{"id":95225,"date":"2025-12-24T00:13:01","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T23:13:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95225"},"modified":"2025-12-23T11:08:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T10:08:21","slug":"jak-odolne-jsou-zeme-brics-uprostred-geopolitickych-otresu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/24\/jak-odolne-jsou-zeme-brics-uprostred-geopolitickych-otresu\/","title":{"rendered":"Jak odoln\u00e9 jsou zem\u011b BRICS uprost\u0159ed geopolitick\u00fdch ot\u0159es\u016f?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\" style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zem\u011b BRICS jsou obrovskou mocnost\u00ed, jej\u00ed\u017e \u010dlenov\u00e9, partne\u0159i a kandid\u00e1ti v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b proch\u00e1zej\u00ed t\u011b\u017ekou zkou\u0161kou. Dnes se d\u00edv\u00e1me do budoucnosti.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/article\/how-resilient-is-brics-in-the-storm-of-geopolitics-part-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">prvn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0t\u00e9to s\u00e9rie jsme se pod\u00edvali na fakta o zem\u00edch BRICS a d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 trendy, kter\u00e9 v sou\u010dasnosti pozorujeme.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Druh\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/article\/how-resilient-is-brics-in-the-storm-of-geopolitics-part-2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u010d\u00e1st<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0se zab\u00fdvala prost\u0159ed\u00edm, ve kter\u00e9m se mus\u00ed zem\u011b BRICS, jako nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed organizace glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu, rozv\u00edjet. Zhodnotili jsme obecn\u00e9 okolnosti souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s v\u00e1lkou, velk\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuje jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, a nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost geopolitick\u00e9 situace, co\u017e n\u00e1s vedlo k ozna\u010den\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situace za \u201ebou\u0159i\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V t\u00e9to t\u0159et\u00ed a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 \u010dtvrt\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti nejprve zd\u016frazn\u00edme agresivn\u00ed postoj USA v\u016f\u010di sv\u00fdm spojenc\u016fm. Pot\u00e9 pouk\u00e1\u017eeme na obt\u00ed\u017enou ekonomickou situaci v USA, kter\u00e1 se d\u00edky humbuku kolem um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence jev\u00ed lep\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e ve skute\u010dnosti je. Nakonec pop\u00ed\u0161eme snahy USA o udr\u017een\u00ed hegemonick\u00e9ho postaven\u00ed v r\u016fzn\u00fdch geografick\u00fdch oblastech.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Agrese nade v\u0161e \u2013 proti v\u0161em<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nemus\u00edte b\u00fdt g\u00e9nius, abyste pochopili, \u017ee p\u0159etahovan\u00e1 mezi Glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihem a Kolektivn\u00edm Z\u00e1padem je ji\u017e v pln\u00e9m proudu. N\u00ed\u017ee si to podrobn\u011bji vysv\u011btl\u00edme na konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edkladech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">&#8222;M\u00e1te-li Ameriku za p\u0159\u00edtele, nepot\u0159ebujete nep\u0159\u00e1tele.&#8220;<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Agresivn\u00ed postoj Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f se v\u0161ak neomezuje pouze na \u010dleny glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu nebo z\u00e1stupce BRICS, ale je nam\u00ed\u0159en proti komukoli, od koho lze n\u011bco z\u00edskat. To zahrnuje i zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 jsou \u201ep\u0159\u00e1teli\u201c Ameriky \u2013 jako je \u0160v\u00fdcarsko \u2013 nebo americk\u00e9 kolonie, jako je v\u011bt\u0161ina \u010dlen\u016f G7 a dal\u0161\u00ed. M\u00e9 my\u0161lenky o \u201eamerick\u00e9m koloni\u00e1ln\u00edm imp\u00e9riu\u201c naleznete v \u010dl\u00e1nku \u201eV\u00e1lka mezi dv\u011bma sv\u011bty za\u010dala \u2013 1. \u010d\u00e1st\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump\u016fv postoj k p\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm a spojenc\u016fm je tak agresivn\u00ed, \u017ee je \u010dlov\u011bk v poku\u0161en\u00ed \u0159\u00edct: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Kdo pot\u0159ebuje nep\u0159\u00e1tele s Amerikou jako p\u0159\u00edtelem<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0?\u201c Pro toto agresivn\u00ed chov\u00e1n\u00ed existuj\u00ed p\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fvody. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b si Trump stanovil c\u00edl reindustrializovat svou zemi. To se d\u011bje pot\u00e9, co bank\u00e9\u0159i z Wall Street, podporovan\u00ed prezidentem Clintonem a jeho n\u00e1stupci, z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b deindustrializovali zemi pouze proto, aby si v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu naplnili kapsy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato strategie m\u011bla tak\u00e9 vedlej\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinek v podob\u011b prohlouben\u00ed nerovnosti p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f mezi r\u016fzn\u00fdmi soci\u00e1ln\u00edmi t\u0159\u00eddami, co\u017e znamenalo, \u017ee z n\u00ed zna\u010dn\u011b profitovalo jen n\u011bkolik lid\u00ed, zat\u00edmco mnoho pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch d\u011bln\u00edk\u016f p\u0159i\u0161lo o pr\u00e1ci a zchudlo. Dal\u0161\u00edm d\u016fsledkem byla ztr\u00e1ta pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch znalost\u00ed v populaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump si uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee mus\u00ed jednat. Pochybuji v\u0161ak, \u017ee intelektu\u00e1ln\u011b ch\u00e1pe multipolaritu a v d\u016fsledku toho i koncept BRICS. Nem\u00e1 ani pon\u011bt\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zem\u011b pat\u0159\u00ed do BRICS. 