{"id":96006,"date":"2026-01-03T06:52:51","date_gmt":"2026-01-03T05:52:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=96006"},"modified":"2026-01-03T06:52:51","modified_gmt":"2026-01-03T05:52:51","slug":"utok-na-pristav-mukalla-a-rozbiti-jednoty-perskeho-zalivu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/01\/03\/utok-na-pristav-mukalla-a-rozbiti-jednoty-perskeho-zalivu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00datok na p\u0159\u00edstav Mukalla a rozbit\u00ed jednoty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Otev\u00edr\u00e1 sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00e9 hnut\u00ed dve\u0159e n\u00e1vratu terorismu do Hadramautu?<\/h3>\n

Mezi bezpe\u010d\u00edm a pr\u00e1zdnotou\u2026 Kontroverzn\u00ed krok Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie hroz\u00ed o\u017eiven\u00edm terorismu v Hadramautu<\/span><\/p>\n

Uprost\u0159ed jemensk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 trv\u00e1 ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e deset let, vstoupila ot\u00e1zka Hadramawtu do extr\u00e9mn\u011b citliv\u00e9 f\u00e1ze po \u00fatoku Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie na jemensk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav Mukalla. Tento krok zp\u016fsobil rozkol v r\u00e1mci t\u00e1bora v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu a ztr\u00e1tu Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f jako dlouholet\u00e9ho spojence \u2013 spojence, kter\u00fd v posledn\u00edch letech st\u00e1l po boku Rij\u00e1du a koalice, aby kontroloval teroristick\u00e9 pevnosti v Jemenu, zabr\u00e1nil jejich expanzi a vym\u00fdtil je.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy a anal\u00fdzy ozna\u010dily sa\u00fadsk\u00fd krok za kontroverzn\u00ed a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b otev\u0159e dve\u0159e n\u00e1vratu teroristick\u00e9 aktivity v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hadramout: Mezi terorismem a politick\u00fdmi transformacemi<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Hadramawt, rozlohou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed jemensk\u00fd guvernor\u00e1t, t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 polohy a obrovsk\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho bohatstv\u00ed, krom\u011b dlouh\u00fdch hranic se sultan\u00e1tem Om\u00e1n a Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed. Od za\u010d\u00e1tku jemensk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se guvernor\u00e1t \u2013 navzdory sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 k\u0159ehkosti \u2013 t\u011b\u0161\u00ed relativn\u00ed stabilit\u011b ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s n\u011bkter\u00fdmi ji\u017en\u00edmi guvernor\u00e1ty. Hnut\u00ed veden\u00e9 Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed v\u0161ak v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kodilo jeho vztahy se Spojen\u00fdmi arabsk\u00fdmi emir\u00e1ty, dlouholet\u00fdm spojencem a p\u0159\u00edtelem Rij\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Riziko n\u00e1vratu terorismu do Hadramoutu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Jednou z nejnal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obav, kter\u00e9 vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 ned\u00e1vn\u00fd vojensk\u00fd a politick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, je potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho vakua, kter\u00e9ho by mohly zneu\u017e\u00edt teroristick\u00e9 organizace, jako je al-K\u00e1ida na Arabsk\u00e9m poloostrov\u011b (AQAP). Hadramawt byl b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky po l\u00e9ta ohniskem aktivit t\u00e9to skupiny. Navzdory p\u0159edchoz\u00edm snah\u00e1m m\u00edstn\u00edch sil a podpo\u0159e koalice o jej\u00ed vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed by sou\u010dasn\u00e1 eskalace mohla vytvo\u0159it bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed mezery, kter\u00e9 by organizace mohla op\u011bt zneu\u017e\u00edt k zakl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed bun\u011bk a pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed operac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Chaos v bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch instituc\u00edch a rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 loajalita mezi r\u016fzn\u00fdmi silami znamen\u00e1, \u017ee bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky, kter\u00e9 pom\u00e1haly omezovat terorismus, by mohly oslabit. Zat\u00edmco ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed org\u00e1ny znovu zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed pot\u0159ebu bojovat proti terorismu a udr\u017eovat bezpe\u010dnost, sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt \u2013 vyvolan\u00fd sa\u00fadsk\u00fdm \u00fatokem na jemensk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav \u2013 komplikuje bd\u011blost a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u00farodnou p\u016fdu pro extremisty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento kontroverzn\u00ed sa\u00fadsk\u00fd krok, kter\u00fd po\u0161kodil dva historick\u00e9 