{"id":95639,"date":"2025-12-30T00:16:37","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T23:16:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95639"},"modified":"2025-12-29T18:24:14","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T17:24:14","slug":"michael-svatos-povanocni-svodka-z-ruske-fronty-s-mapami","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/30\/michael-svatos-povanocni-svodka-z-ruske-fronty-s-mapami\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Pov\u00e1no\u010dn\u00ed svodka z rusk\u00e9 fronty s mapami"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Pov\u00e1no\u010dn\u00ed svodka z rusk\u00e9 fronty s mapami. Aneb, pro\u010d jen p\u00e1r set rusk\u00fdch \u0159adov\u00fdch p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f snadno o leto\u0161n\u00edch v\u00e1noc\u00edch p\u0159emohlo na p\u00e1r tis\u00edc ukrajinsk\u00fdch elitn\u00edch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk\u016f<\/h3>\n

(1) Taktick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza rusk\u00e9ho v\u00e1no\u010dn\u00edho \u00fatoku na m\u011bsto Huljajpole. Aneb, jak dok\u00e1zalo p\u00e1r stovek rusk\u00fdch p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f za dvacet dn\u00ed kompletn\u011b vy\u010distit celou ukrajinskou pevnost velikosti \u010desk\u00e9ho \u017datce, nebo moravsk\u00fdch Hranic, nav\u00edc urputn\u011b h\u00e1jenou v\u00edce jak tis\u00edcovkou \u201celitn\u00edch\u201d ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/h4>\n

M\u011bsto Huljajpole, 18 500 obyvatel p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou, p\u0159edstavovalo mohutnou ukrajinskou pevnost, kterou z jihu kryla pevn\u00e1 obrana, vybudovan\u00e1 v n\u011bkolika \u0159ad\u00e1ch postupn\u011b od roku 2022, a z v\u00fdchodu, odkud se Rusov\u00e9 k m\u011bstu koncem listopadu p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eili, \u0159eka Gaj\u010dur. M\u011bsto Huljajpole br\u00e1nily elitn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fadern\u00e9 pluky 225 a 333, dopln\u011bn\u00e9 brig\u00e1dou p\u011bchoty. Vnit\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1stavbu m\u011bsta tvo\u0159ily na plo\u0161e 12km \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch byteln\u00e9 5ti patrov\u00e9 panelov\u00e9 domy, a pevn\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9, i administrativn\u00ed budovy. Analytici se domn\u00edvali, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 budou muset nejprve m\u011bsto obkl\u00ed\u010dit ze severu, kde byla nejslab\u0161\u00ed obrana, a potom \u201cvyhladov\u011bt\u201d jeho pos\u00e1dku hl\u00eddkov\u00e1n\u00edm dron\u016f, a pak teprve za\u010distit, a to jim potrv\u00e1 nejm\u00e9n\u011b do konce ledna. Rusov\u00e9 v\u0161ak v\u0161echny p\u0159ekvapili, a m\u011bsto vzali rovnou \u010deln\u00edm \u00fatokem p\u0159es \u0159eku Gaj\u010dur za pouh\u00fdch 21 dn\u016f, a to tento \u00fatok provedlo pouze p\u00e1r set \u0159adov\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f, a proti mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu nep\u0159\u00edteli. Tato demonstrace naprost\u00e9 p\u0159evahy Rus\u016f na taktick\u00e9 \u00farovni nad Ukrajinci je veskrze interesantn\u00ed, t\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161, \u017ee elitn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u0161turm pluky 225 a 333 bojovaly podle manu\u00e1l\u016f NATO. V dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdzy proto v\u0161e podrobn\u011b rozebereme. A za\u010dneme mapou rusk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku:<\/p>\n

