{"id":96122,"date":"2026-01-05T00:24:31","date_gmt":"2026-01-04T23:24:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96122"},"modified":"2026-01-04T14:47:53","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T13:47:53","slug":"venezuela-kdyz-ropa-vysvetluje-bomby-lepe-nez-projevy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/05\/venezuela-kdyz-ropa-vysvetluje-bomby-lepe-nez-projevy\/","title":{"rendered":"Venezuela: Kdy\u017e ropa vysv\u011btluje bomby l\u00e9pe ne\u017e projevy"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Analyzovat vojenskou ud\u00e1lost v z\u00e1palu boje je v\u017edy o\u0161emetn\u00e9, proto\u017ee zpr\u00e1vy se rychle vymykaj\u00ed kontrole, verze si proti\u0159e\u010d\u00ed a ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jdou jedno za druh\u00fdm tempem, kter\u00e9 odhaluje m\u00e9n\u011b pravdy ne\u017e paniku t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed je p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed. P\u0159ipo\u010dt\u011bte k tomu mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia, kter\u00e1 publikuj\u00ed pouze to, co je autorizov\u00e1no, a proces shroma\u017e\u010fov\u00e1n\u00ed informac\u00ed se st\u00e1v\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b komplikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edm. Uprost\u0159ed tohoto narativn\u00edho chaosu v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jedna konstanta: strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy, kter\u00e9 se samy o sob\u011b nem\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 ofenziva proti Venezuele, a\u0165 u\u017e jsou jej\u00ed p\u0159esn\u00e9 modality jak\u00e9koli, nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimkou. Za narychlo uv\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdmi mor\u00e1ln\u00edmi, pr\u00e1vn\u00edmi nebo bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmi ospravedln\u011bn\u00edmi se s t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 znepokojivou pravidelnost\u00ed prosazuje jedna realita: ropa.<\/span><\/p>\n

Venezuela je velkou geopolitickou anom\u00e1li\u00ed, proto\u017ee dr\u017e\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed prok\u00e1zan\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy na sv\u011bt\u011b, odhadovan\u00e9 na v\u00edce ne\u017e 300 miliard barel\u016f. Tyto z\u00e1soby, soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00e9 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v oblasti Orinock\u00e9ho p\u00e1su, p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed strategick\u00e9 aktivum ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde se energie op\u011bt st\u00e1v\u00e1 prom\u011bnnou moci, a nikoli pouze ekonomick\u00fdm parametrem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m \u010d\u00edslo jedna je, \u017ee toto bohatstv\u00ed m\u00e1 pro Washington ne\u00fanosnou vlastnost: nen\u00ed pod jeho p\u0159\u00edmou ani nep\u0159\u00edmou kontrolou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Venezuela si ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed, by\u0165 nejist\u011b, udr\u017euje suverenitu nad sv\u00fdmi energetick\u00fdmi zdroji prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm n\u00e1rodn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti PDVSA a z\u00e1rove\u0148 diverzifikuje sv\u00e1 partnerstv\u00ed s Ruskem, \u010c\u00ednou a \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Tato volba nen\u00ed ideologick\u00e1, ale strategick\u00e1, a pr\u00e1v\u011b to ji \u010din\u00ed nep\u0159ijatelnou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo Maduro, ale suverenita.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hodn\u011b se mluv\u00ed o Nicol\u00e1su Madurovi, jeho re\u017eimu, jeho autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch tendenc\u00edch a zpochyb\u0148ovan\u00e9 legitimit\u011b. O tom v\u0161em se d\u00e1 diskutovat, ale je to jen kou\u0159ov\u00e1 clona.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 historie ukazuje velmi jednoduch\u00fd fakt: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ochotn\u011b toleruj\u00ed autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 re\u017eimy, pokud spolupracuj\u00ed v oblasti energetiky. Naopak systematicky bojuj\u00ed proti t\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed jejich zdroje, na \u00fakor z\u00e1padn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m nen\u00ed v Madurovi, ale v tom, \u017ee venezuelsk\u00e1 ropa se vymyk\u00e1 kontrole americk\u00fdch gigant\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 zn\u00ed pov\u011bdom\u011b a USA ho systematicky p\u0159ehr\u00e1vaj\u00ed stejn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ir\u00e1k, Libye, opakovan\u00e9 pokusy proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu: vzorec je v\u017edy stejn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Mor\u00e1ln\u00ed delegitimizace st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed moci<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. Ekonomick\u00fd tlak a sankce<\/span><\/li>\n
  3. Vnit\u0159n\u00ed zm\u011bna re\u017eimu selhala<\/span><\/li>\n
  4. P\u0159\u00edm\u00fd nebo nep\u0159\u00edm\u00fd z\u00e1sah<\/span><\/li>\n
  5. P\u0159episov\u00e1n\u00ed energetick\u00fdch smluv<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Pokud jde o kone\u010dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjemce, ti z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed stejn\u00ed, bez ohledu na prezidenty nebo slogany: ExxonMobil, Chevron a plej\u00e1da obchodn\u00edk\u016f, investi\u010dn\u00edch fond\u016f a energetick\u00fdch subdodavatel\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