21. ledna 2025 se novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f zeptal, zda je \u0160pan\u011blsko zem\u00ed BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nav\u00edc v lednu 2025 Trump st\u00e1le v\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee by mohl BRICS snadno srazit na kolena zaveden\u00edm cel a sankc\u00ed. BRICS tak\u00e9 vyhro\u017eoval, proto\u017ee nepou\u017e\u00edvala dolar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eBudeme po\u017eadovat od t\u011bchto zd\u00e1nliv\u011b nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed z\u00e1vazek, \u017ee nevytvo\u0159\u00ed novou m\u011bnu BRICS ani nepodpo\u0159\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou jinou m\u011bnu, kter\u00e1 by nahradila mocn\u00fd americk\u00fd dolar, jinak budou \u010delit 100% cl\u016fm.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prezident Trump, 30. ledna 2025<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Trump si uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee zem\u011b BRICS p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed hrozbu pro hegemonii americk\u00e9ho dolaru. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee za to, \u017ee se dolaru na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihu vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed, mohou samotn\u00e9 USA, proto\u017ee tato hegemonn\u00ed mocnost zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 svou vlastn\u00ed m\u011bnu, Ameri\u010dan\u016fm v jejich aroganci unik\u00e1, co\u017e situaci pro USA \u010din\u00ed o to nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. K tomuto chov\u00e1n\u00ed USA a jeho d\u016fsledk\u016fm jsme se vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili p\u0159i n\u011bkolika p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostech, mimo jin\u00e9 v \u010d\u00e1sti \u201eZneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho dolaru jako rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny vede k poklesu jeho pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c v na\u0161em \u010dl\u00e1nku \u201eJak by zem\u011b BRICS mohly p\u0159ekonat svou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdzvu \u2013 zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed plateb\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Minul\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed USA nenazna\u010duje, \u017ee si uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuje platebn\u00ed syst\u00e9m BRICS bez americk\u00e9ho dolaru. Pokud by si to uv\u011bdomovali, Trump by se sna\u017eil co nejv\u00edce zatraktivnit pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho dolaru pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih, ale ned\u011bl\u00e1 to.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jeho dosavadn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed jednodu\u0161e k generov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm cel a n\u00e1tlaku. N\u00e1tlaku, proto\u017ee nap\u0159\u00edklad v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b EU byly krom\u011b zaveden\u00ed 15% cel vynuceny biliony dolar\u016f na investice a n\u00e1kupy zbran\u00ed (viz nap\u0159\u00edklad Reuters). Tento p\u0159\u00edstup vypad\u00e1 jako typick\u00e1 americk\u00e1 \u201erychl\u00e1 oprava\u201c, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b k odvr\u00e1cen\u00ed \u00fapln\u00e9ho kolapsu feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/images\/free\/uploads\/Devote%20Fu%CC%88hrer.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"439\" height=\"497\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Fale\u0161n\u00e9, ale vtipn\u00e9 \u2013 AI m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i z\u00e1bavn\u00e1 \u2013 Pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 hlavy st\u00e1t\u016f a vl\u00e1d \u010dekaj\u00ed, a\u017e je Trump odvol\u00e1 \u2013 Zdroj: Lucifer<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nedostatek intelektu\u00e1ln\u00edho pochopen\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00fdch nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, kter\u00e1 p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed zem\u011b BRICS, je tak\u00e9 d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d Trump vn\u00edm\u00e1 \u010c\u00ednu jako hlavn\u00edho protivn\u00edka a ob\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee se \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed sesadit USA z tr\u016fnu jako dominantn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 mocnosti. Pro Trumpa, kter\u00fd d\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159ednost jednoduch\u00fdm paradigmat\u016fm, je to snaz\u0161\u00ed pochopit a vysv\u011btlit ne\u017e konstelaci BRICS, kterou americk\u00e1 populace ani nezn\u00e1, ani j\u00ed nerozum\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomick\u00e1 situace v USA<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud v\u011b\u0159\u00edme prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm, kter\u00e1 pronesl Jerome Powell, p\u0159edseda americk\u00e9ho Feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rezervn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu, na sv\u00e9 posledn\u00ed tiskov\u00e9 konferenci 29. \u0159\u00edjna, nen\u00ed d\u016fvod k obav\u00e1m \u2013 alespo\u0148 tak to zn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">&#8222;Ekonomika se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt solidn\u00ed a stabiln\u00ed a ve skute\u010dnosti se nezm\u011bnila.