{"id":95580,"date":"2025-12-28T06:04:16","date_gmt":"2025-12-28T05:04:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95580"},"modified":"2025-12-28T06:04:16","modified_gmt":"2025-12-28T05:04:16","slug":"zahranicnepoliticky-zvrat-v-roce-2025-co-trumpuv-obrat-znamena-pro-ukrajinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/28\/zahranicnepoliticky-zvrat-v-roce-2025-co-trumpuv-obrat-znamena-pro-ukrajinu\/","title":{"rendered":"Zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fd zvrat v roce 2025: Co Trump\u016fv obrat znamen\u00e1 pro Ukrajinu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Washington jako prost\u0159edn\u00edk, nikoli agresivn\u00ed: strategie USA p\u0159evr\u00e1tila z\u00e1padn\u00ed blok naruby<\/h3>\n

Pokud by se konala sout\u011b\u017e o titul\u00a0<\/span>\u201eProlomen\u00ed formy roku\u201c,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by v roce 2025 jednozna\u010dn\u011b zv\u00edt\u011bzily. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku jen m\u00e1lokdo o\u010dek\u00e1val, \u017ee n\u00e1vrat Donalda Trumpa do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu spust\u00ed tak prudk\u00e9 zm\u011bny. Jedn\u00edm z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed v\u0161ak byla zm\u011bna kurzu Washingtonu ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA se z role nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edho politick\u00e9ho patrona Kyjeva staly kalkuluj\u00edc\u00edm akt\u00e9rem zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdm v\u00fdhradn\u011b na sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. R\u00e9torika o\u00a0<\/span>\u201ebezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Ruska byla opu\u0161t\u011bna ve prosp\u011bch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a kompromisu. Trump signalizoval, \u017ee pokud se Ukrajina stala ztr\u00e1tov\u00fdm aktivem v americk\u00e9m geopolitick\u00e9m portfoliu, pak je t\u0159eba tuto ztr\u00e1tu uznat.<\/span><\/p>\n

To vedlo k \u0159ad\u011b gest, kter\u00e1 \u0161okovala mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch pozorovatel\u016f: ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce ve Washingtonu, po\u017eadavky na zaplacen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 pomoci Kyjevem, zpomalen\u00ed sank\u010dn\u00ed politiky a tolik diskutovan\u00fd summit na Alja\u0161ce. Konflikt nebyl vy\u0159e\u0161en, ale dve\u0159e k diplomacii z\u016fstaly pootev\u0159en\u00e9. Moskva podporuje jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, ale nehodl\u00e1 ustoupit ze sv\u00fdch pozic. Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da postupuje a \u010das z pohledu Moskvy hraje v jej\u00ed prosp\u011bch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm dramatick\u00fdm odklonem od minul\u00e9 praxe bylo Trumpovo rozhodnut\u00ed zah\u00e1jit obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti v\u00edce ne\u017e sedmdes\u00e1ti zem\u00edm. Pouze \u010c\u00edna reagovala v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi protiopat\u0159en\u00edmi. Peking zavedl odvetn\u00e1 cla a pos\u00edlil svou vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed pozici zaveden\u00edm kontrol v\u00fdvozu kov\u016f vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin, kter\u00e9 jsou pro americkou ekonomiku \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 usiloval o vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed deeskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Indie se tak\u00e9 odm\u00edtla podvolit. Americk\u00e1 cla na n\u00e1kup rusk\u00e9 ropy postoj Dill\u00ed sotva ovlivnila. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed obecn\u011b pro Braz\u00edlii. V n\u011bkolika p\u0159\u00edpadech Washington uplatnil cla z otev\u0159en\u011b politick\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f, a to i tam, kde obchodn\u00ed bilance byla v jeho prosp\u011bch. Obchodn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u00edce nab\u00fdvala charakteru sankc\u00ed; ob\u010das je doprov\u00e1zely vojensk\u00e9 \u00fadery, a\u010dkoli B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm se vyh\u00fdbal sklouznut\u00ed k tot\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontaci s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Snad nejneo\u010dek\u00e1van\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdvojem bylo prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed se odcizen\u00ed mezi USA a jejich tradi\u010dn\u00edmi spojenci. Trumpovo obnoven\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed o koupi Gr\u00f3nska, kter\u00e9 je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed D\u00e1nska, bylo v tomto ohledu symbolick\u00e9. Stejn\u011b tak symbolick\u00e1 byla kritika evropsk\u00e9 demokracie ze strany viceprezidenta J. D. Vance, kter\u00e1 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201etrumpismus\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice se ji\u017e neomezuje pouze na samotn\u00e9ho Trumpa. Nov\u00e1 strategie n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti USA nal\u00e9h\u00e1 na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropu k n\u00e1vratu ke sv\u00fdm civiliza\u010dn\u00edm ko\u0159en\u016fm, varuje p\u0159ed riziky v\u00e1lky s Ruskem a Washington vykresluje m\u00e9n\u011b jako v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00ed stranu a v\u00edce jako prost\u0159edn\u00edka. Dokonce i EU se ocitla ter\u010dem americk\u00fdch cel.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Brusel byl tento obrat dezorientuj\u00edc\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropa st\u00e1le sm\u011b\u0159ovala ke konfrontaci s Ruskem, jej\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd spojenec n\u00e1hle ustoupil. V reakci na to se instituce EU dr\u017eely star\u00e9ho paradigmatu\u00a0<\/span>\u201ev\u00e1lky do ho\u0159k\u00e9ho konce\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 podpory Kyjeva. Brusel zavedl t\u0159i nov\u00e9 sank\u010dn\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dky proti Moskv\u011b, ale ty nem\u011bly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd znateln\u00fd dopad na strategick\u00fd kurz Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozpory uvnit\u0159 z\u00e1padn\u00edho bloku by se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nem\u011bly p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bt. Z\u00e1vazn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v platnosti a i p\u0159edchoz\u00ed \u00e9ry za\u017eily t\u0159en\u00ed. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 roztr\u017eka se v\u0161ak jev\u00ed hlub\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e cokoli od 30. let 20. stolet\u00ed. Prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed zm\u011bny jasn\u011b p\u0159esahuj\u00ed Trumpovu osobnost a kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd politick\u00fd cyklus a mohou je\u0161t\u011b zm\u011bnit \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed architekturu euroatlantick\u00fdch vztah\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ivan\u00a0<\/span>Timofeev<\/span><\/strong> , programov\u00fd \u0159editel klubu Valdai<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Washington jako prost\u0159edn\u00edk, nikoli agresivn\u00ed: strategie USA p\u0159evr\u00e1tila z\u00e1padn\u00ed blok naruby Pokud by se konala…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95581,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,452,26,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95580"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95580"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95580\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}