{"id":92838,"date":"2025-11-23T00:12:59","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T23:12:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92838"},"modified":"2025-11-22T10:20:22","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T09:20:22","slug":"nikdy-nemela-byt-druha-faze-strategii-bylo-primeri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/23\/nikdy-nemela-byt-druha-faze-strategii-bylo-primeri\/","title":{"rendered":"Nikdy nem\u011bla b\u00fdt druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze, strategi\u00ed bylo p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed se, stejn\u011b jako jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, stalo dal\u0161\u00edm boji\u0161t\u011bm, kde Tel Aviv protahuje a Washington p\u00ed\u0161e sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 k v\u00fdsledku. Budoucnost Gazy se u\u017e p\u00ed\u0161e, a ne Palestinci.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prvn\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/hamas-israel-agree-to-first-phase-of-gaza-ceasefire-under-trump-plan\"><span dir=\"auto\">f\u00e1ze<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0dohody o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed nikdy nem\u011bla b\u00fdt koncem, ale pouze za\u010d\u00e1tkem. Palestinc\u016fm nab\u00eddla vz\u00e1cnou \u00falevu od masakru, \u0161anci naj\u00edt t\u011bla, znovu spojit rodiny a postavit se ma\u0161in\u00e9rii genocidy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale v okam\u017eiku, kdy odboj splnil sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky t\u00edm, \u017ee vydal zajatce, vr\u00e1til ostatky a dodr\u017eel ka\u017edou klauzuli, maska \u200b\u200bspadla. Z\u00e1m\u011brem Tel Avivu nikdy nebylo postoupit do\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles-id\/33870\"><span dir=\"auto\">druh\u00e9 f\u00e1ze<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, ale vydolovat, co se dalo, pak zastavit, posunout brankovou \u010d\u00e1ru a znovu z\u00edskat kontrolu jin\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Strategie \u201epauzuj a dominuj\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e9 pod rou\u0161kou \u00falevy, bylo zorganizov\u00e1no Tel Avivem a Washingtonem jako n\u00e1stroj k\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/no-rule-without-resistance-gazas-post-war-future-and-the-collapse-of-foreign-illusions\"><span dir=\"auto\">obnoven\u00ed jejich vlivu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 nejen v Gaze, ale i v \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm smyslu v\u00e1lky a m\u00edru v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed mocnosti ji\u017e dlouho vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed jako\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles-id\/34076\"><span dir=\"auto\">mechanismy<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0k op\u011btovn\u00e9 legitimizaci sv\u00e9 dominance. Jazyk mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va, architektura diplomacie a dokonce i slovn\u00edk humanit\u00e1rn\u00edho hnut\u00ed jsou b\u011b\u017en\u011b zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ny jako zbran\u011b ve prosp\u011bch z\u00e1jm\u016f imperialismu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi a procedur\u00e1ln\u00edmi pr\u016ftahy se skr\u00fdval hlub\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1m\u011br, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem bylo prom\u011bnit pauzu v obrat a p\u0159ehodnotit budoucnost Gazy tak, aby Palestince zcela odsunul na vedlej\u0161\u00ed kolej. Samotn\u00fd proces p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed se stal n\u00e1strojem dominance, formovan\u00fdm pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u011bmi mocnostmi, jejich\u017e vojensk\u00fd a politick\u00fd apar\u00e1t dohnal Gazu ke katastrof\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou tedy nen\u00ed, pro\u010d je druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze odkl\u00e1d\u00e1na. Zn\u00ed: kdo ji odkl\u00e1d\u00e1, za jak\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem a v r\u00e1mci jak\u00e9 politick\u00e9 architektury je tento proces \u0159\u00edzen?