{"id":95167,"date":"2025-12-23T00:12:21","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T23:12:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=95167"},"modified":"2025-12-22T15:15:18","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T14:15:18","slug":"andrew-korybko-nova-politika-eu-vuci-zabavenemu-majetku-ruska-nema-za-cil-pomoci-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/23\/andrew-korybko-nova-politika-eu-vuci-zabavenemu-majetku-ruska-nema-za-cil-pomoci-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Nov\u00e1 politika EU v\u016f\u010di zabaven\u00e9mu majetku Ruska nem\u00e1 za c\u00edl pomoci Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem by mohlo b\u00fdt zabr\u00e1nit USA v dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody s Ruskem podle bodu 14 jejich unikl\u00e9ho 28bodov\u00e9ho m\u00edrov\u00e9ho r\u00e1mce o investov\u00e1n\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1stky aktiv (tehdy b\u00fdval\u00e9ho) protivn\u00edka zabaven\u00fdch EU do spole\u010dn\u00fdch projekt\u016f, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v oblasti energetiky a vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin, po skon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/629429-russia-slams-asset-freeze\/\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">odsoudilo\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed EU o neur\u010dit\u00e9 imobilizaci\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/629384-euroclear-moscow-sue-bank\/\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zabaven\u00e9ho majetku\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/629387-eu-votes-russian-assets-indefinite-seizure\/\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed postup\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">skand\u00e1ln\u011b obch\u00e1zel pr\u00e1vo veta \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f ve snaze zabr\u00e1nit Ma\u010farsku a Slovensku v jeho zastaven\u00ed. Tento krok by mohl p\u0159edch\u00e1zet tomu, aby blok bu\u010f zabavil \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f a poskytl je Ukrajin\u011b, nebo je pou\u017eil jako z\u00e1stavu za p\u016fj\u010dku t\u00e9to zemi. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00fa\u010delem by bylo financov\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1kup\u016f zbran\u00ed a\/nebo pomoc s postkonfliktn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/heres-what-i-learned-from-analyzing-the-new-cold-war-every-day-for-three-years-straight\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">rekonstrukc\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prvn\u00ed c\u00edl nepovede k tomu, \u017ee by Ukrajina zp\u016fsobila Rusku tou\u017eebnou strategickou por\u00e1\u017eku, zat\u00edmco druh\u00fd k dosa\u017een\u00ed vy\u017eaduje mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e jen zabaven\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho majetku. Bez ohledu na ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fa\u010del by konfiskace rusk\u00e9ho majetku nebo jeho pou\u017eit\u00ed jako z\u00e1stavy za p\u016fj\u010dku Ukrajin\u011b zp\u016fsobila nenapravitelnou \u0161kodu finan\u010dn\u00ed pov\u011bsti EU. Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed investo\u0159i by se mohli vyd\u011bsit a ob\u00e1vat se, \u017ee jejich aktiva ji\u017e nejsou v bezpe\u010d\u00ed, a mohli by je proto st\u00e1hnout z bank EU a v budoucnu tam ji\u017e aktiva neukl\u00e1dat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Blok by tak mohl nakonec ztratit stovky miliard dolar\u016f, \u010dasem mo\u017en\u00e1 i v\u00edce ne\u017e bilion dolar\u016f, a to v\u0161e zd\u00e1nliv\u011b kv\u016fli Ukrajin\u011b, p\u0159esto\u017ee je pro tuto zemi nemo\u017en\u00e9 strategicky porazit Rusko nebo b\u00fdt kompletn\u011b obnovena z ukraden\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f sv\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00edtele. Existuj\u00ed tedy d\u016fvodn\u00e9 podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee EU m\u00e1 postrann\u00ed \u00famysly, kdy\u017e o tom v\u00e1\u017en\u011b uva\u017euje, a \u017ee jej\u00ed nov\u00e1 politika v\u016f\u010di zabaven\u00e9mu majetku Ruska nem\u00e1 za c\u00edl pomoci Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem by mohlo b\u00fdt zabr\u00e1nit USA v dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody s Ruskem\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/analyzing-all-28-points-of-the-leaked#:~:text=14.%20Frozen%20funds,return%20to%20conflict.