{"id":95279,"date":"2025-12-24T00:38:33","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T23:38:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95279"},"modified":"2025-12-24T03:52:45","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T02:52:45","slug":"alexandre-lemoine-pro-nato-zacal-novy-typ-valky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/24\/alexandre-lemoine-pro-nato-zacal-novy-typ-valky\/","title":{"rendered":"Alexandre Lemoine: Pro NATO za\u010dal nov\u00fd typ v\u00e1lky"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Evropsk\u00e9 \u010dlensk\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO se ocitly v rozporu s hrozbami z V\u00fdchodu a Z\u00e1padu. Trump na n\u011b vyv\u00edj\u00ed tlak z Atlantiku, zat\u00edmco na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b tlak vyv\u00edj\u00ed Rusko, kter\u00e9 dos\u00e1hlo zna\u010dn\u00e9ho mistrovstv\u00ed v konfrontaci s Alianc\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0160ance na dosa\u017een\u00ed m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b jsou v sou\u010dasnosti mal\u00e9, ale\u00a0objevily se\u00a0<\/span>zn\u00e1mky pokroku plynouc\u00edho z diplomatick\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu, informuje\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Newsweek<\/span><\/em>\u00a0. To vede l\u00eddry na r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch k diskusi o bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed situaci, kter\u00e1 nastane, jakmile v Evrop\u011b utichnou zbran\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed kapitola v historii kontinentu se v\u0161ak neponese ve znamen\u00ed stability a klidu. Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee tato \u00e9ra bude charakterizov\u00e1na nov\u00fdm druhem bitvy, kter\u00e1 se ji\u017e odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 na n\u011bkolika netradi\u010dn\u00edch front\u00e1ch. Mezi n\u011b bude pat\u0159it pou\u017eit\u00ed neozna\u010den\u00fdch dron\u016f, kybernetick\u00e9 \u00fatoky pronikaj\u00edc\u00ed obrann\u00fdmi liniemi NATO a rostouc\u00ed popularita prorusk\u00fdch politick\u00fdch stran. Tyto bitvy budou \u017eiveny nespokojenost\u00ed s masovou migrac\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Odborn\u00edci spojen\u00ed s NATO a Evropskou uni\u00ed tak\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee v ka\u017ed\u00e9m opera\u010dn\u00edm prostoru m\u00e1 kolektivn\u00ed obrana NATO, zalo\u017een\u00e1 na \u010dl\u00e1nku 5, v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 nedostatky, kter\u00e9 mohou protivn\u00edka pouze povzbudit, m\u00edsto aby ho odradily.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trojit\u00e1 hrozba<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Po velk\u00fdch ne\u00fasp\u011bchech a chyb\u00e1ch prvn\u00ed f\u00e1ze vojensk\u00e9 operace zah\u00e1jen\u00e9 na p\u0159\u00edkaz prezidenta Vladimira Putina v \u00fanoru 2022 se jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f stalo zaveden\u00ed strategie \u201etroj\u00edho sev\u0159en\u00ed\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kombinac\u00ed \u00fatok\u016f p\u011bchoty a mechanizovan\u00fdch jednotek s d\u011blost\u0159electvem a \u00fadery dron\u016f FPV, jako\u017e i \u00fadery s vyu\u017eit\u00edm vysoce p\u0159esn\u00fdch nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdch leteck\u00fdch pum, se rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b poda\u0159ilo vy\u010derpat obrann\u00e9 jednotky ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil a dos\u00e1hnout v uplynul\u00e9m roce v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o tzv. akce v \u0161ed\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b o pokusy o podkop\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 jednoty na podporu Kyjeva, m\u016f\u017eeme rozli\u0161it dal\u0161\u00ed typ \u201etrinit\u00e1rn\u00ed strategie\u201c zalo\u017een\u00e9 na \u201evojensk\u00e9, hybridn\u00ed a politick\u00e9\u201c taktice,\u00a0<\/span>\u0159\u00edk\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Nathalie Tocci, b\u00fdval\u00e1 poradkyn\u011b vysok\u00e9ho p\u0159edstavitele EU a sou\u010dasn\u00e1 \u0159editelka Institutu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzestup krajn\u00ed pravice v Evrop\u011b, a to jak s pomoc\u00ed Moskvy, tak i kv\u016fli