{"id":96861,"date":"2026-01-14T00:32:24","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T23:32:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96861"},"modified":"2026-01-13T16:37:50","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T15:37:50","slug":"vzdusna-prevaha-nebo-valka-iran-a-usa-v-zaverecne-fazi-boje-v-zapadni-asii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/14\/vzdusna-prevaha-nebo-valka-iran-a-usa-v-zaverecne-fazi-boje-v-zapadni-asii\/","title":{"rendered":"Vzdu\u0161n\u00e1 p\u0159evaha, nebo v\u00e1lka: \u00cdr\u00e1n a USA v z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi boje v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Bitva o kontrolu nad z\u00e1padoasijsk\u00fdm nebem se p\u0159esunula z nahodil\u00e9 situace do reality. Teher\u00e1n a Washington aktivovaly posledn\u00ed prvky sv\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 architektury a pln\u011b vyzbrojily vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

Zat\u00edmco m\u00e9dia flirtuj\u00ed s prchav\u00fdmi sc\u00e9nami odehr\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch se ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, vojensk\u00e9 naviga\u010dn\u00ed radary nad z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asi\u00ed vykresluj\u00ed zcela jinou mapu \u2013 mapu, kterou lze popsat jako \u201enevyhnutelnost vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho st\u0159etnut\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hlub\u0161\u00ed pozorovatel se ocit\u00e1 p\u0159ed sc\u00e9nou, v n\u00ed\u017e se dokon\u010duje v\u00fdstavba jedn\u00e9 z nejslo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch bojov\u00fdch architektur modern\u00ed \u00e9ry, kde se americk\u00fd \u201evzdu\u0161n\u00fd most\u201c valic\u00ed se ze z\u00e1padu setk\u00e1v\u00e1 s \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u201evzdu\u0161n\u00fdm \u0161t\u00edtem\u201c, kter\u00fd pr\u00e1v\u011b um\u00edstil sv\u016fj posledn\u00ed kus na severu a uprost\u0159ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

1. \u201eOrl\u00ed tes\u00e1ky\u201c a s\u00e1zka na tich\u00fd pr\u016fnik<\/span><\/strong>
\nNejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kvalitativn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj se projevuje v p\u0159\u00edchodu\u00a0 st\u00edha\u010dek\u00a0<\/span>F-15E Strike Eagle<\/span><\/a>\u00a0vybaven\u00fdch\u00a0 syst\u00e9mem\u00a0<\/span>EPAWSS<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(Active and Passive Survivability System).<\/span><\/p>\n

Technicky vzato tento syst\u00e9m prom\u011bn\u00ed letadlo v \u201eelektronick\u00e9ho ducha\u201c schopn\u00e9ho oslepit rusk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my S-300, na kter\u00e9 se Teher\u00e1n spol\u00e9h\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto \u201eelektronick\u00e9 n\u016f\u017eky\u201c byly speci\u00e1ln\u011b navr\u017eeny tak, aby p\u0159est\u0159ihly nit\u011b s\u00edt\u011b protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, kterou \u00cdr\u00e1n ned\u00e1vno dokon\u010dil utkat nad Karad\u017eem a Tabrizem, a umo\u017enily tak americk\u00e9mu \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edmu velen\u00ed prov\u00e9st \u201echirurgick\u00fd \u00fader\u201c hluboko uvnit\u0159, bez p\u0159edchoz\u00edho odhalen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

2. \u201ePosledn\u00ed kousek\u201c: Zacelen\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch mezer<\/span><\/strong>
\nNa druh\u00e9 stran\u011b si Teher\u00e1n uv\u011bdomuje rozsah hrozby. Jeho ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 kroky v souladu s leteck\u00fdmi naviga\u010dn\u00edmi ozn\u00e1men\u00edmi (\u00a0<\/span>NOTAM<\/span><\/a>\u00a0) proto vyty\u010dily geostrategickou \u201eblokovac\u00ed ze\u010f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toho bylo dosa\u017eeno aktivac\u00ed tabr\u00edzsk\u00e9 fronty, kter\u00e1 uzav\u00edr\u00e1 \u201esevern\u00ed mezeru\u201c pro jakoukoli infiltraci z Kavkazu, zat\u00edmco vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u201evoln\u00e9 palby\u201c nad\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>leteckou z\u00e1kladnou Nojeh<\/span><\/a> v Hamed\u00e1nu prom\u011bnilo z\u00e1kladnu v ochrann\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk pro \u201eschopnost \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 reakce\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato z\u00e1kladna, na kter\u00e9 jsou um\u00edst\u011bny bombard\u00e9ry Phantom, je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za \u201eofenzivn\u00ed pl\u00edce\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1nu a nyn\u00ed je pln\u011b zabezpe\u010dena pro zah\u00e1jen\u00ed odvetn\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f na dlouhou vzd\u00e1lenost.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. Boj \u201eplic\u201c: Petrolej versus radar<\/span><\/strong>