spojence, vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed ot\u00e1zky, v\u010detn\u011b oslaben\u00ed aliance proti H\u00fat\u00ed\u016fm: jak\u00e1koli trhlina v koalici podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 jej\u00ed schopnost \u010delit H\u00fat\u00ed\u016fm nebo extremistick\u00fdm skupin\u00e1m, co\u017e d\u00e1le komplikuje situaci v Jemenu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dopad na vztahy v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0: Sou\u010dasn\u00fd krok Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie ohro\u017euje hloubku vztah\u016f mezi dv\u011bma st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 jsou po l\u00e9ta pil\u00ed\u0159i \u00fasil\u00ed v boji proti terorismu v regionu, a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159im\u011bt glob\u00e1ln\u00ed partnery k p\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed sv\u00fdch strategi\u00ed v Jemenu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cesta pln\u00e1 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 intervence v Hadramawtu, i kdy\u017e je ospravedln\u011bna bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmi a n\u00e1rodn\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy, p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9m okam\u017eiku jemensk\u00e9ho konfliktu. Jemen je zm\u00edt\u00e1n pot\u0159ebou br\u00e1nit n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jednotu a obavami z chaosu a hroz\u00ed mu, \u017ee teroristick\u00e9 organizace zneu\u017eij\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed vakuum pobl\u00ed\u017e sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00fdch hranic, co\u017e d\u00e1le zhor\u0161\u00ed ji\u017e tak k\u0159ehkou situaci v Jemenu a \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jemen\u0161t\u00ed i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci varuj\u00ed, \u017ee soub\u011bh t\u011bchto faktor\u016f \u2013 odkazu extremismu, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho vakua a rostouc\u00ed sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00e9 rivality \u2013 by mohl znovu vytvo\u0159it prost\u0159ed\u00ed podobn\u00e9 tomu, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve umo\u017e\u0148ovalo al-K\u00e1id\u011b expanzi v Hadramawtu, i kdy\u017e v nov\u00fdch a slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch form\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odkaz Al-K\u00e1idy v Hadramawtu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Mnoho badatel\u016f se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee aktivita al-K\u00e1idy v Hadramawtu nen\u00ed vedlej\u0161\u00edm produktem ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 jemensk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, ale sah\u00e1 a\u017e do 90. let 20. stolet\u00ed, kdy se v \u00fadol\u00ed Hadramawt po n\u00e1vratu z Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu usadila \u0159ada \u201eafgh\u00e1nsk\u00fdch Arab\u016f\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edvali drsn\u00e9ho ter\u00e9nu a slab\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v odlehl\u00fdch pou\u0161tn\u00edch oblastech. Studie uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee tito bojovn\u00edci vyu\u017e\u00edvali oblasti jako Seiyun a Tarim a jejich okol\u00ed jako \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b pro p\u0159eskupen\u00ed a n\u00e1bor, uprost\u0159ed pocitu marginalizace, kter\u00fd poci\u0165ovaly segmenty ji\u017en\u00edho obyvatelstva pod \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed autoritou v San\u00e1 \u2013 co\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159elo k\u0159ehk\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed n\u00e1chyln\u00e9 k infiltraci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rostou obavy, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd sa\u00fadsk\u00fd krok by mohl prohloubit bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed vakuum a oslabit st\u00e1tn\u00ed autoritu, spolu se zv\u00fd\u0161enou z\u00e1vislost\u00ed na konkuren\u010dn\u00edch m\u00edstn\u00edch skupin\u00e1ch a zhor\u0161en\u00edm slu\u017eeb. To by mohlo op\u011bt otev\u0159\u00edt dve\u0159e al-K\u00e1id\u011b nebo podobn\u00fdm extremistick\u00fdm skupin\u00e1m, i kdy\u017e ji\u017e nebudou schopny vykon\u00e1vat otev\u0159enou kontrolu nad velk\u00fdmi m\u011bsty, jako tomu bylo v roce 2015.<\/span><\/p>\n

Minul\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee expanze Al-K\u00e1idy se v\u017edy shodovala s okam\u017eiky kolapsu st\u00e1tn\u00edch instituc\u00ed a \u00fapadku z\u00e1kladn\u00edch slu\u017eeb v Hadramautu i jinde.