    R\u00e9torika se m\u011bn\u00ed, ale mechanismy a procesy se nikdy nem\u011bn\u00ed a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z p\u0159edkl\u00e1dan\u00fdch ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed neobstoj\u00ed p\u0159i seri\u00f3zn\u00edm zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed. Boj proti obchodu s drogami nem\u00e1 podle mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va \u017e\u00e1dnou hodnotu casus belli, humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed argument je uplat\u0148ov\u00e1n selektivn\u011b, oportunisticky a bez mand\u00e1tu a kone\u010dn\u011b, zm\u011bna re\u017eimu silou je v\u00fdslovn\u011b zak\u00e1z\u00e1na Chartou OSN.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Pokud by se tyto principy uplat\u0148ovaly univerz\u00e1ln\u011b, byla by bombardov\u00e1na polovina planety.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo se zde nepou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k ochran\u011b spole\u010dn\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du, ale k jeho obch\u00e1zen\u00ed, kdy\u017e se stane nepohodln\u00fdm. Nebyl bych p\u0159ekvapen, kdybychom brzy na\u0161li slavn\u00e1 \u201epravidla\u201c, kter\u00e1 ospravedl\u0148uj\u00ed cokoli a v\u0161echno.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Pro\u010d te\u010f? Proto\u017ee se kontext zm\u011bnil.<\/span><\/p>\n

    N\u00e1vrat realpolitiky, trval\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed, restrukturalizace glob\u00e1ln\u00edch alianc\u00ed, vzestup BRICS, oslaben\u00ed dolaru: doba hysterick\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 ideologie a posthistorick\u00e9ho diskurzu se ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke konci.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Nev\u011b\u0159te, \u017ee tato ideologie v\u0161eho obnoviteln\u00e9ho a elektrick\u00e9ho p\u0159etrv\u00e1, a \u017ee a\u017e se Z\u00e1pad stane z energetick\u00e9ho hlediska neobyvateln\u00fdm, ropa se stane t\u00edm, \u010d\u00edm v\u017edycky byla: \u017eivotod\u00e1rnou silou moci.<\/span><\/p>\n

    V t\u00e9to souvislosti se vynech\u00e1n\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho lo\u017eiska z p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho vlivu ji\u017e nepova\u017euje za tolerovatelnou anom\u00e1lii, ale za strategickou chybu.<\/span><\/p>\n

    M\u016f\u017eeme donekone\u010dna diskutovat o verz\u00edch, prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch i pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00edch. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 historie n\u00e1s v\u0161ak u\u010d\u00ed jednoduch\u00e9mu ponau\u010den\u00ed: bomby z\u0159\u00eddka padaj\u00ed n\u00e1hodou; t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u017edycky dopadnou tam, kde jsou zdroje.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Venezuela nen\u00ed napad\u00e1na proto, \u017ee je \u201e\u0161patn\u00e1\u201c, ale proto, \u017ee je bohat\u00e1, suver\u00e9nn\u00ed a nesourod\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

    A\u0165 se stane cokoli d\u00e1l, tato interpretace z\u016fstane v platnosti, proto\u017ee tiskov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed a odch\u00e1zej\u00ed, ale z\u00e1jmy z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed. A s americk\u00fdm prezidentem, kter\u00fd je v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b podnikatel, se to pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nezm\u011bn\u00ed, i kdyby jeho volebn\u00edm slibem byl m\u00edr v\u0161ude.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Serge Van Cutsem<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Analyzovat vojenskou ud\u00e1lost v z\u00e1palu boje je v\u017edy o\u0161emetn\u00e9, proto\u017ee zpr\u00e1vy se rychle vymykaj\u00ed kontrole,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96123,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,122,310,37,181],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96122"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96122"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96122\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96123"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96122"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96122"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96122"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}