{"id":95493,"date":"2025-12-27T05:40:38","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T04:40:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95493"},"modified":"2025-12-27T05:40:38","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T04:40:38","slug":"zadny-zlom-pro-ukrajinu-realita-frontove-linie-kterou-zapadni-media-neukazou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/27\/zadny-zlom-pro-ukrajinu-realita-frontove-linie-kterou-zapadni-media-neukazou\/","title":{"rendered":"\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd zlom pro Ukrajinu: Realita frontov\u00e9 linie, kterou z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia neuk\u00e1\u017eou"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Od zastaven\u00fdch m\u011bstsk\u00fdch bitev a\u017e po hrout\u00edc\u00ed se pevnosti, ud\u00e1losti v prosinci zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed rostouc\u00ed opera\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdhodu Ruska<\/h3>\n
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Koncem prosince je \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed ignorovat rozd\u00edl mezi politick\u00fdmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi a realitou na boji\u0161ti. Navzdory lok\u00e1ln\u00edm boj\u016fm a do\u010dasn\u00e9mu zpomalen\u00ed rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da pokra\u010duje v postupu v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch \u00fasec\u00edch fronty, postupn\u011b naru\u0161uje ukrajinskou obranu a diktuje tempo operac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin na tiskov\u00e9 konferenci 19. prosince stru\u010dn\u011b nast\u00ednil situaci na front\u011b: od b\u0159ezna, kdy byla Kursk\u00e1 oblast zbavena nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch sil, je pln\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 iniciativa na boji\u0161ti v rukou rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly postupuj\u00ed pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9 frontov\u00e9 linie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Okam\u017eit\u011b se objevila protiot\u00e1zka: co Kupjansk? Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee m\u011bsto dobyla zp\u011bt, a Vladimir Zelenskyj ho \u00fadajn\u011b dokonce nav\u0161t\u00edvil. Za\u010dn\u011bme tedy n\u00e1\u0161 p\u0159ehled tam.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kupjansk<\/span><\/h2>\n

Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u010del\u00ed v Kupjansku v\u00fdzv\u00e1m, proto\u017ee \u201eZ\u00e1padn\u00ed\u201c skupina sil nedok\u00e1zala m\u011bsto p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm bitev obkl\u00ed\u010dit ze t\u0159\u00ed stran. Kupjansk je od severu k jihu rozd\u011blen \u0159ekou Oskol; k obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed m\u011bsta mus\u00ed rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da z\u0159\u00eddit spolehliv\u00e9 a dob\u0159e chr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9 p\u0159echody severn\u011b a ji\u017en\u011b od m\u011bsta a tak\u00e9 postupovat z v\u00fdchodu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m se poda\u0159ilo vybudovat, opevnit a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it op\u011brn\u00fd bod severn\u011b od Kupjanska v oblasti Kondra\u0161ovky; nikoli v\u0161ak ji\u017en\u011b od m\u011bsta, pod\u00e9l linie Senkovo-Krugljakovka (1 na map\u011b). Letos v l\u00e9t\u011b v\u0161ak ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana v Kupjansku v\u00fdrazn\u011b oslabila, co\u017e vedlo rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed k rozhodnut\u00ed vstoupit do m\u011bsta ze severu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a9 RT \/ Sergej Poletajev na z\u00e1klad\u011b dat z Lostarmor.Ru<\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

