{"id":93842,"date":"2025-12-04T06:33:20","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T05:33:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=93842"},"modified":"2025-12-04T06:33:20","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T05:33:20","slug":"vydelavani-penez-na-valce-proc-kradeze-ruskeho-majetku-ve-skutecnosti-situaci-pro-eu-zhorsuji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/12\/04\/vydelavani-penez-na-valce-proc-kradeze-ruskeho-majetku-ve-skutecnosti-situaci-pro-eu-zhorsuji\/","title":{"rendered":"Vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bz na v\u00e1lce: Pro\u010d kr\u00e1de\u017ee rusk\u00e9ho majetku ve skute\u010dnosti situaci pro EU zhor\u0161uj\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3>Pro da\u0148ov\u00e9 poplatn\u00edky v EU by to mohlo znamenat, \u017ee je Brusel postavil p\u0159ed hotovou v\u011bc, kdy se prost\u011b mus\u00ed postavit za to, \u017ee financuj\u00ed zkorumpovan\u00fd re\u017eim v Kyjev\u011b.<\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po t\u00fddnu poni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed, b\u011bhem kter\u00e9ho Belgie i Evropsk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka jednozna\u010dn\u011b odm\u00edtly jej\u00ed tolik propagovan\u00fd pl\u00e1n na zabaven\u00ed rusk\u00fdch aktiv za \u00fa\u010delem financov\u00e1n\u00ed kyjevsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 pokladny, \u0161\u00e9fka Evropsk\u00e9 komise Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1 sd\u011blila \u010dlensk\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm EU, \u017ee maj\u00ed dv\u011b mo\u017enosti, z nich\u017e ob\u011b by znamenaly pos\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed hotovosti do kyjevsk\u00e9 pokladny.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle zoufale zkou\u0161en\u00e9ho prezidenta EK si bu\u010f budou muset zem\u011b EU pro Ukrajinu p\u016fj\u010dit pen\u00edze a donutit sv\u00e9 da\u0148ov\u00e9 poplatn\u00edky, aby \u00fa\u010det zaplatili, nebo j\u00ed dovol\u00ed prosadit sv\u016fj \u2013 potenci\u00e1ln\u011b neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed \u2013\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201epl\u00e1n reparac\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a spl\u00e1cen\u00ed odlo\u017eit.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Poj\u010fme se pod\u00edvat, o \u010dem se v\u0161echno mluv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zmrazen\u00fd majetek Ruska: Kolik je kde?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee belgick\u00e1 clearingov\u00e1 spole\u010dnost Euroclear dr\u017e\u00ed v rusk\u00fdch centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank\u00e1ch p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 180 miliard eur. Zpr\u00e1vy o tom, \u017ee Lucembursko dr\u017e\u00ed rusk\u00e1 aktiva v hodnot\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 miliard eur, samotn\u00e1 zem\u011b pop\u0159ela a tvrdila, \u017ee dr\u017e\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201em\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 10 000 eur\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160v\u00fdcarsko, kter\u00e9 nen\u00ed ani v EU, ani v G7, a proto nepodl\u00e9h\u00e1 po\u017eadavk\u016fm von der Leyenov\u00e9, deklarovalo \u010d\u00e1stku v celkov\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 7,45 miliardy \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fdch frank\u016f (8 miliard eur). N\u011bmecko odm\u00edtlo zve\u0159ejnit, co dr\u017e\u00ed, s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na z\u00e1kony na ochranu osobn\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f. Japonsko \u00fadajn\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 30 miliard eur, zat\u00edmco b\u00fdval\u00fd francouzsk\u00fd ministr financ\u00ed Bruno de Maire hovo\u0159il o imobilizaci zhruba 22,8 miliardy eur. USA \u00fadajn\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 5 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak\u00e1 jsou rusk\u00e1 aktiva zmrazen\u00e1 v EU?