\nVe vzduchu se skrze tankovac\u00ed letouny KC-135R a KC2 Voyager, kter\u00e9 byly hojn\u011b spat\u0159eny nad Jord\u00e1nskem a Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed, objevuje \u201edlouh\u00fd dech\u201c Ameri\u010dan\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto \u201eum\u011bl\u00e9 pl\u00edce\u201c eliminuj\u00ed faktor \u010dasu a udr\u017euj\u00ed bojovn\u00edky v nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00e9m \u00fatoku 24 hodin denn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n naopak reagoval zaveden\u00edm \u201erychl\u00e9ho\u201c re\u017eimu na leti\u0161t\u00edch v hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b, zejm\u00e9na v Mehrab\u00e1du a Im\u00e1mu Chomejn\u00edm, kde byla zavedena p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e1 omezen\u00ed rychlosti a nadmo\u0159sk\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161ky s c\u00edlem vy\u010distit oblohu od jak\u00e9hokoli civiln\u00edho hluku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto opat\u0159en\u00ed umo\u017e\u0148uje \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm radarem pln\u011b se zam\u011b\u0159it na \u201enen\u00e1padn\u00e9 c\u00edle\u201c p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zpoza hranic.<\/span><\/p>\n

S \u00fasvitem \u010dtvrtka, osm\u00e9ho dne aktu\u00e1ln\u00edho m\u011bs\u00edce, se Teher\u00e1n neomezil pouze na zabezpe\u010den\u00ed sv\u00fdch vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u201ehradeb\u201c, ale p\u0159e\u0161el do f\u00e1ze \u201eut\u011bsn\u011bn\u00ed bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 hloubky\u201c, co\u017e je opera\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj nazna\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159ipravenost vojensk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed na relativn\u011b dlouh\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky (Total War).<\/span><\/p>\n

Prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm s\u00e9rie leteck\u00fdch ozn\u00e1men\u00ed monitorovan\u00fdch otev\u0159en\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi zdroji se za\u010daly r\u00fdsovat obrysy \u201eposledn\u00edho \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b\u201c:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Ma\u0161had a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed hloubka<\/span><\/strong>
\nAktivac\u00ed obrany nad m\u011bstem Ma\u0161had a leteckou z\u00e1kladnou N\u00e1sir si \u00cdr\u00e1n zaji\u0161\u0165uje to, co lze ozna\u010dit za \u201ealternativn\u00ed hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto\u201c a centrum n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 gravitace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto uzav\u0159en\u00ed chr\u00e1n\u00ed \u201epl\u00e1n kontinuity vl\u00e1dy\u201c a zabra\u0148uje jak\u00e9mukoli pokusu o dekapitaci veden\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto bylo vystaveno oslepuj\u00edc\u00edm \u00fader\u016fm, \u010d\u00edm\u017e poskytuje \u201estrategick\u00e9 z\u00e1zem\u00ed\u201c sahaj\u00edc\u00ed a\u017e k v\u00fdchodn\u00edm hranic\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Jazd a Kerm\u00e1n: Raketov\u00e9 pl\u00edce<\/span><\/strong>