A\u017e do poloviny \u0159\u00edjna boje o Kupjansk postupovaly pom\u011brn\u011b dob\u0159e. Aby se voj\u00e1ci dostali do m\u011bsta, museli by se podle nich probojovat p\u0159es teplovod na dn\u011b \u0159eky (2) a pot\u00e9 pokra\u010dovat p\u011b\u0161ky nebo se plazit. Logistika byla slo\u017eit\u00e1 a spol\u00e9hala se na osobn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky nebo drony. Riziko se ale vyplatilo.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V polovin\u011b \u0159\u00edjna byla centr\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st Kupjansku, le\u017e\u00edc\u00ed na prav\u00e9m b\u0159ehu \u0159eky, pln\u011b pod ruskou kontrolou. Kv\u016fli logistick\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm nebylo mo\u017en\u00e9 v Kupjansku nasadit velk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 formace; odhady nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee se tam v danou chv\u00edli nenach\u00e1zelo v\u00edce ne\u017e 150\u2013200 rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Levob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st m\u011bsta, kde se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00fd \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed uzel, v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pod ukrajinskou kontrolou (3); v opera\u010dn\u00edm obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed je zde a\u017e 3 500 voj\u00e1k\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly rozpoznaly slab\u00e1 m\u00edsta rusk\u00fdch pozic na prav\u00e9m b\u0159ehu a zah\u00e1jily lok\u00e1ln\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvu. Koncem \u0159\u00edjna ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly pos\u00edlily sv\u00e9 jednotky a pokusily se p\u0159eru\u0161it rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasy mezi Kupjanskem a Kondra\u0161ovkou (4). V d\u016fsledku toho se oblast severn\u011b od m\u011bsta stala \u0161edou z\u00f3nou. Z\u00e1soby jsou dod\u00e1v\u00e1ny p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b dron\u016f, a to i p\u0159esto, \u017ee z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasy nebyly fyzicky p\u0159eru\u0161eny.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tempo boj\u016f ve m\u011bst\u011b se v\u0161ak znateln\u011b zpomalilo, co\u017e donutilo velen\u00ed skupiny sil \u201eZ\u00e1pad\u201c vr\u00e1tit se ke konzervativn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edstupu a p\u0159esunout pozornost na lev\u00fd b\u0159eh. C\u00edlem je osvobodit oblast, dob\u00fdt \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed stanici Kupjansk-Uzlovoj a nav\u00e1zat fyzick\u00e9 spojen\u00ed s prav\u00fdm b\u0159ehem uvnit\u0159 samotn\u00e9ho m\u011bsta.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Mohlo by m\u00edt toto lok\u00e1ln\u00ed selh\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy znateln\u00fd dopad na budouc\u00ed pr\u016fb\u011bh konfliktu? Ne tak docela. Kupjansk z\u00edsk\u00e1 strategick\u00fd v\u00fdznam pouze tehdy, pokud se fronta posune o 25-30 km dozadu, mimo dosah dron\u016f FPV. Teprve potom bude mo\u017en\u00e9 \u017eeleznici vyu\u017e\u00edt k z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed arm\u00e1dy, co\u017e by usnadnilo logistiku v tomto odlehl\u00e9m kout\u011b fronty.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Lim\u00e1n<\/span><\/h2>\n

Krom\u011b Kupjanska postupuje skupina sil \u201eZ\u00e1pad\u201c sm\u011brem k Limanu, druh\u00e9mu nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu m\u011bstu severn\u011b od \u0159eky Seversk\u00fd Don\u011bc. Rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly Liman opustily b\u011bhem ukrajinsk\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy v roce 2022. Liman mus\u00ed b\u00fdt rusk\u00fdmi jednotkami znovu dobyt nejen proto, \u017ee se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v rusk\u00e9 Don\u011bck\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republice, ale tak\u00e9 proto, aby si zajistily severn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 budouc\u00ed bitvy o Slavjansk.<\/span><\/p>\n

V uplynul\u00e9m m\u011bs\u00edci byl v\u00fdchodn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo m\u011bsta zcela izolov\u00e1n a byl p\u0159eru\u0161en sedmikilometrov\u00fd \u00fasek silnice mezi Limanem a Severskem. \u010c\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9 obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed na z\u00e1padn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ilo a uvnit\u0159 samotn\u00e9ho m\u011bsta pokra\u010duj\u00ed intenzivn\u00ed boje.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\"RT\"<\/picture>\n
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\u00a9 RT \/ Sergej Poletajev na z\u00e1klad\u011b dat z Lostarmor.Ru<\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

