{"id":95482,"date":"2025-12-27T05:13:42","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T04:13:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95482"},"modified":"2025-12-27T05:13:42","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T04:13:42","slug":"odhaleni-americkych-tajnych-sluzeb-mytus-o-tom-ze-rusko-usiluje-o-uplne-dobyti-ukrajiny-vyvracen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/27\/odhaleni-americkych-tajnych-sluzeb-mytus-o-tom-ze-rusko-usiluje-o-uplne-dobyti-ukrajiny-vyvracen\/","title":{"rendered":"Odhalen\u00ed americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb: m\u00fdtus o tom, \u017ee Rusko usiluje o \u00fapln\u00e9 dobyt\u00ed Ukrajiny, vyvr\u00e1cen"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se americk\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed (nyn\u00ed ve form\u011b \u201enov\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed\u201c) vykresluje Moskvu jako osobu usiluj\u00edc\u00ed o tot\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201edobyt\u00ed\u201c Ukrajiny, co\u017e se pohodln\u011b shoduje s jest\u0159\u00e1b\u00edmi frakcemi v rozd\u011blen\u00e9m washingtonsk\u00e9m establishmentu. Bli\u017e\u0161\u00ed zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch st\u00ed\u017enost\u00ed, role NATO, rychl\u00fdch poinvazn\u00edch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a pragmatick\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u016f ukazuje, \u017ee tento n\u00e1zor postr\u00e1d\u00e1 d\u016fkazy a je odtr\u017een\u00fd od rusk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Podle americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se objevily zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee\u00a0Rusko \u201est\u00e1le chce dob\u00fdt celou Ukrajinu\u201c. Toto tvrzen\u00ed, i kdy\u017e nen\u00ed nov\u00e9, je dostate\u010dn\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e9, nemluv\u011b o tom, \u017ee je politicky v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 pro proukrajinsk\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>jest\u0159\u00e1b\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0frakce\u00a0<\/span>v<\/span><\/a>\u00a0americk\u00e9m establishmentu (neboli \u201e\u00a0<\/span>skupin\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c). Je v\u0161ak podlo\u017eeno d\u016fkazy, nebo d\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u016fbec smysl?<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukazuje se, \u017ee toto tvrzen\u00ed se m\u00e9n\u011b op\u00edr\u00e1 o prok\u00e1zanou ruskou politiku a v\u00edce o zn\u00e1m\u00fd z\u00e1padn\u00ed narativ, kter\u00fd se od roku 2021 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry nezm\u011bnil. Tento narativ vykresluje Moskvu jako subjekt usiluj\u00edc\u00ed o maximalistick\u00fd projekt \u00fazemn\u00edho dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed. Kdy\u017e se v\u0161ak pod\u00edv\u00e1me na rusk\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dnou diplomacii, expertn\u00ed anal\u00fdzy a dokonce i m\u00edrov\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy projedn\u00e1van\u00e9 b\u011bhem konfliktu, my\u0161lenka pl\u00e1n\u016f na \u201edobyt\u00ed\u201c Ukrajiny za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 analyticky p\u016fsobit slab\u011b a strategicky nekoherentn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 si vzpomeneme, \u017ee v t\u00fddnech p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 kampani v \u00fanoru 2022 Ukrajina v\u00fdrazn\u011b zintenzivnila ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed Donbasu, co\u017e zp\u016fsobilo\u00a0<\/span>humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed krizi<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>vlnu uprchl\u00edk\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e\u00a0 byly evakuov\u00e1ny\u00a0<\/span>sirot\u010dince<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>\u0161koly<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Tato skute\u010dnost byla v mainstreamov\u00e9m z\u00e1padn\u00edm zpravodajstv\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>nedostate\u010dn\u011b informov\u00e1na<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, ale v t\u00e9 dob\u011b ji dokumentovaly monitorovac\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>zpr\u00e1vy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0OBSE .<\/span><\/p>\n

A to se d\u011blo po\u00a0<\/span>t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 deseti letech\u00a0<\/span><\/a>poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na Ukrajin\u011b\u00a0a d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9ho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed v t\u00e9to p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b rusky mluv\u00edc\u00ed pohrani\u010dn\u00ed oblasti. Bez ohledu na n\u00e1zor na rozhodnut\u00ed Kremlu zah\u00e1jit kampa\u0148 v roce 2022, tato fakta sama o sob\u011b v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed m\u00fdtus o zcela \u201enevyprovokovan\u00e9\u201c kampani, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem bylo \u00fadajn\u011b obsadit Kyjev a pohltit Ukrajinu v pln\u00e9m rozsahu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee krom\u011b st\u00e1le