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Mapa \u010deln\u00edho \u00fatoku rusk\u00e9 35. arm\u00e1dy, opera\u010dn\u00ed skupiny V\u00ddCHOD. T\u00edmto drz\u00fdm a sm\u011bl\u00fdm \u010deln\u00edm \u00fatokem Rusov\u00e9 dokonale p\u0159ekvapili Ukrajince, a za 21 dn\u00ed, po t\u00e9 co za rann\u00ed mlhy p\u0159ekro\u010dili \u0159eku Gaj\u010dur, cel\u00e9 m\u011bsto Huljajpole od jeho ukrajinsk\u00fdch obr\u00e1nc\u016f kompletn\u011b vy\u010distili. Rusov\u00e9 v bitv\u011b bojovali bravurn\u011b, a proti po\u010detn\u00ed p\u0159evaze. Cel\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e1 operace je podrobn\u011b rozebr\u00e1na v anal\u00fdze.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Prvn\u00ed f\u00e1ze \u00fatoku na m\u011bsto Huljajpole, prosinec 5 a\u017e 7:<\/h4>\n

V \u010dasn\u00fdch rann\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch 5. prosince rusk\u00fd 1. motost\u0159eleck\u00fd prapor 57. samostatn\u00e9 motost\u0159eleck\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy 35. arm\u00e1dy opera\u010dn\u00ed skupiny V\u00ddCHOD p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b pod p\u0159\u00edkrovem rann\u00ed mlhy \u0161turmoval \u0159eku Gaj\u010dur na t\u0159ech m\u00edstech p\u00e1r set metr\u016f od sebe vzd\u00e1len\u00fdch, a za p\u00e1r hodin, kdy na boji\u0161ti panovalo \u0161patn\u00e9ho po\u010das\u00ed, kter\u00e9 neumo\u017e\u0148ovalo \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 operace dron\u016f, v \u010deln\u00edm st\u0159etu bravurn\u011b rozsekal p\u0159edn\u00ed jednotky elitn\u00edho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho 225. \u00fadern\u00e9ho pluku, a 154. mechanizovan\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 se \u0159ekou br\u00e1nily. Na horn\u00ed map\u011b = trojice mal\u00fdch rud\u00fdch \u0161ipek.<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed komand\u00fd\u0159i, \u0159\u00edd\u00edc\u00ed celou obranu Huljajpole, se tou dobou skr\u00fdvali v opevn\u011bn\u00fdch doupatech vybudovan\u00fdch ve sklepech panelov\u00fdch dom\u016f ve st\u0159edu m\u011bsta, na map\u011b = mal\u00fd modr\u00fd pentagon, a proto\u017ee panovalo \u0161patn\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed, na monitory po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f, u kter\u00fdch podle manu\u00e1l\u016f NATO sed\u011bli, nemohly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumn\u00e9 drony p\u0159en\u00e1\u0161et \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 obrazy z boji\u0161t\u011b, a proto\u017ee komand\u00fd\u0159i se ve strachu z prozrazen\u00ed sv\u00e9ho brlohu a z n\u00e1sledn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edletu klouzav\u00e9 bomby FAB, b\u00e1li ze sv\u00fdch doupat vyl\u00e9zat, aby situaci na boji\u0161ti pod\u00e9l ulice Velika obhl\u00e9dli, a nav\u00edc ze stejn\u00e9ho strachu z odhalen\u00ed ruskou rozv\u011bdkou REB ani nekomunikovali se sv\u00fdmi pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi jednotkami po vys\u00edla\u010dk\u00e1ch, nikdo br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00edm Ukrajinc\u016fm k \u0159ece Gaj\u010dur neposlal \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 posily, proto\u017ee nikdo v jejich velen\u00ed nev\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 u\u017e \u0159eku p\u0159ekro\u010dili.<\/p>\n

