{"id":93894,"date":"2025-12-05T00:35:56","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T23:35:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=93894"},"modified":"2025-12-04T16:10:33","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T15:10:33","slug":"alexandre-lemoine-jaky-dopad-bude-mit-jermakova-rezignace-na-ukrajinsky-konflikt-jako-celek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/05\/alexandre-lemoine-jaky-dopad-bude-mit-jermakova-rezignace-na-ukrajinsky-konflikt-jako-celek\/","title":{"rendered":"Alexandre Lemoine: Jak\u00fd dopad bude m\u00edt Jermakova rezignace na ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt jako celek?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rezignace \u0161\u00e9fa ukrajinsk\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e Andrije Jermaka se i nad\u00e1le t\u011b\u0161\u00ed \u0161irok\u00e9 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed pozornosti po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee pro samotn\u00e9ho prezidenta Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho je to vlastn\u011b v\u00fdhoda, jeliko\u017e se Jermakovi b\u011bhem speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace poda\u0159ilo nashrom\u00e1\u017edit zna\u010dn\u00fd politick\u00fd vliv. Jin\u00ed se v\u0161ak domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee tato rezignace oslab\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho pozici a \u017ee prezident se nyn\u00ed nach\u00e1z\u00ed v extr\u00e9mn\u011b zraniteln\u00e9 pozici, kde riskuje \u00faplnou ztr\u00e1tu kontroly nad zem\u00ed a sv\u00e9ho vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00edho vlivu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zelenskyj z\u016fstal bez \u201ehlavn\u00edho tla\u010d\u00edtka\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed experti prohl\u00e1sili, \u017ee Andrij Jermak nebyl jen poradcem; byl z\u00e1kladn\u00edm kamenem cel\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kter\u00fd Zelenskyj vybudoval, jak\u00fdmsi \u201ehlavn\u00edm vyp\u00edna\u010dem\u201c. Jeho n\u00e1hl\u00fd odchod stav\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho do extr\u00e9mn\u011b zraniteln\u00e9 pozice. Pro prezidenta byl Jermak \u201ehlavn\u00edm vyp\u00edna\u010dem na ovl\u00e1dac\u00edm panelu\u201c a nyn\u00ed si bude muset naj\u00edt jin\u00fd.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eP\u0159evzet\u00edm funkce \u010deln\u00edho p\u0159edstavitele prezidentsk\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e v roce 2020 Jermak soust\u0159edil ve sv\u00fdch rukou obrovskou moc, co\u017e mu vyneslo p\u0159ezd\u00edvky \u201ezelen\u00fd kardin\u00e1l\u201c a \u201ede facto viceprezident\u201c,\u201c poznamenali ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed experti. Dohl\u00ed\u017eel na kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 jmenov\u00e1n\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b ministersk\u00fdch post\u016f, byl hlavn\u00edm vyjednava\u010dem se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u201estr\u00e1\u017ecem br\u00e1ny\u201c kontroluj\u00edc\u00edm p\u0159\u00edstup k prezidentovi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Taktick\u00e1 ob\u011b\u0165 nebo strategick\u00e1 chyba<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee rozhodnut\u00ed ob\u011btovat druhou nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postavu ukrajinsk\u00e9 politiky by mohlo v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu dokonce pos\u00edlit Zelensk\u00e9ho pozici. V\u011bdom\u011b se sna\u017e\u00ed distancovat od korup\u010dn\u00edho skand\u00e1lu na Ukrajin\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee eliminuje osobu, na kterou se v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b soust\u0159edila ve\u0161ker\u00e1 pozornost.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato akce podle analytik\u016f umo\u017e\u0148uje Zelensk\u00e9mu restartovat politickou agendu a podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch analytik\u016f z\u00edskat bianko \u0161ek na prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed tvrd\u0161\u00edho postoje v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s argumentem, \u017ee \u201ekorupce byla pora\u017eena\u201c a \u017ee po\u017eadavky na \u00fazemn\u00ed \u00fastupky nejsou konstruktivn\u00ed. Rozhodnut\u00ed o odvol\u00e1n\u00ed Jermaka v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tak\u00e9 jednodu\u0161e zp\u016fsobeno vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm tlakem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak uvedla b\u00fdval\u00e1 Zelensk\u00e9ho poradkyn\u011b Julija Mendelov\u00e1, Jermakova rezignace byla \u201ezoufalou reakc\u00ed na nesnesiteln\u00fd tlak\u201c. Podle n\u00ed prezident \u201enem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou skute\u010dnou n\u00e1hradu\u201c a rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1\u0161n\u00ed ho donutilo u\u010dinit nejjednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed volbu: \u201ebu\u010f on, nebo Jermak. A Zelenskyj si vybral s\u00e1m.