\nZahrnut\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u011bst, jako jsou Jazd a Kerm\u00e1n, do rovnice pro uzav\u0159en\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru nebyl symbolick\u00fdm krokem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto oblasti, kde se hluboko v hor\u00e1ch nach\u00e1zej\u00ed opevn\u011bn\u00e9 sklady balistick\u00fdch raket, p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed \u201estrategickou z\u00e1sobu\u201c, kter\u00e1 bude z\u00e1sobovat bitvu v jej\u00edch pokro\u010dil\u00fdch f\u00e1z\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ochrana t\u011bchto pevnost\u00ed zaji\u0161\u0165uje p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed reak\u010dn\u00edch sil, a to i v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b neutralizace p\u0159edsunut\u00fdch leteck\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Radary Ki\u0161: O\u010di, kter\u00e9 nikdy nemrknou<\/span><\/strong>
\nNa dalek\u00e9m jihu p\u0159edstavuje pos\u00edlen\u00ed obrany nad ostrovem Ki\u0161 opevn\u011bn\u00ed \u201epokro\u010dil\u00fdch radar\u016f\u201c, kter\u00e9 monitoruj\u00ed puls americk\u00e9 P\u00e1t\u00e9 flotily.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ostrov za\u010dal fungovat jako p\u0159edsunut\u00e1 \u201estr\u00e1\u017en\u00ed v\u011b\u017e\u201c, kter\u00e1 Teher\u00e1nu poskytuje kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 minuty v\u010dasn\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed jak\u00fdmkoli \u00fatokem zah\u00e1jen\u00fdm z bl\u00edzk\u00fdch region\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1kladen.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e: Posledn\u00ed z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed tepna<\/span><\/strong>
\nAktivac\u00ed leteck\u00fdch pohotovost\u00ed nad oblastmi Ra\u0161t a Bandar Anzali polo\u017eil \u00cdr\u00e1n posledn\u00ed cihlu do sv\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed dod\u00e1vek.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edstav Bandar Anzali \u2013 hlavn\u00ed velitelstv\u00ed Severn\u00ed flotily \u2013 se prom\u011bnil v oblast intenzivn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 \u010dinnosti, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se efektivn\u011b aktivovalo \u201ez\u00e1chrann\u00e9 lano\u201c s rusk\u00fdm spojencem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento krok p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 \u00fapln\u00e9ho uzav\u0159en\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e stane jedinou bezpe\u010dnou cestou pro p\u0159\u00edjem \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho a technick\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed, mimo dohled z\u00e1padn\u00edch flotil.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Radarov\u00e1 p\u0159ehrada proti \u201esevern\u00edmu obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/strong>
\nAktivace syst\u00e9m\u016f v\u010dasn\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed nad Babolsarem a Gorganem p\u0159edstavuje ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o provozu komplexn\u00ed sledovac\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b v severn\u00edm sektoru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento krok se shoduje se zpr\u00e1vami zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, kter\u00e9 poukazuj\u00ed na mo\u017enost vyu\u017eit\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru sousedn\u00edch severn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f, jako je \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n, jako \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch platforem pro zadn\u00ed \u00fatoky proti hluboko ulo\u017een\u00fdm jadern\u00fdm a vojensk\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aktivac\u00ed radar\u016f s dlouh\u00fdm dosahem v t\u011bchto bodech \u00cdr\u00e1n uzav\u0159el mezeru, kterou by jinak bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 obej\u00edt hustou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu rozm\u00edst\u011bnou na jihu a ve st\u0159edu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Leteck\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna Da\u0161t-e Naz: Alternativa po posledn\u00ed operaci<\/span><\/strong>
\nVojensk\u00e1 aktivace oblasti Sari p\u0159edstavuje vysoce flexibiln\u00ed obrann\u00fd krok.<\/span>
