{"id":96567,"date":"2026-01-10T06:39:53","date_gmt":"2026-01-10T05:39:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96567"},"modified":"2026-01-10T06:39:53","modified_gmt":"2026-01-10T05:39:53","slug":"german-gorraiz-lopez-snazi-se-trump-vynutit-kapitulaci-kuby-energetickou-blokadou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/10\/german-gorraiz-lopez-snazi-se-trump-vynutit-kapitulaci-kuby-energetickou-blokadou\/","title":{"rendered":"Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez: Sna\u017e\u00ed se Trump vynutit kapitulaci Kuby energetickou blok\u00e1dou?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Deklarovan\u00fdm c\u00edlem Trumpovy administrativy je zp\u016fsobit tot\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatek ropy, potravin a z\u00e1kladn\u00edch zdravotnick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb, aby se destabilizoval sou\u010dasn\u00fd status quo na ostrov\u011b, pot\u00e9, co p\u0159edchoz\u00ed pokusy selhaly navzdory uvalen\u00ed rekordn\u00edch 240 sankc\u00ed na Kubu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Energetick\u00e1 blok\u00e1da ostrova. Kuba dosahuje pokroku v sol\u00e1rn\u00ed energii s c\u00edlem dos\u00e1hnout do roku 2026 15 % obnoviteln\u00e9 energie, ale okam\u017eit\u00fd dopad je omezen\u00fd a ostrov z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1visl\u00fd na venezuelsk\u00e9 rop\u011b. Kuba za Huga Ch\u00e1veze dost\u00e1vala a\u017e 90 000 barel\u016f denn\u011b, ale do roku 2025 toto \u010d\u00edslo kleslo na zhruba 35 000 barel\u016f, co\u017e zhor\u0161uje energetickou krizi. P\u0159\u00edsn\u00e1 kontrola, kterou Trump uvalil na venezuelsk\u00fd ropn\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, hroz\u00ed spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm energetick\u00e9 blok\u00e1dy ostrova, kter\u00e1 by m\u011bla negativn\u00ed d\u016fsledky, jako je pokles HDP, n\u00e1r\u016fst inflace a konec masov\u00e9 turistiky. To by mohlo tak\u00e9 vytvo\u0159it vakuum v Karibiku s nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky. Nov\u00e1 studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Ruskem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko a Kuba. V roce 2024 se obchodn\u00ed vztahy mezi Kubou a Ruskem zna\u010dn\u011b pos\u00edlily a upevnily tak sv\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 aliance v kontextu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch sankc\u00ed uvalen\u00fdch na ob\u011b zem\u011b. V roce 2024 tak bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod dos\u00e1hl p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 800 milion\u016f dolar\u016f s obchodn\u00edm deficitem ve prosp\u011bch Ruska (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 80 % exportu poch\u00e1z\u00ed z Ruska).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z geopolitick\u00e9ho hlediska \u00fadajn\u011b Rusko jedn\u00e1 o z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen na Kub\u011b, ve Venezuele a Nikaragui s jasn\u00fdm c\u00edlem roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u016fj vojensk\u00fd dosah. Podle analytika Lajose Szaszdiho je \u201eotev\u0159en\u00ed z\u00e1kladen v zahrani\u010d\u00ed nezbytn\u00e9 pro strategick\u00e9 odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska, shroma\u017e\u010fov\u00e1n\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed, ov\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed dohod o odzbrojen\u00ed a ur\u010den\u00ed pl\u00e1n\u016f Pentagonu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b operac\u00ed nebo intervenc\u00ed v zahrani\u010d\u00ed.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00e1 raketov\u00e1 krize? Kub\u00e1nsk\u00e1 raketov\u00e1 krize z \u0159\u00edjna 1962, kter\u00e1 zas\u00e1hla cel\u00fd sv\u011bt, vyvrcholila podpisem Dohody o kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krizi (1962) Kennedym a Chru\u0161\u010dovem. Tato dohoda stanovila sta\u017een\u00ed sov\u011btsk\u00fdch raket z kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bnou za sta\u017een\u00ed americk\u00fdch raket um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch v Turecku. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 klauzule dohody v\u0161ak stanovila \u201e\u017e\u00e1dnou americkou invazi na ostrov\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato dohoda chr\u00e1nila Kubu p\u0159ed americkou invaz\u00ed po dobu 60 let. Na opl\u00e1tku Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zavedly blok\u00e1du, jej\u00ed\u017e automatick\u00e9 obnoven\u00ed hroz\u00ed destabilizac\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho a politick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu a mohlo by Kub\u011b zp\u016fsobit ztr\u00e1ty odhadovan\u00e9 na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 7 miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by tedy Trump zachoval energetick\u00e9 embargo na ostrov\u011b, Putin by mohl podepsat novou rusko-kub\u00e1nskou smlouvu o vojensk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci (p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed tajnou smlouvu podepsanou v Moskv\u011b v roce 1960 mezi Ra\u00falem Castrem a Chru\u0161\u010dovem), jej\u00edm\u017e prvn\u00edm krokem by bylo rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed mobiln\u00edho komplexu pro p\u0159\u00edjem dat z rusk\u00fdch satelit\u016f na Kub\u011b. Nelze vylou\u010dit instalaci radarov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny na b\u00fdval\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b v Lurdech za \u00fa\u010delem monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed komunikace Washingtonu a rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed raket Iskander-M vybaven\u00fdch v\u00edce\u00fa\u010delov\u00fdmi hlavicemi, jako\u017e i protiletadlov\u00fdch raket S-400. Takov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed by mohla znovu rozn\u00edtit raketovou krizi Kennedyho a Chru\u0161\u010dova (\u0159\u00edjen 1962) a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 podeps\u00e1n\u00ed smlouvy o z\u00e1kazu jadern\u00fdch zkou\u0161ek s Chru\u0161\u010dovem (1962).<\/span><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=7515\">Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez<\/a> , politick\u00fd analytik<\/span><\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deklarovan\u00fdm c\u00edlem Trumpovy administrativy je zp\u016fsobit tot\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatek ropy, potravin a z\u00e1kladn\u00edch zdravotnick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb, aby&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96568,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,135,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96567"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96567"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96567\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96568"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96567"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96567"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96567"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}