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Odpov\u011b\u010f na tuto ot\u00e1zku znamen\u00e1 pod\u00edvat se za hranice novinov\u00fdch titulk\u016f a na mocensk\u00e9 koridory, kter\u00e9 se t\u00e1hnou od izraelsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho kabinetu a\u017e po washingtonsk\u00fd apar\u00e1t n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, od rozpor\u016f v izraelsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b a\u017e po \u010derven\u00e9 linie, kter\u00e9 palestinsk\u00fd odpor vyty\u010dil kolem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/blairs-second-coming-gaza-under-colonial-trusteeship\"><span dir=\"auto\">sv\u011b\u0159eneck\u00fdch<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0sch\u00e9mat.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Odpor dohodu potvrdil \u2013 Tel Aviv ji poru\u0161il<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V rozhovoru pro\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><i><span dir=\"auto\">The Cradle<\/span><\/i><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0vysoce postaven\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel Ham\u00e1su Abdel Mad\u017e\u00edd al-Av\u00e1d p\u0159edlo\u017eil p\u0159\u00edmo\u010darou, ale usv\u011bd\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed zpr\u00e1vu: odboj v prvn\u00ed f\u00e1zi pln\u011b dodr\u017eel sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky, v\u010detn\u011b propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u0161ech \u017eiv\u00fdch zajatc\u016f najednou a pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho p\u0159ed\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bl navzdory logistick\u00fdm slo\u017eitostem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu takov\u00e9mu z\u00e1vazku nedo\u0161lo. Ka\u017edodenn\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/over-400-casualties-in-gaza-since-start-of-us-backed-ceasefire\"><span dir=\"auto\">poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, ne\u00fanavn\u00e9 ni\u010den\u00ed infrastruktury a c\u00edlen\u00e9 zab\u00edjen\u00ed civilist\u016f p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed zaveden\u00e9ho izraelsk\u00e9ho vzorce zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed a vyh\u00fdb\u00e1n\u00ed se pod rou\u0161kou \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch ohled\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto je kontext, ve kter\u00e9m nyn\u00ed prob\u00edh\u00e1 druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze. A zde je to pr\u00e1v\u011b postoj odboje, kter\u00fd p\u0159evrac\u00ed dominantn\u00ed narativ.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle vysoce postaven\u00e9ho p\u0159edstavitele Palestinsk\u00e9ho isl\u00e1msk\u00e9ho d\u017eih\u00e1du (PIJ) Mahfouze Munawwara odboj nepodepsal \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 postkonfliktn\u00ed politick\u00e1 ujedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Jedinou podepsanou dohodou byla prvn\u00ed f\u00e1ze. V\u0161echno ostatn\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b diskus\u00ed o spr\u00e1v\u011b v\u011bc\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch a bezpe\u010dnosti v Gaze, bylo odlo\u017eeno na budouc\u00ed vnitropalestinsk\u00fd konsenzus. Odzbrojen\u00ed nen\u00ed na stole. Bude se o n\u011bm diskutovat a\u017e po skon\u010den\u00ed okupace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato pravda bo\u0159\u00ed m\u00fdtus \u2013 \u0161iroce \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fd v izraelsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch \u2013 \u017ee odboj implicitn\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.com\/israel-news\/2025-10-10\/ty-article\/.premium\/how-hamas-gave-netanyahu-the-excuse-to-prolong-the-gaza-war\/00000199-cd96-d068-a9b9-eddfd1ce0000\"><span dir=\"auto\">akceptoval<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0druhou f\u00e1zi. Neakceptoval. Zast\u00e1val se linie, \u017ee o jak\u00e9koli politick\u00e9 budoucnosti Gazy mus\u00ed rozhodnout kolektivn\u011b Palestinci, nikoli ji mus\u00ed vnutit ciz\u00ed mocnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Spr\u00e1vcovstv\u00ed pod jin\u00fdm n\u00e1zvem<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto kontextu je ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN (RB OSN) o z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles-id\/34347\"><span dir=\"auto\">m\u00edrov\u00e9 rady<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c pro spr\u00e1vu Gazy jedn\u00edm z dosud nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch v\u00fdvoj\u016f. Pro Ham\u00e1s \u201erezoluce zav\u00e1d\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed mechanismus poru\u010dnictv\u00ed nad p\u00e1smem Gazy, kter\u00fd n\u00e1\u0161 lid a jeho frakce odm\u00edtaj\u00ed. Zav\u00e1d\u00ed tak\u00e9 mechanismus k dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f okupace, kter\u00fdch se j\u00ed nepoda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm brut\u00e1ln\u00ed genocidy.