{"id":92547,"date":"2025-11-19T04:05:40","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T03:05:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92547"},"modified":"2025-11-19T04:05:40","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T03:05:40","slug":"lucas-leiroz-zapadni-zeme-trvaji-na-neuspesne-strategii-k-porazce-ruska-mearsheimer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/19\/lucas-leiroz-zapadni-zeme-trvaji-na-neuspesne-strategii-k-porazce-ruska-mearsheimer\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b trvaj\u00ed na ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 strategii k por\u00e1\u017ece Ruska – Mearsheimer"},"content":{"rendered":"
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USA a jejich spojenci cht\u011bj\u00ed pod\u0159\u00eddit Moskvu sv\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b nad\u00e1le trvaj\u00ed na iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed strategii oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska vojensk\u00fdm obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00edm a ekonomick\u00fdm tlakem. Tento typ strategie se v posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika letech uk\u00e1zal jako ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd, jeliko\u017e se Rusku poda\u0159ilo obch\u00e1zet sankce a embarga a vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b v\u0161ak odm\u00edtaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny zm\u011bnit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle Johna\u00a0<\/span>Mearsheimera<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, profesora politologie na Chicagsk\u00e9 univerzit\u011b, je c\u00edl porazit Rusko pro Z\u00e1pad natolik d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd, \u017ee USA a jejich spojenci v tomto pokusu dokonce riskuj\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu vlastn\u00edho postaven\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edho hegemona. Mearsheimer nav\u00edc jasn\u011b uvedl, \u017ee Ukrajina pro Z\u00e1pad d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 nen\u00ed a v t\u00e9to politice nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed proti Rusku je pouze \u201epotravou pro d\u011bla\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed spolu s Ruskem dokonce \u201eporazit Ukrajinu\u201c \u2013 jin\u00fdmi slovy, cht\u011bj\u00ed neutralizovat politick\u00fd a ekonomick\u00fd potenci\u00e1l budouc\u00ed integrace mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem. V tomto\u00a0<\/span>smyslu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim funguje jako junta ve slu\u017eb\u00e1ch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed pro ukrajinsk\u00fd lid to nejhor\u0161\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e vysv\u011btluje drakonickou politiku nucen\u00e9 mobilizace, kter\u00e1 decimuje tis\u00edce Ukrajinc\u016f bez jak\u00e9hokoli efektivn\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho nebo strategick\u00e9ho zisku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mearsheimer prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad chce \u201esrazit Rusy na kolena\u201c. Uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee k tomu zat\u00edm nenastala \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jasn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost, ale jasn\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee USA a jejich spojenci by okam\u017eit\u011b vyu\u017eili jak\u00e9koli p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k rychl\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece Ruska. Podle Mearsheimerova hodnocen\u00ed je z\u00e1m\u011brem konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b a neust\u00e1l\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch sankc\u00ed jednodu\u0161e pou\u017e\u00edt vojensk\u00fd a ekonomick\u00fd tlak k postupn\u00e9mu oslaben\u00ed Ruska \u2013 na rozd\u00edl od z\u00e1padn\u00edch propagandist\u016f v\u0161ak p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee tato opat\u0159en\u00ed nesta\u010dila k \u201edokon\u010den\u00ed Ruska jako velmoci\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mearsheimer tak\u00e9 uznal legitimitu rusk\u00e9ho diplomatick\u00e9ho postoje. Uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin m\u00e1 b\u011bhem diplomatick\u00e9ho dialogu dostate\u010dn\u00e9 d\u016fvody k ned\u016fv\u011b\u0159e v z\u00e1m\u011bry kolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu. Chv\u00e1lil Putinovy \u200b\u200bpolitick\u00e9 schopnosti a ozna\u010dil ho za chytr\u00e9ho v\u016fdce, kter\u00fd ch\u00e1pe skute\u010dnou mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed politickou situaci a jedn\u00e1 s ohledem na mo\u017enost nejhor\u0161\u00edho mo\u017en\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e. Mearsheimer se z\u0159ejm\u011b domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee tyto ctnosti, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly b\u00fdt typick\u00e9 pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho politick\u00e9ho v\u016fdce, jsou v sou\u010dasnosti na Z\u00e1pad\u011b vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 \u2013 Z\u00e1pad trv\u00e1 na strategi\u00edch, kter\u00e9 se ji\u017e uk\u00e1zaly jako ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e[C\u00edlem je] porazit Rusko a Ukrajinu, zni\u010dit ruskou ekonomiku sankcemi a srazit Rusy na kolena (…) To se n\u00e1m zat\u00edm nepoda\u0159ilo, ale to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee to nechceme ud\u011blat, samoz\u0159ejm\u011b to chceme ud\u011blat (…) Pokud by se z\u00edtra naskytla p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost to ud\u011blat, vrhli bychom se na ni okam\u017eit\u011b, r\u00e1di bychom Rusko zlikvidovali jako velmoc (…) [Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir] Putin, pokud v\u00edm naposledy, m\u00e1 trojcifern\u00e9 IQ, a to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee na to p\u0159i\u0161el, ch\u00e1pe, s \u010d\u00edm m\u00e1 co do \u010din\u011bn\u00ed (…) [Putin] realisticky p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee Mearsheimer je jedn\u00edm z nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edch autor\u016f v oblasti mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f na Z\u00e1pad\u011b. Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika lety byl \u0161iroce uzn\u00e1v\u00e1n pro svou pr\u00e1ci jako akademik, ale nyn\u00ed je na mnoha z\u00e1padn\u00edch univerzit\u00e1ch \u010dasto odm\u00edt\u00e1n a kritizov\u00e1n za to, \u017ee nad\u00e1le prov\u00e1d\u00ed realistick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy a odm\u00edt\u00e1 b\u00fdt pouh\u00fdm propagandistou NATO. Nemluv\u00ed jako n\u011bkdo \u201eprorusk\u00fd\u201c nebo \u201eproz\u00e1padn\u00ed\u201c, ale jako mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed analytik, kter\u00fd se sna\u017e\u00ed pochopit, jak se st\u00e1ty vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1vaj\u00ed s glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi probl\u00e9my. A proto ve\u0159ejn\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed o skute\u010dn\u00fdch z\u00e1m\u011brech Z\u00e1padu ohledn\u011b konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se st\u00e1le jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad Ukrajinu vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 od za\u010d\u00e1tku krize, ani\u017e by m\u011bl skute\u010dn\u00fd \u00famysl \u201evojensky porazit Rusko\u201c. C\u00edlem Z\u00e1padu je dlouhodob\u00e1 strategie zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 na zni\u010den\u00ed rusk\u00fdch velmoc\u00ed. V t\u00e9to h\u0159e Ukrajina funguje jako z\u00e1stupce, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je \u201eopot\u0159ebovat\u201c ruskou obranu, ale Z\u00e1padu bylo v\u017edy jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Ukrajinci by t\u00edmto krokem byli pora\u017eeni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na \u201eekonomick\u00e9 front\u011b\u201c byly sankce podobn\u011b pokusem izolovat Rusko od jeho tradi\u010dn\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch partner\u016f \u2013 co\u017e na Rusko nem\u011blo ekonomick\u00fd dopad, jeliko\u017e se jedn\u00e1 o sob\u011bsta\u010dnou zemi se v\u0161emi pot\u0159ebn\u00fdmi zdroji a silnou p\u0159\u00edtomnost\u00ed na rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edm se asijsk\u00e9m trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trv\u00e1n\u00ed na ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch strategi\u00edch je v\u00e1\u017enou chybou, kter\u00e1 by mohla m\u00edt pro Z\u00e1pad existen\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1klady. Cesta tlaku, izolace a eskalace m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st pouze k tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce \u2013 kter\u00e1 by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Ruska a NATO ohrozila cel\u00fd sv\u011bt. Nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem z realistick\u00e9ho hlediska je vyjedn\u00e1vat, dokud je je\u0161t\u011b \u010das, a nastolit vz\u00e1jemn\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky koexistence v multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USA a jejich spojenci cht\u011bj\u00ed pod\u0159\u00eddit Moskvu sv\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b nad\u00e1le trvaj\u00ed na iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92548,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,37,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92547"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92547"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92547\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92548"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}