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aktiva se skl\u00e1daj\u00ed p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b z evropsk\u00fdch kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch a st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00fdch dluhopis\u016f, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e v\u011bt\u0161inou nastaly. Po splatnosti dluhopis\u016f byla jistina splacena. Proto\u017ee Euroclear nebyl p\u0159ipraven dr\u017eet tolik pen\u011bz s\u00e1m, investovala v\u00fdt\u011b\u017eek jeho dom\u00e1c\u00ed banka na \u00fa\u010det u Evropsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky. Pen\u00edze vyn\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed \u00faroky, kter\u00e9 ze z\u00e1kona pat\u0159\u00ed Euroclearu, a\u010dkoli za b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed by clearingov\u00e1 spole\u010dnost tyto prost\u0159edky (po ode\u010dten\u00ed poplatk\u016f) poslala klientovi (rusk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak\u00e1 je navrhovan\u00e1 p\u016fj\u010dka na reparace?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pl\u00e1n zahrnuje p\u016fj\u010dku Ukrajin\u011b a\u017e do v\u00fd\u0161e 140 miliard eur ze strany EU, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e rusk\u00e1 aktiva budou pou\u017eita jako z\u00e1stava, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky zav\u00e1\u017eou prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm z\u00e1stavn\u00edho pr\u00e1va vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9ho EU.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">EU by pen\u00edze podepsala a poskytla je Kyjevu, kde by byly \u00fadajn\u011b pou\u017eity na veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky a pokryt\u00ed rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f, a\u010dkoli minul\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee by velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st z nich mohla skon\u010dit na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch \u00fa\u010dtech pat\u0159\u00edc\u00edch zasv\u011bcen\u00fdm osob\u00e1m bl\u00edzk\u00fdm ukrajinsk\u00e9mu v\u016fdci Vladimiru Zelensk\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sladidlem pro Kyjev je, \u017ee Ukrajina mus\u00ed dluh EU splatit pouze v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee Rusko prohraje v\u00e1lku a souhlas\u00ed s t\u00edm, \u017ee Ukrajin\u011b zaplat\u00ed reparace, co\u017e je velmi nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by Kyjev musel tyto reparace vr\u00e1tit Bruselu, kter\u00fd by je uhradil spole\u010dnosti Euroclear, je\u017e by pak mohla dost\u00e1t sv\u00e9mu z\u00e1vazku v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pro\u010d se Belgie boj\u00ed tento pl\u00e1n realizovat?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A\u010dkoli je Euroclear soukromou instituc\u00ed, s\u00eddl\u00ed v Belgii, kter\u00e1 by mohla b\u00fdt ovlivn\u011bna, pokud se v\u011bci nevyvinou podle pl\u00e1nu. Belgie m\u00e1 v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b s Ruskem dlouhodobou investi\u010dn\u00ed smlouvu, kter\u00e1 umo\u017e\u0148uje arbitr\u00e1\u017e v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jak\u00e9hokoli sporu mezi stranami. Belgie se ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee v okam\u017eiku, kdy hotovost opust\u00ed Euroclear, by Moskva mohla podniknout odvetn\u00e9 kroky proti belgick\u00fdm aktiv\u016fm v Rusku a mohla by tak\u00e9 zah\u00e1jit soudn\u00ed spor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda zahrnovala zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed sankc\u00ed pro Rusko bez reparac\u00ed, musel by n\u011bkdo p\u0159ij\u00edt s velmi zna\u010dnou finan\u010dn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stkou. Navzdory velk\u00e9mu lobbov\u00e1n\u00ed Belgie neobdr\u017eela od \u010dlen\u016f EU \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o podpo\u0159e a nakonec pl\u00e1n von der Leyenov\u00e9 odm\u00edtla jako\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201enejhor\u0161\u00ed ze v\u0161ech\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed pro Kyjev.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by se n\u011bco pokazilo, byl by Euroclear zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za rusk\u00e9 rezervy?