{"id":96563,"date":"2026-01-10T06:31:46","date_gmt":"2026-01-10T05:31:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96563"},"modified":"2026-01-10T06:31:46","modified_gmt":"2026-01-10T05:31:46","slug":"pepe-escobar-jak-se-trumpovy-naftove-sny-mohou-zhroutit-ve-venezuelske-temne-jame","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/10\/pepe-escobar-jak-se-trumpovy-naftove-sny-mohou-zhroutit-ve-venezuelske-temne-jame\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: Jak se Trumpovy naftov\u00e9 sny mohou zhroutit ve venezuelsk\u00e9 temn\u00e9 j\u00e1m\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3>Situace kolem ropy ve Venezuele je mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e si gang Trump 2.0 mysl\u00ed<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Za\u010dn\u011bme nov\u00fdmi edikty neo-Caliguly o imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed satrapie, kterou podle sv\u00fdch slov nyn\u00ed vlastn\u00ed; nejde vlastn\u011b o edikty, ale o p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00fdhr\u016f\u017eky adresovan\u00e9 prozat\u00edmn\u00ed prezidentce Delcy Rodriguezov\u00e9:<\/strong><\/p>\n<section class=\"clanek-obsah\">\n<ol>\n<li>Zastavit \u201eprodej drog\u201c. To by se vlastn\u011b m\u011blo t\u00fdkat kolumbijsk\u00fdch a mexick\u00fdch pa\u0161er\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed spolupracuj\u00ed s velk\u00fdmi americk\u00fdmi odb\u011brateli.<\/li>\n<li>Vyho\u010fte \u00cdr\u00e1nce, Kub\u00e1nce a dal\u0161\u00ed \u201eagenty nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di Washingtonu\u201c \u2013 ne\u017e bude Caracasu povoleno zv\u00fd\u0161it produkci ropy. To se nestane.<\/li>\n<li>Zastavte prodej ropy \u201enep\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm USA\u201c. To se nestane.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Je tedy t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u00e9, \u017ee neo-Caligula m\u016f\u017ee Venezuelu znovu bombardovat.<\/p>\n<p>Neo-Caligula v samostatn\u00e9 ofenziv\u011b tak\u00e9 objasnil, \u017ee chce prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dotac\u00ed do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry p\u0159epracovat ropn\u00fd pr\u016fmysl ve Venezuele. \u201eMohlo by to trvat m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 18 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f\u201c; pak se to zm\u011bnilo na \u201em\u016f\u017eeme to ud\u011blat za krat\u0161\u00ed dobu, ale bude to st\u00e1t spoustu pen\u011bz\u201c; a nakonec se to zm\u011bnilo na \u201ebude t\u0159eba utratit obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed pen\u011bz a ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti je utrat\u00ed\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Ne, neutrat\u00ed, jak nazna\u010dilo n\u011bkolik proslul\u00fdch \u201ezasv\u011bcen\u00fdch osob z oboru\u201c. Americk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 giganty se zdr\u00e1haj\u00ed investovat jm\u011bn\u00ed do zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pohlt\u011bna tot\u00e1ln\u00edm chaosem, pokud neo-Caligula vnucuje zr\u00e1dnou vl\u00e1du v\u00edce ne\u017e 28 milion\u016fm lid\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Podle\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ekwufinance\/status\/2008950066615111730\/photo\/1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Rystad Energy Analysis<\/a>\u00a0by Venezuela pot\u0159ebovala nejm\u00e9n\u011b 16 let a minim\u00e1ln\u011b 183 miliard dolar\u016f, aby mohla produkovat pouh\u00e9 3 miliony barel\u016f ropy denn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Kone\u010dn\u00fdm snem neo-Caliguly je sn\u00ed\u017eit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny ropy na maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 50 dolar\u016f za barel. Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem bude Trump 2.0 v teorii zcela ovl\u00e1dat PDVSA, v\u010detn\u011b n\u00e1kupu a prodeje prakticky ve\u0161ker\u00e9 jej\u00ed produkce ropy.<\/p>\n<p>Americk\u00fd ministr energetiky Chris Wright na energetick\u00e9 konferenci Goldman Sachs prozradil tajemstv\u00ed:<\/p>\n<p>\u201e Budeme prod\u00e1vat ropu poch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed z Venezuely, nejprve tuto nahromad\u011bnou skladovanou ropu [a\u017e 50 milion\u016f barel\u016f] a pot\u00e9 budeme do budoucna prod\u00e1vat ve\u0161kerou produkci poch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed z Venezuely na trhu.