\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">podle bodu 14\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">unikl\u00e9ho 28bodov\u00e9ho r\u00e1mce rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody o investov\u00e1n\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1stky aktiv (tehdy b\u00fdval\u00e9ho) protivn\u00edka zabaven\u00fdch EU do spole\u010dn\u00fdch projekt\u016f, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v oblasti energetiky a vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin, po skon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Takov\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed by mohlo nasm\u011brovat tyto dva st\u00e1ty na cestu k revoluci v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 architektu\u0159e, jak je vysv\u011btleno\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-russian-us-new-detente-could\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zde,\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">a n\u00e1sledn\u011b urychlit rostouc\u00ed bezv\u00fdznamnost EU v n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aby se EU tomuto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i vyhnula, mohla se rozhodnout na dobu neur\u010ditou znehybnit zabaven\u00fd majetek Ruska jako prvn\u00ed krok k \u201eleg\u00e1ln\u00edmu\u201c prosazen\u00ed kvazi-vlastnictv\u00ed nad n\u00edm, na\u010de\u017e by jej mohla bu\u010f zabavit, nebo pou\u017e\u00edt jako z\u00e1stavu pro p\u016fj\u010dku Ukrajin\u011b. Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed postup, kter\u00fd byl pou\u017eit k obch\u00e1zen\u00ed pr\u00e1va veta \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, nev\u011bst\u00ed nic dobr\u00e9ho pro Ma\u010farsko, Slovensko a dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 by mohly vetovat v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 kroky, je\u017e by mohly brzy n\u00e1sledovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9mu spiknut\u00ed by mohlo p\u0159edej\u00edt Rusko p\u0159eveden\u00edm pr\u00e1vn\u00edho vlastnictv\u00ed aktiv zabaven\u00fdch EU na USA, jak bylo navr\u017eeno\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/heres-how-gas-pipelines-and-seized\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">v dubnu, ale to je mo\u017en\u00e9 pouze tehdy, pokud Rusko a USA dos\u00e1hnou dohody o vyu\u017eit\u00ed t\u011bchto prost\u0159edk\u016f k financov\u00e1n\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00fdch projekt\u016f, co\u017e vy\u017eaduje pevnou d\u016fv\u011bru, kter\u00e1 dosud neexistuje. Hmatateln\u00fd pokrok v dosa\u017een\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/what-could-the-contours-of-a-nato\" rel=\"\">paktu o ne\u00fato\u010den\u00ed\u00a0<\/a><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/whats-the-likelihood-of-a-nato-russian\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">mezi NATO a Ruskem\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, nebo alespo\u0148\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/how-can-the-us-manage-turkish-russian\" rel=\"\">americk\u00e9 \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed turecko-rusk\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii\u00a0<\/a>, by k tomu mohl v\u00e9st a t\u00edm zajistit, \u017ee tyto prost\u0159edky nebudou v\u0161echny ukradeny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud USA z\u00edskaj\u00ed leg\u00e1ln\u00ed vlastnictv\u00ed zabaven\u00e9ho majetku Ruska, Trump by m\u011bl z\u00e1minku po\u017eadovat jeho p\u0159evod do USA pod trestem sankc\u00ed, co\u017e je jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak zaru\u010dit, \u017ee nebude p\u0159ed\u00e1n Ukrajin\u011b nebo \u017ee z\u016fstane natrvalo znehybn\u011bn. EU se proto mus\u00ed rozhodnout, zda se vyplat\u00ed vynalo\u017eit obrovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na zni\u010den\u00ed sv\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed reputace jen proto, aby zabr\u00e1nila rusko-americk\u00e9mu sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed, ale pokud v tom projde, pak by se proti tomu oba mohli pozd\u011bji spojit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-eus-new-policy-towards-russias?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=835783&amp;post_id=181856481&amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;isFreemail=false&amp;r=pf6gr&amp;triedRedirect=true&amp;utm_medium=email\">Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-22017\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"172\" height=\"172\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 172px) 100vw, 172px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem by mohlo b\u00fdt zabr\u00e1nit USA v dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody s Ruskem podle bodu 14&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95168,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,327,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95167"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95167"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95167\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}