Nastala tak klasick\u00e1 situace, kdy vinou zbab\u011bl\u00e9ho m\u00edstn\u00edho vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho velen\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana na \u0159ece Gaj\u010dur praskla, proto\u017ee nikdo do boje nezasadil p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 z\u00e1lohy, a ne\u017e \u0161patn\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed skon\u010dilo, Rusov\u00e9 u\u017e na z\u00e1padn\u00ed b\u0159eh \u0159eky Gaj\u010dur k 1. praporu 57.smsbr p\u0159epravili i brig\u00e1dn\u00ed prapory \u010d\u00edslo 2 a 3, a cel\u00e9 p\u0159edmost\u00ed spojili, a v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch dvou dnech u\u017e s masivn\u00edm nasazen\u00edm d\u011blost\u0159electva a dron\u016f v\u0161em zu\u0159iv\u00fdm ukrajinsk\u00fdm proti\u00fatok\u016fm ubr\u00e1nili. P\u0159i obran\u011b \u0159eky proti siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu nep\u0159\u00edteli p\u0159itom plat\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed pou\u010dka, \u017ee nep\u0159\u00edtel mus\u00ed b\u00fdt z p\u0159edmost\u00ed vyhn\u00e1n okam\u017eit\u00fdm rychl\u00fdm proti\u00fatokem, proto\u017ee potom se u\u017e projev\u00ed jeho s\u00edla, a p\u0159edmost\u00ed nebude zni\u010deno, a stane se v\u00fdchodi\u0161t\u011bm jeho dal\u0161\u00edho \u00fatoku. Neboli \u2013 jak\u00fdkoli v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd soud by se s veliteli obrany Huljajpole nijak nemazal.<\/p>\n

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Tato mapa ukazuje polohu Huljajpole v\u016f\u010di m\u011bstu Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. V lev\u00e9m spodn\u00edm rohu vytrvale postupuj\u00ed na Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159i opera\u010dn\u00ed skupiny DN\u011aPR gener\u00e1la Teplinsk\u00e9ho. Vpravo je pak vid\u011bt postup cel\u00e9 skupiny V\u00ddCHOD, kter\u00e1 na n\u011bkolika m\u00edstech v posledn\u00edm t\u00fddnu p\u0159ekro\u010dila \u0159eku Gaj\u010dur. Huljajpole je v \u010dern\u00e9m ov\u00e1lu. Podle rychlosti postupu skupiny V\u00ddCHOD sm\u011brem na Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed za dobu od konce srpna 2025 do konce prosince 2025 lze vyvodit, \u017ee p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem pr\u00e1zdnin 2026 budou Rusov\u00e9 na p\u0159edm\u011bst\u00edch Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. M\u00edr podle Zelensk\u00e9ho p\u0159edstav pro n\u011b postr\u00e1d\u00e1 ve\u0161ker\u00fd smysl, pouze zastavuje jejich nezastaviteln\u00fd postup.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze \u00fatoku na m\u011bsto Huljajpole, prosinec 7 a\u017e 15:<\/h4>\n