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>V podstat\u011b tedy neo-Caligula ovl\u00e1dne, vlastn\u011b ukradne prodej ropy od PDVSA, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pen\u00edze budou teoreticky ulo\u017eeny na offshore \u00fa\u010dtech kontrolovan\u00fdch USA, aby \u201eprosp\u011bly venezuelsk\u00e9mu lidu\u201c .<\/p>\n<p>Prozat\u00edmn\u00ed vl\u00e1da Delcy Rodriguezov\u00e9 v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nep\u0159ijme n\u011bco, co se rovn\u00e1 faktick\u00e9 kr\u00e1de\u017ei. I kdy\u017e se poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Stephen Miller chlub\u00ed, \u017ee USA pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed \u201evojenskou hrozbu\u201c, aby si udr\u017eely kontrolu nad Venezuelou. Pokud m\u00e1te skute\u010dn\u011b kontrolu, nemus\u00edte vyhro\u017eovat.<\/p>\n<h2>A co \u010c\u00edna?<\/h2>\n<p>\u010c\u00edna dov\u00e1\u017eela z Venezuely p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 746 000 barel\u016f ropy denn\u011b. To nen\u00ed moc. Peking ji\u017e pracuje na nahrazen\u00ed t\u011bchto dod\u00e1vek importy z \u00cdr\u00e1nu. \u010c\u00edna v podstat\u011b nen\u00ed z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na venezuelsk\u00e9 rop\u011b. Krom\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu m\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 nakupovat od Ruska a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie.<\/p>\n<p>Peking jasn\u011b vid\u00ed, \u017ee imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed snaha v z\u00e1padn\u00ed hemisf\u00e9\u0159e a v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii nen\u00ed jen o rop\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 o tom, aby \u010c\u00edna byla nucena nakupovat energii za petrodolary. Nesmysl: s Ruskem, Persk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem a dal\u0161\u00edmi zem\u011bmi je ji\u017e nyn\u00ed hlavn\u00edm hr\u00e1\u010dem petroyuan.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edna je z 80 % energeticky nez\u00e1visl\u00e1. Venezuela de facto p\u0159edstavovala pouh\u00e1 2 % z 20 % \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho dovozu \u2013 a to podle\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/eia.gov\/international\/analysis\/country\/CHN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">vlastn\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Energetick\u00e9 vztahy \u010c\u00edny s Venezuelou jdou daleko za r\u00e1mec levn\u00fdch americk\u00fdch recept\u016f.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PandemicTruther\/status\/2008514991205360078\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Zde<\/a>\u00a0je v podstat\u011b nast\u00edn\u011bno, jak \u201e\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 dohody s Venezuelou jsou de facto z\u00e1vazn\u00fdmi finan\u010dn\u00edmi smlouvami s mechanismy spl\u00e1cen\u00ed, kolater\u00e1ln\u00edmi strukturami, sank\u010dn\u00edmi dolo\u017ekami a deriv\u00e1tov\u00fdmi vazbami hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00fdmi v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch financ\u00edch (&#8230;) Jsou p\u0159\u00edmo i nep\u0159\u00edmo propojeny se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi finan\u010dn\u00edmi institucemi, obchodn\u00edky s komoditami, poji\u0161\u0165ovnami a clearingov\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my, v\u010detn\u011b subjekt\u016f spojen\u00fdch s Wall Street. Pokud dojde k poru\u0161en\u00ed t\u011bchto smluv, d\u016fsledkem nebude \u201eztr\u00e1ta\u201c pro \u010c\u00ednu. Bude to kask\u00e1dov\u00e1 ud\u00e1lost: selh\u00e1n\u00ed vyvol\u00e1 expozici protistrany, p\u0159ecen\u011bn\u00ed deriv\u00e1t\u016f, pr\u00e1vn\u00ed spory p\u0159esahuj\u00edc\u00ed jurisdikce a \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed \u0161oku d\u016fv\u011bry. V ur\u010dit\u00e9m okam\u017eiku to p\u0159estane b\u00fdt probl\u00e9mem Venezuely a stane se syst\u00e9mov\u00fdm glob\u00e1ln\u00edm probl\u00e9mem.