{"id":94274,"date":"2025-12-10T05:48:21","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T04:48:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=94274"},"modified":"2025-12-10T05:48:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T04:48:21","slug":"alastair-crooke-nalakat-a-podrazit-druhy-krok-vitr-v-moskve","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/10\/alastair-crooke-nalakat-a-podrazit-druhy-krok-vitr-v-moskve\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: Nal\u00e1kat a podrazit, druh\u00fd krok. V\u00edtr v Moskv\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

2. prosince se p\u0159\u00edtel prezidenta Trumpa Steve Witkoff a Trump\u016fv ze\u0165 Jared Kushner setkali s prezidentem Putinem v Kremlu v Moskv\u011b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jurij U\u0161akov, prezidentsk\u00fd poradce, a Kirill Dmitrijevse setk\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00fa\u010dastnili za ruskou stranu. Jednalo se o \u0161est\u00e9 setk\u00e1n\u00ed Witkoffa a Putina v roce 2025 a prvn\u00ed osobn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast Kushnera na t\u011bchto jedn\u00e1n\u00edch.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm bodem programu bylo \u00fadajn\u011b \u201eaktualizace<\/i>\u201c \u201ediskusn\u00edch bod\u016f<\/i>\u201c Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f \u2013 program, kter\u00fd \u00fadajn\u011b zahrnoval dal\u0161\u00ed (nespecifikovan\u00e9) p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky Ukrajinc\u016f a Evropan\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Navzdory p\u0159epracov\u00e1n\u00ed odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed body k diskusi americk\u00fd program, kter\u00fd se v podstat\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nezm\u011bnil oproti\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edm bod\u016fm<\/a>\u00a0k diskusi Witkoffa. Op\u011bt je nap\u0159\u00edklad zalo\u017een na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed (nikoli na \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 dohod\u011b, jak po\u017eaduje Rusko) a na de facto uzn\u00e1n\u00ed hranic (sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e de jure uzn\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dty\u0159 oblast\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou nyn\u00ed \u00fastavn\u011b za\u010dlen\u011bny do Ruska).<\/p>\n

Z\u0159ejm\u011b se tak\u00e9 diskutovalo o n\u011bkter\u00fdch mo\u017en\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fastupc\u00edch v oblasti Donbasu, jako\u017e i o bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk\u00e1ch pro Ukrajinu, kter\u00e9 by byly koordinov\u00e1ny s evropsk\u00fdmi spojenci; a kone\u010dn\u011b \u201eomezen\u00ed<\/i>\u201c vojensk\u00fdch kapacit Ukrajiny (sm\u011b\u0161n\u011b \u201eomezen\u00fdch<\/i>\u201c na 800 000 mu\u017e\u016f \u2013 nam\u00edsto 50 000 a\u017e 60 000 mu\u017e\u016f podle istanbulsk\u00e9 smlouvy z roku 2022).<\/p>\n

Putin \u00fadajn\u011b souhlasil, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 prvky n\u00e1vrhu si zaslou\u017e\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed diskusi, ale zopakoval, \u017ee Rusko nen\u00ed ochotno ustoupit ze sv\u00fdch pozic.<\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee, jak prohl\u00e1sil Marco Rubio, \u201e[Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty] nad\u00e1le testuj\u00ed, zda jsou Rusov\u00e9 ‚zainteresov\u00e1ni m\u00edrem‘. Jejich \u010diny \u2013 ne slova, ale \u010diny \u2013 ur\u010d\u00ed, zda to mysl\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, a my [Trump\u016fv t\u00fdm] to hodl\u00e1me zjistit co nejd\u0159\u00edve…<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti byl Witkoff vysl\u00e1n do Moskvy, aby \u201eje\u0161t\u011b jednou otestoval<\/i>\u201c (po dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci ze strany USA, kdy byly \u010dty\u0159i rakety ATACM dlouh\u00e9ho doletu vyst\u0159eleny \u201ehluboko do Ruska<\/i>\u201c a byly uvaleny nov\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 sankce), zda je Putin nyn\u00ed p\u0159ipraven uzav\u0159\u00edt \u201edohodu<\/i>\u201c, kterou by Trump mohl prezentovat jako \u201eamerick\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Americkou \u201emrkv\u00ed<\/i>\u201c je nab\u00eddka postupn\u00e9ho zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed sankc\u00ed (podle uv\u00e1\u017een\u00ed USA). \u201eBi\u010dem<\/i>\u201c byly rakety odp\u00e1len\u00e9 hluboko do Ruska \u2013 a dal\u0161\u00ed sankce uvalen\u00e9 na rusk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti. Ty byly jasn\u011b koncipov\u00e1ny jako \u201eupozorn\u011bn\u00ed<\/i>\u201c na to, co by mohlo n\u00e1sledovat, pokud Putin \u201edohodu<\/i>\u201c nep\u0159ijme.<\/p>\n