&#8220;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159epis tiskov\u00e9 konference p\u0159edsedy Fedu Powella ze dne 29. \u0159\u00edjna 2025<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">U\u017e samotn\u00e1 fr\u00e1ze \u201evypad\u00e1 to, \u017ee\u201c nazna\u010duje, \u017ee tato b\u00edlen\u00e1 om\u00edtka je postavena na p\u00edsku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo ne\u010derp\u00e1 informace ze zdroj\u016f sponzorovan\u00fdch bankami a jin\u00fdmi finan\u010dn\u00edmi organizacemi, jako je CNBC a dal\u0161\u00ed masm\u00e9dia vyd\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed se za \u201eexperty\u201c, ale m\u00edsto toho nahl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed do z\u00e1kulis\u00ed a ob\u010das nav\u0161t\u00edv\u00ed ZeroHedge, si je dob\u0159e v\u011bdom \u017ealostn\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho stavu USA, respektive kolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu. Tuto katastrofu a jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny z geopolitick\u00e9ho hlediska jsme popsali v na\u0161em \u010dl\u00e1nku \u201eV\u00e1lka mezi dv\u011bma sv\u011bty za\u010dala \u2013 1. \u010d\u00e1st\u201c. \u00da\u010delem na\u0161eho blogu nen\u00ed analyzovat ekonomick\u00e1 data; jin\u00ed to zvl\u00e1daj\u00ed l\u00e9pe. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b dnes chceme upozornit na jev charakteristick\u00fd pro na\u0161i dobu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">AI \u2013 matka v\u0161ech bublin?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ti, kdo vn\u00edmaj\u00ed americk\u00e9 akciov\u00e9 indexy jako ukazatel ekonomiky, st\u00e1le j\u00e1saj\u00ed, i kdy\u017e s men\u0161\u00edm nad\u0161en\u00edm ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve, proto\u017ee cenov\u00fd boom se st\u00e1le v\u00edce omezuje na st\u00e1le men\u0161\u00ed po\u010det akci\u00ed a um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence nen\u00ed jen spasitelem, ale mus\u00ed b\u00fdt spasitelem, aby udr\u017eela tanec kolem zlat\u00e9ho telete p\u0159i \u017eivot\u011b. Hnac\u00ed s\u00edly akciov\u00e9ho trhu \u2013 lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed vsadili sv\u00e9 kari\u00e9ry na tento humbuk \u2013 odm\u00edtaj\u00ed n\u00e1mitky, kter\u00e9 zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed, jak lze v\u016fbec z\u00edskat pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 masivn\u00ed investice, na nich\u017e jsou zalo\u017eeny oce\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed, a jak lze vytvo\u0159it obchodn\u00ed model, v n\u011bm\u017e by u\u017eivatel\u00e9 m\u011bli tyto obrovsk\u00e9 investice z\u00edskat zp\u011bt. V\u011bt\u0161ina u\u017eivatel\u016f za pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto um\u011bl\u00fdch mozk\u016f zaplat\u00ed p\u00e1r dolar\u016f \u2013 nic v\u00edc. Je tak\u00e9 pozoruhodn\u00e9, jak se gigantick\u00e9 investice ob\u00edhaj\u00ed v kruhu \u2013 ve stylu: Po\u0161lete mi 100 miliard v kategorii X a j\u00e1 v\u00e1m pen\u00edze po\u0161lu zp\u011bt v kategorii Y. Celkov\u00e1 investice pak \u010din\u00ed 200 miliard, ale nic nebylo investov\u00e1no. M\u00edsto mnoha: The New York Times.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/images\/free\/uploads\/Circle%20Jerk.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"464\" height=\"557\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho, kdo se chce zasm\u00e1t: Ronny Chieng zkoum\u00e1 sliby um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Ronny Chieng zkoum\u00e1 sliby um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence, nejdra\u017e\u0161\u00edho kruhov\u00e9ho blbce v\u0161ech dob | The Daily Show\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/RcPthlvzMY8?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V roce 2000 byly na burze NASDAQ k\u00f3tov\u00e1ny spole\u010dnosti, kter\u00e9 nem\u011bly nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho s internetem. Jednodu\u0161e si k n\u00e1zvu p\u0159idaly \u201e.com\u201c a ceny jejich akci\u00ed pak vzrostly o 500 %. N\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho se d\u011bje i nyn\u00ed. S takov\u00fdmi ocen\u011bn\u00edmi si m\u016f\u017eete b\u00fdt jisti, \u017ee v\u0161echny penzijn\u00ed fondy v z\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b investuj\u00ed do t\u00e9to bubliny, proto\u017ee velk\u00fd rozd\u00edl oproti bublin\u011b dot-com spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee tehdy to byli prim\u00e1rn\u011b vysoce vyd\u011bl\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed l\u00e9ka\u0159i a pr\u00e1vn\u00edci, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159i\u0161li o spoustu pen\u011bz, kdy\u017e bublina praskla. Dnes je t\u00edm posti\u017een ka\u017ed\u00fd d\u016fchodce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch novin Finanz &amp; Wirtschaft je sou\u010dasn\u00e1 bublina um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence (\u010derven\u00e1) t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dvakr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u2013 nebo sp\u00ed\u0161e dvakr\u00e1t hor\u0161\u00ed \u2013 ne\u017e bublina internetov\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed z roku 2000.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/images\/free\/uploads\/F&amp;W.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"522\" height=\"442\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/story.php?story_fbid=1436797851781326&amp;id=100063533755667\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Finance a ekonomika<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nikdo nev\u00ed, kdy tato bublina praskne, ale praskne a to povede k takov\u00fdm ot\u0159es\u016fm na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch, \u017ee geopolitick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny kolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu budou zpochybn\u011bny.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak \u0161patn\u011b je Trump informovan\u00fd?