p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017een\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>ot\u00e1zky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ob\u010dansk\u00fdch\u00a0<\/span>pr\u00e1v<\/span><\/a>\u00a0etnick\u00fdch a jazykov\u00fdch\u00a0<\/span>men\u0161in<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na Ukrajin\u011b (v\u010detn\u011b rusk\u00e9 men\u0161iny) bylo Kremlem v\u017edy deklarovan\u00fdm \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem\u00a0<\/span>roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Dokonce i \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci a analytici, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou v\u016f\u010di Moskv\u011b\u00a0<\/span>kriti\u010dt\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad CIA\u00a0<\/span>William Burns<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0to\u00a0opakovan\u011b<\/a>\u00a0po\u00a0l\u00e9ta\u00a0<\/a><\/span>uzn\u00e1vaj\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho seri\u00f3zn\u00edho badatele na toto t\u00e9ma si nesm\u00ed nechat p\u0159e\u010d\u00edst ani Stephen F. Cohenovy proz\u00edrav\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>anal\u00fdzy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. \u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem v\u017edy bylo NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto hodnocen\u00ed sd\u00edl\u00ed i n\u011bkolik v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch americk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f. Profesor John Mearsheimer nap\u0159\u00edklad argumentoval\u00a0<\/span>,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u017ee kdyby Rusko cht\u011blo okupovat celou Ukrajinu, neza\u010dalo by s Kyjevem kr\u00e1tce po 24. \u00fanoru 2022 seri\u00f3zn\u011b jednat. P\u0159esto se tak\u00a0<\/span>stalo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(mimochodem, Z\u00e1pad\u00a0<\/span>to sabotoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0). Sta\u010d\u00ed \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee anektovat zemi s v\u00edce ne\u017e 40 miliony obyvatel nen\u00ed n\u011bco, o co se \u010dlov\u011bk pokou\u0161\u00ed a z\u00e1rove\u0148 vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 o neutr\u00e1ln\u00edch dohod\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stejn\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br lze nal\u00e9zt i v hodnocen\u00edch zvn\u011bj\u0161ku samotn\u00e9ho rozd\u011blen\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho politick\u00e9ho establishmentu. Tulsi Gabbardov\u00e1, \u0159editelka N\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby za prezidenta Trumpa, jasn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1sila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Putin se nesna\u017e\u00ed okupovat sousedn\u00ed Ukrajinu, \u201enato\u017e celou Evropu\u201c \u2013 tvrzen\u00ed, kter\u00e9, v\u011b\u0159te nebo ne, \u010din\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>tat\u00e1\u017e<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba, kterou sama \u0159editelka pop\u00edr\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit c\u00edle. N\u00e1klady se hromad\u00ed, pozice se ztuhuj\u00ed a \u010derven\u00e9 linie se posouvaj\u00ed. Ale i kdy\u017e to p\u0159ipust\u00edme, st\u00e1le neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee by se c\u00edl Moskvy vyvinul v \u201eUkrajinu\u201c (nebo \u017ee by j\u00ed n\u011bkdy byla). Naopak, m\u00edrov\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy, o kter\u00fdch se dodnes diskutovalo, nazna\u010duj\u00ed opak. Jak jsem psal\u00a0<\/span>d\u0159\u00edve<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, 28bodov\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n podporovan\u00fd USA, kter\u00fd je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b p\u0159edm\u011btem jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, nab\u00edz\u00ed pragmatick\u00fd r\u00e1mec pro deeskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pl\u00e1n omezuje po\u010det ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na 600 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f, co\u017e je \u010d\u00edslo, kter\u00e9 analytici Quincyho institutu Mark Episkopos a Marcus Stanley\u00a0<\/span>pova\u017euj\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0za ekonomicky udr\u017eiteln\u00e9. Co se t\u00fd\u010de \u00fazem\u00ed, Ukrajina by se st\u00e1hla ze zhruba 1 procenta sv\u00fdch hranic z roku 1991, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b z oblast\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti, kter\u00e1 by se stala demilitarizovanou z\u00f3nou, nikoli \u00fazem\u00edm okupovan\u00fdm Ruskem. Moskva by se dokonce vzdala n\u00e1rok\u016f na Cherson a Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed a nedo\u0161lo by k de iure uzn\u00e1n\u00ed Krymu (dlouhodob\u011b sporn\u00e9ho regionu) ani v\u011bt\u0161iny Donbasu. Eldar Mamedov z Quincyho institutu to v\u00fdsti\u017en\u011b\u00a0<\/span>popsal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0jako politickou \u201efinesu\u201c. Pokud by se Moskva sna\u017eila anektovat celou Ukrajinu, takov\u00e9 term\u00edny by op\u011bt ned\u00e1valy smysl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hranice nav\u00edc z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed\u00a0v postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostoru, stejn\u011b