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Takzvan\u00e9 \u201epodm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 schv\u00e1len\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00e9 cituj\u00ed Washington a Tel Aviv, je jen o m\u00e1lo v\u00edc ne\u017e medi\u00e1ln\u00ed manipulace. Samotn\u00e1 realizace druh\u00e9 f\u00e1ze je st\u00e1le nemo\u017en\u00e1, proto\u017ee Izrael chce b\u00fdt zbaven n\u00e1klad\u016f, politiky, palestinsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v a jak\u00e9hokoli skute\u010dn\u00e9ho sta\u017een\u00ed vojsk.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael nyn\u00ed spojuje pokrok ve druh\u00e9 f\u00e1zi se t\u0159emi ot\u00e1zkami: navracen\u00edm t\u011bl, s\u00edt\u00ed tunel\u016f a t\u00edm, co naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201ezb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edmi hrozbami\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak vysv\u011btluj\u00ed Awad a Munawwar, nejedn\u00e1 se o skute\u010dn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed obavy, ale o politick\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje k odd\u00e1len\u00ed sta\u017een\u00ed vojsk a vnucen\u00ed nov\u00e9 reality v ter\u00e9nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky Izrael vyu\u017e\u00edval probl\u00e9m s tunely k ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edch pozemn\u00edch operac\u00ed \u2013 p\u0159esto\u017ee jeho vlastn\u00ed arm\u00e1da uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee vym\u00fdcen\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b tunel\u016f je\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.inss.org.il\/publication\/gaza-tunnels\/:~:text=Azar%20Gat-,what%20have%20we%20not%20yet%20grasped%20about%20the%20strategic%20implications,of%20the%20organization's%252\"><span dir=\"auto\">nedosa\u017eiteln\u00fd<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0c\u00edl. Pojem \u201ezb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed hrozby\u201c je z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b v\u00e1gn\u00ed a m\u00e1 za c\u00edl udr\u017eet trvalou v\u00e1le\u010dnou situaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jin\u00fdmi slovy, jedn\u00e1 se o pokusy vnutit podm\u00ednky v\u00edt\u011bze po por\u00e1\u017ece na boji\u0161ti. Tel Aviv se sna\u017e\u00ed vymoci politick\u00e9 \u00fastupky prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm rozhovor\u016f, kter\u00fdch se mu nepoda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout silou.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Obnova Gazy<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jedn\u00edm z nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch z t\u011bchto pokus\u016f je zaveden\u00ed tzv. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles-id\/34311\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u017elut\u00e9 linie<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c \u2013 geografick\u00e9ho rozd\u011blen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by fakticky rozd\u011blilo Gazu na sever a jih a prom\u011bnilo do\u010dasn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed v trvalou politickou roztr\u017eku.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Takzvan\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed n\u00e1razn\u00edk je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 kampan\u011b na rozd\u011blen\u00ed palestinsk\u00e9 geografie \u2013 odd\u011blen\u00ed Gazy od okupovan\u00e9ho Z\u00e1padn\u00edho b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu, izolace okupovan\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodn\u00edho Jeruzal\u00e9ma a nyn\u00ed rozd\u011blen\u00ed samotn\u00e9 Gazy na dv\u011b poloviny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Awad je jednozna\u010dn\u00fd: odboj nep\u0159ijme \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159ekreslov\u00e1n\u00ed hranic, vojensk\u00e9 ani politick\u00e9. Bez Palestiny neexistuje Gaza a bez Gazy neexistuje Palestina. Jak\u00fdkoli pokus o p\u0159em\u011bnu bojov\u00fdch lini\u00ed na trval\u00e9 hranice je