{"id":95608,"date":"2025-12-30T00:11:31","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T23:11:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95608"},"modified":"2025-12-29T17:36:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T16:36:53","slug":"alastair-crooke-netanjahuuv-novy-pristup-jak-primet-trumpa-k-valce-s-iranem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/30\/alastair-crooke-netanjahuuv-novy-pristup-jak-primet-trumpa-k-valce-s-iranem\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: Netanjahu\u016fv nov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup, jak p\u0159im\u011bt Trumpa k v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Za Netanjahuov\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011brem na summitu nestoj\u00ed ani Hamas, ani druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze v\u00e1lky v Gaze, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/h3>\n

V posledn\u00edch dnech Trumpova administrativa zadr\u017eela nebo zabavila t\u0159i tankery, kter\u00e9 bu\u010f vezly venezuelskou ropu, nebo sm\u011b\u0159ovaly do Venezuely (nap\u0159\u00edklad Bella1). Nejz\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zabaven\u00ed \u2013 z hlediska nez\u00e1konnosti \u2013 se t\u00fdkalo \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 lodi pluj\u00edc\u00ed pod panamskou vlajkou, kter\u00e1 \u00fadajn\u011b sm\u011b\u0159ovala do \u010c\u00edny a nebyla na \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m sank\u010dn\u00edm seznamu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V jin\u00e9 konfliktn\u00ed z\u00f3n\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017eba (SBU) minul\u00fd p\u00e1tek ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee ve vod\u00e1ch St\u0159edozemn\u00edho mo\u0159e u Maroka zas\u00e1hla pomoc\u00ed dron\u016f rusk\u00fd tanker Qendil, kter\u00fd pat\u0159\u00ed k takzvan\u00e9 \u201est\u00ednov\u00e9 flotile\u201c.<\/p>\n

SBU neposkytla dal\u0161\u00ed podrobnosti o \u00fatoku, v\u010detn\u011b toho, jak SBU nasadila dron ve St\u0159edozemn\u00edm mo\u0159i (2 000 km od Ukrajiny) nebo z jak\u00e9ho m\u00edsta byl vypu\u0161t\u011bn. Zdroj SBU uvedl, \u017ee n\u00e1kladn\u00ed lo\u010f byla v dob\u011b \u00fatoku pr\u00e1zdn\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Prezident Putin uprost\u0159ed sv\u00e9ho ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00edho maratonu ot\u00e1zek a odpov\u011bd\u00ed sl\u00edbil, \u017ee Rusko podnikne odvetn\u00e9 kroky.<\/p>\n

\u201eBlok\u00e1dy\u201c, zabavov\u00e1n\u00ed a \u00fatoky jsou zcela jasn\u011b v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi \u010diny (navzdory tvrzen\u00ed USA, \u017ee Amerika vlastn\u00ed ve\u0161kerou ropu produkovanou Venezuelou \u2013 dokud nebudou uspokojeny v\u0161echny historick\u00e9 pr\u00e1vn\u00ed n\u00e1roky USA v\u016f\u010di Venezuele). Tato epizoda s tankerem je dal\u0161\u00edm krokem k bezpr\u00e1v\u00ed v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice USA.<\/p>\n

Tyto \u010diny jsou zam\u011b\u0159eny p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na \u010c\u00ednu (kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 velk\u00e9 pod\u00edly ve venezuelsk\u00e9m ropn\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu) a Rusko, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 dlouhodob\u00e9 vazby jak na Venezuelu, tak na Kubu (nyn\u00ed tak\u00e9 pod \u201eblok\u00e1dou\u201c Trumpa). K tomu p\u0159idejme 11 miliard dolar\u016f za zbran\u011b zas\u00edlan\u00e9 na Tchaj-wan \u2013 sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed pl\u00e1novan\u00e9ho transferu je zna\u010dn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00fdch a dlouhodob\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b 82 odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed HIMARS s raketami Army ATACMS, kter\u00e9 umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed tchajwansk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m zas\u00e1hnout c\u00edle p\u0159es Tchajwansk\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/p>\n

Tento posledn\u00ed transfer rozzu\u0159il \u010c\u00ednu.<\/p>\n

To nazna\u010duje, \u017ee\u00a0N\u00e1rodn\u00ed strategick\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/i>\u00a0(NSS) t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se \u010c\u00edny (uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee Washington ji\u017e nepova\u017euje \u010c\u00ednu za \u201ehlavn\u00ed hrozbu\u201c, ale pouze za ekonomick\u00e9ho konkurenta) je bezv\u00fdznamnou r\u00e9torikou. \u010c\u00edna je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za nep\u0159\u00e1telskou hrozbu a bude tak i reagovat.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna<\/a>\u00a0a Rusko budou \u201e\u010d\u00edst\u201c Trumpovu administrativu sp\u00ed\u0161e podle jej\u00edch \u010din\u016f ne\u017e podle r\u00e9toriky NSS. A sign\u00e1ly jasn\u011b nazna\u010duj\u00ed eskalaci.<\/p>\n