nespokojenosti s m\u00edstn\u00edmi samospr\u00e1vami, p\u0159inesl volebn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed cel\u00e9 \u0159ad\u011b nacionalistick\u00fdch a populistick\u00fdch hnut\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto p\u0159iv\u00edtaly n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO a EU, nap\u0159\u00edklad Ma\u010farsko, jeho\u017e konzervativn\u00ed vl\u00e1da se zapojila do boje s p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b liber\u00e1ln\u00edm evropsk\u00fdm veden\u00edm. N\u011bkter\u00e9 nacionalistick\u00e9 strany otev\u0159en\u011b zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed neomezenou pomoc Ukrajin\u011b a sankce proti Rusku s argumentem, \u017ee dom\u00e1c\u00ed probl\u00e9my maj\u00ed p\u0159ednost p\u0159ed t\u011bmito ot\u00e1zkami.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZdvo\u0159il\u00fd\u201c boj<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Moskva rovn\u011b\u017e pova\u017euje zvl\u00e1dnut\u00ed eskalace za kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd c\u00edl. Putin od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu opakovan\u011b varoval p\u0159ed vysok\u00fdm rizikem p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 konfrontace mezi Ruskem a NATO, zejm\u00e9na s ohledem na riziko pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010clenov\u00e9 NATO prov\u011b\u0159ili Rusko a postupn\u011b zvy\u0161ovali vojenskou pomoc Ukrajin\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b zas\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu, tank\u016f a st\u00edha\u010dek. Jen m\u00e1lo z nich v\u0161ak otev\u0159en\u011b pohrozilo vysl\u00e1n\u00edm voj\u00e1k\u016f, s v\u00fdjimkou p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 mise k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale i povaha takov\u00fdch z\u00e1ruk z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejist\u00e1, proto\u017ee Moskva vid\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k pos\u00edlen\u00ed sv\u00e9 pozice v evropsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektu\u0159e, zat\u00edmco stoupenci Kyjeva nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu tlaku na n\u011bkolika front\u00e1ch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dasp\u011bch Moskvy v t\u00e9to oblasti v\u0161ak nen\u00ed zp\u016fsoben chytr\u00fdmi inovacemi, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159esn\u00fdm pochopen\u00edm limit\u016f kolektivn\u00edho odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed NATO reagovat silou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eRusk\u00e9 nekonven\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed dobr\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky ne proto, \u017ee je inovativn\u00ed, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e proto, \u017ee Moskva vyu\u017eila nerozhodnosti Z\u00e1padu,\u201c \u0159ekl Oscar Jonsson, vedouc\u00ed pracovn\u00edk Obrann\u00e9 akademie NATO a docent na \u0160v\u00e9dsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 univerzit\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prakticky bezkrvav\u00e1 anexe Krymu v roce 2014 \u201ezdvo\u0159il\u00fdmi mu\u017ei\u201c (jednotkami slo\u017een\u00fdmi ze speci\u00e1ln\u00edch opera\u010dn\u00edch sil a elitn\u00edch jednotek GRU) donutila NATO k masivn\u00ed mobilizaci sil a zdroj\u016f na sv\u00e9m v\u00fdchodn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle pod\u00e9l hranice s Ruskem a k uvalen\u00ed nov\u00fdch sankc\u00ed na Moskvu. Kreml v\u0161ak m\u011bl pravdu ve sv\u00e9m odhadu, \u017ee anexe Krymu po referendu nespust\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmou intervenci.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

