a unik\u00e1tn\u00edho experimentu transformace n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed v kvaziglob\u00e1ln\u00ed model poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00e1 st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda nebyla od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky nikdy vystavena tak vysok\u00e9mu fisk\u00e1ln\u00edmu a ekonomick\u00e9mu tlaku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e vl\u00e1dn\u00edch dotac\u00ed pro st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddu<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nespo\u010detn\u00e9 dotace a st\u00e1tn\u00ed intervence na financov\u00e1n\u00ed komplexn\u00edho \u201ezelen\u00e9ho um\u011bn\u00ed\u201c, v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b a nyn\u00ed i posilov\u00e1n\u00ed arm\u00e1dy p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd \u00fatok na n\u011bmeckou st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddu. Podniky a \u010dist\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00ed poplatn\u00edci plat\u00ed rok od roku rostouc\u00ed \u201ekrvavou cenu\u201c na podporu ideologick\u00fdch a mocensk\u00fdch ambic\u00ed Berl\u00edna a Bruselu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jen st\u00e1le aktivn\u00ed program dotac\u00ed na obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energie (EEG) letos pohlt\u00ed p\u0159es 16 miliard eur \u2013 pro elektrickou s\u00ed\u0165, kter\u00e1 od postupn\u00e9ho vy\u0159azov\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren ji\u017e neposkytuje bezpe\u010dn\u00fd z\u00e1klad pro pr\u016fmyslovou v\u00fdrobu a \u017eene ceny elekt\u0159iny jak pro pr\u016fmysl, tak pro dom\u00e1cnosti do z\u00e1vratn\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161in. Trittin\u016fv \u201ezmrzlinov\u00fd kornout\u201c se stal n\u00e1kladn\u00fdm Him\u00e1lajem, na kter\u00fd u\u017e nikdo nem\u016f\u017ee vyl\u00e9zt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sedmilet\u00fd pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd \u00fapadek N\u011bmecka, kter\u00fd se nyn\u00ed zrychluje, p\u0159esn\u011b kop\u00edruje cestu \u00famysln\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed jeho pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny. Od roku 2018 bylo v pr\u016fmyslu ztraceno t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 300 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst \u2013 tragick\u00e9, ale zjevn\u011b to pro politick\u00e9 \u010dinitele v Berl\u00edn\u011b to m\u00e1lo zaj\u00edm\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u011bst\u0161t\u00ed pokladn\u00edci v\u0161ak c\u00edt\u00ed bolest: pokud se p\u0159\u00edjmy z dan\u00ed z podnik\u00e1n\u00ed v d\u016fsledku pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 devastace propadnou, ob\u010dan\u00e9 se mus\u00ed t\u011b\u0161it na \u0161krty ve ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch a v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dan\u00ed. \u0160koly, \u0161kolky, sportovn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u2013 v\u0161e \u010del\u00ed drastick\u00fdm rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdm \u0161krt\u016fm. Velk\u00e9 \u201ed\u011bkov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c pat\u0159\u00ed berl\u00ednsk\u00e9mu centr\u00e1ln\u00edmu pl\u00e1novac\u00edmu odd\u011blen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u016fmysl na pokraji krachu: P\u016fj\u010dky se vypa\u0159uj\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

