{"id":92934,"date":"2025-11-24T00:22:44","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T23:22:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92934"},"modified":"2025-11-23T15:13:43","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T14:13:43","slug":"jiri-paroubek-knuceni-valecnych-stvacu-nema-konce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/24\/jiri-paroubek-knuceni-valecnych-stvacu-nema-konce\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: K\u0148u\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch \u0161tv\u00e1\u010d\u016f nem\u00e1 konce"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump p\u0159i\u0161el s n\u00e1vrhem, jak ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b. Jeho 28 bod\u016f je ur\u010dit\u011b dobr\u00fdm v\u00fdchodiskem pro dojedn\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem. Je to dobr\u00e9 v\u00fdchodisko tak\u00e9 pro klid a m\u00edr na evropsk\u00e9m kontinent\u011b. Tak, aby se oby\u010dejn\u00ed lid\u00e9 mohli op\u011bt v klidu v\u011bnovat sv\u00e9 pr\u00e1ci, z\u00e1jm\u016fm a sv\u00e9 rodin\u011b. Zkr\u00e1tka, v\u011bnovat se norm\u00e1ln\u00edm v\u011bcem a ne strachu z nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Co je p\u0159\u00edzna\u010dn\u00e9 pro \u010desk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politiky (Fialu, Lipavsk\u00e9ho\u00a0 a spol.) a zejm\u00e9na pro\u00a0 okruh lid\u00ed kolem prezidenta Pavla,\u00a0 tu k\u00e1vovou sedlinu pra\u017esk\u00e9 kav\u00e1rny, jako je \u017dantovsk\u00fd a dal\u0161\u00ed, oni z toho m\u00edru, kter\u00fd se nezadr\u017eiteln\u011b bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed, maj\u00ed evidentn\u011b strach. Uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy na z\u00e1klad\u011b, t\u0159eba i m\u00edrn\u011b modifikovan\u00fdch 28 Trumpov\u00fdch bod\u016f, bude znamenat ukon\u010den\u00ed \u010dasu konfrontace, n\u011bkolika let\u00a0 balancov\u00e1n\u00ed na pokraji jadern\u00e9ho konfliktu. A za\u010d\u00e1tek mo\u017en\u00e1 pomal\u00e9 obnovy budouc\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce v\u0161ech evropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b postupn\u00e9ho zapojen\u00ed Ruska do n\u00ed. Je smutn\u00e9 vid\u011bt, jak se evropsk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 elity nedok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed vyrovnat s t\u00edm, \u017ee je Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 s Rusy prost\u011b vy\u0161achovali ze hry.<\/p>\n

Ale \u010demu se vlastn\u011b div\u00ed? Maj\u00ed n\u011bjakou vlastn\u00ed alternativu postupu, kter\u00fd by zajistil v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ukrajiny a jejich vojsk na Ruskem? Nemaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Jak si n\u011bkdo vlastn\u011b mohl myslet, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9 porazit jadernou velmoc, kter\u00e1 p\u0159itom m\u00e1 slu\u0161n\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd potenci\u00e1l a zejm\u00e9na ob\u0159\u00ed a komplexn\u00ed surovinovou z\u00e1kladnu. Podle ned\u00e1vno vydan\u00e9ho p\u0159ehledu Sv\u011btov\u00e9 banky Rusko v objemu vytvo\u0159en\u00e9ho HDP podle parity kupn\u00ed s\u00edly m\u00e1 hospod\u00e1\u0159skou s\u00edlu na \u00farovni Japonska \u010di N\u011bmecka. Je tedy v z\u00e1sad\u011b jedno,\u00a0\u00a0jestli je hospod\u00e1\u0159sky siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed Rusko ne\u017eli Japonsko \u010di zda Rusko je o n\u011bco slab\u0161\u00ed ne\u017eli N\u011bmecko. To nehraje velkou roli.<\/p>\n

\u00a0P\u0159itom Rusko m\u00e1 za sebou obrovskou \u010d\u00ednskou ekonomiku. A \u010c\u00edna nem\u00e1 nejmen\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem na tom, aby Rusko padlo a bylo rozparcelov\u00e1no, jak o tom n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed lid\u00e9 na Z\u00e1pad\u011b sn\u00ed. Proto\u017ee ve h\u0159e zvan\u00e9 politick\u00e9 domino by p\u00e1d Ruska znamenal tak\u00e9 v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 probl\u00e9my pro mocenskou pozici \u010c\u00edny. Evropsk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 elity v z\u00e1sad\u011b nejsou schopny p\u0159ij\u00edt ani se strategi\u00ed, ani s financemi,\u00a0\u00a0ba ani z nab\u00eddkou dostate\u010dn\u00e9ho mno\u017estv\u00ed zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by umo\u017enily vojensk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ukrajiny. Krom\u011b toho, Ukrajina prost\u011b nem\u00e1 pot\u0159ebn\u00fd lidsk\u00fd potenci\u00e1l. Chyb\u011bj\u00ed j\u00ed voj\u00e1ci, ztr\u00e1ty na \u017eivotech ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f za posledn\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dty\u0159i roky konfliktu byly obrovsk\u00e9. A \u010dasto\u00a0\u00a0nevycvi\u010den\u00ed nov\u00e1\u010dci v \u0159ad\u00e1ch ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy jsou jenom kanonenfutrem pro rusk\u00e1 d\u011bla, drony, tanky a rakety. Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da postupuje mo\u017en\u00e1 pomalu, ale jist\u011b. A zab\u00edr\u00e1, jak se zd\u00e1, strategick\u00e1 m\u011bsta jako je Pokrovsk\u00a0\u00a0\u010di Kupjansk.<\/p>\n