<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry si je Trump v\u011bdom katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed situace ve sv\u00e9 zemi a na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch kolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu, se op\u011bt zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 posoudit. S\u00e1m Trump \u2013 jako\u017eto realitn\u00ed magn\u00e1t \u2013 miluje p\u00e1kov\u00fd efekt \u00fav\u011br\u016f, kter\u00fd ho obohatil a opakovan\u011b zajistil, \u017ee nejen on osobn\u011b, ale jeho v\u011b\u0159itel\u00e9 museli odepsat miliardy. Trump proto miluje dluhy a n\u00edzk\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby. Dne 3. prosince 2025 New York Times napsal:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTrump dal jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee chce p\u0159edsedu Fedu, kter\u00fd podporuje v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby, co\u017e centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka pod Powellov\u00fdm veden\u00edm vzhledem k ekonomick\u00e9 situaci odm\u00edtla. Inflace se kv\u016fli Trumpov\u00fdm cl\u016fm op\u011bt zv\u00fd\u0161ila, zat\u00edmco trh pr\u00e1ce vykazuje zn\u00e1mky oslaben\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj: New York Times<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nen\u00ed si proto v\u011bdom toho, \u017ee ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby nejen\u017ee dlouhodob\u011b po\u0161kod\u00ed americk\u00fd dolar, ale \u017ee pro tuto m\u011bnu brzy nenajde \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 kupce. Tato situace by d\u00e1le pos\u00edlila v\u00fd\u0161e popsanou averzi glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu v\u016f\u010di americk\u00e9mu dolaru, jeliko\u017e americk\u00e9mu dolaru by se lid\u00e9 vyh\u00fdbali nejen z\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">geopolitick\u00fdch<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, ale i z \u010dist\u011b\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">ekonomick\u00fdch<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0d\u016fvod\u016f .<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jeden m\u016fj bl\u00edzk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edtel zn\u00e1 n\u011bkoho, kdo pravideln\u011b ve\u010de\u0159\u00ed s Donaldem Trumpem v klubu Mar-a-Lago Dinner Club. Tento upov\u00eddan\u00fd prezident na t\u011bchto soukrom\u00fdch setk\u00e1n\u00edch otev\u0159en\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed o mnoha t\u00e9matech. Nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 ekonomika je v trosk\u00e1ch a \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 utrp\u011bli katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty. Jsem tam a mohu na\u0161im \u010dten\u00e1\u0159\u016fm potvrdit, \u017ee ob\u011b tvrzen\u00ed jsou jednodu\u0161e nepravdiv\u00e1. Nejde o hodnocen\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky ani situace na front\u011b, ale tento p\u0159\u00edklad ukazuje, \u017ee prezident Trump je sv\u00fdmi poradci dezinformov\u00e1n. Zda je to \u00famysln\u00e9, nebo kv\u016fli neschopnosti jeho administrativy, nemohu posoudit, ale jeho mnoh\u00e1 neoptim\u00e1ln\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed v tomto roce jsou d\u00edky tomu srozumiteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a lze p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee prezident, kter\u00fd v\u011b\u0159\u00ed v zjednodu\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed my\u0161len\u00ed, vn\u00edm\u00e1 \u0161\u00edlen\u00fd r\u016fst n\u011bkter\u00fdch akci\u00ed spole\u010dnost\u00ed s um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed jako zn\u00e1mku zdrav\u00e9 a odoln\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak se Trump postav\u00ed v\u016f\u010di zem\u00edm BRICS?<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zjistili jsme, \u017ee Trump je ekonomicky extr\u00e9mn\u011b agresivn\u00ed a tak\u00e9 velmi bezohledn\u00fd v\u016f\u010di p\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm a spojenc\u016fm, aby dos\u00e1hl sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f. Jeho nejnal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd c\u00edl je snadno identifikovateln\u00fd: pen\u00edze. V kv\u011btnu jsme publikovali \u010dl\u00e1nek \u201eMar-a-Lago Will Fail \u2013 Without Credibility, Nothing Fungs Anymore\u201c. V n\u011bm jsme kriticky analyzovali Trumpovy ekonomick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny. Uk\u00e1zali jsme, \u017ee tyto pl\u00e1ny jsou \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b protich\u016fdn\u00e9 a nakonec sel\u017eou kv\u016fli nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed slabosti Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f: Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jsou naprosto nespolehliv\u00ed partne\u0159i a ct\u00ed dohody jen tehdy, dokud z nich maj\u00ed prosp\u011bch, ne\u017e je poru\u0161\u00ed z t\u011bch nejchab\u0161\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f. K t\u00e9to slabosti USA jsme se ji\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili, nap\u0159\u00edklad v \u010dervnu v knize \u201eDiplomacie na smrteln\u00e9 posteli\u201c, kde jsme citovali profesora Mearsheimera takto:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eKa\u017ed\u00e1 zem\u011b na t\u00e9to planet\u011b, kter\u00e1 d\u016fv\u011b\u0159uje Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm, je pozoruhodn\u011b hloup\u00e1.\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Profesor Mearsheimer<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">St\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e1 a dlouhodob\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u2013 oslaben\u00ed zem\u00ed BRICS<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aby USA dos\u00e1hly sv\u00fdch st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00fdch a dlouhodob\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, uchyluj\u00ed se k jin\u00fdm prost\u0159edk\u016fm. Jak jsme vysv\u011btlili v na\u0161\u00ed s\u00e9rii \u201eV\u00e1lka mezi dv\u011bma sv\u011bty ji\u017e za\u010dala\u201c, Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 konfrontaci s \u010c\u00ednou a Ruskem. Pokud jde o Rusko, domn\u00edv\u00e1me se, \u017ee konfrontace na Ukrajin\u011b je p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 \u2013 viz n\u00e1\u0161 koment\u00e1\u0159 v druh\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti t\u00e9to s\u00e9rie \u201eZa\u010dala ji\u017e t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka?\u201c. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 s t\u00edm v\u0161ak nesouhlas\u00ed a Rusov\u00e9 z diplomatick\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f Ameri\u010dan\u016fm dovoluj\u00ed, aby se domn\u00edvali jinak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA si mohou udr\u017eet sv\u016fj hegemonick\u00fd status pouze zni\u010den\u00edm organizace BRICS nebo jej\u00edm oslaben\u00edm do takov\u00e9 m\u00edry, \u017ee se stane t\u00edm, co Z\u00e1pad popisuje jako: ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd nebo trapn\u00fd pokus n\u011bkolika rozvojov\u00fdch zem\u00ed povzn\u00e9st se nad svou bezv\u00fdznamnost. Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem USA pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed proti \u010dlen\u016fm, partner\u016fm a kandid\u00e1t\u016fm BRICS v\u0161echny mysliteln\u00e9 prost\u0159edky. Dvo\u0159\u00ed se s nimi, aby je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dily k p\u0159echodu na jinou stranu (nap\u0159. Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie), nebo je oslabuj\u00ed \u010di ni\u010d\u00ed (nap\u0159. Venezuela).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00ed\u017ee uv\u00e1d\u00edme tlakov\u00e9 body, rozd\u011blen\u00e9 do geografick\u00fdch sp\u00e1dov\u00fdch oblast\u00ed, nad nimi\u017e kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad vykon\u00e1v\u00e1 nebo hodl\u00e1 vykon\u00e1v\u00e1t masivn\u00ed vliv.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sp\u00e1dov\u00e1 oblast: Z\u00e1padn\u00ed svah Ruska<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b se Z\u00e1pad kolektivn\u011b zab\u00fdv\u00e1 zapojen\u00edm Ruska do d\u011bn\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b v r\u00e1mci sv\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed sf\u00e9ry vlivu. Pokud jde o p\u016fvod tohoto procesu, odkazuji v\u00e1s na svou p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ku z 22. b\u0159ezna 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Projev Petera Hanselera na akci Input v Klotenu ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku 22. b\u0159ezna 2024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/OYEXt9PBA6Q?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1pad prov\u00e1d\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace ji\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dty\u0159i roky bez jak\u00e9hokoli \u00fasp\u011bchu. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty jsou obrovsk\u00e9 a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 rozhodnou o budouc\u00edch hranic\u00edch Ukrajiny. Je vysoce pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee Rusko dobyt\u00edm Od\u011bsy ud\u011bl\u00e1 Ukrajinu vnitrozemskou, \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b kv\u016fli prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm \u00fatok\u016fm na rusk\u00e9 lod\u011b v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b koordinovan\u00fdm z Lond\u00fdna. Argument profesora Mearsheimera na toto t\u00e9ma je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00fd (generovan\u00fd um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je tak\u00e9 z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee to jsou Evropan\u00e9, kdo torp\u00e9duje americk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed; d\u016fvody pro to jsou mnohostrann\u00e9:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9, v\u016fdci EU a v\u016fdci Koalice ochotn\u00fdch jednaj\u00ed jako minist\u0159i v\u00e1lky a chr\u00e1n\u00ed Evropu p\u0159ed zl\u00fdmi Rusy.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/images\/free\/uploads\/Koalitation%20der%20Willigen.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"609\" height=\"377\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Muppet Show pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed tisk \u2013 Coalition of the Willing, 10. kv\u011btna 2025<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jakmile \u201evypukne m\u00edr\u201c, tito politici ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed pr\u00e1vo na existenci, proto\u017ee se rychle uk\u00e1\u017ee, \u017ee v\u00fdzva k v\u00e1lce nebyla zinscenov\u00e1na na ochranu posti\u017een\u00fdch zem\u00ed nebo EU, ale na zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst t\u00e9to kasty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nav\u00edc se zd\u00e1, \u017ee to nebyli jen \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci v Kyjev\u011b, kdo si pom\u00e1hal s finan\u010dn\u00edmi prost\u0159edky z Washingtonu, EU a dal\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo uv\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 v souvislosti s korupc\u00ed, kolem 100 milion\u016f eur, je realisticky jen kapkou v mo\u0159i. Lze rozumn\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee zmizelo 40 % a\u017e 60 % v\u0161ech finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f. Mluv\u00edme tedy o celkov\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1stce a\u017e 100 miliard eur, kter\u00e9 byly ukradeny. Pro\u010d nap\u0159\u00edklad velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoci musela b\u00fdt vedena p\u0159es Estonsko, vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zky. M\u011bla v tom prsty i rozmazlen\u00e1 Kaja Kallasov\u00e1? Koneckonc\u016f m\u00e1 zku\u0161enosti s temn\u00fdmi skand\u00e1ly.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/images\/free\/uploads\/Kaja%20Kallas.