{"id":94406,"date":"2025-12-12T00:20:10","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T23:20:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=94406"},"modified":"2025-12-11T11:22:30","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T10:22:30","slug":"verite-na-nahody-byla-cia-zapojena-do-operace-pavucina-a-izraelskeho-utoku-na-iran-12-cervna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/12\/verite-na-nahody-byla-cia-zapojena-do-operace-pavucina-a-izraelskeho-utoku-na-iran-12-cervna\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u011b\u0159\u00edte na n\u00e1hody\u2026 Byla CIA zapojena do operace Pavu\u010dina a izraelsk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n 12. \u010dervna?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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P\u0159i zp\u011btn\u00e9m pohledu jsme v\u0161ichni g\u00e9niov\u00e9. \u010cl\u00e1nek v den\u00edku Wall Street Journal s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Inside Ukraine\u2019s Daring Operation Spiderweb Attack on Russia<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c (publikovan\u00fd 8. prosince 2025) popisuje pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed operace jako 18m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed \u00fakol, kter\u00fd za\u010dal koncem roku 2023 a v roce 2024 se v\u00fdrazn\u011b vyost\u0159il.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010cl\u00e1nek sice zd\u016fraz\u0148uje utajen\u00ed cel\u00e9ho \u010dasov\u00e9ho harmonogramu a dohled prezidenta Zelensk\u00e9ho a \u0161\u00e9fa SBU Vasyla Maliuka, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 zd\u016fraz\u0148uje rok 2024 jako kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd pro infiltraci, testov\u00e1n\u00ed a logistickou p\u0159\u00edpravu. V\u00edce m\u011b zaj\u00edm\u00e1 to, co nen\u00ed v\u00fdslovn\u011b zm\u00edn\u011bno \u2013 toti\u017e \u017ee Ukrajina se p\u0159i pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to operace do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry spol\u00e9hala na z\u00e1padn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b na CIA a britskou MI6.<\/span><\/p>\n

K \u00fatoku do\u0161lo 1. \u010dervna 2025 a navzdory z\u00e1plav\u011b z\u00e1padn\u00ed propagandy, kter\u00e1 jej oslavovala jako velk\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch, se jednalo o taktick\u00e9 a strategick\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee neohrozilo schopnost Ruska pokra\u010dovat v ofenz\u00edv\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b. Ale tady je ot\u00e1zka n\u00e1hody\u2026 O dva t\u00fddny pozd\u011bji Izrael zah\u00e1jil \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00e9mu se tak\u00e9 nepoda\u0159ilo svrhnout \u00edr\u00e1nskou vl\u00e1du a oslabit \u00edr\u00e1nskou arm\u00e1du, kter\u00e1 okam\u017eit\u011b reagovala odvetn\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi. V\u011b\u0159\u00edte, \u017ee je pouh\u00e1 n\u00e1hoda, \u017ee Izrael a Ukrajina pou\u017eily podobnou taktiku \u2013 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b vypou\u0161t\u011bly drony z Ruska a \u00cdr\u00e1nu k \u00fatoku na strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle? Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee ne.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poj\u010fme se pod\u00edvat na \u010dasovou osu operace Pavu\u010dina, jak je uvedena v \u010dl\u00e1nku WSJ.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prosinec 2023:<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 pod p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm dohledem ukrajinsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho a Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017eby Ukrajiny (SBU). Po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed: pa\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed rozebran\u00fdch dron\u016f, bateri\u00ed a v\u00fdbu\u0161nin do Ruska p\u0159es hranice (nap\u0159. B\u011blorusko, trasy p\u0159es \u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e) a s\u00edt\u011b komer\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1kladn\u00ed dopravy. C\u00edl: zam\u011b\u0159it se na ruskou flotilu strategick\u00fdch bombard\u00e9r\u016f, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo raketov\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm na ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta. Hmmm\u2026 Pokud byla zapojena SBU, pak byly zapojeny i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tek roku 2024 (leden\u2013b\u0159ezen):<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed pr\u016fzkum a testov\u00e1n\u00ed prototyp\u016f. Podle WSJ provedli ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed agenti pr\u016fzkum c\u00edlov\u00fdch leti\u0161\u0165 (nap\u0159. Olenja, Djagilevo) s vyu\u017eit\u00edm komer\u010dn\u00edch satelitn\u00edch sn\u00edmk\u016f a infiltrovan\u00fdch pozorovatel\u016f. Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru by takov\u00e1 odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 operace vy\u017eadovala i sn\u00edmky od z\u00e1padn\u00edch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. WSJ k tomuto bodu ml\u010d\u00ed. \u010cl\u00e1nek zmi\u0148uje, \u017ee ran\u00e9 experimenty s mechanismy pro odpalov\u00e1n\u00ed \u201epavou\u010d\u00edho hn\u00edzda\u201c \u2013 rozebran\u00e9 drony FPV (kvadrokopt\u00e9ry Osa) ukryt\u00e9 ve st\u0159ech\u00e1ch n\u00e1kladn\u00edch automobil\u016f \u2013 byly testov\u00e1ny v simulovan\u00e9m rusk\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e hranic. \u00dadajn\u011b se do t\u00e9to f\u00e1ze zapojilo asi 20 komand, kter\u00e1 optimalizovala pa\u0161er\u00e1ck\u00e9 trasy p\u0159es B\u011blorusko a \u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e poruchy (nap\u0159. nefunk\u010dn\u00ed testovac\u00ed dron) vedly k p\u0159epracov\u00e1n\u00ed konstrukce. \u010cl\u00e1nek WSJ pohodln\u011b ignoruje pravd\u011bpodobnou roli, kterou jako infiltra\u010dn\u00ed body pro tuto operaci sehr\u00e1la i jin\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed ne\u017e Ukrajina, jako je Kazachst\u00e1n, Arm\u00e9nie a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Polovina roku 2024 (duben\u2013\u010dervenec):<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed infiltrace. WSJ popisuje expanzi \u201es\u00ed\u0165ov\u00fdch\u201c s\u00edt\u00ed, kdy agenti infiltruj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 spedi\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti za \u00fa\u010delem mapov\u00e1n\u00ed logistiky. B\u011bhem tohoto obdob\u00ed bylo propa\u0161ov\u00e1no p\u0159es 100 dron\u016f v rozebran\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech a znovu smontov\u00e1no ve skryt\u00fdch d\u00edln\u00e1ch (nap\u0159. k\u016flny v Brjansk\u00e9 oblasti). Kl\u00ed\u010dovou aktivitou byl n\u00e1bor nic netu\u0161\u00edc\u00edch rusk\u00fdch \u0159idi\u010d\u016f kamion\u016f (nap\u0159. prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u00faplatk\u016f nebo n\u00e1tlaku) pro p\u0159epravu. \u010cl\u00e1nek cituje zachycen\u00e9 rozhovory FSB, kter\u00e9 odhaluj\u00ed ran\u00e1 podez\u0159en\u00ed, ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 naru\u0161en\u00ed. Zelenskyj schv\u00e1lil realokace rozpo\u010dtu (~50 milion\u016f dolar\u016f) na integraci z\u00e1padn\u00edch technologi\u00ed (nap\u0159. rel\u00e9 Starlink). Jak pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 pova\u017eujete za, \u017ee \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto pen\u011bz Zelenskyj a jeho kolegov\u00e9 ze zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb od\u010derpali a p\u0159evedli na sv\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed penzijn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dty?<\/span><\/p>\n

Konec roku 2024 (srpen\u2013prosinec):<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 zkou\u0161ky a rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed. Intenzivn\u00ed n\u00e1cvik simuloval \u00fatok z 1. \u010dervna se zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm na simult\u00e1nn\u00ed odp\u00e1len\u00ed letadel v r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u010dasov\u00fdch p\u00e1smech. \u010cl\u00e1nek zd\u016fraz\u0148uje \u201egener\u00e1lku\u201c v prosinci 2024 pobl\u00ed\u017e Ivanova, kde byla ov\u011b\u0159ena protiopat\u0159en\u00ed proti ru\u0161en\u00ed sign\u00e1lu (autopiloti s um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed). Do konce roku bylo v\u0161ech 117 dron\u016f p\u0159edem um\u00edst\u011bno a agenti z\u0159\u00eddili bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fakryty. \u010cl\u00e1nek cituje anonymn\u00edho \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edka SBU: \u201eRok 2024 byl rokem, kdy pavouk utkal svou s\u00ed\u0165 \u2013 ti\u0161e, trp\u011bliv\u011b, neviditeln\u011b.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

F\u00e1ze infiltrace leden\u2013kv\u011bten 2025:<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed agenti (p\u0159es 150 pracovn\u00edk\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b komand a technik\u016f dron\u016f) z\u0159izuj\u00ed \u201epavou\u010d\u00ed hn\u00edzda\u201c (skryt\u00e9 odpalovac\u00ed rampy) v p\u011bti rusk\u00fdch oblastech ve t\u0159ech \u010dasov\u00fdch p\u00e1smech. Drony (celkem 117 model\u016f FPV vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00ed technologie, jako je Starlink) jsou znovu sestaveny v maskovan\u00fdch p\u0159epravn\u00edch kontejnerech (nap\u0159. d\u0159ev\u011bn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edst\u0159e\u0161c\u00edch na n\u00e1kladn\u00edch automobilech). Pr\u016fzkum identifikuje \u010dty\u0159i hlavn\u00ed leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny: Olenja (Murmansk), Djagilevo (Rjaza\u0148), Ivanovo Severnyj (Ivanovo) a B\u011bl\u00e1ja (Irkutsk\/Sibi\u0159, 4 300 km od Ukrajiny). P\u00e1t\u00fd c\u00edl (Ukrainka na Amuru) je opu\u0161t\u011bn kv\u016fli po\u017e\u00e1ru n\u00e1kladn\u00edho automobilu.<\/span><\/p>\n