To v\u0161e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 pos\u00e1dka v Limanu vstoupila do f\u00e1ze vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed. Neb\u00fdt rozkaz\u016f udr\u017eet m\u011bsto za ka\u017edou cenu, ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly by se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b u\u017e d\u00e1vno st\u00e1hly, proto\u017ee z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bsta p\u0159es \u0159eku je pom\u011brn\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Seversk<\/span><\/h2>\n

11. prosince byl Seversk ofici\u00e1ln\u011b osvobozen. M\u011bsto bylo dobyto za necel\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc, co\u017e je na pom\u011bry sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho konfliktu pozoruhodn\u011b rychl\u00e9. Jakmile rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da na konci listopadu p\u0159evzala kontrolu nad ob\u011bma hlavn\u00edmi trasami vedouc\u00edmi do m\u011bsta, jeho osud byl zpe\u010det\u011bn.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 pos\u00e1dka zde mohla vydr\u017eet d\u00e9le, nap\u0159\u00edklad v Pokrovsku (Krasnoarmejsku). Na rozd\u00edl od jin\u00fdch \u201epevnost\u00ed\u201c se v\u0161ak ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly rozhodly nezah\u00e1jit sebevra\u017eedn\u00e9 proti\u00fatoky a moud\u0159e a v\u010das oblast opustily.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a9 RT \/ Sergej Poletajev na z\u00e1klad\u011b dat z Lostarmor.Ru<\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Dobyt\u00ed Seversku otev\u00edr\u00e1 cestu k hlavn\u00ed ba\u0161t\u011b ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil: m\u011bstsk\u00e9 aglomeraci Slavjansk-Kramatorsk. Pokud se rusk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m poda\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit \u0159eku z\u00e1padn\u011b od Seversku (1 na map\u011b) a upevnit se na vyv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b, Ukrajina by musela opustit dal\u0161\u00ed obrannou linii a ustoupit sm\u011brem ke Slavjansku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd man\u00e9vr je docela mo\u017en\u00fd. Nap\u0159\u00edklad pr\u00e1v\u011b p\u0159ekro\u010den\u00ed \u0159eky Seversk\u00fd Don\u011bc pobl\u00ed\u017e \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00edho mostu v oblasti Dronovky umo\u017enilo Rus\u016fm od\u0159\u00edznout jednu z cest do Seversku, co\u017e vedlo k \u00fasp\u011bchu v boj\u00edch o m\u011bsto.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokrovsk \u2013 Mirnograd<\/span><\/h2>\n

M\u011bstsk\u00e1 aglomerace Pokrovsk-Mirnograd byla druhou nejlidnat\u011bj\u0161\u00ed oblast\u00ed Donbasu, kter\u00e1 z\u016fstala pod ukrajinskou kontrolou. Otev\u0159en\u00e9 stepi se nav\u00edc t\u00e1hnou t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 100 km z\u00e1padn\u011b od Pokrovsku, tak\u017ee za m\u011bstem nejsou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed s\u00eddla, kde by ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly mohly vytvo\u0159it trvalou obranu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Boje v t\u00e9to oblasti pokra\u010duj\u00ed od jara; podrobn\u011b jsme se o tom ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve bavili.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010cT\u011aTE V\u00cdCE:<\/span>\u00a0Bitva, kterou sleduje cel\u00fd sv\u011bt, ale jen m\u00e1lokdo j\u00ed rozum\u00ed: Co se doopravdy d\u011bje v Pokrovsku?<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n