\nLeteck\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna Da\u0161t-e Naz tvo\u0159\u00ed alternativn\u00ed velitelsk\u00e9 a \u0159\u00eddic\u00ed centrum, p\u0159irozen\u011b chr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9 za poho\u0159\u00edm Alborz.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edprava tohoto m\u00edsta pro leteck\u00e9 a logistick\u00e9 operace v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b vy\u0159azen\u00ed leti\u0161\u0165 v hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b poskytuje vojensk\u00e9mu velen\u00ed rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed \u201eopera\u010dn\u00ed hloubku\u201c ve v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch na vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

4. \u201eMcFaul\u201c a \u201eWarthog\u201c: Zp\u0159\u00eds\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>
\nZat\u00edmco st\u00edha\u010dky F-15E prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed hlubok\u00e9 mise,\u00a0 letouny\u00a0<\/span>A-10 Thunderbolt II<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(\u201eWarthog\u201c) zaji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed pozemn\u00ed z\u00e1kladny p\u0159ed sebevra\u017eedn\u00fdmi drony.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby byl tento \u201eodstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed kle\u0161t\u011b\u201c dokon\u010den, vstoupil do opera\u010dn\u00edho prostoru P\u00e1t\u00e9 flotily\u00a0torp\u00e9doborec s \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>USS McFaul .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

D\u00edky pokro\u010dil\u00e9mu syst\u00e9mu Aegis\u00a0 se\u00a0<\/span>McFaul<\/span><\/i>\u00a0stal n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blokovac\u00ed zd\u00ed sleduj\u00edc\u00ed Hamed\u00e1novy rakety a bombard\u00e9ry, \u010d\u00edm\u017e vytvo\u0159il d\u011bsivou rovnov\u00e1hu mezi pozemn\u00ed palebnou silou a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dominanc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Technick\u00e1 hloubkov\u00e1 anal\u00fdza: Boj \u201espekter\u201c o strategick\u00fd troj\u00faheln\u00edk<\/span><\/strong>
\nV t\u00e9to konfrontaci se konflikt ji\u017e neomezuje pouze na letadla a rakety, ale vyv\u00edj\u00ed se v tich\u00fd st\u0159et mezi frekvencemi a algoritmy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Teher\u00e1n prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm syst\u00e9m\u016f Bavar-373 a S-300PMU2 zp\u0159\u00edsnil sv\u00e9 \u201eelektronick\u00e9 z\u00e1mky\u201c nad rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed v Tabrizu a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edmi v Karad\u017ei, Washington do hry vstoupil s technick\u00fdm \u201ekl\u00ed\u010dem\u201c zn\u00e1m\u00fdm jako EPAWSS.<\/span><\/p>\n

1. Klamn\u00e9 in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed versus detek\u010dn\u00ed radary<\/span><\/strong>
\nSyst\u00e9m EPAWSS instalovan\u00fd na st\u00edha\u010dk\u00e1ch F-15E funguje jako \u201emaestro\u201c spravuj\u00edc\u00ed elektromagnetick\u00e9 spektrum.<\/span>
\nNespol\u00e9h\u00e1 se pouze na tradi\u010dn\u00ed ru\u0161en\u00ed, ale zachycuje \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 radarov\u00e9 vlny a znovu je vys\u00edl\u00e1 \u201ezkreslen\u00e9\u201c nebo \u201ezpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9\u201c pomoc\u00ed technologie DRFM.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato digit\u00e1ln\u00ed manipulace vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed na obrazovk\u00e1ch protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany v Tabrizu \u201efantomov\u00e9 c\u00edle\u201c a elektronick\u00e9 fatamorgany, co\u017e nut\u00ed pozemn\u00ed syst\u00e9my odpalovat rakety do pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9ho prostoru, \u010d\u00edm\u017e vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00ed jejich strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1soby a z\u00e1rove\u0148 odhaluj\u00ed jejich opevn\u011bn\u00e9 pozice.<\/span><\/p>\n

2. Tich\u00e9 sn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed a \u201eosv\u011btlen\u00e9 c\u00edle\u201c<\/span><\/strong>