V\u0161echno toto vlo\u017ete do kontextu \u201e\u00fanik\u016f\u201c informac\u00ed od vysok\u00fdch Trumpov\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f, kter\u00e9 \u0159editelka N\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby Tulsi Gabbardov\u00e1 ozna\u010duje za \u201el\u017ei a propagandu<\/a>\u201c. \u0158\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee \u201eamerick\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 komunita souhlas\u00ed s n\u00e1zorem EU\/NATO a podporuje jej, \u017ee c\u00edlem Ruska je invaze\/dobyt\u00ed Evropy (aby \u201ez\u00edskalo podporu\u201c pro svou prov\u00e1le\u010dnou politiku)<\/i>\u201c \u2013 \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o l\u017ei \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9\u00a0t\u00edm, co ona naz\u00fdv\u00e1<\/a>\u00a0\u201ev\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di z Deep State a jejich propagandistick\u00fdmi m\u00e9dii \u2026 s c\u00edlem podkopat Trumpovy snahy o nastolen\u00ed m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

\u201ePravda\u201c,\u00a0p\u00ed\u0161e<\/a>\u00a0Gabbardov\u00e1 na Twitteru, je opa\u010dn\u00e1:<\/p>\n

\u201e[\u017de] americk\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 komunita informovala tv\u016frce politik, v\u010detn\u011b \u010dlena HPSCI z \u0159ad demokrat\u016f citovan\u00e9ho agenturou Reuters, \u017ee americk\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba hodnot\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko se sna\u017e\u00ed vyhnout v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lce s NATO. Rovn\u011b\u017e hodnot\u00ed, \u017ee, jak uk\u00e1zaly posledn\u00ed roky, Rusko \u2026 nem\u00e1 schopnost napadnout a okupovat Evropu<\/i>\u201c \u2013 a \u017ee \u201eamerick\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba hodnot\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko se sna\u017e\u00ed vyhnout v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lce s NATO<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Gabbard n\u00e1m tedy \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee na vrcholu Trumpovy administrativy prob\u00edh\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u00e1 v\u00e1lka. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b stoj\u00ed CIA, jest\u0159\u00e1bi a jejich evrop\u0161t\u00ed spolupracovn\u00edci, na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b Gabbardovi analytici zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti.<\/p>\n

Kde v tomto koloto\u010di stoj\u00ed Trump? Pro\u010d se stav\u00ed na hranici dal\u0161\u00edho kola konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou? Pro\u010d by to d\u011blal, kdy\u017e jsou ekonomick\u00e9 struktury USA tak k\u0159ehk\u00e9 a \u010c\u00edna prok\u00e1zala, \u017ee m\u00e1 ekonomickou p\u00e1ku, kterou m\u016f\u017ee pou\u017e\u00edt v boji? Je vysv\u011btlen\u00edm zjednodu\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed odpov\u011b\u010f, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o odveden\u00ed pozornosti od zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch Epsteinov\u00fdch fotografi\u00ed?<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d tak\u00e9 Trump vyslal p\u00e1ny Witkoffa a Kushnera do Berl\u00edna, kdy\u017e bylo p\u0159edem zcela z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 maj\u00ed v \u00famyslu zni\u010dit proces jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem? Oba ameri\u010dt\u00ed \u201evyslanci\u201c euro-n\u00e1vrh nepodepsali. Sed\u011bli ti\u0161e, ale ani nevznesli n\u00e1mitky, ani kdy\u017e se diskutovalo o bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk\u00e1ch podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 (podobn\u00fdch NATO).<\/p>\n

Kdo tak\u00e9 poskytl \u00fadaje o c\u00edlech, d\u00edky nim\u017e Ukrajina (z\u0159ejm\u011b) mohla za\u00fato\u010dit na lo\u010f Qendil u severoafrick\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, 2 000 km od Ukrajiny?<\/p>\n

Jak\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br m\u011bl Putin vyvodit z t\u011bchto dvou incident\u016f? Rusov\u00e9 si jist\u011b ud\u011blali vlastn\u00ed domn\u011bnky.<\/p>\n

A pro\u010d do toho zat\u00e1hnout i \u00cdr\u00e1n, kdy\u017e zadr\u017eeli \u00edr\u00e1nskou lo\u010f Bella 1, kter\u00e1 \u00fadajn\u011b plula pod guayanskou vlajkou sm\u011brem k Venezuele? Znamen\u00e1 to za\u010d\u00e1tek dal\u0161\u00edho kola \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 tankerov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kterou p\u016fvodn\u011b vedl Izrael? Vyhovuje to Netanjahuovi a ur\u010dit\u00fdm voli\u010d\u016fm v Izraeli, aby vyhrotili situaci ohledn\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu?<\/p>\n