Je sice hezk\u00e9 v\u011b\u0159it poh\u00e1dk\u00e1m o z\u00e1zrac\u00edch, jako jim v\u011b\u0159\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad \u017dantovsk\u00fd a Petr Pavel, ale tato kr\u00e1sn\u00e1 v\u00edra v z\u00e1zraky, toto blouzn\u011bn\u00ed, nepom\u016f\u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fdm vojsk\u016fm ke zvratu na boji\u0161ti. Tak\u017ee, pokud nedojde k uzav\u0159en\u00ed t\u00e9to dohody postaven\u00e9 na \u00fazemn\u00edch a dal\u0161\u00edch \u00fastupc\u00edch ze strany Ukrajiny, pak d\u0159\u00edve nebo pozd\u011bji ukrajinsk\u00e1 vojska ztrat\u00ed i ta \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 zat\u00edm je\u0161t\u011b Rusko nez\u00edskalo. A chce je od Ukrajiny z\u00edskat, ale ta je zat\u00edm tvrd\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

P\u0159i prvn\u00edm pohledu na 28 Trumpov\u00fdch bod\u016f se zd\u00e1, \u017ee cel\u00fd ten koncept je pom\u011brn\u011b dost vyrovnan\u00fd. Nen\u00ed to\u00a0\u00a0o tom, \u017ee by to byly jenom body v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 pro Rusko. Naopak, je tam tak\u00e9 n\u011bkolik bod\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou pro Rusko velmi nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v\u010d. ztr\u00e1ty v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti jeho zahrani\u010dn\u00edch depozit ve prosp\u011bch Ukrajiny a tak\u00e9 Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. To je pot\u0159eba objektivn\u011b vid\u011bt.<\/p>\n

Je tedy pot\u0159eba cel\u00fd pl\u00e1n Ameri\u010dan\u016f br\u00e1t komplexn\u011b a nevytrhnout pouze\u00a0\u00a0n\u011bkolik bod\u016f, kter\u00e9 se nehod\u00ed a proti nim za\u010d\u00edt brojit.<\/p>\n

Osobn\u011b se domn\u00edv\u00e1m, \u017ee Trumpova ochota v\u00fdznamn\u011bji ustupovat v 28 bodech nebude velk\u00e1, ale m\u016f\u017ee k n\u00ed doj\u00edt. Evropa a jej\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i a zejm\u00e9na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed N\u011bmecka, Brit\u00e1nie a Francie by se m\u011bli vr\u00e1tit k politick\u00e9mu realismu. Ukrajin\u011b prost\u011b nemohou efektivn\u011b pomoci Rusko porazit. Pokud se z bitevn\u00edho pole st\u00e1hnou Ameri\u010dan\u00e9, jak t\u00edm hroz\u00ed<\/p>\n

\u00a0anebo pokud p\u0159eru\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vky zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed, ale tak\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, pak by se Ukrajina polo\u017eila b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika m\u00e1lo t\u00fddn\u016f.<\/p>\n

Zelenskyj je ve velmi slo\u017eit\u00e9 situaci. Nem\u016f\u017ee si dovolit odm\u00edtnout americk\u00fd pl\u00e1n. M\u016f\u017ee jenom doufat v jeho korekci, proto\u017ee je zjevn\u011b se svou arm\u00e1dou na konci sil. Po skand\u00e1lu a \u00faplatk\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 af\u00e9\u0159e, kter\u00e1 zasahuje do jeho nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edho okol\u00ed a zasahuje nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed kruhy Ukrajiny, je tak\u00e9 mor\u00e1ln\u011b na dn\u011b. Za t\u00e9to situace je nejlep\u0161\u00ed ukon\u010dit konflikt. Se\u010d\u00edst ztr\u00e1ty a vrhnout se do budov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 Ukrajiny. Ta u\u017e bude bez Zelensk\u00e9ho, bude neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed zem\u00ed a bude mj. respektovat\u00a0\u00a0bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy Ruska. Ale tak\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve nebo pozd\u011bji vstoup\u00ed do Evropsk\u00e9 unie, co\u017e by j\u00ed a jej\u00edmu lidu mohlo p\u0159in\u00e9st ur\u010dit\u00e9 benefity.<\/p>\n

Celou v\u011bc vid\u00edm jako nezvratnou, m\u00edr je nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed hodnotou. A k\u0148u\u010den\u00ed p\u00e1r prov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch \u0161akal\u016f na Pra\u017esk\u00e9m hrad\u011b neberu v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. A do Washingtonu jejich \u017ealostn\u00e9 vyt\u00ed stejn\u011b\u00a0\u00a0nedolehne.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump p\u0159i\u0161el s n\u00e1vrhem, jak ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b. Jeho 28 bod\u016f…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[283,1503,565,35,7863],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92934"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92934"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92934\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}