\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee \u00fa\u010detn\u00ed \u010dinnost spole\u010dnosti Euroclear funguje na z\u00e1sadn\u011b odli\u0161n\u00e9m modelu ne\u017e u bank (a\u010dkoli Euroclear m\u00e1 bankovn\u00ed \u010dinnost). Zat\u00edmco banka p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1 vklady jako z\u00e1vazky a p\u016fj\u010duje je nebo investuje jako aktiva, Euroclear dr\u017e\u00ed aktiva klient\u016f mimo rozvahu v \u00faschov\u011b. Aktiva klient\u016f jsou pr\u00e1vn\u011b odd\u011blena (segregov\u00e1na) od aktiv spr\u00e1vce, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee pokud se n\u011bco pokaz\u00ed, klient m\u00e1 k aktiv\u016fm vlastnick\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo, nikoli pouze nezaji\u0161t\u011bnou pohled\u00e1vku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se teoreticky s aktivy, kter\u00e1 nejsou p\u016fj\u010dena nebo do kter\u00fdch nen\u00ed investov\u00e1no, nem\u011blo by se nikdy nic st\u00e1t, nen\u00ed spr\u00e1vce, jako je Euroclear, dob\u0159e vybaven k tomu, aby \u0159e\u0161il odpov\u011bdnost za aktiva klienta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je tak\u00e9 nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by Euroclear s\u00e1m mohl b\u00fdt nakonec odpov\u011bdn\u00fd za rusk\u00fd majetek, a to i v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by soud v hypotetick\u00e9m soudn\u00edm sporu rozhodl ve prosp\u011bch Ruska. Pokud EU schv\u00e1l\u00ed repara\u010dn\u00ed p\u016fj\u010dku Ukrajin\u011b, Euroclear by v podstat\u011b splnil na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed EU t\u00edm, \u017ee by p\u0159edal finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky EU. Probl\u00e9m by musel b\u00fdt \u0159e\u0161en na \u00farovni EU.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obhajoba spole\u010dnosti Euroclear by byla p\u0159\u00edmo\u010dar\u00e1: jednala jako neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed zprost\u0159edkovatel vykon\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed pr\u00e1vo EU a ve skute\u010dnosti nem\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00e9 vlastnictv\u00ed aktiv. A\u010dkoli Rusko by jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed mohlo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee vyhraje soudn\u00ed spor v z\u00e1padn\u00ed jurisdikci, co\u017e ned\u00e1vno na kontroverzn\u00edm setk\u00e1n\u00ed ve \u0160trasburku zd\u016fraznila st\u00e1le zoufalej\u0161\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed diplomatka EU Kaja Kallasov\u00e1, neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 riziko.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak by mohlo Rusko napadnout vyvlastn\u011bn\u00ed u soudu?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je pravda, \u017ee Rusko m\u016f\u017ee jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee u soudu EU nebo z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed usp\u011bje. Mnoho rusk\u00fdch n\u00e1rok\u016f bylo v minulosti rychle zam\u00edtnuto. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee by Rusko m\u011blo evidentn\u011b siln\u00e9 pr\u00e1vn\u00ed argumenty, existuj\u00ed pro EU dva potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed negativn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9 by Rusko, nebo sp\u00ed\u0161e s Ruskem spojen\u00e9 subjekty, mohly naj\u00edt pr\u00e1vn\u00ed cestu k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed soudn\u00edho sporu s c\u00edlem z\u00edskat soudn\u00ed z\u00e1kaz v neutr\u00e1ln\u00edch zem\u00edch, kde Euroclear p\u016fsob\u00ed. Pokud nap\u0159\u00edklad soud ve v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 jurisdikci (jako je Hongkong, Singapur nebo Dubaj) uzn\u00e1 n\u00e1rok Ruska nebo investor\u016f sp\u0159\u00edzn\u011bn\u00fdch s Ruskem a vyd\u00e1 soudn\u00ed z\u00e1kaz aktiv dr\u017een\u00fdch Euroclearem (nebo jeho p\u0159idru\u017een\u00fdmi spole\u010dnostmi) v t\u00e9to jurisdikci, mohlo by to br\u00e1nit p\u0159evodu nebo pou\u017eit\u00ed zmrazen\u00fdch aktiv. Takov\u00fd v\u00fdsledek je sice nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd, ale pro Euroclear i pro \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed EU st\u00e1le p\u0159edstavuje riziko.