Rusk\u00e1 57. samostatn\u00e1 motost\u0159eleck\u00e1 brig\u00e1da v\u0161emi t\u0159emi sv\u00fdmi prapory vyrazila z vybojovan\u00e9ho p\u0159edmost\u00ed na jihu m\u011bsta Huljajpole a zah\u00e1jila postup pod\u00e9l ulice Velika a pod\u00e9l b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Gaj\u010dur sm\u011brem na sever, aby p\u0159esn\u011b podle manu\u00e1lu gener\u00e1la Mordvi\u010deva, striktn\u011b dodr\u017eovan\u00e9ho v bitv\u00e1ch o m\u011bsta Mariupol, Avdijivku, Selidove i Pokrovsk, celou panelovou, administrativn\u00ed i pr\u016fmyslovou pevnou z\u00e1stavbu st\u0159edu m\u011bsta Huljajpole obe\u0161la z v\u00fdchodu.<\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u011b se p\u0159es \u0159eku na p\u0159edmost\u00ed vybojovan\u00e9 57.smsbr p\u0159epravila i 60. samostatn\u00e1 motost\u0159eleck\u00e1 brig\u00e1da 35. arm\u00e1dy, a ta t\u0159emi sv\u00fdmi prapory postupovala, aby st\u0159edovou pevnou z\u00e1stavbu m\u011bsta Huljajpole obkl\u00ed\u010dila ze z\u00e1padu postupem na sever. A 114. motost\u0159eleck\u00fd pluk 127. motost\u0159eleck\u00e9 divize pos\u00edlen\u00fd palebn\u00fdmi a \u017eenijn\u00edmi prvky 38.smsbr 35. arm\u00e1dy, a ten postupoval v meze\u0159e mezi brig\u00e1dami 57 a 60, a postupem po hlavn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edd\u011b m\u011bsta Huljajpole po ulici \u0160ev\u010denko, celou pevnou panelovou \u010d\u00e1st m\u011bsta roz\u0159\u00edznul na dv\u011b poloviny \u2013 op\u011bt postup p\u0159esn\u011b podle manu\u00e1lu gener\u00e1la Mordvi\u010deva pro dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bst. Na map\u011b naho\u0159e = druh\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed 3 \u010derven\u00e9 \u0161ipky. Roz\u0159ezan\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 doupata v panel\u00e1c\u00edch = zelen\u00e1 kole\u010dka.<\/p>\n

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V pr\u016fb\u011bhu t\u00e9to \u010d\u00e1sti operace, p\u0159i n\u00ed\u017e Rusov\u00e9 postupovali z jihu na sever, aby z v\u00fdchodu a ze z\u00e1padu obkl\u00ed\u010dili pevn\u00e9 budovy ve st\u0159edu m\u011bsta, bylo vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bno na 1600 rodinn\u00fdch domk\u016f, a men\u0161\u00edch budov. Hlavn\u00ed roli p\u0159i likvidaci ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u011bchoty v t\u011bchto mal\u00fdch domech hr\u00e1li rusk\u00e9 zabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 drony, kter\u00e9 tyto lehk\u00e9 stavby velmi snadno \u010dist\u00ed. Sta\u010dilo 8 dn\u00ed, a st\u0159ed m\u011bsta z panelov\u00fdch dom\u016f byl obkl\u00ed\u010den, a cel\u00fd zbytek m\u011bsta vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bn. Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159i boj\u00edch z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b nevstupovali do st\u0159eleck\u00fdch souboj\u016f s Ukrajinci, jen je metodicky likvidovali drony. P\u0159i tomto osmidenn\u00edm \u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 napo\u010d\u00edtali v 1600 vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch rodinn\u00fdch domech na 400 drony zlikvidovan\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch obr\u00e1nc\u016f.<\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00ed f\u00e1ze \u00fatoku na m\u011bsto Huljajpole, prosinec 16 a\u017e 26:<\/h4>\n