V uplynul\u00e9m m\u011bs\u00edci do\u0161lo ke dv\u011bma kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm ud\u00e1lostem. Zaprv\u00e9, ukrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva selhala. Ukrajinsk\u00fd pokus o prora\u017een\u00ed obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed Mirnogradu ze severu p\u0159es Rodninskoje nep\u0159inesl \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek a Rodninskoje se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b dostalo zp\u011bt pod ruskou kontrolu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, do konce listopadu rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da Pokrovsk kompletn\u011b osvobodila. Poprv\u00e9 od boj\u016f o Mariupol se vytvo\u0159ilo t\u011bsn\u00e9 fyzick\u00e9 obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nechalo pos\u00e1dku v Mirnogradu v pasti. Stovky ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f se vzdaly, n\u011bkolika des\u00edtk\u00e1m se poda\u0159ilo uprchnout p\u0159es pole; osud zbytku je jasn\u00fd.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a9 RT \/ Sergej Poletajev na z\u00e1klad\u011b dat z Lostarmor.Ru<\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Podle zpr\u00e1v bylo k 25. prosinci vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bno 90\u201395 % m\u011bstsk\u00e9 oblasti Mirnogradu. Vzhledem k na\u0161im konzervativn\u00edm standard\u016fm informov\u00e1n\u00ed mapa zobrazuje men\u0161\u00ed oblast kontroly \u2013 je zalo\u017eena na videoz\u00e1znamech, kter\u00e9 obvykle zaost\u00e1vaj\u00ed za situac\u00ed v ter\u00e9nu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Osud Pokrovska a Mirnogradu je zpe\u010det\u011bn. Je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o jejich osvobozen\u00ed p\u0159ijde do konce roku.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Gulaipole\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch byl zaznamen\u00e1n nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed postup rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy mezi Gulajpolem v Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 oblasti a Pokrovskojem v Dn\u011bpropetrovsk\u00e9 oblasti. Tato fronta je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 ze dvou d\u016fvod\u016f: za prv\u00e9, vede pod\u00e9l jedn\u00e9 z hlavn\u00edch obrann\u00fdch lini\u00ed Ukrajiny, co\u017e ji \u010din\u00ed do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry ne\u00fa\u010dinnou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly postupuj\u00ed p\u0159es otev\u0159en\u00e9 stepi a p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fd ter\u00e9n sm\u011brem k Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed a jak vid\u00edme, ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nedok\u00e1\u017ee zastavit, proto\u017ee se j\u00ed tam neda\u0159\u00ed vytvo\u0159it stabiln\u00ed frontu.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem uplynul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly bez boj\u016f p\u0159evzaly plnou kontrolu nad v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehem \u0159eky Gaj\u010dur; jednotky postoupily a\u017e o 15 km pod\u00e9l 30kilometrov\u00e9 fronty.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\"RT\"<\/picture>\n
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\u00a9 RT \/ Sergej Poletajev na z\u00e1klad\u011b dat z Lostarmor.Ru<\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Rusk\u00e1 vojska se tak\u00e9 op\u0159ela o \u0159eku na severn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle ofenz\u00edvy a bez v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho odporu dobyla Pe\u0161\u010danoje a Gerasimovku.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m se poda\u0159ilo vybudovat ur\u010ditou obranu pouze ve m\u011bst\u011b Gulajpole. Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ho nedok\u00e1zala dob\u00fdt hned; bez boj\u016f byla osvobozena pouze \u010d\u00e1st m\u011bsta na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Gaj\u010dur.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fdm jednotk\u00e1m se v\u0161ak poda\u0159ilo \u0159eku p\u0159ekro\u010dit a v centr\u00e1ln\u00edch \u010d\u00e1stech m\u011bsta nyn\u00ed prob\u00edhaj\u00ed boje. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 posily vyslan\u00e9 k obran\u011b m\u011bsta se ocitly v opera\u010dn\u00edm obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed, proto\u017ee 30kilometrov\u00fd \u00fasek jedin\u00e9 silnice vedouc\u00ed do m\u011bsta je pod intenzivn\u00ed palebnou kontrolou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Sergeje Poletajeva<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, informa\u010dn\u00edho analytika a publicisty, spoluzakladatele a editora projektu Vatfor.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Od zastaven\u00fdch m\u011bstsk\u00fdch bitev a\u017e po hrout\u00edc\u00ed se pevnosti, ud\u00e1losti v prosinci zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed rostouc\u00ed opera\u010dn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95494,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,26,7678],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95493"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95493"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95493\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95494"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}