jednodu\u0161e novou verz\u00ed projektu \u201eNov\u00e1 Gaza\u201c \u2013 pl\u00e1nu na odtr\u017een\u00ed p\u00e1sma od jeho n\u00e1rodn\u00edho kontextu a jeho p\u0159em\u011bnu na demilitarizovanou, na pomoci z\u00e1vislou z\u00f3nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Stejn\u011b alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed je i m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed se mand\u00e1t navrhovan\u00fdch\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/us-drafts-plan-for-international-gaza-security-force-seeks-un-backing-report\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch sil\u201c (ISF). To, co bylo p\u016fvodn\u011b koncipov\u00e1no jako monitorovac\u00ed mise pro dohled nad p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm, se nyn\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b n\u00e1vrh\u016f USA prom\u011bnilo v plnohodnotn\u00fd administrativn\u00ed subjekt.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed sta\u017een\u00ed vojsk, p\u0159es spr\u00e1vu Gazy, v\u00fdkon moci a\u017e po zav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed nov\u00e9ho politick\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du, se bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed s\u00edly sna\u017e\u00ed zbavit odpor jak\u00e9koli role a zav\u00e9st politick\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, kter\u00fd slou\u017e\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ham\u00e1s i Islamsk\u00fd d\u017eih\u00e1distick\u00fd d\u017eej (PIJ) tento n\u00e1vrh kategoricky odm\u00edtly \u2013 ne jako taktick\u00fd postoj, ale jako principi\u00e1ln\u00ed postoj: jak\u00e1koli zahrani\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edla neschv\u00e1len\u00e1 palestinsk\u00fdm konsensem je okupa\u010dn\u00ed silou, bez ohledu na vlajku, pod kterou vzty\u010duje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dokonce i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vyj\u00e1d\u0159ily\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/ar\/%D8%A5%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%D9%8A%D9%84\/%D8%AA%D9%88%D8%A7%D8%B5%D9%84-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B1%D9%81%D8%B6-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%B1%D8%A8%D9%8A-%D9%84%D8%AE%D8%B7%D8%A9-%D8%AA%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%85%D8%A8-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%8A%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%A1-%D8%B9%D9%84%D9%89-%D8%BA%D8%B2%D8%A9-%D9%88%D8%AA%D9%87%D8%AC%D9%8A%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D9%84%D8%B3%D8%B7%D9%8A%D9%86%D9%8A%D9%8A%D9%86-%D9%85%D8%AD%D8%B5%D9%84%D8%A9\/3473162\"><span dir=\"auto\">n\u00e1mitky<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a uznaly, \u017ee tento pl\u00e1n je jen o m\u00e1lo v\u00edc ne\u017e restartem star\u00e9ho washingtonsk\u00e9ho modelu sv\u011b\u0159eneck\u00e9ho \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Redukuje palestinskou kauzu na humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed probl\u00e9m a zast\u00edr\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dovou ot\u00e1zku n\u00e1rodn\u00edho osvobozen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pro\u010d tedy Izrael br\u00e1n\u00ed druh\u00e9 f\u00e1zi?\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroje z Ham\u00e1su i Islamsk\u00e9ho d\u017eih\u00e1distick\u00e9ho d\u017eih\u00e1du (PIJ) informuj\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><i><span dir=\"auto\">den\u00edk The Cradle<\/span><\/i><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, \u017ee Izrael br\u00e1n\u00ed druh\u00e9 f\u00e1zi ze \u010dty\u0159 hlavn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9 proto, \u017ee postup do dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze by se rovnalo uzn\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles-id\/19839\"><span dir=\"auto\">ne\u00fasp\u011bchu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0jeho v\u00e1lky. V Izraeli je jasn\u00e1 shoda: vojensk\u00e1 kampa\u0148 nep\u0159inesla v\u00fdsledky. Formalizace druh\u00e9 f\u00e1ze by toto selh\u00e1n\u00ed potvrdila, tak\u017ee politick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed rad\u011bji ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 proces v nejistot\u011b \u2013 kupuje si \u010das v nad\u011bji, \u017ee znovu z\u00edsk\u00e1 ztracenou p\u0159evahu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za