{"id":96786,"date":"2026-01-13T04:50:29","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T03:50:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96786"},"modified":"2026-01-13T04:50:29","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T03:50:29","slug":"uriel-araujo-takhle-konci-nato-ne-ustupem-ale-intervenci-v-gronsku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/13\/uriel-araujo-takhle-konci-nato-ne-ustupem-ale-intervenci-v-gronsku\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Takhle kon\u010d\u00ed NATO, ne \u00fastupem, ale intervenc\u00ed v Gr\u00f3nsku"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Americk\u00e9 hrozby v\u016f\u010di Gr\u00f3nsku donutily Evropu p\u0159ehodnotit nejz\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edpoklady NATO. Trumpova zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika kombinuje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed intervencionismus s neo-monroistick\u00fdmi ambicemi bl\u00ed\u017ee domovu. V\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee Atlantick\u00e1 aliance \u010del\u00ed erozi nikoli od vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch nep\u0159\u00e1tel, ale od sv\u00e9ho vlastn\u00edho mocensk\u00e9ho centra.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Demokratick\u00fd sen\u00e1tor Chris Murphy prohl\u00e1sil\u00a0<\/span>,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u017ee \u201eanektov\u00e1n\u00ed Gr\u00f3nska USA by znamenalo konec NATO\u201c. K t\u00e9to pozn\u00e1mce p\u0159isp\u011blo prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed prezidenta Donalda Trumpa, \u017ee Washington \u201es Gr\u00f3nskem n\u011bco ud\u011bl\u00e1, a\u0165 se mu to l\u00edb\u00ed, nebo ne\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e9 alarmisticky zn\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed varov\u00e1n\u00ed se nyn\u00ed n\u00e1hle stalo sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed hlavn\u00ed debaty v cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b, jeliko\u017e N\u011bmecko\u00a0<\/span>slibuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed roli v Arktid\u011b a vysoc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ve Francii, Polsku a D\u00e1nsku otev\u0159en\u011b diskutuj\u00ed o krizov\u00fdch pl\u00e1nech proti hrozb\u011b, kter\u00e1 nepoch\u00e1z\u00ed z Moskvy, ale zevnit\u0159 samotn\u00e9 Atlantick\u00e9 aliance.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovu obnovenou fixaci na Gr\u00f3nsko nelze zavrhnout jako dal\u0161\u00ed r\u00e9torick\u00fd exces. Jeremy Shapiro (\u0159editel v\u00fdzkumu Evropsk\u00e9 rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy) nast\u00ednil,\u00a0<\/span>jak<\/span><\/a>\u00a0by americk\u00fd tlak mohl Gr\u00f3nsko z\u00edskat, a to zneu\u017eit\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdch zranitelnost\u00ed, manipulac\u00ed s bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi a dokonce i uchylov\u00e1n\u00edm se k naprost\u00e9mu vojensk\u00e9mu zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 ji\u017e nen\u00ed \u010dist\u011b teoretick\u00fd. M\u00e9dia jako\u00a0<\/span>The Guardian<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>CNN<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>Al Jazeera<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>CNBC<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Financial Times<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v posledn\u00edch dnech informovala o nouzov\u00fdch konzultac\u00edch v r\u00e1mci NATO a EU o tom, jak reagovat, pokud by jeden \u010dlen NATO vyhro\u017eoval jin\u00e9mu invaz\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Analytici nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d ideologick\u00fdm spektrem po l\u00e9ta p\u0159edpov\u00eddali, \u017ee Trump, n\u011bkdy myln\u011b vykreslovan\u00fd jako \u201eprorusk\u00fd\u201c izolacionista, \u201ezabije\u201c NATO t\u00edm, \u017ee se z n\u011bj st\u00e1hne. Atlanti\u010dt\u00ed i n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed antiimperialisti\u010dt\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i se shodli na stejn\u00e9m z\u00e1v\u011bru, by\u0165 s opa\u010dn\u00fdmi mor\u00e1ln\u00edmi \u00fasudky. Je ironi\u00ed, \u017ee Trump neohro\u017euje budoucnost NATO \u00fastupem, ale riskuje jeho kolaps eskalac\u00ed tak agresivn\u011b, \u017ee obrac\u00ed logiku Aliance naruby. Jak se ukazuje, alian\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159edpoklad kolektivn\u00ed obrany proti vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm hrozb\u00e1m nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt, pokud jej\u00ed vedouc\u00ed mocnost otev\u0159en\u011b hroz\u00ed dobyt\u00edm spojeneck\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V roce 2024 jsem tvrdil, \u017ee Trump v\u016fbec