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Nav\u00edc \u201eza posledn\u00edch dvacet let se \u010c\u00edna stala opera\u010dn\u00edm j\u00e1drem venezuelsk\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu. Nejen jako kupuj\u00edc\u00ed, ale i jako stavitel. \u010c\u00edna poskytla technologii rafineri\u00ed, syst\u00e9my pro zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ropy, n\u00e1vrh infrastruktury, \u0159\u00eddic\u00ed software, logistiku n\u00e1hradn\u00edch d\u00edl\u016f (&#8230;) Odstra\u0148te \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 in\u017een\u00fdry. Odstra\u0148te techniky, kte\u0159\u00ed rozum\u011bj\u00ed logice \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Odstra\u0148te dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce \u00fadr\u017eby. Odstra\u0148te softwarovou podporu. To, co z\u016fstane, nen\u00ed funk\u010dn\u00ed ropn\u00fd pr\u016fmysl \u010dekaj\u00edc\u00ed na \u201eosvobozen\u00ed\u201c, ale ne\u010dinn\u00e1 sko\u0159\u00e1pka.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1v\u011br: \u201eP\u0159eveden\u00ed venezuelsk\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho sektoru postaven\u00e9ho \u010c\u00ednou na americk\u00fd by trvalo minim\u00e1ln\u011b t\u0159i a\u017e p\u011bt let.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Finan\u010dn\u00ed analytik Lucas Ekwame trefn\u011b poukazuje na hlavn\u00ed body. Venezuela produkuje supert\u011b\u017ekou ropu hustou jako dehet. Ta sama o sob\u011b nete\u010de, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt roztavena, aby se dostala na povrch, a po t\u011b\u017eb\u011b op\u011bt ztuhne, co\u017e vy\u017eaduje \u0159edidlo: na ka\u017ed\u00fd vyvezen\u00fd barel je t\u0159eba dov\u00e9zt nejm\u00e9n\u011b 0,3 barelu \u0159edidla.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159idejte k tomu venezuelskou energetickou infrastrukturu, kterou formovala \u010c\u00edna a kter\u00e1 z\u00e1rove\u0148 trp\u00ed dlouholet\u00fdmi americk\u00fdmi sankcemi, je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00edmi ne\u017e ty, kter\u00e9 byly uvaleny na Ir\u00e1k na po\u010d\u00e1tku 21. stolet\u00ed, a chybn\u00e1 ropn\u00e1 \u201estrategie\u201c neo-Caliguly je z\u0159ejm\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>To samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nem\u011bn\u00ed nic na kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 hostin\u011b imperi\u00e1ln\u00edch sup\u016f z hedgeov\u00fdch fond\u016f nad venezuelskou mrtvolou, po\u010d\u00ednaje p\u0159\u00ed\u0161ern\u00fdm Paulem Singerem, miliard\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm sionistick\u00fdm mana\u017eerem hedgeov\u00e9ho fondu a d\u00e1rcem MAGA super PAC (42 milion\u016f dolar\u016f v roce 2024), jeho\u017e spole\u010dnost Elliott Management v listopadu koupila houstonskou dce\u0159inou spole\u010dnost CITGO za 5,9 miliardy dolar\u016f, co\u017e je m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e t\u0159etina jej\u00ed tr\u017en\u00ed hodnoty 18 miliard dolar\u016f, d\u00edky embargu na dovoz venezuelsk\u00e9 ropy.<\/p>\n<p>Spekulativn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edci jist\u011b vyd\u011blaj\u00ed a\u017e 170 miliard dolar\u016f na dluhov\u00e9m trhu; samotn\u00e9 nesplacen\u00e9 dluhopisy PDVSA maj\u00ed hodnotu p\u0159es 60 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Celkov\u00e1 situace ropn\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu ve Venezuele je tedy mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e si gang Trump 2.0 mysl\u00ed. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t, \u017ee venezuelsk\u00fd m\u00edstokr\u00e1l, gusano Marco Rubio, p\u0159eru\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vky ropy z Caracasu do \u0160anghaje. Vzhledem k Rubioov\u011b strategick\u00e9 \u201eodbornosti\u201c by bylo lep\u0161\u00ed za\u010d\u00edt hned organizovat arm\u00e1du pr\u00e1vn\u00edk\u016f.<\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/strategic-culture.su\/news\/2026\/01\/08\/how-trumps-oily-dreams-may-collapse-in-a-venezuelan-dark-pit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">How Trump\u2019s oily dreams may collapse in a Venezuelan dark pit<\/a>\u00a0vy\u0161el 8.1.2026 na Strategic Culture.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Situace kolem ropy ve Venezuele je mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e si gang Trump 2.0 mysl\u00ed Za\u010dn\u011bme&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96564,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,310,452,181],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96563"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96563"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96563\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96564"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}