1. \u010dervna 2025. Proveden\u00ed:<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Koordinovan\u00e9 \u00fatoky prob\u00edhaj\u00ed po dobu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 72 hodin, po\u010d\u00ednaje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 13:00 m\u00edstn\u00edho \u010dasu. D\u00e1lkov\u011b ovl\u00e1dan\u00e9 st\u0159echy n\u00e1kladn\u00edch vozidel vypou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed drony, kter\u00e9 zasahuj\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 40\u201350 letadel (15\u201320 zni\u010deno, v\u010detn\u011b bombard\u00e9r\u016f Tu-95MS a Tu-22M3 a radarov\u00fdch letoun\u016f A-50; \u0161kody p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 2\u20137 miliard dolar\u016f). Na v\u0161ech m\u00edstech jsou hl\u00e1\u0161eny po\u017e\u00e1ry; Rusko \u00fatoky potvrzuje, ale hl\u00e1s\u00ed pouze minim\u00e1ln\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed oper\u00e1to\u0159i kontroluj\u00ed situaci z Kyjeva; \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 ob\u011bti ze strany SBU, ale dva t\u00fdmy jsou zajaty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je nepopirateln\u00e9, \u017ee se jednalo o sofistikovanou operaci, kter\u00e1 se podle m\u00e9ho odhadu siln\u011b spol\u00e9hala na podporu zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb v USA, Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii a mo\u017en\u00e1 i Izraeli. Pro\u010d Izrael? Kv\u016fli podobnosti taktiky pou\u017eit\u00e9 p\u0159i \u00fatoc\u00edch na Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n b\u011bhem dvou t\u00fddn\u016f. Ob\u011b byly rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdmi operacemi zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdmi na vysoce hodnotn\u00e9, opevn\u011bn\u00e9 c\u00edle daleko od frontov\u00e9 linie. Ob\u011b vy\u017eadovaly rozs\u00e1hlou zpravodajskou podporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u00e9 se domn\u00edv\u00e1m, \u017ee USA sehr\u00e1ly kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli v koordinaci obou \u00fatok\u016f v r\u00e1mci \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed strategie oslaben\u00ed Ruska a \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto operac\u00ed prob\u00edhalo odd\u011blen\u00fdmi kan\u00e1ly, ale existoval n\u011bkdo nebo skupina lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed dohl\u00ed\u017eeli na celkov\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Publikace tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v dob\u011b, kdy podpora Ukrajiny ze strany Trumpovy administrativy sl\u00e1bne. Nevylu\u010duji mo\u017enost, \u017ee CIA, kter\u00e1 na Ukrajin\u011b zna\u010dn\u011b investovala, se sna\u017e\u00ed podkopat Trumpovo \u00fasil\u00ed o dosa\u017een\u00ed m\u00edru, kter\u00fd by \u0161el na \u00fakor Ukrajiny. Nev\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee si n\u011bjak\u00fd neboj\u00e1cn\u00fd report\u00e9r myslel, \u017ee je to skv\u011bl\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh, a \u017ee byl zve\u0159ejn\u011bn nyn\u00ed jen proto, \u017ee WSJ nem\u011bl nic lep\u0161\u00edho k naps\u00e1n\u00ed. V\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee je to sou\u010d\u00e1st ne\u00fanavn\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed Hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu o\u017eivit projekt Ukrajina, kter\u00fd je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b v kritick\u00e9m stavu a rychle ztr\u00e1c\u00ed na relevanci, \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm narativu, \u017ee Ukrajina je daleko od por\u00e1\u017eky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Larry C. Johnson<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0159i zp\u011btn\u00e9m pohledu jsme v\u0161ichni g\u00e9niov\u00e9. \u010cl\u00e1nek v den\u00edku Wall Street Journal s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0Inside…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":94407,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[109,38,10243,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94406"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94406"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94406\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/94407"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}