{"id":96767,"date":"2026-01-13T00:24:28","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T23:24:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96767"},"modified":"2026-01-12T12:10:53","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T11:10:53","slug":"co-muze-byt-jednodussiho-nez-cas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/13\/co-muze-byt-jednodussiho-nez-cas\/","title":{"rendered":"„Co m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e \u010das?“"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Jak se zm\u011bn\u00ed sv\u011bt po americk\u00e9 invazi do Venezuely? D\u016fsledky operace USA proti Bol\u00edvari\u00e1nsk\u00e9 republice.<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

„A r\u00e1no se probudili.“<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek mohl obsahovat p\u0159edpov\u011bdi pro Asii v roce 2026, ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nebudou. Nebo p\u0159esn\u011bji \u0159e\u010deno, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u2013 z prost\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu, \u017ee se sv\u011bt zm\u011bnil 3. ledna. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee n\u00e1\u0161 sou\u010dasn\u00fd sv\u011bt je u\u017e te\u010f t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u0161okovat: konflikty propukaj\u00ed po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, t\u00e9mata a tv\u00e1\u0159e na programu se m\u011bn\u00ed kaleidoskopickou rychlost\u00ed, technologick\u00fd pokrok za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 hrani\u010dit s absurdn\u00edmi v\u011bcmi, informa\u010dn\u00ed konfrontace mezi z\u00e1padn\u00edm a nez\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011btem se stup\u0148uje, demence z\u00e1padn\u00edch (zejm\u00e9na evropsk\u00fdch) politik\u016f se zvy\u0161uje nep\u0159\u00edmo \u00fam\u011brn\u011b s jejich v\u011bkem (\u010d\u00edm jsou mlad\u0161\u00ed, t\u00edm jsou hloup\u011bj\u0161\u00ed)… Seznam ohromn\u011b negativn\u00edch trend\u016f je dlouh\u00fd, ale Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty si uprost\u0159ed t\u00e9to informa\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1plavy z\u0159ejm\u011b daly za c\u00edl dos\u00e1hnout \u201ewow efektu\u201c v jeho nejpolitov\u00e1n\u00edhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm slova smyslu invaz\u00ed do Venezuely.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. ledna jsme se probudili do sv\u011bta, kde se bezpr\u00e1v\u00ed p\u00e1ch\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u011b. Kde agrese nen\u00ed ojedin\u011bl\u00fdm a trestn\u00fdm jevem, ale je br\u00e1na jako samoz\u0159ejmost a dovedn\u011b ospravedl\u0148ov\u00e1na. Kde vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed do vnit\u0159n\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed ji\u017e nen\u00ed jen t\u00edm, co z\u00e1padn\u00ed sv\u011bt nej\u010dast\u011bji d\u011blal tajn\u011b, slovn\u011b odsuzoval tento koncept a sna\u017eil se z t\u00e9ho\u017e obvinit sv\u00e9 konkurenty \u2013 ale normou, prakticky nezpochyb\u0148ovanou a otev\u0159en\u011b propagovanou americk\u00fdm prezidentem z p\u00f3dia. Kde s\u00edla d\u011bl\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo. Kde se mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo, jak se zd\u00e1, ji\u017e nikdo krom\u011b Ruska a ostatn\u00edch zem\u00ed BRICS nedovol\u00e1v\u00e1 ani nezmi\u0148uje. Kde vl\u00e1dne drsn\u00fd realismus a zcela jin\u00fd druh pr\u00e1va \u2013 pr\u00e1vo nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Historie se opakuje<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se rychl\u00fd v\u00fdvoj ud\u00e1lost\u00ed \u2013 americk\u00fd \u00fatok na Venezuelu, zajet\u00ed prezidenta Nicol\u00e1se Madura a prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Donalda Trumpa a jeho spolupracovn\u00edk\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e za\u010dali diktovat, jak by m\u011bli venezuel\u0161t\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 v budoucnu \u017e\u00edt \u2013 na prvn\u00ed pohled zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt poru\u0161en\u00edm v\u0161ech pravidel. Ve skute\u010dnosti je to ale p\u0159esn\u011b ten p\u0159\u00edpad, kdy se bu\u010f historie vyv\u00edj\u00ed ve spir\u00e1le, nebo alespo\u0148 podle zab\u011bhnut\u00fdch vzorc\u016f a model\u016f, nebo se lidstvo n\u00e1hle ocitne prom\u00edtnuto do minulosti, podobn\u011b jako protagonista jednoho z rom\u00e1n\u016f geni\u00e1ln\u00edho americk\u00e9ho sci-fi spisovatele Clifforda Simaka \u201e\u010cas je jednoduch\u00fd\u201c, a\u017e na to, \u017ee na rozd\u00edl od mrtv\u00e9 minulosti v knize je tato \u017eiv\u00e1 a doslova n\u00e1s tvrd\u011b zasahuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abychom pochopili americkou politiku, sta\u010d\u00ed si p\u0159ipomenout \u201eMonroeovu doktr\u00ednu\u201c, p\u0159evraty