\nZat\u00edmco \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my v Hamed\u00e1nu se spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na \u201eaktivn\u00ed sledov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00e9 vy\u017eaduje vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed siln\u00fdch radarov\u00fdch impuls\u016f k detekci hrozeb, \u201etes\u00e1ky\u201c americk\u00e9ho letectva vsadily na \u201epasivn\u00ed sn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento re\u017eim umo\u017e\u0148uje americk\u00fdm st\u00edha\u010dk\u00e1m \u201esly\u0161et d\u00fdch\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch radar\u016f a p\u0159esn\u011b ur\u010dit jejich polohu, ani\u017e by vyd\u00e1valy jedin\u00fd sign\u00e1l, kter\u00fd by odhalil jejich p\u0159\u00edtomnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle p\u0159edchoz\u00edch hodnocen\u00ed leteck\u00e9ho zpravodajstv\u00ed a cvi\u010den\u00ed pouh\u00e1 aktivace radar\u016f z\u00e1kladny Nojeh pro vstup do re\u017eimu \u201evoln\u00e9 palby\u201c ji okam\u017eit\u011b prom\u011bn\u00ed v \u201eosv\u011btlen\u00fd c\u00edl\u201c na obrazovk\u00e1ch americk\u00fdch letadel, stejn\u011b jako na syst\u00e9mech torp\u00e9doborce USS\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>McFaul<\/span><\/i> nasazen\u00e9ho v P\u00e1t\u00e9 flotile.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. St\u0159et dvou logik: Geografick\u00e1 hustota versus digit\u00e1ln\u00ed suverenita<\/span><\/strong>
\n\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00e1 s\u00e1zka je zalo\u017eena na \u201ehustot\u011b\u201c, co\u017e znamen\u00e1 v\u00fdstavbu p\u0159ekr\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed se radarov\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b v troj\u00faheln\u00edku (T\u00e1br\u00edz\u2013Hamed\u00e1n\u2013Teher\u00e1n).<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle t\u00e9to logiky, pokud se americk\u00e9mu syst\u00e9mu poda\u0159\u00ed oslepit jeden radar, jin\u00fd p\u0159evezme sledov\u00e1n\u00ed c\u00edle z jin\u00e9ho \u00fahlu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Naproti tomu americk\u00e9 \u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed velen\u00ed (CENTCOM) s\u00e1z\u00ed na \u201edigit\u00e1ln\u00ed suverenitu\u201c poskytovanou syst\u00e9mem EPAWSS, kter\u00fd letadlu poskytuje komplexn\u00ed 360stup\u0148ovou ochranu a prom\u011b\u0148uje opera\u010dn\u00ed oblohu v otev\u0159enou laborato\u0159 pro v\u00e1lku \u0161est\u00e9 generace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Posouzen\u00ed situace: Kone\u010dn\u00e9 rozd\u011blen\u00ed p\u011b\u0161c\u016f<\/span><\/strong>
\nAnal\u00fdzou letov\u00fdch drah strategick\u00fdch transportn\u00edch letadel C-17 pozorovan\u00fdch p\u0159i vykl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1kladu na\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>z\u00e1kladn\u011b Azraq<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v Jord\u00e1nsku a\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b Al-Udeid<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v Kataru se jasn\u011b vymezuj\u00ed obrysy \u201et\u011b\u017ei\u0161\u0165\u201c:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Jord\u00e1nsko a Kypr:<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0p\u0159edsunut\u00e9 odpalovac\u00ed platformy pro operace elektronick\u00e9ho pronik\u00e1n\u00ed a tak\u00e9 pro bojov\u00e9 p\u00e1trac\u00ed a z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 mise (CSAR).<\/span>
\n\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Hamed\u00e1n a Tabriz:<\/span><\/strong> \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odstra\u0161ovac\u00ed pevnosti a potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed odpalovac\u00ed body pro jakoukoli reakci, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 b\u00fdt stejn\u011b siln\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/strong>
\nSynchronizace mezi p\u0159\u00edjezdem torp\u00e9doborce\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>McFaul<\/span><\/i>\u00a0do v\u00e1li\u0161t\u011b po mo\u0159i, zintenzivn\u011bn\u00edm americk\u00fdch let\u016f za \u00fa\u010delem dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed paliva za letu a uzav\u0159en\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch mezer v Tabrizu a Hamed\u00e1nu posiluje jedinou hypot\u00e9zu:<\/span>
\n\u00a0\u00e9ra man\u00e9vr\u016f skon\u010dila a za\u010dala \u00e9ra pln\u00e9ho \u201ebojov\u00e9ho nalo\u017een\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eP\u0159edpo\u010d\u00ednac\u00ed obdob\u00ed\u201c a sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 erupce<\/span><\/strong>