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"613\" height=\"407\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">M\u00e1 zku\u0161enosti s bezohlednost\u00ed \u2013 Kaja Kallas<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Brzy budeme informovat o t\u011bchto nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edb\u011bz\u00edch, kter\u00e9 dosud nebyly prok\u00e1z\u00e1ny. Pokud Zelensk\u00e9ho moc p\u0159ejde k jin\u00fdm, \u0161ance, \u017ee tito mu\u017ei a \u017eeny v Evrop\u011b budou odsouzeni za korupci, se exponenci\u00e1ln\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed. Dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod, pro\u010d Evropan\u00e9 ve v\u00e1lce pokra\u010duj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Rumunsko\/Moldavsko\/Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Opakovan\u011b jsme upozor\u0148ovali na to, \u017ee Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed by mohlo b\u00fdt do tohoto konfliktu zata\u017eeno, co\u017e by p\u0159\u00edmo ovlivnilo Moldavsko i Rumunsko. V\u00edce o tom v na\u0161em \u010dl\u00e1nku \u201eMoldavsko \u2013 testovac\u00ed pole EU pro politick\u00e9 odvety proti nez\u00e1padn\u00edm sil\u00e1m\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad nedos\u00e1hl sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f v Rumunsku a Moldavsku vojensk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm nevl\u00e1dn\u00edch organizac\u00ed a do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00edch volebn\u00edch podvod\u016f. O tom jsme diskutovali v na\u0161em \u010dl\u00e1nku \u201eOhl\u00e9dnut\u00ed za parlamentn\u00edmi volbami v Moldavsku\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tak\u00e9 v Moldavsku a Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed Z\u00e1pad vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 konfrontace s Rusy a rusky mluv\u00edc\u00edmi ob\u010dany a jejich kulturou, aby vytvo\u0159il podm\u00ednky pro otev\u0159enou konfrontaci s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm c\u00edlem jsou pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. D\u00e9monizac\u00ed velk\u00fdch segment\u016f vlastn\u00ed populace \u2013 Rus\u016f \u2013 a up\u00edr\u00e1n\u00edm jejich legitimn\u00edch pr\u00e1v podle pr\u00e1va EU se sna\u017e\u00ed oslabit Rusko. Tito ob\u010dan\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed nejsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ni za ob\u010dany, jsou fakticky ozna\u010dov\u00e1ni za \u201eneob\u010dany\u201c, nemaj\u00ed pasy EU a jejich hlasovac\u00ed pr\u00e1vo a opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00ed kandidovat ve volb\u00e1ch jsou omezeny. Nav\u00edc jim je povoleno pou\u017e\u00edvat sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed jazyk jen ve velmi omezen\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e; existuje dokonce jazykov\u00e1 policie a rusky mluv\u00edc\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 jsou povinni absolvovat jazykov\u00e9 testy, jejich\u017e ne\u00fasp\u011bch m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k deportaci d\u016fchodc\u016f \u017eij\u00edc\u00edch v Loty\u0161sku. V d\u016fsledku toho bylo z t\u011bchto d\u016fvod\u016f vyho\u0161t\u011bno v\u00edce ne\u017e 800 d\u016fchodc\u016f s platn\u00fdmi povolen\u00edmi k pobytu \u017eij\u00edc\u00edch v Loty\u0161sku, jak d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u011b informoval zpravodajsk\u00fd port\u00e1l News.ru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Stejn\u00fdm sm\u011brem poukazuje i informace o tom, \u017ee Estonsko hodl\u00e1 zv\u00fd\u0161it pokuty za zneu\u017eit\u00ed jazyka \u2013 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b za pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed ru\u0161tiny \u2013 na 1 280 eur pro fyzick\u00e9 osoby a 10 000 eur pro pr\u00e1vnick\u00e9 osoby. V Estonsku m\u00e1 b\u00fdt nav\u00edc zak\u00e1z\u00e1no dabov\u00e1n\u00ed film\u016f do ru\u0161tiny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Estonsko je domovem p\u0159edn\u00ed politi\u010dky EU Kaje Kallasov\u00e9. Za norm\u00e1ln\u00edch okolnost\u00ed je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed diplomacie tak\u00e9 udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed a roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed kulturn\u00edch vztah\u016f a p\u0159edch\u00e1zen\u00ed diskriminaci. \u010cl\u00e1nek 21 Charty EU uv\u00e1d\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e1. Jak\u00e1koli diskriminace na z\u00e1klad\u011b pohlav\u00ed, rasy, barvy pleti, etnick\u00e9ho nebo soci\u00e1ln\u00edho p\u016fvodu, genetick\u00fdch vlastnost\u00ed, jazyka, n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed nebo p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, politick\u00fdch \u010di jin\u00fdch n\u00e1zor\u016f, p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nosti k n\u00e1rodnostn\u00ed men\u0161in\u011b, majetku, narozen\u00ed, posti\u017een\u00ed, v\u011bku nebo sexu\u00e1ln\u00ed orientace je zak\u00e1z\u00e1na.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010cl\u00e1nek 21 Listiny EU<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sly\u0161el jste v posledn\u00edch 30 letech n\u011bjakou kritiku zach\u00e1zen\u00ed pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f s rusky mluv\u00edc\u00edmi ob\u010dany? Toto poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u00e1v prob\u00edh\u00e1 tak dlouho. V tomto ohledu se pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty od re\u017eimu v Kyjev\u011b nijak neli\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ma\u010farsko\/Slovensko<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ma\u010farsko a Slovensko jsou jedin\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi EU, kter\u00e9 usiluj\u00ed o neagresivn\u00ed vztah s Ruskem. \u010c\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b je to zp\u016fsobeno jejich pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edmi \u00fazk\u00fdmi ekonomick\u00fdmi vazbami s Ruskem. Z\u00e1pad prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm nevl\u00e1dn\u00edch organizac\u00ed a p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho tlaku EU masivn\u011b zasahuje do vnit\u0159n\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed Ma\u010farska a Slovenska. Toto zasahov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00e1 za c\u00edl odstranit premi\u00e9ry Orb\u00e1na a Fica, v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby i fyzick\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Fica se to t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 poda\u0159ilo, kdy\u017e byl 15. kv\u011btna 2024 v Bansk\u00e9 Bystrici sp\u00e1ch\u00e1n pokus o atent\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Srbsko<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jako zem\u011b mimo EU, zcela obklopen\u00e1 \u010dlensk\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty NATO a jako vnitrozemsk\u00fd n\u00e1rod se tato tradi\u010dn\u011b prorusk\u00e1 enkl\u00e1va v\u00fdrazn\u011b stav\u00ed na stranu Ruska. Tlak s\u00edl\u00ed. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b se zem\u011b chce p\u0159ipojit k EU, na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b v\u0161ak v Srbsku existuje zna\u010dn\u00fd odpor. Nav\u00edc jedin\u00e1 srbsk\u00e1 rafinerie, jej\u00ed\u017e v\u011bt\u0161inovou v\u011bt\u0161inou vlastn\u00ed Lukoil, se stala ob\u011bt\u00ed nov\u00fdch americk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed. Srbsko dosud nena\u0161lo \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, tj. kupce pro akcie Lukoilu. Rusko pot\u00e9 dostalo m\u011bs\u00edc a p\u016fl na to, aby prodalo sv\u016fj pod\u00edl v Lukoilu, aby byly americk\u00e9 sankce zru\u0161eny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b tento probl\u00e9m povede k vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m energi\u00ed, co\u017e by mohlo zp\u016fsobit nepokoje. Zda se Z\u00e1padu poda\u0159\u00ed ze Srbska ud\u011blat nep\u0159\u00edtele Ruska, je nejist\u00e9 a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b z\u00e1vis\u00ed na tom, zda Vu\u010di\u0107 najde zp\u016fsob, jak obh\u00e1jit svou politiku a pevn\u011b se udr\u017eet u moci.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Povod\u00ed \u2013 Kavkaz<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n\/Arm\u00e9nie<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dva kavkazsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty usiluj\u00ed o u\u017e\u0161\u00ed vztahy se Z\u00e1padem ji\u017e n\u011bkolik let. D\u016fvody snahy \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu spo\u010d\u00edvaj\u00ed v jeho \u00fazk\u00e9m spojenectv\u00ed s Tureckem, kter\u00e9 zase velmi \u00fazce spolupracuje s Velkou Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed na Kavkaze. To se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v tom, \u017ee \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b pro sv\u016fj konflikt s Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed. Krom\u011b toho je zem\u011b prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Turecka nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm dodavatelem energie pro Izrael. Samotn\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 zdroje (plyn a ropa) jsou z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti pod britskou kontrolou (BP). To plat\u00ed i pro dal\u0161\u00ed nerostn\u00e9 zdroje (zlato, m\u011b\u010f atd.). \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n je tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm producentem ovoce a zeleniny. Rusko z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 hlavn\u00edm odb\u011bratelem t\u011bchto produkt\u016f. Obchodu s ovocem a zeleninou v Rusku dominuj\u00ed \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nci. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Rusko se pod\u00edl\u00ed na zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkci zem\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 50 procenty, mus\u00ed politick\u00e9 veden\u00ed tuto situaci zohlednit, zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee v tomto sektoru je zam\u011bstn\u00e1no v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 procent pracuj\u00edc\u00ed populace. Dal\u0161\u00edm faktorem, kter\u00fd je t\u0159eba zv\u00e1\u017eit, je velk\u00fd po\u010det \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fdch migrant\u016f v Rusku. Pro Rusko vypl\u0148uj\u00ed mezeru na trhu pr\u00e1ce, zat\u00edmco pro \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n jejich zna\u010dn\u00e9 remitence pln\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed pokladnu. Tyto p\u0159\u00edklady ilustruj\u00ed slo\u017eitost vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nelegitimn\u00ed p\u0159evzet\u00ed moci sou\u010dasn\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem Pa\u0161injanem urychlilo odklon Arm\u00e9nie od Ruska. Stejn\u011b jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu tento trend neodr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed n\u00e1zor v\u011bt\u0161iny obyvatelstva, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e z\u00e1jmy mal\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti politick\u00e9 t\u0159\u00eddy. Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm krokem v tomto sm\u011bru je ozn\u00e1men\u00ed Jerevanu p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny, \u017ee odstoup\u00ed z Organizace Smlouvy o kolektivn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti (CSTO) veden\u00e9 Ruskem, kter\u00e1 krom\u011b Ruska a Arm\u00e9nie zahrnuje tak\u00e9 B\u011blorusko, Kazachst\u00e1n, Kyrgyzst\u00e1n a T\u00e1d\u017eikist\u00e1n. Tento krok je tak\u00e9 logick\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem podpisu dohody s USA o regulaci situace na arm\u00e9nsko-\u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 hranici po ztr\u00e1t\u011b N\u00e1horn\u00edho Karabachu ve v\u00e1lce s \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem o tento region.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/images\/free\/uploads\/Karte%20Azarbeijan.