Stoj\u00ed za to se na to zeptat, proto\u017ee Netanjahu m\u00e1 28. prosince odlet\u011bt do Palm Beach v Miami, kde se v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch dnech m\u00e1 setkat s Trumpem v Mar-a-Lago, a to mo\u017en\u00e1 i dvakr\u00e1t (a\u010dkoli v dob\u011b psan\u00ed tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku je\u0161t\u011b nebyla setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Trumpem potvrzena).<\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee za Netanjahuov\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011brem setk\u00e1n\u00ed nestoj\u00ed ani Hamas, ani druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze v\u00e1lky v Gaze, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zky Gazy a Hamasu proto pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b budou hr\u00e1t druho\u0159adou roli ve \u201enov\u00e9m\u201c narativu, kter\u00fd vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159 izraelsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra: \u00cdr\u00e1n nebude Trumpovi prezentov\u00e1n jako zem\u011b sp\u011bchaj\u00edc\u00ed k \u201ejadern\u00e9mu pr\u016flomu\u201c, jak tomu bylo podle star\u00e9ho kli\u0161\u00e9.<\/p>\n

To je \u201estar\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh\u201c. Nov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh je, jak p\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159edn\u00ed izraelsk\u00e1 koment\u00e1torka Anna Barsky (v hebrej\u0161tin\u011b) v\u00a0Ma\u2019ariv<\/a>:<\/p>\n

\u201eBezprost\u0159edn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hrozbou zde [v\u00edce] ne\u017e samotn\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b [je] systematick\u00e1 [\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1] rekonstrukce st\u0159edn\u00ed vrstvy: pr\u016fmysl balistick\u00fdch raket, jeho v\u00fdrobn\u00ed linky a schopnost obnovit funk\u010dnost po\u0161kozen\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eNe proto, \u017ee by jadern\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka zmizela z agendy \u2026 ale proto, \u017ee rakety jsou kl\u00ed\u010dem, kter\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1nu umo\u017e\u0148uje chr\u00e1nit v\u0161e ostatn\u00ed \u2013 a tak\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dit. Bez raket a protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany jsou jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed zraniteln\u00fdm c\u00edlem. S obranou [naopak] se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm strategick\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem \u2026 A zde je bod, kter\u00fd \u010dasto unik\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 diskusi: \u00cdr\u00e1n se \u201erehabilituje\u201c nejen proto, aby se vr\u00e1til k tomu, co bylo, ale aby se vr\u00e1til jinak\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eJin\u00fdmi slovy: \u201eobnova raketov\u00e9ho programu\u201c a \u201eobnova jadern\u00e9ho programu\u201c nejsou dv\u011b odd\u011blen\u00e9 osy, ale jeden syst\u00e9m \u2013 a to je pro Izrael velmi znepokojiv\u00e9. Rakety vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed ochrann\u00fd pl\u00e1\u0161\u0165, pl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 umo\u017e\u0148uje jadernou moc a jadern\u00e1 moc \u2013 i kdy\u017e je odm\u00edt\u00e1na \u2013 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 kone\u010dn\u00fdm [\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm] c\u00edlem\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

Poselstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Netanjahu p\u0159ednese v Mar-a-Lago, zn\u00ed: \u201eIzrael nedovol\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu obnovit raketov\u00fd a obrann\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk, kter\u00fd uzav\u0159e nebe nad citliv\u00fdmi m\u00edsty<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Trump se mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u00edce soust\u0159ed\u00ed na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00e9ho region\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du, ani\u017e by se nechal vt\u00e1hnout do v\u00e1lky bez jasn\u00e9ho konce. Netanjahu nicm\u00e9n\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tvrd\u00ed (jak to d\u011bl\u00e1 ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e 25 let), \u017ee \u201eokno\u201c, ve kter\u00e9m m\u016f\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n znovu vybudovat sv\u016fj obrann\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk, se rychle uzav\u00edr\u00e1, a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b prezidentovi jemn\u011b p\u0159ipomene, \u017ee Trump byl uveden do \u00fa\u0159adu nejen proto, aby propagoval image Izraele, ale tak\u00e9 z d\u016fvodu re\u00e1ln\u00e9 politiky, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e9 moci Izraele v regionu a kontrola nad \u00fazem\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Vesel\u00e9 V\u00e1noce, Donalde!<\/p>\n

\n

Netanyahu\u2019s new slant to lure Trump into war with Iran<\/a> vy\u0161el 26.12.2025 na Strategic Culture<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Za Netanjahuov\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011brem na summitu nestoj\u00ed ani Hamas, ani druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze v\u00e1lky v Gaze, ale…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88804,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[4537,38,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95608"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95608"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95608\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88804"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}