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy varuj\u00ed, \u017ee rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 protesty v Hadramoutu v roce 2025 kv\u016fli zhor\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edm se slu\u017eb\u00e1m v oblasti elekt\u0159iny a vody a rostouc\u00edm cen\u00e1m paliv odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed hlubok\u00fd soci\u00e1ln\u00ed hn\u011bv, kter\u00e9ho by extremistick\u00e9 skupiny mohly zneu\u017e\u00edt k tomu, aby se prezentovaly jako alternativn\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i zaji\u0161\u0165uj\u00edc\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost nebo formu \u201espravedlnosti\u201c v marginalizovan\u00fdch oblastech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Neform\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika \u2013 od obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s palivem a zbo\u017e\u00edm a\u017e po obchod se zbran\u011bmi \u2013 nav\u00edc tvo\u0159\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165 z\u00e1jm\u016f t\u00e1hnouc\u00ed se p\u0159es \u00fadol\u00ed Hadramawt a jeho pou\u0161\u0165 a\u017e k hranic\u00edm se Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a Om\u00e1nem. To v minulosti poskytovalo al-K\u00e1id\u011b finan\u010dn\u00ed zdroje a bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 tranzitn\u00ed trasy. V\u00fdzkumn\u00edci varuj\u00ed, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli uvoln\u011bn\u00ed kontroly nad t\u011bmito s\u00edt\u011bmi nebo jejich vyu\u017eit\u00ed v mocensk\u00fdch boj\u00edch mezi m\u00edstn\u00edmi a region\u00e1ln\u00edmi silami ponech\u00e1 mo\u017enost op\u011btovn\u00e9ho vzk\u0159\u00ed\u0161en\u00ed extremistick\u00fdch skupin pevn\u011b na stole, i kdy\u017e v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed ve stavu relativn\u00edho klidu.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1vrat \u0161ed\u00fdch z\u00f3n Al-K\u00e1idy<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Odborn\u00edci na d\u017eih\u00e1distick\u00e9 skupiny tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Al-K\u00e1ida historicky \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 \u201e\u0161ed\u00fdch z\u00f3n\u201c, kde \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 strana nem\u00e1 rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed moc, jak se to stalo v Mukalle p\u0159ed rokem 2015 a ve velk\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech Abyanu a \u0160abwy v r\u016fzn\u00fdch f\u00e1z\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Hadramoutu by se takov\u00e9 oblasti mohly znovu objevit, pokud budou sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky pokra\u010dovat nebo pokud budou p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat opera\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupy, a tak\u00e9 pokud se jednotky st\u00e1hnou z ur\u010dit\u00fdch oblast\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e je nahrad\u00ed dob\u0159e vycvi\u010den\u00e9 a koordinovan\u00e9 s\u00edly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozorovatel\u00e9 tak\u00e9 varuj\u00ed, \u017ee i bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed vakuum trvaj\u00edc\u00ed t\u00fddny v n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u00fadol\u00edch a pou\u0161t\u00edch sta\u010d\u00ed k tomu, aby bu\u0148ky organizace obnovily svou \u010dinnost, a\u0165 u\u017e prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm p\u0159epad\u016f na silnic\u00edch nebo uvalen\u00edm dan\u00ed na pohyb zbo\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Hadramout neza\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 pouze p\u0159\u00edtomnost Al-K\u00e1idy nebo Ji\u017en\u00ed p\u0159echodn\u00e9 rady, ale tak\u00e9 r\u016fst hnut\u00ed \u201eHadramut First\u201c, kter\u00e9 po\u017eaduje v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed autonomii nebo dokonce nez\u00e1visl\u00fd subjekt Hadram odd\u011blen\u00fd od severu i jihu.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkolik v\u00fdzkumn\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli seri\u00f3zn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k bezpe\u010dnosti Hadramawtu mus\u00ed za\u010d\u00edt omezen\u00edm akc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie v sou\u010dasnosti podnik\u00e1, a vyhnut\u00edm se naru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed arabsk\u00e9 jednoty ve prosp\u011bch stability v Jemenu v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm obdob\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odborn\u00edci tak\u00e9 varuj\u00ed, \u017ee ignorov\u00e1n\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdch a soci\u00e1ln\u00edch rozm\u011br\u016f \u2013 nezam\u011bstnanosti, kolapsu slu\u017eeb a pa\u0161er\u00e1ck\u00e9 ekonomiky \u2013 u\u010din\u00ed jak\u00fdkoli bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch do\u010dasn\u00fdm, proto\u017ee tyto faktory z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v dob\u00e1ch krize snadnou podn\u011btem pro n\u00e1bor d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Otev\u00edr\u00e1 sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00e9 hnut\u00ed dve\u0159e n\u00e1vratu terorismu do Hadramautu? Mezi bezpe\u010d\u00edm a pr\u00e1zdnotou\u2026 Kontroverzn\u00ed krok Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96007,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1400,1503,1012,2703],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96006"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96006"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96006\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96007"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}