druh\u00e9, proto\u017ee Washington hraje na ob\u011b strany. Zat\u00edmco ve\u0159ejn\u011b tla\u010d\u00ed na Tel Aviv, aby vyhov\u011bl, z\u00e1rove\u0148 umo\u017e\u0148uje izraelsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b p\u0159edefinovat podm\u00ednky. Tato dvojakost vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u0161edou z\u00f3nu, kterou Tel Aviv zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 ve sv\u016fj prosp\u011bch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za t\u0159et\u00ed, proto\u017ee izraelsk\u00e1\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/why-israel-seeks-a-temporary-gaza-truce-to-keep-its-genocide-going\"><span dir=\"auto\">krajn\u011b pravicov\u00e1<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0vl\u00e1da vn\u00edm\u00e1 jak\u00e9koli sta\u017een\u00ed jako kapitulaci. Pokrok v ot\u00e1zce p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed hroz\u00ed rozpadem vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed koalice a vystavuje vl\u00e1du dom\u00e1c\u00edmu kolapsu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A za \u010dtvrt\u00e9, proto\u017ee se Tel Aviv sna\u017e\u00ed v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch vynutit to, co se mu nepoda\u0159ilo prosadit silou. Po\u017eaduje odzbrojen\u00ed odboje bez kompromis\u016f, ni\u010den\u00ed tunel\u016f bez boj\u016f, zahrani\u010dn\u00ed dohled bez odpov\u011bdnosti a trval\u00e9 odd\u011blen\u00ed Gazy od okupovan\u00e9ho Z\u00e1padn\u00edho b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu \u2013 a to v\u0161e vyd\u00e1v\u00e1 za p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA, kter\u00e9 zorganizovaly p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00ed dilematu. Cht\u011bj\u00ed, aby v\u00e1lka skon\u010dila, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo region\u00e1ln\u00edmu kolapsu a napravily si sv\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed postaven\u00ed. Nemohou v\u0161ak Izrael donutit k \u00fapln\u00e9mu sta\u017een\u00ed, ani\u017e by vyvolaly politickou reakci doma a d\u00e1le destabilizovaly region.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdsledkem je kontrolovan\u00e9 zmrazen\u00ed. C\u00edlem nen\u00ed ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku, ale omezit ji \u2013 udr\u017eet ji v mez\u00edch, kter\u00e9 chr\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1jmy USA, ani\u017e by ohrozily jejich region\u00e1ln\u00ed strategii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To znamen\u00e1 posun od \u201etot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u201c k zpomalen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi politick\u00fdmi rozhodnut\u00edmi, nikoli leteck\u00fdmi \u00fadery nebo invazemi.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Palestinsk\u00e1 vize pro druhou f\u00e1zi<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto vakuu si odpor stanovil vlastn\u00ed vizi pro druhou f\u00e1zi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9, Gaza nen\u00ed samostatnou entitou. Je neodd\u011bliteln\u00e1 od palestinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed struktury. Pro Gazu neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 budoucnost mimo kontext palestinsk\u00e9 jednoty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za druh\u00e9, jak\u00e9koli mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed s\u00edly se mus\u00ed omezit na monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed hranic. Nemohou palestinskou spole\u010dnost spravovat, \u0159\u00eddit ani ji hl\u00eddat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/gaza-needs-70bn-to-rebuild-following-israels-genocidal-war-undp%5d\"><span dir=\"auto\">Za t\u0159et\u00ed, rekonstrukci<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Gazy\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span dir=\"auto\">a civiln\u00ed spr\u00e1vu by m\u011bl v\u00e9st palestinsk\u00fd technokratick\u00fd v\u00fdbor, vytvo\u0159en\u00fd na z\u00e1klad\u011b n\u00e1rodn\u00edho konsensu a podporovan\u00fd arabsk\u00fdmi a isl\u00e1msk\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato vize v\u0161ak nen\u00ed slu\u010diteln\u00e1 s americk\u00fdm pl\u00e1nem. Je jeho protijedem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tak\u017ee byla druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze zpo\u017ed\u011bna \u2013 nebo zablokov\u00e1na?