C\u00edlem Friedricha Merze, Ursuly von der Leyen a dal\u0161\u00edch centr\u00e1ln\u00edch pl\u00e1nova\u010d\u016f je jasn\u00e9: zaplnit voln\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 kapacity vl\u00e1dn\u00edmi p\u016fj\u010dkami. Ale bez ohledu na to, kolik pen\u011bz plyne do nov\u00e9ho soci\u00e1ln\u00edho programu pod rou\u0161kou speci\u00e1ln\u00edho fondu pro zelenou a vojenskou v\u00fdrobu, \u00fa\u010dinek se ji\u017e rozpt\u00fdlil. V prosinci se cel\u00fd pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd sektor euroz\u00f3ny, m\u011b\u0159eno nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi indexy n\u00e1kupn\u00edch mana\u017eer\u016f (PMI), dostal do recese. N\u011bmecko nyn\u00ed sv\u016fj pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd sektor nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b zmen\u0161uje ji\u017e sedm let.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00edch pl\u00e1nova\u010d\u016f v Bruselu, jejich\u017e zjevn\u00fdm c\u00edlem je ekonomick\u00e1 a geopolitick\u00e1 neutralizace zem\u011b. Po letech deindustrializace a vln bankrot\u016f lze tuto strategii jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed interpretovat jinak. N\u011bmeck\u00fd index PMI nyn\u00ed dosahuje 47 bod\u016f \u2013 co\u017e je zjevn\u011b v p\u00e1smu poklesu. Letos zaniknou statis\u00edce pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst. Jen v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce zkrachovalo 24 000 spole\u010dnost\u00ed. P\u0159esn\u00e9 \u00fadaje o ztr\u00e1t\u011b pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst a \u010dist\u00e9m odlivu p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch investic zat\u00edm nejsou k dispozici; v roce 2024 odteklo z N\u011bmecka 64,5 miliardy eur. N\u011bmeck\u00fd pr\u016fmysl ji\u017e nen\u00ed konkurenceschopn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rychl\u00e9 p\u0159eva\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed viny<\/span><\/h3>\n

Vin\u00edci jsou rychle identifikov\u00e1ni. Americk\u00e1 cla, obl\u00edben\u00e9 t\u00e9ma sympatick\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed, jsou \u010dasto zmi\u0148ov\u00e1na \u2013 p\u0159esto\u017ee krize za\u010dala dlouho p\u0159ed Donaldem Trumpem. Zd\u016fraz\u0148uje se tak\u00e9 dumpingov\u00e1 konkurence z \u010c\u00edny. To je jeden faktor, ale 99 procent n\u011bmeck\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f je dom\u00e1c\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nikdo nenutil zemi udr\u017eovat hranice doko\u0159\u00e1n po v\u00edce ne\u017e deset let, co\u017e dotla\u010dilo jej\u00ed syst\u00e9my soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed na pokraj kolapsu \u2013 to v\u0161e proto, aby vytvo\u0159ily nov\u00e9 voli\u010dsk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny pro sjednocenou politickou levici a zlomily odpor bur\u017eoazn\u00edho t\u00e1bora.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed se st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed investice<\/span><\/h3>\n

Tento trend se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed i ve st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edd\u011b. Index DATEV SME ukazuje klesaj\u00edc\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e9 tr\u017eby ve v\u0161ech sektorech, zejm\u00e9na v maloobchod\u011b, stavebnictv\u00ed a spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch. Investice prakticky zmrazily: Podle LBBW SME Radar pl\u00e1nuje v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce nav\u00fd\u0161it investice pouze 20 procent firem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ideologick\u00e1 zelen\u00e1 agenda zanechala sv\u00e9 stopy. Vysok\u00e9 ceny elekt\u0159iny, klesaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmy a p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed inflace vys\u00e1vaj\u00ed st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddu. Maloobchodn\u00edci poc\u00edtili dopady poprv\u00e9 o V\u00e1noc\u00edch: nomin\u00e1ln\u00ed tr\u017eby vzrostly o 1,5 procenta, ale re\u00e1ln\u011b v nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edci klesly o 1 procento.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00fd stres bude v roce 2026 st\u00e1l\u00fdm pr\u016fvodcem n\u011bmeck\u00e9 st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy. Vysok\u00e9 ceny nemovitost\u00ed, nulov\u00e9 re\u00e1ln\u00e9 \u00faroky z \u00faspor a rychl\u00e1 eroze ekonomick\u00e9 podstaty se budou shodovat s neust\u00e1le se rozr\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00edm st\u00e1tem. Byrokracie a st\u00e1tn\u00ed apar\u00e1t se vyvinou v parazitick\u00e9ho leviathana, financovan\u00e9ho klesaj\u00edc\u00edm po\u010dtem da\u0148ov\u00fdch poplatn\u00edk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fsledky pro pr\u016fmysl, obchod a centra m\u011bst<\/span><\/h3>\n