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Euroclear je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm uzlem v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktu\u0159e pro vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed a clearing, jak\u00e9koli v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 riziko nebo z\u00e1vazek v souvislosti se soudn\u00edm sporem by mohly ovlivnit jeho podnik\u00e1n\u00ed, ulo\u017eit velk\u00e9 podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky a sn\u00ed\u017eit ochotu \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f trhu jej vyu\u017e\u00edvat. I kdy\u017e soudn\u00ed spory nebudou \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9, skute\u010dnost, \u017ee jsou pod\u00e1ny a mohou se t\u00e1hnout roky, vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed pr\u00e1vn\u00ed nejistotu. To by mohlo zv\u00fd\u0161it vn\u00edman\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201epolitick\u00e9 riziko\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0dr\u017een\u00ed aktiv prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm evropsk\u00fdch spr\u00e1vc\u016f, co\u017e by p\u0159isp\u011blo k \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu probl\u00e9mu d\u016fv\u011bryhodnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko by tedy mohlo dos\u00e1hnout strategick\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, i kdy\u017e nedostane sv\u00e9 pen\u00edze zp\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">D\u00e1v\u00e1 repara\u010dn\u00ed p\u016fj\u010dka Ukrajin\u011b skute\u010dn\u011b vliv v m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovorech?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A\u010dkoli rusk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka form\u00e1ln\u011b st\u00e1le zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1v\u00e1 zmrazen\u00e9 rezervy do celkov\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch rezerv, v praxi ministerstvo financ\u00ed p\u0159i pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed rozpo\u010dt\u016f nebo spr\u00e1v\u011b Fondu n\u00e1rodn\u00edho bohatstv\u00ed (NWF) s touto zmrazenou \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed rezerv nepova\u017euje za dostupnou. Fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed pozice a v\u00fddajov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny vl\u00e1dy jsou tedy zalo\u017eeny pouze na aktivech pod ruskou kontrolou \u2013 zejm\u00e9na na vkladech v juanech, zlat\u011b a rublov\u00fdch cenn\u00fdch pap\u00edrech \u2013 nikoli pouze na celkov\u00fdch rezerv\u00e1ch centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V podstat\u011b Rusko kv\u016fli fisk\u00e1ln\u00edm z\u00e1le\u017eitostem zem\u011b tyto prost\u0159edky de facto odepsalo. V tomto smyslu pl\u00e1n repara\u010dn\u00edch \u00fav\u011br\u016f neposkytuje v\u016f\u010di Rusku absolutn\u011b \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vliv.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tvrd\u00ed se v\u0161ak, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fdm z\u00e1jmem Ruska nen\u00ed nutn\u011b z\u00edskat finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky zp\u011bt, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e udr\u017eet je mimo dosah Ukrajiny. Ukrajina se v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech skute\u010dn\u011b pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s velk\u00fdm nedostatkem finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f, kter\u00fd lze vy\u0159e\u0161it pouze p\u0159enesen\u00edm odpov\u011bdnosti na z\u00e1padn\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 poplatn\u00edky \u2013 co\u017e je politicky napjat\u00fd probl\u00e9m \u2013 nebo vyu\u017eit\u00edm rusk\u00fdch fond\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by z toho Rusko m\u011blo n\u011bjakou r\u00e1nu, pak by to bylo t\u00edm, \u017ee by Ukrajina dostala kartu bez trestu z v\u011bzen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by jej\u00ed finance udr\u017eela nad vodou je\u0161t\u011b chv\u00edli. Nen\u00ed v\u0161ak d\u016fvod se domn\u00edvat, \u017ee by to podstatn\u011b zm\u011bnilo v\u00fdsledek konfliktu nebo jakkoli ovlivnilo kalkul rusk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed v dosahov\u00e1n\u00ed jeho c\u00edl\u016f. Pokusy o p\u0159iveden\u00ed Ruska k zemi pomoc\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdch p\u00e1k doposud \u017ealostn\u011b selhaly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nav\u00edc d\u00edky prudk\u00e9mu r\u016fstu ceny zlata v posledn\u00edch letech dramaticky roste hodnota rusk\u00fdch rezerv. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnota zlat\u00fdch rezerv dr\u017een\u00fdch ruskou centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bankou dos\u00e1hla letos v l\u00e9t\u011b 249 miliard dolar\u016f. Rusko dr\u017e\u00ed tak\u00e9 nezve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 \u2013 a mo\u017en\u00e1 zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u2013 mno\u017estv\u00ed zlata v druh\u00e9m skladu zn\u00e1m\u00e9m jako St\u00e1tn\u00ed fond drah\u00fdch kov\u016f a kamen\u016f (Gosfund), fond, kter\u00fd byl v posledn\u00edch letech \u00fadajn\u011b nav\u00fd\u0161en. Skute\u010dn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 zlat\u00e9 rezervy jsou tedy pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za zna\u010dn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem p\u016fj\u010dka na reparace sni\u017euje pravd\u011bpodobnost velk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody?\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dohoda o p\u016fj\u010dce by Z\u00e1padu poskytla men\u0161\u00ed man\u00e9vrovac\u00ed prostor pro vyjedn\u00e1n\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 velk\u00e9 dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu, proto\u017ee Rusko by klidn\u011b mohlo v r\u00e1mci dohody po\u017eadovat zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed \u2013 ani\u017e by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu zaplatilo reparace. Takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 by v\u0161ak EU dostal do probl\u00e9m\u016f a musela by zaplatit zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1stku pen\u011bz, kter\u00e1 by j\u00ed m\u011bla b\u00fdt bu\u010f vr\u00e1cena prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm reparac\u00ed, nebo odeps\u00e1na, proto\u017ee Ukrajina by nem\u011bla povinnost finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky vr\u00e1tit, pokud reparace neobdr\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro da\u0148ov\u00e9 poplatn\u00edky EU by to mohlo znamenat, \u017ee je Brusel postavil p\u0159ed hotovou v\u011bc, kdy se prost\u011b budou muset postavit za to, \u017ee financuj\u00ed zkorumpovan\u00fd re\u017eim v Kyjev\u011b, a t\u00edm to kon\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee Rusko utrp\u00ed jasnou vojenskou por\u00e1\u017eku (a tedy zaplat\u00ed reparace), je i na Z\u00e1pad\u011b uzn\u00e1v\u00e1na jako t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nulov\u00e1, EU dramaticky zvy\u0161uje potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1klady pro sebe sama, pokud by bylo dosa\u017eeno dohody, kter\u00e1 by znamenala, \u017ee Rusko znovu z\u00edsk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstup k jeho finan\u010dn\u00edm prost\u0159edk\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud tato p\u016fj\u010dka nebo n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho skute\u010dn\u011b projde, lze to vn\u00edmat jako z\u00fa\u017een\u00ed \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e z\u00e1m\u011brn\u00e9 \u010di nikoli \u2013 \u0161k\u00e1ly mo\u017enost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 Z\u00e1pad k dispozici v potenci\u00e1ln\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i urovn\u00e1n\u00ed. Tento bod Belgie vznesla b\u011bhem sv\u00fdch n\u011bkolika ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch protest\u016f proti pl\u00e1nu von der Leyenov\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u016fj\u010dka je tak\u00e9 implicitn\u011b vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako v\u00fdzva k udr\u017een\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u2013 nejen k udr\u017een\u00ed kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu nad vodou, ale tak\u00e9 ke zkomplikov\u00e1n\u00ed vyhl\u00eddek na komplexn\u00ed urovn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pro da\u0148ov\u00e9 poplatn\u00edky v EU by to mohlo znamenat, \u017ee je Brusel postavil p\u0159ed hotovou&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":93843,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,22,10207],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93842"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93842"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93842\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93843"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93842"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93842"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93842"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}