Jedn\u00e1 se o stejnou \u201edohodu<\/i>\u201c, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e byla Rusku nab\u00eddnuta. A tady je probl\u00e9m: Putin prost\u011b \u201edohodu<\/i>\u201c nechce. Trv\u00e1 na pr\u00e1vn\u011b z\u00e1vazn\u00e9 smlouv\u011b, jak ji\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t zopakoval.<\/p>\n

Putin tento po\u017eadavek ostentativn\u011b zd\u016fraznil t\u00edm, \u017ee Lavrov se nez\u00fa\u010dastnil Witkoffova setk\u00e1n\u00ed. Bylo to jasn\u00e9 sign\u00e1l Ruska, \u017ee z\u00e1klady pro skute\u010dn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed st\u00e1le nejsou p\u0159ipraveny. Putinov\u00fdm c\u00edlem bylo zdvo\u0159ile, ale d\u016frazn\u011b vysv\u011btlit z\u00e1kladn\u00ed postoje Ruska k urovn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n

Tyto postoje se nijak neli\u0161\u00ed od t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 Putin p\u0159edstavil 14. \u010dervna 2024 ve sv\u00e9m projevu p\u0159ed zam\u011bstnanci rusk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Putin v\u0161ak B\u00edl\u00e9mu domu poslal vlastn\u00ed \u201evzkaz<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ve \u010dtvrtek v Bi\u0161keku v Kyrgyzst\u00e1nu\u00a0Putin novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm vysv\u011btlil<\/a>, jak by m\u011bly \u2013 a mus\u00ed \u2013 b\u00fdt vedeny jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty. Uvedl, \u017ee ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Lavrov je odpov\u011bdn\u00fd za \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed kontakt\u016f a jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o mo\u017en\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b a \u017ee se op\u00edr\u00e1 o Lavrovovy zpr\u00e1vy z t\u011bchto jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e se vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm diskus\u00edm o konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch n\u00e1vrz\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Tak to tedy je. Putin c\u00edt\u00ed, \u017ee ze strany Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed \u201en\u00e1vnada<\/i>\u201c, a nic neprozrazuje.<\/p>\n

Uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee proces vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed mus\u00ed b\u00fdt veden pouze profesion\u00e1ln\u00edmi kan\u00e1ly, v pr\u00e1vn\u00edm form\u00e1tu a s profesion\u00e1ln\u00edm person\u00e1lem, kter\u00fd povede k uzav\u0159en\u00ed smlouvy, nikoli \u201edohody<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Putin tedy v\u00fdslovn\u011b upou\u0161t\u00ed od \u201edohody<\/i>\u201c. Witkoff a Kushner m\u011bli v \u00famyslu z\u00edskat od Ruska \u00fastupky: usilovali o do\u010dasn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed (sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e o z\u00e1vazn\u00e9 urovn\u00e1n\u00ed), zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e9 postupn\u00fdm uvol\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm sankc\u00ed: tedy jako \u201epravideln\u00e9 odm\u011bny\u201c za trvale dobr\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska (sp\u00ed\u0161e jako krysy v laborato\u0159i, kter\u00e9 jsou tr\u00e9nov\u00e1ny, aby ma\u010dkaly tla\u010d\u00edtko pro j\u00eddlo).<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty tak up\u00ednaj\u00ed na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, m\u00edsto aby se zam\u011b\u0159ily na komplexn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed r\u00e1mec zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed novou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architekturu pro v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropu?<\/p>\n