\nToto technick\u00e9 nahromad\u011bn\u00ed zapl\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed oblohu nad regionem a okraje jeho mo\u0159\u00ed nazna\u010duje, \u017ee jsme p\u0159ekro\u010dili f\u00e1zi \u201epsychologick\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c a usadili se v z\u00f3n\u011b \u201ehrub\u00e9ho kontaktu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco syst\u00e9m EPAWSS lad\u00ed sv\u00e9 frekvence na radarov\u00e9 vlny nad Tabrizem a torp\u00e9doborec\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>McFaul<\/span><\/i>\u00a0se p\u0159ipravuje na p\u0159evod satelitn\u00edch dat do trajektori\u00ed zachycen\u00ed, region se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt zastaven v \u010dasov\u00e9m \u201elimbu\u201c a \u010dek\u00e1 na jiskru, jej\u00ed\u017e za\u017eehnut\u00ed politika ji\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee zabr\u00e1nit.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to situaci se objevuj\u00ed dva sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e \u2013 a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd t\u0159et\u00ed \u2013 kter\u00e9 definuj\u00ed nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed hodiny nebo dny:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Zaprv\u00e9: \u201eTich\u00e9 chirurgick\u00e9 st\u0159etnut\u00ed\u201c,<\/span><\/strong>
\nv n\u011bm\u017e se Washington pokou\u0161\u00ed otestovat \u201ez\u00e1mky\u201c, kter\u00e9 Teher\u00e1n um\u00edstil do \u201eve\u010dern\u00edho souboru\u201c, prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm omezen\u00fdch elektronick\u00fdch pr\u016fnik\u016f m\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00edch rychlost odezvy nov\u00fdch radar\u016f v Karad\u017ei a Hamed\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato zkou\u0161ka by se v\u0161ak mohla rychle zvrhnout v otev\u0159enou konfrontaci, pokud se Teher\u00e1n rozhodne, \u017ee \u201e\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed oblohy\u201c nad jeho hlavn\u00edm m\u011bstem nep\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dvojzna\u010dnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2022\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Za druh\u00e9: \u201eTrval\u00e1 rovnov\u00e1ha teroru\u201c<\/span><\/strong>
\nV tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i si znep\u0159\u00e1telen\u00e9 strany uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee n\u00e1klady na prolomen\u00ed \u201eposledn\u00edho prvku\u201c \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu jsou ne\u00fanosn\u00e9 a \u017ee p\u0159\u00edtomnost P\u00e1t\u00e9 flotily v pln\u00e9 pohotovosti s\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>McFaulem<\/span><\/i>\u00a0\u010din\u00ed jakoukoli \u00fato\u010dnou s\u00e1zku strategickou sebevra\u017edou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zde obloha \u201enebude sp\u00e1t\u201c po dlouh\u00e9 t\u00fddny ve vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lce zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na nervy, baterie a frekvence.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee si z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b sv\u00fdch p\u0159edchoz\u00edch v\u00e1lek zvykla \u010dekat na \u201edigit\u00e1ln\u00ed data\u201c od ministerstev obrany, mapa rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed letectva \u2013 t\u00e1hnouc\u00ed se od Akrotiri po Nojeh a od Suezsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fplavu po Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv \u2013 potvrzuje, \u017ee sc\u00e9na je dokon\u010dena a \u017ee opona se m\u016f\u017ee kdykoli zvednout nad novou region\u00e1ln\u00ed realitou, kter\u00e1 za sebou t\u00e1hne z\u00e1blesk raket, kter\u00e9 se navz\u00e1jem objevily za obzorem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abutalib Albohaya<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitva o kontrolu nad z\u00e1padoasijsk\u00fdm nebem se p\u0159esunula z nahodil\u00e9 situace do reality. Teher\u00e1n a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96862,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,760,38,107,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96861"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96861\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96862"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}