nen\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<\/span>m\u00edrotvorcem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Mo\u017en\u00e1 si vzpomeneme, \u017ee b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho prvn\u00edho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed americk\u00fd v\u016fdce zv\u00fd\u0161il po\u010det leteck\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f, zejm\u00e9na v Jemenu, uvolnil pravidla pro \u00fatoky dron\u016f, zv\u00fd\u0161il nasazen\u00ed vojsk v n\u011bkolika oblastech boji a sn\u00ed\u017eil prahovou hodnotu pro smrt\u00edc\u00ed \u201ep\u0159\u00edmou akci\u201c mimo vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00f3ny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 intervence proti Venezuele, kterou podporovaly Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, jasn\u011b signalizuje odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed Washingtonu znovu z\u00edskat kontrolu nad svou polokoul\u00ed, a t\u00edm vzk\u0159\u00edsit hrubou verzi Monroeovy doktr\u00edny z 21. stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoz\u00ed se domn\u00edvali, \u017ee Trumpovo nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di NATO, zdaleka ne motivovan\u00e9 \u201eizolacionismem\u201c, se soust\u0159ed\u00ed \u010dist\u011b na ot\u00e1zky sd\u00edlen\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee. Na tom bylo n\u011bco pravdy. Jak bylo diskutov\u00e1no v polovin\u011b roku 2024, Trumpova\u00a0<\/span>ostr\u00e1 r\u00e9torika skute\u010dn\u011b vedla k masivn\u00edmu zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(co\u017e byl pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b i jeho c\u00edl).<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b fakticky opustil heslo \u201eAmerika na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b\u201c jako slogan omezov\u00e1n\u00ed a m\u00edsto toho p\u0159ijal agresivn\u00ed intervencionismus po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, \u0161el dokonce i za hranice neokonzervativc\u016f s \u00fazemn\u00edmi ambicemi 19. stolet\u00ed a otev\u0159en\u011b uva\u017eoval o anex\u00edch a protektor\u00e1tech. To je kontext dne\u0161n\u00ed krize.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ironie je pak zar\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed. Trump sice m\u016f\u017ee \u201eNATO zab\u00edt\u201c, ale ne \u201eizolacionismem\u201c ani sta\u017een\u00edm americk\u00fdch vojsk. Riskuje, \u017ee ho zabije t\u00edm, \u017ee \u010dl\u00e1nek 5 u\u010din\u00ed absurdn\u00edm. Pokud bude D\u00e1nsko ohro\u017eeno USA kv\u016fli Gr\u00f3nsku, koho bude NATO br\u00e1nit? Pokud budou Francie a N\u011bmecko nuceny pl\u00e1novat proti americk\u00e9mu kroku v Arktid\u011b, d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost Aliance se hrout\u00ed zevnit\u0159. \u00da\u010del NATO je tak podkop\u00e1n americk\u00fdm hyperintervencionismem, kter\u00fdm je obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed Ruska a dobyt\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed bohat\u00fdch na zdroje. Takov\u00fd intervencionismus neuzn\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 spojence, pouze pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 a vazaly.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160ir\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00fd obraz tuto interpretaci posiluje. Jak jsem argumentoval ji\u017e v roce 2024, \u010d\u00e1sti americk\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9ho establishmentu ji\u017e nal\u00e9haly na odklon od Evropy, \u010d\u00edm\u017e nutily Evropany \u201ebr\u00e1nit se\u201c, zat\u00edmco se Washington soust\u0159edil jinde. Trump\u016fv p\u0159\u00edstup je v\u0161ak je\u0161t\u011b radik\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a rozporupln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Signalizuje ochotu sn\u00ed\u017eit m\u00edru zapojen\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zah\u00e1n\u00ed Rusko do kouta v Arktid\u011b prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm explicitn\u00edch v\u00fdhr\u016f\u017eek proti Gr\u00f3nsku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se obrac\u00ed nejen k Asii nebo Tichomo\u0159\u00ed, ale agresivn\u011b i k samotn\u00e9mu americk\u00e9mu kontinentu, vyhro\u017euje Mexiku, tla\u010d\u00ed na Kolumbii, uvaluje cla a sankce na\u00a0<\/span>Braz\u00edlii<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a otev\u0159en\u011b prohla\u0161uje z\u00e1m\u011br \u201e\u0159\u00eddit\u201c Venezuelu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hrozby ze strany Gr\u00f3nska jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b\u00a0<\/span>neodd\u011bliteln\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0od americk\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch a nerostn\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f, zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zeminy a arktick\u00e9 trasy. Tyto hrozby odhaluj\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle USA, nyn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bez diplomatick\u00e9 kamufl\u00e1\u017ee nebo nejednozna\u010dnosti. Jakmile maska \u200b\u200bspadne, diskuse se st\u00e1v\u00e1 natolik syrovou, \u017ee \u0161okuje i zku\u0161en\u00e9 pozorovatele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e9 reakce tento \u0161ok odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed. Je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, \u017ee italsk\u00e1 premi\u00e9rka Giorgia Meloniov\u00e1 nyn\u00ed spole\u010dn\u011b s francouzsk\u00fdm Emmanuelem Macronem\u00a0<\/span>vyz\u00fdv\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Evropu k obnoven\u00ed dialogu s Ruskem, \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b ze strachu, \u017ee by se ocitla v pasti mezi nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost\u00ed Washingtonu a nedostate\u010dn\u011b financovanou evropskou obranou. Tv\u016frci politik EU\u00a0<\/span>otev\u0159en\u011b diskutuj\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0o tom, jak odradit americkou vojenskou akvizici Gr\u00f3nska, co\u017e by se je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika lety zd\u00e1lo absurdn\u00ed. Tyto diskuse podtrhuj\u00ed skute\u010dnost, \u017ee atlantick\u00e1 soudr\u017enost z\u00e1visela m\u00e9n\u011b na sd\u00edlen\u00fdch hodnot\u00e1ch ne\u017e na sebeovl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tvrdou pravdou je, \u017ee Trump zdaleka nen\u00ed jedin\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem NATO. Alianci dlouhodob\u011b zat\u011b\u017euj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>korup\u010dn\u00ed skand\u00e1ly<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a hlubok\u00e9 vnit\u0159n\u00ed rozpory, v neposledn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b\u00a0<\/span>tureck\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, jak ji naz\u00fdv\u00e1m. NATO se po l\u00e9ta p\u0159izp\u016fsobovalo vz\u00e1jemn\u011b neslu\u010diteln\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm priorit\u00e1m, selektivn\u00edmu uplat\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u201esd\u00edlen\u00fdch hodnot\u201c a nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00fdm spor\u016fm v r\u00e1mci Aliance. Extr\u00e9mn\u00ed postoj Washingtonu dnes odhaluje a zhor\u0161uje zlomov\u00e9 linie, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e byly zako\u0159en\u011bny ve struktu\u0159e Aliance. \u201eFaktor Trump\u201c by mohl b\u00fdt bodem zlomu, kter\u00fd by nap\u0159\u00edklad otev\u0159el cestu Turecku, kter\u00e9 by si otev\u0159en\u011b znep\u0159\u00e1telilo \u0158ecko a podobn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 je to jakkoli, americk\u00fd prezident nyn\u00ed oznamuje, \u017ee USA budou vl\u00e1dnout\u00a0<\/span>Venezuele<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>p\u00e1smu Gazy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v\u00a0<\/span>Palestin\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a tak\u00e9 Gr\u00f3nsku. Jde o \u201eoto\u010den\u00ed k Pacifiku\u201c, nebo\u00a0<\/span>o ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v neo-monroistick\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstupu, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 na mysli\u00a0<\/span>i Kanadu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0? Atlantick\u00e1 supervelmoc, jakkoli je\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, chce v\u0161echno a je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bco nav\u00edc. A Trump to prohla\u0161uje bezosty\u0161n\u011b, bez humanit\u00e1rn\u00edch z\u00e1minek a bez rozpak\u016f. S humanit\u00e1rn\u00edmi a demokratick\u00fdmi maskami kone\u010dn\u011b pry\u010d je kr\u00e1l nyn\u00ed nah\u00fd. A zu\u0159iv\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/strong><\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Americk\u00e9 hrozby v\u016f\u010di Gr\u00f3nsku donutily Evropu p\u0159ehodnotit nejz\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edpoklady NATO. Trumpova zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika kombinuje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96787,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,3484,39,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96786"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96786"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96786\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96786"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96786"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96786"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}