Odpov\u011b\u010f je, \u017ee Trump chce \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed<\/i>\u201c \u2013 v\u00fdsledek, kter\u00fd lze americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti prezentovat jako dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lku \u201ezastavenou Trumpem\u00a0<\/i>\u201c (tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee by to byla osm\u00e1), a z\u00e1rove\u0148 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt prod\u00e1n mocn\u00fdm sil\u00e1m jako pouh\u00e1 p\u0159est\u00e1vka v konfliktu, kter\u00fd bude po pauze pokra\u010dovat \u2013 a\u017e Evropan\u00e9 (\u201egaranci bezpe\u010dnosti<\/i>\u201c) znovu vybuduj\u00ed ukrajinskou arm\u00e1du. To by p\u0159edstavovalo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed pro v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161tv\u00e1\u010de, proto\u017ee by se dalo \u201evypr\u00e1v\u011bt<\/i>\u201c, \u017ee obnoven\u00ed vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu oslab\u00ed ruskou ekonomiku a mohlo by dokonce v\u00e9st k sesazen\u00ed Putina.<\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b jde o zbo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed. Ale tolik z\u00e1padn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh\u016f je sp\u00ed\u0161e zbo\u017en\u00fdm p\u0159\u00e1n\u00edm ne\u017e realistick\u00fdmi \u00favahami.<\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, celkov\u00fdm c\u00edlem nejasn\u00fdch a dvojzna\u010dn\u00fdch americk\u00fdch \u201ediskusn\u00edch bod\u016f<\/i>\u201c je dostat Putina do \u00fazk\u00fdch a p\u0159im\u011bt ho, aby zapomn\u011bl na sv\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed principy \u2013 jako je jeho trv\u00e1n\u00ed na odstran\u011bn\u00ed hlubok\u00fdch p\u0159\u00ed\u010din konfliktu, a ne jen jeho symptom\u016f. Nikde v tomto projektu, ani v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch projektech,\u00a0nen\u00ed uzn\u00e1n\u00ed hlubok\u00fdch p\u0159\u00ed\u010din (roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed NATO a um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed raket)<\/b>, krom\u011b v\u00e1gn\u00edho slibu \u201edialogu mezi Ruskem a NATO, zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e9ho Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, s c\u00edlem vy\u0159e\u0161it v\u0161echny bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed probl\u00e9my a vytvo\u0159it podm\u00ednky pro deeskalaci, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se zajist\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost a zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed se mo\u017enosti spolupr\u00e1ce a budouc\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho rozvoje<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

\u201ePes, kter\u00fd v noci v\u00fdznamn\u011b ne\u0161t\u011bkal<\/i>\u201c Sherlocka Holmese spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v podivn\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00edtomnosti Rubia, kter\u00fd je ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm ministrem zahrani\u010d\u00ed, a mu\u017ee, kter\u00fd by za norm\u00e1ln\u00edch okolnost\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1val pr\u00e1vn\u00ed a z\u00e1vaznou smlouvu.<\/p>\n

M\u00edsto toho m\u00e1me newyorsk\u00e9ho kolegu z Trumpovy realitn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti a jeho zet\u011b. Ani jeden z nich nen\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm \u010dlenem americk\u00e9 administrativy; ani jeden z nich nen\u00ed pov\u011b\u0159en ofici\u00e1ln\u00edmi org\u00e1ny americk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu, aby jednal jm\u00e9nem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/p>\n

Pokud by se tedy Amerika rozhodla obnovit v\u00e1lku s Ruskem, mohla by \u0159\u00edci, stejn\u011b jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u201eani o palec na v\u00fdchod<\/i>\u201c (po sjednocen\u00ed N\u011bmecka), \u201eale je tento z\u00e1vazek zaps\u00e1n na pap\u00ed\u0159e?<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Witkoff a Kouchner? \u201eJsou to jen Trumpovi p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159i n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b Moskvy foukaj\u00ed v\u00edtr do plachet<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n

\n

App\u00e2ter et allumer, deuxi\u00e8me \u00e9tape. Souffler la brise \u00e0 Moscou<\/a> vy\u0161el 5.12.2025 na lesakerfrancophone.fr. P\u0159eklad Zv\u011bdavec<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2. prosince se p\u0159\u00edtel prezidenta Trumpa Steve Witkoff a Trump\u016fv ze\u0165 Jared Kushner setkali s…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":94275,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94274"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94274\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/94275"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}