{"id":96035,"date":"2026-01-04T00:24:15","date_gmt":"2026-01-03T23:24:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96035"},"modified":"2026-01-03T11:30:51","modified_gmt":"2026-01-03T10:30:51","slug":"zavody-ve-zbrojeni-se-stavaji-trvalym-stavem-a-co-to-znamena-pro-evropu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/04\/zavody-ve-zbrojeni-se-stavaji-trvalym-stavem-a-co-to-znamena-pro-evropu\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1vody ve zbrojen\u00ed se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed trval\u00fdm stavem \u2013 a co to znamen\u00e1 pro Evropu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kielsk\u00fd institut pro sv\u011btovou ekonomiku pr\u00e1v\u011b odhalil n\u011bco nov\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/span>1<\/span><\/sup><\/a><\/span>\u00a0, co\u017e sice bylo na politick\u00e9 \u00farovni realizov\u00e1no ji\u017e d\u00e1vno, ale v komunikaci pe\u010dliv\u011b utajov\u00e1no: konfrontace s Ruskem nen\u00ed do\u010dasnou v\u00fdjimkou, ale dlouhodob\u00fdm struktur\u00e1ln\u00edm faktorem v politice EU s p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdmi fisk\u00e1ln\u00edmi d\u016fsledky pro Evropu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Studie vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 historick\u00e1 data za obdob\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 150 let a odhaluje stabiln\u00ed a opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se vzorec: budov\u00e1n\u00ed arm\u00e1dy je zpo\u010d\u00e1tku financov\u00e1no dluhem, pot\u00e9 vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi dan\u011bmi, kter\u00e9 jsou vyb\u00edr\u00e1ny trvale. Ne sporadicky, ne do\u010dasn\u011b, ale systematicky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mechanismus je jasn\u011b pops\u00e1n. V prvn\u00ed f\u00e1zi ve\u0159ejn\u00fd dluh rychle roste. Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed fondy, mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty a v\u00fddaje na obranu jsou financov\u00e1ny \u00fav\u011bry. Na prvn\u00ed pohled se to m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t abstraktn\u00ed, ale historicky druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze n\u00e1sleduje dokonale p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem: zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed dan\u00ed, nov\u00e9 odvody a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 n\u00e1klady, kter\u00e9 nejsou po skon\u010den\u00ed vojensk\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed zcela kompenzov\u00e1ny. Deset let po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed f\u00e1ze posilov\u00e1n\u00ed jsou da\u0148ov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 20 a\u017e 30 procent vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u016fvodn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148. Nejedn\u00e1 se o extr\u00e9mn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad, ale o normu.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Historick\u00e9 srovn\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 provedli sami badatel\u00e9 z Kielu, je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdmluvn\u00e9. Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 hromad\u011bn\u00ed zbrojen\u00ed v zem\u00edch NATO pat\u0159\u00ed k nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm cykl\u016fm militarizace v z\u00e1padn\u00edch industrializovan\u00fdch zem\u00edch za posledn\u00edch 150 let \u2013 srovnateln\u00e9 s obdob\u00edmi p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edmi sv\u011btov\u00fdm v\u00e1lk\u00e1m nebo po korejsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Ti, kdo tyto odkazy berou v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee takov\u00e9 cykly zanech\u00e1vaj\u00ed trval\u00e9 fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed jizvy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro EU to znamen\u00e1 tich\u00fd, ale hlubok\u00fd posun priorit. Stav politick\u00e9 nouze se transformuje v logiku permanentn\u00edho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed. V\u00e1lka \u2013 nebo alespo\u0148 permanentn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 kapacita \u2013 se m\u011bn\u00ed z v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edpadu v promy\u0161lenou normu ve st\u00e1tn\u00edm rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9m hospoda\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co to pro Evropu konkr\u00e9tn\u011b znamen\u00e1, lze z dat jasn\u011b odvodit: rostouc\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e1 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e, men\u0161\u00ed fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed prostor a v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed tlak na soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a infrastrukturn\u00ed rozpo\u010dty. Ne nutn\u011b prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm zjevn\u00fdch \u0161krt\u016f, ale z\u00e1ke\u0159n\u00fdm nedostate\u010dn\u00fdm financov\u00e1n\u00edm a rostouc\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e\u00ed pro velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti populace. Finan\u010dn\u00ed zdroje jednotlivc\u016f se zmen\u0161uj\u00ed, zat\u00edmco st\u00e1t v\u011bnuje st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stky pen\u011bz na obranu a obsluhu dluhu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zar\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed \u2013 a politicky odhaluj\u00edc\u00ed \u2013 je to, co se v anal\u00fdze ji\u017e neprob\u00edr\u00e1. Ot\u00e1zka v\u00fdznamu t\u011bchto z\u00e1vod\u016f ve zbrojen\u00ed se neobjevuje. Je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za vy\u0159e\u0161enou. Diskusi jsou otev\u0159eny pouze jej\u00ed realizace, tempo a financov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm se bere v \u00favahu jejich p\u0159ijet\u00ed ve\u0159ejnost\u00ed. Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed debata byla ti\u0161e uzav\u0159ena je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e byla v Evrop\u011b obecn\u011b a v N\u011bmecku zejm\u00e9na zah\u00e1jena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Kielsk\u00fd institut neposkytuje podn\u011bt k diskusi, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e st\u0159\u00edzlivou diagn\u00f3zu. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto je tak pou\u010dn\u00fd: EU se struktur\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na dlouhodobou fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed krizi. N\u00e1vrh z\u00e1kona nen\u00ed okam\u017eit\u011b patrn\u00fd, ale ji\u017e se s n\u00edm po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

od\u00a0<\/span>Eleny Fritzov\u00e9<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kielsk\u00fd institut pro sv\u011btovou ekonomiku pr\u00e1v\u011b odhalil n\u011bco nov\u00e9ho.1\u00a0, co\u017e sice bylo na politick\u00e9 \u00farovni…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96036,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,1503,338],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96035"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96035"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96035\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}