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Odpov\u011b\u010f se p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u00ed k druh\u00e9 mo\u017enosti. Z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b, strategicky a v pln\u00e9 koordinaci mezi Tel Avivem a Washingtonem. Jak Awad i Munawwar sd\u011blili\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><i><span dir=\"auto\">serveru The Cradle<\/span><\/i><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze, kter\u00e1 zdaleka nep\u0159edstavuje pouh\u00e1 vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, utv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed budoucnost Gazy, okupovan\u00e9ho Z\u00e1padn\u00edho b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu, Palestinsk\u00e9 samospr\u00e1vy (PA), odboje a region\u00e1ln\u00edho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Proto Izrael a jeho spojenci ot\u00e1lej\u00ed. Cht\u011bj\u00ed zajistit, aby a\u017e za\u010dne druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze, nevr\u00e1tila odpor do iniciativn\u00ed pozice ani nezhroutila izraelskou vl\u00e1du.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sna\u017e\u00ed se zablokovat jakoukoli cestu k palestinsk\u00e9 jednot\u011b kolem nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed spr\u00e1vy. Cht\u011bj\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed \u017eivotaschopn\u00e9 cesty k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed st\u00e1tu, zachovat odd\u011blen\u00ed Gazy od okupovan\u00e9ho Z\u00e1padn\u00edho b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu a udr\u017eet si kontrolu nad hrani\u010dn\u00edmi p\u0159echody, programem rekonstrukce a \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm politick\u00fdm narativem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze za\u010dne a\u017e tehdy, a\u017e si bude Tel Aviv jist\u00fd, \u017ee nespust\u00ed novou vlnu palestinsk\u00e9ho osvobozen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A tak se vrac\u00edme k \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edmu rozporu: odboj splnil sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky; okupace nesplnila \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9. V t\u00e9to meze\u0159e mezi pln\u00fdm dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm a \u00fapln\u00fdm vyh\u00fdb\u00e1n\u00edm se se odv\u00edj\u00ed jedna z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch kapitol palestinsk\u00e9ho boje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii jsou dohody z\u0159\u00eddka n\u00e1strojem k ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e n\u00e1strojem k\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/lessons-from-syria-lebanon-resistance-is-the-only-guarantor-of-sovereignty\"><span dir=\"auto\">demont\u00e1\u017ei odporu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ot\u00e1zkou v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1: M\u016f\u017ee Izrael nevyhnuteln\u00e9 odlo\u017eit nav\u017edy, nebo se politick\u00fd impuls vytvo\u0159en\u00fd odporem na boji\u0161ti prosad\u00ed i na jednac\u00edm stole?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Odpov\u011b\u010f spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v palestinsk\u00e9m lidu \u2013 v jeho jednot\u011b, odm\u00edtnut\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00edho poru\u010dnictv\u00ed a schopnosti odboje prom\u011bnit svou vojenskou vytrvalost v politickou strategii, kter\u00e1 dok\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159ekonfigurovat celou region\u00e1ln\u00ed rovnici.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles\/there-was-never-going-to-be-a-phase-two-the-ceasefire-was-the-strategy\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Mohammad al-Ayoubi<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/thecradle-main.oss-eu-central-1.aliyuncs.com\/public\/admins\/b31b6f20-a79e-11f0-a117-00163e02c055.webp\" width=\"143\" height=\"143\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed se, stejn\u011b jako jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, stalo dal\u0161\u00edm boji\u0161t\u011bm, kde Tel Aviv protahuje a Washington p\u00ed\u0161e&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92839,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,348,107],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92838"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92838\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92839"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}