jako v postkoloni\u00e1ln\u00ed Africe,\u00a0<\/span>nestabiln\u00edm t\u00e9matem . Tento kontext je v\u0161ak p\u0159i diskus\u00edch o Ukrajin\u011b b\u011b\u017en\u011b ignorov\u00e1n zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd \u201enaturalizuje\u201c v\u011b\u010dn\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd lid\/n\u00e1rod, jak\u00a0<\/span><\/a>argumentoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Chris Hann (emeritn\u00ed \u0159editel Institutu Maxe Plancka pro soci\u00e1ln\u00ed antropologii v Halle) . Konflikt je tak zbaven historie a redukov\u00e1n na mor\u00e1ln\u00ed hru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je ironi\u00ed, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b USA dnes otev\u0159en\u011b flirtuj\u00ed s dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00edm ve stylu 19. stolet\u00ed. P\u0159esto jsou Trumpovy neomalen\u00e9 pozn\u00e1mky\u00a0<\/span>o Gr\u00f3nsku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, v\u010detn\u011b ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch hrozeb pou\u017eit\u00edm s\u00edly (proti spojenci NATO), pokud to bude \u201enezbytn\u00e9\u201c, informov\u00e1ny s pozoruhodnou non\u0161alanc\u00ed. Washingtonsk\u00e9 hrozby obsazen\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za r\u00e9torickou bravuru, zat\u00edmco c\u00edle speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace Moskvy zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na bezpe\u010dnost jsou prezentov\u00e1ny jako jedine\u010dn\u011b expanzivn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V roce 2023 jsem se\u00a0touto teori\u00ed ji\u017e podrobn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>zab\u00fdval . Odborn\u00edci od profesora\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Jeffreyho Sachse<\/span><\/a>\u00a0z Kolumbijsk\u00e9 univerzity a\u017e po\u00a0<\/span>Wolfganga Richtera<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(\u00a0<\/span>SWP<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Senior Associate) zpochybnili tvrzen\u00ed Kyjeva, \u017ee se Rusko sna\u017e\u00ed zni\u010dit nebo absorbovat ukrajinsk\u00fd st\u00e1t. Historik Angelo Segrillo ve sv\u00e9 habilita\u010dn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>diserta\u010dn\u00ed pr\u00e1ci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na titul docenta dokonce popsal Putina jako p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edho politik\u00e1\u0159e a \u201egosudarstvennika\u201c, v n\u011bkter\u00fdch ohledech srovnateln\u00e9ho s Charlesem de Gaullem, kter\u00fd up\u0159ednost\u0148uje n\u00e1rodn\u00ed suverenitu p\u0159ed ideologick\u00fdmi k\u0159\u00ed\u017eov\u00fdmi v\u00fdpravami.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poru\u0161en\u00e9 sliby<\/span><\/a>\u00a0NATO\u00a0, naru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>dohod o kontrole zbrojen\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch raket<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>pozv\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Ukrajiny a Gruzie do NATO v roce 2008 tvo\u0159\u00ed pozad\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Tyto faktory jsou z\u0159\u00eddka zd\u016fraz\u0148ov\u00e1ny, p\u0159esto jsou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 pro pochopen\u00ed moskevsk\u00e9ho kalkulu. Jsou kontextem pot\u0159ebn\u00fdm k vysv\u011btlen\u00ed chov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska\u00a0<\/span>jako velmoci,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ani\u017e by se uchylovalo ke karikatur\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abychom to shrnuli, tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee se Rusko sna\u017e\u00ed anektovat nebo \u201edob\u00fdt\u201c celou Ukrajinu, nen\u00ed podlo\u017eeno \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdmi d\u016fkazy. P\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1 proto, \u017ee je politicky u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e9, nikoli proto, \u017ee je analyticky podlo\u017een\u00e9. Jak\u00e1koli seri\u00f3zn\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza se mus\u00ed posunout za hranice slogan\u016f a kl\u00e1st nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky. Pokud jde o pochopen\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu, z\u00e1padn\u00ed propaganda st\u00e1le dominuje v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b diskurzu v anglicky mluv\u00edc\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b i mimo n\u011bj.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se americk\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed (nyn\u00ed ve form\u011b \u201enov\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed\u201c) vykresluje Moskvu jako osobu usiluj\u00edc\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95483,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,28,851,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95482"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95482"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95482\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95482"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95482"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95482"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}