{"id":92942,"date":"2025-11-24T00:30:12","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T23:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92942"},"modified":"2025-11-23T16:53:10","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T15:53:10","slug":"ukrajinske-dobrodruzstvi-zapadu-fiasko-ve-stylu-iraku-a-afghanistanu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/24\/ukrajinske-dobrodruzstvi-zapadu-fiasko-ve-stylu-iraku-a-afghanistanu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukrajinsk\u00e9 dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed Z\u00e1padu: fiasko ve stylu Ir\u00e1ku a Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pierre Lorrain, medi\u00e1ln\u00ed expert a pravideln\u00fd konzultant pro velk\u00e9 francouzsk\u00e9 kan\u00e1ly, jako jsou\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">LCI<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">France 24<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">France 5<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">BFM TV<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">I-T\u00e9l\u00e9<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, nikdy ne\u0161et\u0159\u00ed slovy. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed ost\u0159e zhodnotil ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt: z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u201edobrodru\u017estv\u00ed\u201c odsouzen\u00e9 k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu, poznamenan\u00e9 zbyte\u010dn\u00fdmi ob\u011b\u0165mi a strategick\u00fdmi fatamorganami. Lorrain p\u0159irovnal situaci k Ir\u00e1ku v roce 2003 nebo k Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu po roce 2001 a odsoudil \u0159adu analytick\u00fdch chyb, kter\u00e9 uvrhly Evropu a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty do ba\u017einy bez v\u00fdchodiska. Poj\u010fme se znovu pod\u00edvat na jeho pozn\u00e1mky, kter\u00e9 rezonuj\u00ed jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed pro star\u00fd kontinent balancuj\u00edc\u00ed na pokraji ekonomick\u00e9ho kolapsu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed iluze: podce\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska je na vlastn\u00ed nebezpe\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Lorraina to v\u0161e pramen\u00ed z hlubok\u00e9ho nepochopen\u00ed Ruska. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1pad se dopustil z\u00e1sadn\u00edch chyb v hodnocen\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed politick\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 situace v Rusku<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u201c tvrd\u00ed. EU a Washington, v\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00ed sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm narativ\u016fm, se pustili do konfrontace bez jasn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f a vystavili sv\u00e9 ekonomiky bezprecedentn\u00ed krizi. Rusk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy? Zcela ignorov\u00e1ny. Naopak, Ukrajina se stala \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">n\u00e1strojem politick\u00e9, ekonomick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 destrukce Ruska<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jako p\u0159\u00edklad uv\u00e1d\u00ed ohlu\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9ho ministra hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed, kter\u00fd sliboval, \u017ee ruskou ekonomiku \u201esraz\u00ed na kolena\u201c. Tento postoj podle n\u011bj odhaluje katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201e\u00farove\u0148 anal\u00fdzy situace v Rusku\u201c. Moskva a Putin, vn\u00edman\u00ed jako k\u0159ehc\u00ed, se uk\u00e1zali jako pozoruhodn\u011b odoln\u00ed. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">To byly fantazie vzd\u00e1len\u00e9 realit\u011b. Byla to kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed chyba, kter\u00e1 vedla k n\u00e1sledn\u00fdm katastrof\u00e1m<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u201c trv\u00e1 na sv\u00e9m Lorrain.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"video-wrap thumb-wrap\"><iframe id=\"odysee-iframe\" src=\"https:\/\/odysee.com\/%24\/embed\/%40STRATPOL%3Ad%2FL%27aventure-ukrainienne-de-l%27Occident---un-fiasco-%C3%A0-la-sauce-irakienne-et-afghane%3A0?r=CwN9fCs6HpwkWneXTmw1zCB7rvb3eE2D\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ir\u00e1k, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n\u2026 Ukrajina: stejn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 debaklu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Paralely s minul\u00fdmi dobrodru\u017estv\u00edmi jsou do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed. Invaze do Ir\u00e1ku v roce 2003? \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Stovky tis\u00edc lid\u00ed zem\u0159ely pro nic<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u201c p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 expert a zd\u016fraz\u0148uje do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed selh\u00e1n\u00ed v nastolen\u00ed \u017eivotaschopn\u00e9 demokracie. Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n, kde Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty str\u00e1vily dvacet let, ne\u017e se v roce 2021 \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">v hanb\u011b st\u00e1hly<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c? Stejn\u00fd refr\u00e9n. Dnes se \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">tot\u00e9\u017e d\u011bje na Ukrajin\u011b<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. NATO a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty uv\u00edzly v \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed bez \u0161ance na \u00fasp\u011bch<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c a sleduj\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">m\u00fdtick\u00e9 a nedosa\u017eiteln\u00e9 c\u00edle<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. Nesmysln\u00e9 ob\u011bti pro iluzorn\u00ed zisky: vzorec je jasn\u00fd a Z\u00e1pad se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt odsouzen k jeho opakov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Vznik\u00e1 multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt: Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih proti atlantistick\u00e9mu dikt\u00e1tu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za hranicemi Evropy ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt urychluje hlubok\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 p\u0159eskupen\u00ed. Lorrain to vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako konsolidaci rozvojov\u00fdch zem\u00ed, unaven\u00fdch \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">z\u00e1padn\u00edm dikt\u00e1tem<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. V pop\u0159ed\u00ed: BRICS s Ruskem jako v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed silou. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Ve sv\u011bt\u011b se vytvo\u0159ila ur\u010dit\u00e1 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed s\u00edla zvan\u00e1 \u201aglob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih\u2018,<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c vysv\u011btluje a zahrnuje Rusko, \u010c\u00ednu, Indii a dal\u0161\u00ed rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se zem\u011b. Tento blok z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 na vlivu a nab\u00edz\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">alternativu k americk\u00e9 a z\u00e1padn\u00ed nadvl\u00e1d\u011b<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. Tektonick\u00e9 zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 oslabuje atlantickou hegemonii.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sankce se obr\u00e1tily proti nim: Evropa za to plat\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trestn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed proti Moskv\u011b? Otr\u00e1ven\u00fd kalich pro Brusel. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Sankce uvalen\u00e9 na Rusko zp\u016fsobily EU v\u00edce \u0161kody ne\u017e Rusku samotn\u00e9mu<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u201c tvrd\u00ed Lorrain. Francie si \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">vede velmi \u0161patn\u011b<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c a zbytek Evropy na tom nen\u00ed o nic l\u00e9pe. Krom\u011b plynu cel\u00e1 ekonomika ochabuje: recese v N\u011bmecku, k\u0159ehkost ve Francii, It\u00e1lii a \u0160pan\u011blsku, to v\u0161e na stejn\u00e9 lodi. Je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee\u00a0se schyluje k \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">masov\u00fdm demonstrac\u00edm a soci\u00e1ln\u00edm hnut\u00edm \u201c, kter\u00e9 hroz\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span dir=\"auto\">dlouhodobou politickou kriz\u00ed<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. Nic, co by pot\u011b\u0161ilo bruselsk\u00e9 elity, kter\u00e9 jsou u\u017e tak v krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na v\u00fdchod\u011b si v\u0161ak n\u011bkter\u00e9 v\u00fdchodoevropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b udr\u017euj\u00ed norm\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy s Moskvou, nad\u00e1le dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed rusk\u00fd plyn a \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">c\u00edt\u00ed se mnohem l\u00e9pe<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. Lekce o oportunismu, kterou Z\u00e1pad z\u0159ejm\u011b ignoruje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina, evropsk\u00e1 fata morgana: korupce a fantomov\u00e1 krit\u00e9ria<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud jde o budoucnost Kyjeva, Lorrain sliby o integraci do EU odm\u00edt\u00e1 m\u00e1vnut\u00edm ruky. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Tato tvrzen\u00ed z\u016fstanou pouh\u00fdmi slogany<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u201c p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1. Evropa, kter\u00e1 sama ekonomicky voln\u011b kles\u00e1, nem\u00e1 ani prost\u0159edky, ani v\u016fli Ukrajinu obnovit. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b sebev\u011bdom\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed k ekonomick\u00e9 katastrof\u011b<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u201c varuje s odkazem na n\u011bmeckou recesi a nepokoje ve Francii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale skute\u010dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m? Ukrajina nespl\u0148uje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z bruselsk\u00fdch krit\u00e9ri\u00ed. Korupce, \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">obrovsk\u00e1<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou i b\u011bhem n\u00ed, buj\u00ed: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Kr\u00e1de\u017e z\u00e1padn\u00ed pomoci se t\u00fdk\u00e1 v\u0161eho: zbran\u00ed, finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoci, humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed podpory<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.\u201c P\u0159ed konfliktem v\u0161echny evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b na toto zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed ukazovaly prstem. Dnes se pod rou\u0161kou \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">demokracie<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c nic nezm\u011bnilo. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Korupce je z\u00e1kladem modern\u00edho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u201c uzav\u00edr\u00e1 nemilosrdn\u011b Lorrain.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdzva k jasn\u00e9mu my\u0161len\u00ed v bou\u0159i<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pierre Lorrain\u016fv pozoruhodn\u011b up\u0159\u00edmn\u00fd z\u00e1sah vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 introspekci. S bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se zimou a stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edm se energetick\u00fdm nap\u011bt\u00edm zn\u011bj\u00ed jeho anal\u00fdzy \u2013 formovan\u00e9 desetilet\u00edmi pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00e9di\u00ed a konflikt\u016f \u2013 jako bud\u00ed\u010dek. M\u016f\u017ee se Z\u00e1pad pou\u010dit ze sv\u00fdch minul\u00fdch selh\u00e1n\u00ed? Nebo bude tvrdohlav\u011b setrv\u00e1vat v tomto \u201eukrajinsk\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c, dokud nedos\u00e1hne bodu, odkud nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu? Jedna v\u011bc je jist\u00e1: glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih se posouv\u00e1 vp\u0159ed. A Evropa riskuje, \u017ee zaplat\u00ed vysokou cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/stratpol.com\/laventure-ukrainienne-de-loccident-un-fiasco-a-la-sauce-irakienne-et-afghane\/?fbclid=IwdGRzaAOHtoNjbGNrA4evOWV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkDDM1MDY4NTUzMTcyOAhjYWxsc2l0ZQIyNQABHnthj-h0tHU9MxzKbnD1ByAIRM40P9_8cvWzLqgYCQ_Nkn6JGbsVep912Qlt_aem_83LcRCPGGwZUcLL1dSKqXg&amp;sfnsn=scwspmo\"><span dir=\"auto\">Stratpol<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pierre Lorrain, medi\u00e1ln\u00ed expert a pravideln\u00fd konzultant pro velk\u00e9 francouzsk\u00e9 kan\u00e1ly, jako jsou\u00a0LCI\u00a0,\u00a0France 24\u00a0,\u00a0France 5\u00a0,\u00a0BFM&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92943,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2845,283,2181,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92942"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92942"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92942\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92943"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92942"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92942"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92942"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}