v Chile a Guatemale, Panam\u011b a Dominik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 republice, v\u00fdcvik mu\u010ditel\u016f a poprav\u010d\u00edch v Salvadoru, podporu dikt\u00e1tora Batisty na Kub\u011b a neust\u00e1l\u00e9 hrozby pro bezpe\u010dnost tohoto mal\u00e9ho, ale skute\u010dn\u011b hrdinsk\u00e9ho ostrovn\u00edho st\u00e1tu po zm\u011bn\u011b moci, rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed ob\u010dansk\u00fdch v\u00e1lek v Nikaragui a Kostarice, vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed se do z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9ho z latinskoamerick\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a dosazen\u00ed v r\u016fzn\u00fdch dob\u00e1ch \u010detn\u00fdch \u201edareb\u00e1k\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e se ji\u017e stalo: nasazen\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00edch jednotek, taktika blitzkriegu, pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly proti politick\u00fdm v\u016fdc\u016fm. Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nejk\u0159iklav\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpadem dosud z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 zajet\u00ed panamsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Manuela Noriegy v roce 1990 (n\u00e1sledovan\u00e9 tak\u00e9 jeho vyd\u00e1n\u00edm do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a soudn\u00edm procesem za obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s drogami). Metoda je tedy v z\u00e1sad\u011b ji\u017e jasn\u00e1 a zn\u00e1m\u00e1. Dalo by se dokonce \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee se nejedn\u00e1 jen o metodu, ale o skute\u010dn\u00fd soubor kli\u0161\u00e9, bohu\u017eel nechvaln\u011b proslul\u00fdch v d\u011bjin\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Je to jin\u00e9“<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

A tato sb\u00edrka kli\u0161\u00e9 se skute\u010dn\u011b odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 v nov\u00e9m bod\u011b historick\u00e9ho zlomu, s obnovenou troufalost\u00ed a silou, jasn\u011bji a prakticky na\u017eivo. Suverenita? Ne, nikdy jsem o n\u00ed nesly\u0161el. F\u00e9rov\u00fd boj? No tak! Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo? K \u010demu to je? Pojmy diplomatick\u00e9 etikety? Co to je? Mor\u00e1lka a etika v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztaz\u00edch? Ned\u011blejte zesm\u011b\u0161\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed Trumpovu baseballovou \u010depici. Schv\u00e1len\u00ed Kongresem? Pros\u00edm, proto\u017ee, jak to vyj\u00e1d\u0159il ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Marco Rubio, \u201enebyla to vojensk\u00e1 operace, je to jin\u00e9\u201c…<\/span><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zkou nyn\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ji\u017e nen\u00ed, zda je to jin\u00e9, \u010di nikoli, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e, jak\u00e9 jsou v\u00fdvojov\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu jako celku. Kam v takov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b skon\u010d\u00edme? A pr\u00e1v\u011b v t\u00e9to oblasti budeme st\u00e1le muset d\u011blat p\u0159edpov\u011bdi, ale zat\u00edm jich budou jen dv\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaprv\u00e9 lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee takov\u00fd radik\u00e1ln\u00ed posun v pr\u00e1vn\u00ed (\u010di sp\u00ed\u0161e ji\u017e zcela nepr\u00e1vn\u00ed) krajin\u011b mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f p\u0159im\u011bje nez\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b k aktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu obracen\u00ed se ke sv\u00fdm tradi\u010dn\u00edm historick\u00fdm zku\u0161enostem sebeobrany a ochrany sv\u00fdch pr\u00e1v a z\u00e1jm\u016f. Nap\u0159\u00edklad \u010c\u00edna se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude ve sv\u00e9 politice uchylovat ke strategem\u016fm je\u0161t\u011b \u010dast\u011bji ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve. Podobn\u011b bude nap\u0159\u00edklad jednat Vietnam. Indie nez\u016fstane stranou a p\u0159edvede celou \u0161k\u00e1lu sv\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho d\u011bdictv\u00ed a bude zva\u017eovat, jak ho efektivn\u011bji uplatnit k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9ho postaven\u00ed a vazeb na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k bohatstv\u00ed kultur a jejich rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm historick\u00fdm zku\u0161enostem (zejm\u00e9na ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se Z\u00e1padem) disponuje ka\u017ed\u00e1 civilizace v nez\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b zna\u010dn\u00fdm mno\u017estv\u00edm d\u011bdictv\u00ed a zku\u0161enost\u00ed, neust\u00e1le a kreativn\u011b