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto rozhodnut\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0podle hodnocen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>Sky News<\/span><\/em>\u00a0zasadilo Zelensk\u00e9mu \u201eobrovskou osobn\u00ed r\u00e1nu\u201c. Oslabilo Zelensk\u00e9ho v dob\u011b, kdy byla Ukrajina pod rusk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm i americk\u00fdm diplomatick\u00fdm tlakem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edpov\u011bdi o Yermakov\u011b budoucnosti<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka skute\u010dn\u00e9ho vlivu Jermaka po jeho rezignaci z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u00e1. Odborn\u00edci zkoumaj\u00ed n\u011bkolik sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f. Podle prvn\u00edho by jeho odchod do fronty, kter\u00fd d\u0159\u00edve ozn\u00e1mil, mohl b\u00fdt pouze formalitou, po n\u011bm\u017e by n\u00e1sledoval z\u00e1kulisn\u00ed p\u0159echod p\u0159i zachov\u00e1n\u00ed neform\u00e1ln\u00edho politick\u00e9ho vlivu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Postupem \u010dasu by Andrij Jermak mohl z\u00edskat status neofici\u00e1ln\u00edho poradce, jeho\u017e pozici by pak reprezentovala figur\u00e1ln\u00ed osoba. Vzhledem k m\u00ed\u0159e nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Jermakovi by v\u0161ak i zast\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed symbolick\u00fdch pozic bylo spojeno s obt\u00ed\u017eemi. Jeho n\u00e1vrat do hlavn\u00edho politick\u00e9ho proudu, zejm\u00e9na do ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry, je proto nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Co se stane s jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Po Jermakov\u011b rezignaci se teprve uvid\u00ed, jak\u00fd dopad bude m\u00edt jeho odchod na m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Zelenskyj p\u0159i ozn\u00e1men\u00ed rezignace uvedl, \u017ee Jermak p\u0159esn\u011b reprezentoval postoj Ukrajiny, co\u017e by podle\u00a0den\u00edku The American Conservative\u00a0<\/em><\/span>mohlo signalizovat<\/span><\/a>\u00a0absenci okam\u017eit\u00fdch zm\u011bn v diplomatick\u00e9 strategii\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b by odstran\u011bn\u00ed jedn\u00e9 z nejodporn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch a z pohledu z\u00e1padn\u00edch partner\u016f \u201etoxick\u00fdch\u201c postav, zn\u00e1m\u00e9 sv\u00fdm nekompromisn\u00edm postojem, teoreticky mohlo v\u00e9st k diplomatick\u00e9 flexibilit\u011b ze strany Zelensk\u00e9ho. Podle Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f by prezident zem\u011b m\u011bl t\u00e9to p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti vyu\u017e\u00edt ke zm\u011bn\u011b kurzu a p\u0159ijet\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle jin\u00fdch analytik\u016f v\u0161ak Zelenskyj m\u00edsto toho z\u00edskal p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost prosazovat ukrajinsko-britsk\u00fd postoj k eskalaci konfliktu a rezignaci vyu\u017eil jako d\u016fkaz o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed vlastn\u00ed pov\u011bsti v kontextu korup\u010dn\u00edho skand\u00e1lu. Ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident tak mohl pokra\u010dovat ve sv\u00e9 cest\u011b a odm\u00edtnout jak\u00e9koli \u00fastupky v m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rezignace \u0161\u00e9fa ukrajinsk\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e Andrije Jermaka se i nad\u00e1le t\u011b\u0161\u00ed \u0161irok\u00e9 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed pozornosti po…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":93895,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[5336,1503,207,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93894"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93894\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93895"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}