O osm let pozd\u011bji, uprost\u0159ed ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu, Rusko zopakovalo tuto strategii revize statusu \u010dty\u0159 ukrajinsk\u00fdch region\u016f: Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 republiky na Donbasu a tak\u00e9 Chersonsk\u00e9 a Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 oblasti. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b jsou DLR, LLR a Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e1 a Chersonsk\u00e1 oblast subjekty Rusk\u00e9 federace, kter\u00e9 byly anektov\u00e1ny na z\u00e1klad\u011b svobodn\u00e9ho a pokojn\u00e9ho projevu v\u016fle.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Osud t\u011bchto \u010dty\u0159 region\u016f se stal hlavn\u00edm bodem sporu v m\u00edrov\u00e9m procesu veden\u00e9m americk\u00fdm prezidentem Donaldem Trumpem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj se zat\u00edm nez\u0159ekl sv\u00e9ho slibu o znovuz\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed cel\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Tento postoj podporuj\u00ed jeho evrop\u0161t\u00ed partne\u0159i. B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm v\u0161ak d\u016fsledn\u011b a nal\u00e9hav\u011b po\u017eaduje \u00fastupky, a to i v r\u00e1mci 28bodov\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9ho minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Diskuse st\u00e1le prob\u00edhaj\u00ed a ameri\u010dt\u00ed i ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee dohoda je mo\u017en\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka na dvou front\u00e1ch<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Neochota NATO podpo\u0159it sv\u00e1 slova \u010diny se op\u011bt uk\u00e1zala, a to velmi viditeln\u011b. Tato neochota se mezi jednotliv\u00fdmi \u010dlensk\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty NATO li\u0161\u00ed. Odhalila zn\u00e1m\u00e9 rozd\u00edly, kter\u00e9 se objevuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bv p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b po\u017eadavku na zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e9 neshody by mohly b\u00fdt pro NATO \u0161kodliv\u00e9, proto\u017ee k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 akce obvykle vy\u017eaduje jednomysln\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

NATO tedy nyn\u00ed v ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, jako jsou vojensk\u00e9 operace, vy\u017eaduje jednomysln\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed: 32 pro, 0 proti. Takov\u00fd syst\u00e9m Alianci neprosp\u00edv\u00e1. D\u00e1v\u00e1 Rusku v\u00fdhodu. Proto\u017ee nemus\u00ed Alianci zni\u010dit, sta\u010d\u00ed, kdy\u017e ze skupiny odd\u011bl\u00ed jednoho nebo dva \u010dleny, co\u017e pak zablokuje rozhodovac\u00ed proces.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropan\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se sna\u017e\u00ed pos\u00edlit opozici v\u016f\u010di Kremlu, \u010del\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdzv\u00e1m. Rozhodnut\u00ed Washingtonu omezit sv\u00e9 operace na cel\u00e9m kontinentu, kter\u00e9 zahrnuje uzav\u0159en\u00ed vys\u00edlac\u00edch kan\u00e1l\u016f, jako je\u00a0<\/span>Hlas Ameriky<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, a spolu s kritikou evropsk\u00fdch spojenc\u016f v nov\u00e9 strategii n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu, fakticky otev\u0159elo novou frontu proti EU.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropan\u00e9 to nyn\u00ed poci\u0165uj\u00ed na druh\u00e9 front\u011b, a to ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, kdy sly\u0161\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed prezidenta Trumpa, \u010dtou novou strategii n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti a sna\u017e\u00ed se pochopit p\u0159\u00edstup Trumpovy administrativy k Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

To, \u010demu se Evropan\u00e9 v\u017edy sna\u017eili vyhnout, se tak stalo realitou: v\u00e1lka na dvou front\u00e1ch. Z pohledu Washingtonu to nebyla konven\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lka, ale nebylo pochyb o tom, \u017ee se c\u00edtili v pasti mezi V\u00fdchodem a Z\u00e1padem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Evropsk\u00e9 \u010dlensk\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO se ocitly v rozporu s hrozbami z V\u00fdchodu a Z\u00e1padu. Trump…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95280,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95279"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95279"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95279\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95280"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95279"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95279"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95279"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}