reinterpretovan\u00fdch, kter\u00e9 budou nepochybn\u011b st\u00e1le v\u00edce vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ny ve slu\u017eb\u00e1ch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f. Tak\u00e9 Rusko se m\u016f\u017ee a doufejme, \u017ee se bude \u010dast\u011bji obracet ke sv\u00e9 tis\u00edcilet\u00e9 historii, ke sv\u00fdm zku\u0161enostem s ochranou sv\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f, s utv\u00e1\u0159en\u00edm sv\u00e9ho sm\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztaz\u00edch, s \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm v\u0161ech sv\u00fdch \u00fakol\u016f a s co nejrychlej\u0161\u00edm dosahov\u00e1n\u00edm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve vojensk\u00fdch konfliktech, jako\u017e i ke sv\u00fdm metod\u00e1m boje proti nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm, bandit\u016fm, zr\u00e1dc\u016fm vlasti a dal\u0161\u00edm. A na\u0161e zku\u0161enosti jsou skute\u010dn\u011b obrovsk\u00e9 a sahaj\u00ed do r\u016fzn\u00fdch historick\u00fdch obdob\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b sou\u010dasn\u00e9 doby (nap\u0159\u00edklad z\u00e1sady pro nakl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed s teroristy, kter\u00e9 komplexn\u011b a p\u0159esn\u011b formuloval nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed velitel na po\u010d\u00e1tku 21. stolet\u00ed).<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, politika USA (stejn\u011b jako \u010diny zbytku z\u00e1padn\u00edho sv\u011bta, vzd\u00e1len\u00e9 pojm\u016fm mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va) bude stimulovat je\u0161t\u011b siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed konsolidaci nez\u00e1padn\u00edho sv\u011bta, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny, glob\u00e1ln\u00edho V\u00fdchodu a glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu, jako\u017e i pos\u00edlen\u00ed jejich vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdch vazeb. Tyto vazby nav\u00edc nebudou m\u00edt prim\u00e1rn\u011b pouze politickou, reprezentativn\u00ed, ekonomickou a kulturn\u00ed povahu, ale budou tak\u00e9 ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve zahrnovat vojensko-technick\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny, u\u017e\u0161\u00ed vazby a spolupr\u00e1ci mezi ozbrojen\u00fdmi silami, udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed kontakt\u016f mezi nimi a v n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech by mohly v\u00e9st i k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch alianc\u00ed. Tyto aliance mohou b\u00fdt bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed nebo multilater\u00e1ln\u00ed, m\u00edt v\u00e1gn\u00ed obrysy, opatrn\u00e9 formulace, omezen\u00fd soubor z\u00e1vazk\u016f a neobvykle slo\u017eit\u00e1 pravidla, ale budou existovat a i to se stane novou realitou pro sv\u011btovou politiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka, kam v takov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b skon\u010d\u00edme, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 prozat\u00edm nezodpov\u011bzena. Ale \u2013 \u201esvou \u00e9ru si nevyb\u00edr\u00e1me\u201c. \u017dijeme v n\u00ed, milujeme v n\u00ed, douf\u00e1me v n\u00ed, pracujeme v n\u00ed, budujeme v n\u00ed st\u00e1ty a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy. To v\u0161e nezmizelo. A kv\u016fli neust\u00e1l\u00fdm a st\u00e1le v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a hmatateln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm rizik\u016fm pro m\u00edr a \u017eivot, kter\u00fdm lidstvo \u010del\u00ed, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt jeho existence o to smyslupln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, promy\u0161len\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a \u017eiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. I mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy.<\/span><\/p>\n

od\u00a0<\/span>Ksenii Murat\u0161inov\u00e9<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span>Nov\u00fd v\u00fdchodn\u00ed v\u00fdhled<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

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Jak se zm\u011bn\u00ed sv\u011bt po americk\u00e9 invazi do Venezuely? D\u016fsledky operace USA proti Bol\u00edvari\u00e1nsk\u00e9 republice….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96768,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[738,1042,37,181],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96767"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96767"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96767\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96768"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96767"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96767"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}