P\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho z\u00e1vis\u00ed na vysok\u00e9 tvorb\u011b pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 hodnoty v N\u011bmecku: servisn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, vysok\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy z v\u00fdrobn\u00edch faktor\u016f a zdrav\u00e9 obecn\u00ed finance \u2013 to v\u0161e se nyn\u00ed ztr\u00e1c\u00ed a odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed se v centrech m\u011bst.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tam, kde kdysi pulzoval \u017eivot, ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u011b zanik\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 5 000 maloobchodn\u00edk\u016f \u2013 nenahraditeln\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta. Tento pokles odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed to, co ob\u010dan\u00e9 c\u00edt\u00ed ve sv\u00fdch pen\u011b\u017eenk\u00e1ch: za\u010dal odliv.<\/span><\/p>\n

Klesaj\u00edc\u00ed kupn\u00ed s\u00edla st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b patrn\u00e1 v sektoru pohostinstv\u00ed, kde rodiny jako prvn\u00ed \u0161krtaj\u00ed. Hotely zaznamenaly v roce 2025 re\u00e1ln\u00fd pokles tr\u017eeb o 3,7 procenta, zat\u00edmco restaurace a bary zaznamenaly meziro\u010dn\u00ed pokles o 4,1 procenta. Dom\u00e1cnosti \u0161et\u0159\u00ed, kdekoli je to mo\u017en\u00e9. Vysok\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na energie, rostouc\u00ed odvody na soci\u00e1ln\u00ed zabezpe\u010den\u00ed a oslabuj\u00edc\u00ed trh pr\u00e1ce zanech\u00e1vaj\u00ed stopu ekonomick\u00e9ho poklesu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zapomenut\u00e9 lekce: Populace a krize<\/span><\/h3>\n

Struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 krize pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed \u010das, aby se dostaly do pov\u011bdom\u00ed ve\u0159ejnosti. V\u011bt\u0161ina dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed si zpo\u010d\u00e1tku utahuje opasky bez st\u00ed\u017enost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

St\u00e1t vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 tohoto \u00fatlumu p\u0159ed bou\u0159\u00ed k tomu, aby spot\u0159eboval majetek ob\u010dan\u016f rychleji, ne\u017e soukrom\u00fd sektor dok\u00e1\u017ee ztr\u00e1ty pokr\u00fdt. To je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b patrn\u00e9, kdy\u017e \u010dist\u00e9 nov\u00e9 zadlu\u017een\u00ed letos \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b \u00fa\u010detn\u00edch trik\u016f \u2013 p\u0159esahuje 5,5 procenta. Oddanost \u010d\u00e1sti populace ideologick\u00fdm doktr\u00edn\u00e1m se m\u011bn\u00ed v n\u00e1kladnou a ni\u010divou trag\u00e9dii.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmecko \u010del\u00ed situaci s n\u00e1rodem, kter\u00fd nen\u00ed ochoten se pou\u010dit z nezbytn\u00fdch ponau\u010den\u00ed: zvratu v migra\u010dn\u00ed politice, p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed a zmen\u0161en\u00ed sv\u00e9ho nafoukl\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho apar\u00e1tu nov\u00fdm ekonomick\u00fdm realit\u00e1m. Posun sm\u011brem k v\u00fdkonnostn\u011b orientovan\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed ekonomice se nekon\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dokud nebudou tato ponau\u010den\u00ed uzn\u00e1na a implementov\u00e1na, bude N\u011bmecko nad\u00e1le upadat.<\/span><\/p>\n

*<\/span><\/h3>\n

Thomas Kolbe<\/strong>, narozen\u00fd v roce 1978 v n\u011bmeck\u00e9m Neussu, m\u00e1 vystudovanou ekonomii. V\u00edce ne\u017e 25 let pracoval jako novin\u00e1\u0159 a medi\u00e1ln\u00ed producent pro klienty z r\u016fzn\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed a obchodn\u00edch sdru\u017een\u00ed. Jako spisovatel se zam\u011b\u0159uje na ekonomick\u00e9 procesy a pozoruje geopolitick\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti z pohledu kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch trh\u016f. Jeho publikace se \u0159\u00edd\u00ed filozofi\u00ed, kter\u00e1 klade do centra pozornost \u010dlov\u011bka a jeho pr\u00e1va na sebeur\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0160et\u0159ete v dob\u011b hojnosti, abyste m\u011bli v dob\u011b nouze. Star\u00e9 n\u011bmeck\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edslov\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se nyn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":94820,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,84,1975],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96892"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96892"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96892\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/94820"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96892"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96892"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96892"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}