V t\u00e9to posledn\u00ed f\u00e1zi trvaj\u00edc\u00ed 12 dn\u00ed, Rusov\u00e9 metodicky vy\u010distili panelov\u00fd st\u0159ed m\u011bsta. Pokud na byteln\u00fd d\u016fm nesta\u010dily drony, a nebo se po odhalen\u00ed sv\u00e9ho postaven\u00ed Ukrajinci v\u010das nevzdali, p\u0159ilet\u011bla na d\u016fm klouzav\u00e1 bomba, a v\u0161echny jeho obr\u00e1nce poh\u0159bila sv\u00fdm v\u00fdbuchem pod trosky zhroucen\u00e9 budovy. Kompletn\u011b byly zlikvidov\u00e1ny i posledn\u00ed zbytky ukrajinsk\u00fdch 225. a 333. \u00fadern\u00fdch pluk\u016f, a 154.mechanizovan\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy.\u00a0Hlavn\u00ed brlohy velitel\u016f obrany m\u011bsta Rusov\u00e9 obsadili nepo\u0161kozen\u00e9 i s ve\u0161kerou dokumentac\u00ed a po\u010d\u00edta\u010dovou i spojovac\u00ed technikou<\/a>, proto\u017ee ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed komand\u00fd\u0159i po sv\u00e9m vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9m oby\u010deji t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00edm sv\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f hbit\u011b z boji\u0161t\u011b prchli, a ani se neobt\u011b\u017eovali podp\u00e1lit sv\u00e1 doupata, aby se p\u0159i sv\u00e9m rychl\u00e9m \u00fat\u011bku rozd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm oh\u0148\u016f zbyte\u010dn\u011b nezdr\u017eovali a neprozradili svou pozici rusk\u00fdm dron\u016fm.\u00a0Podle v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0se ve m\u011bst\u011b je\u0161t\u011b v n\u011bkolika panelov\u00fdch sklepech skr\u00fdv\u00e1 na p\u00e1r des\u00edtek obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zarputil\u00fdch Ukrajinc\u016f, ale i ti pr\u00fd budou brzy vy\u010dmuch\u00e1ni a posl\u00e1ni na setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Banderou.<\/p>\n

Dobr\u00e9 dvouminutov\u00e9 video nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1b\u011br\u016f z dron\u016f na zbytek m\u011bsta Huljajpole\u00a0najdete zde<\/a>. Nav\u00edc je na n\u011bm kr\u00e1sn\u011b sest\u0159\u00edh\u00e1no n\u011bkolik ilustra\u010dn\u00edch v\u00fdbuch\u016f klouzav\u00fdch bomb, a \u00fatok\u016f dron\u016f. Zkr\u00e1tka uvid\u00edte, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 v Huljajpole str\u00e1vili cel\u00fd prosinec pouze metodick\u00fdm lovem Ukrajinc\u016f pomoc\u00ed dron\u016f a klouzav\u00fdch bomb, a ti jen po m\u011bst\u011b chaoticky prchali sem a tam, asi tak jako houf vypla\u0161en\u00fdch kr\u00e1l\u00edk\u016f kli\u010dkuje po poli p\u0159ed myslivci.<\/p>\n

(2) Anal\u00fdza o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9ho sm\u011bru dal\u0161\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho postupu z \u201cosvobozen\u00fdch\u201d m\u011bst Pokrovsk a Myrnohrad.<\/h4>\n
\"\"<\/p>\n

Mapa ukazuje, jak ru\u0161t\u00ed analytici vid\u00ed nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed operaci na osvobozen\u00ed dvoj-m\u011bsta Slovjansk-Kramatorsk = horn\u00ed \u017elut\u00e1 elipsa. V \u010derven\u00e9m Pentagonu jsou m\u011bsta Pokrovsk a Myrnohrad. Pokud Rusov\u00e9 vyraz\u00ed sm\u011brem namalovan\u00fdm na map\u011b, nemaj\u00ed v pl\u00e1nu na p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok nic mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9ho. Pokud v\u0161ak m\u00edsto toho vyraz\u00ed z Pokrovska m\u00edsto sm\u011brem na sever, rovnou sm\u011brem na z\u00e1pad, a severoz\u00e1pad, pak m\u00e1 Putin v roce 2026 v pl\u00e1nu \u201czhltnout\u201d je\u0161t\u011b p\u00e1r ukrajinsk\u00fdch guberni\u00ed, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 k tomu m\u00e1 v z\u00e1loze nezbytn\u00fd dostatek voj\u00e1k\u016f. Ergo, jak velk\u00e9 jsou rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, uk\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rusk\u00fd pohyb z Pokrovska.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pov\u00e1no\u010dn\u00ed svodka z rusk\u00e9 fronty s mapami. Aneb, pro\u010d jen p\u00e1r set rusk\u00fdch \u0159adov\u00fdch p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62266,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1917,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95639"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95639"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95639\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62266"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}