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"646\" height=\"532\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hrani\u010dn\u00ed p\u00e1s mezi \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nskou enkl\u00e1vou Nachi\u010devan a pevninskou \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch bude od nyn\u011bj\u0161ka kontrolov\u00e1n soukromou americkou vojenskou spole\u010dnost\u00ed. Arm\u00e9nie samotn\u00e1 z toho prakticky \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd prosp\u011bch nez\u00edsk\u00e1. \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n z\u00edsk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstup ke sv\u00e9 enkl\u00e1v\u011b, a tedy i k Turecku a NATO, pod kontrolou USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po dobu 100 let budou USA dost\u00e1vat p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 75 procent v\u0161ech p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f z dopravy a kontroly nad kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm regionem na severn\u00ed hranici \u00cdr\u00e1nu. To, na \u010dem bylo tajn\u011b dohodnuto b\u011bhem \u00edr\u00e1nsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v \u010dervnu 2025 \u2013 spolu\u00fa\u010dast \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a Turecka na \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 tak dost\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1voj legality.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Kazachst\u00e1n<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kazachst\u00e1n je pro Rusko mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm partnerem a Rusko je mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm partnerem pro Kazachst\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/images\/free\/uploads\/Kazachstan.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"620\" height=\"387\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pozemn\u00ed hranice je obrovsk\u00e1 (7 644 km) a hustota obyvatelstva na obou stran\u00e1ch je n\u00edzk\u00e1. Proto je pro ob\u011b zem\u011b nezbytn\u00e9 udr\u017eovat dobr\u00e9 vztahy, proto\u017ee je nemo\u017en\u00e9 efektivn\u011b st\u0159e\u017eit tak dlouhou hranici. Oba st\u00e1ty pat\u0159\u00ed mezi sv\u011btov\u00e9 giganty v oblasti surovin. Nap\u0159\u00edklad kaza\u0161sk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost Kazatomprom produkuje 40 % sv\u011btov\u00e9 produkce uranu. Kazachst\u00e1n tak\u00e9 produkuje zemn\u00ed plyn, ropu, uhl\u00ed, \u017eeleznou rudu a dal\u0161\u00ed. Seznam je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 stejn\u011b dlouh\u00fd jako rusk\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z politick\u00e9ho hlediska Kazachst\u00e1n vyva\u017euje. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b je jako \u010dlen CSTO strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 zem\u011b, na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b jako \u010dlen Organizace turkick\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a jako turkicky mluv\u00edc\u00ed zem\u011b hraje v\u00fdznamnou roli i ve strategick\u00fdch \u00favah\u00e1ch Turecka. Krom\u011b Kazachst\u00e1nu a Turecka pat\u0159\u00ed do t\u00e9to organizace tak\u00e9 postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty Kyrgyzst\u00e1n, Uzbekist\u00e1n a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n. Ma\u010farsko a Turkmenist\u00e1n maj\u00ed status pozorovatele. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed experti doporu\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee organizace dos\u00e1hne sv\u00e9ho pln\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu a s\u00edly a\u017e s p\u0159istoupen\u00edm T\u00e1d\u017eikist\u00e1nu a Arm\u00e9nie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kaza\u0161sk\u00fd prezident Kasym Tokajev p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny podepsal ve Washingtonu memorandum o porozum\u011bn\u00ed o prohlouben\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce s USA, zejm\u00e9na v oblasti surovin, a na zp\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed cest\u011b se zastavil v Moskv\u011b, aby podepsal dohodu o strategick\u00e9m partnerstv\u00ed s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ekr\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed strategick\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f Z\u00e1padu na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b a Ruska a \u010c\u00edny na stran\u011b druh\u00e9, jako\u017e i zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f Turecka a \u0159ady dal\u0161\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f, je z\u0159ejm\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kazachst\u00e1n je dobr\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem toho, jak Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 \u2013 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm spole\u010dnost\u00ed jako Halliburton \u2013 hodlaj\u00ed (prozat\u00edm) uplat\u0148ovat m\u00edrov\u00fd vliv. Pokud se to nepoda\u0159\u00ed, co\u017e vzhledem k prorusk\u00fdm n\u00e1lad\u00e1m mezi obyvatelstvem o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me \u2013 Kazachov\u00e9 mluv\u00ed rusky bez p\u0159\u00edzvuku, proto\u017ee ru\u0161tina je tak\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edm jazykem \u2013 Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b uch\u00fdl\u00ed k agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm opat\u0159en\u00edm. D\u016fvod je jednoduch\u00fd: Kazachst\u00e1n pod americkou kontrolou by byl pro USA snem a pro Rusy no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016frou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Autor Peter Hanseler \/ Ren\u00e9 Zittlau<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/article\/how-resilient-is-brics-in-the-storm-of-geopolitics-part-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zem\u011b BRICS jsou obrovskou mocnost\u00ed, jej\u00ed\u017e \u010dlenov\u00e9, partne\u0159i a kandid\u00e1ti v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b proch\u00e1zej\u00ed t\u011b\u017ekou&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95226,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1161,2181],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95225"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95225"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95225\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95226"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}