{"id":92471,"date":"2025-11-18T06:45:37","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T05:45:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92471"},"modified":"2025-11-18T06:45:37","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T05:45:37","slug":"nova-studena-valka-na-prahu-ameriky-trumpovo-hromadeni-armady-vyvolava-protikroky-mezi-cinou-a-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/18\/nova-studena-valka-na-prahu-ameriky-trumpovo-hromadeni-armady-vyvolava-protikroky-mezi-cinou-a-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Nov\u00e1 studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na prahu Ameriky: Trumpovo hromad\u011bn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 protikroky mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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P\u0159\u00edjezd americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva do Karibiku zintenziv\u0148uje Trumpovu konfrontaci s Venezuelou a zvy\u0161uje hrozbu \u00fader\u016f. Peking a Moskva mezit\u00edm reaguj\u00ed strategickou podporou Caracasu, co\u017e podtrhuje multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sm\u011br regionu \u2013 Latinsk\u00e1 Amerika sleduje, jak se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 vysoce rizikov\u00fd riskantn\u00ed krok.<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edjezd\u00a0<\/span>velk\u00e9 \u00fadern\u00e9 skupiny americk\u00fdch letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0do Karibiku tento t\u00fdden vyvolal v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed vlnu a\u00a0v kontextu\u00a0nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na na\u0161\u00ed polokouli p\u0159inesl n\u00e1vrat k\u00a0<\/a><\/span>nov\u00e9 verzi Monroeovy doktr\u00edny<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Toto nasazen\u00ed p\u0159edstavuje za\u010d\u00e1tek masivn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace Trumpovy administrativy, kter\u00e1 je koncipov\u00e1na jako dvojit\u00e1 kampa\u0148 \u201e\u00a0v\u00e1lky proti drog\u00e1m<\/a>\u00a0\u201c a \u201ev\u00e1lky proti teroru\u201c zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd ironicky p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 i roky George W. Bushe.<\/span><\/p>\n

Brasilsk\u00e1 stanice CNN uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee Caracas v reakci na to mobilizoval tis\u00edce raket<\/span><\/a>\u00a0dodan\u00fdch Ruskem\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washingtonsk\u00e9 sd\u011blen\u00ed byla dostate\u010dn\u011b v\u00e1gn\u00ed, aby umo\u017e\u0148ovala r\u016fzn\u00e9 interpretace, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 dostate\u010dn\u011b \u0161irok\u00e1, aby ospravedlnila rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 navy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sil v regionu. Operace m\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>bezprecedentn\u00ed rozsah<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje s\u00e1zky pro Venezuelu a jej\u00ed spojence, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e USA tuto operaci prezentuj\u00ed jako \u201eprotikart\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c n\u00e1r\u016fst s\u00edly\u00a0<\/span>nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d kontinentem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed vrstvu slo\u017eitosti p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00fadajn\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump, kter\u00fd z\u00e1rove\u0148 nazna\u010dil mo\u017enost\u00a0<\/span>rozhovor\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se sv\u00fdm venezuelsk\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem Nicol\u00e1sem Madurem, co\u017e op\u011bt ukazuje Trumpovy nevyzpytateln\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 klikatosti. Tolik ke strategick\u00e9 soudr\u017enosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 je to jakkoli, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 prezidentstv\u00ed zahajuje novou etapu washingtonsk\u00e9 doktr\u00edny kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti \u2013 etapu, kter\u00e1 m\u00eds\u00ed protiteroristickou r\u00e9toriku s narkopolitikou a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed tak pru\u017en\u00e9 ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed projekce moci kdekoli od And po Antily.<\/span><\/p>\n

R\u00e9toriku o \u201ev\u00e1lce proti drog\u00e1m\u201c lze jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed br\u00e1t v\u00e1\u017en\u011b: stoj\u00ed za zm\u00ednku, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina dod\u00e1vek drog, kter\u00e9 p\u0159i\u017eivuj\u00ed drogov\u00e9 probl\u00e9my Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, poch\u00e1z\u00ed z Mexika a Kolumbie. Podle odhad\u016f samotn\u00fdch americk\u00fdch agentur\u00a0<\/span>poch\u00e1z\u00ed z Kolumbie a do zem\u011b se pa\u0161uje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 90 procent kokainu spot\u0159ebovan\u00e9ho v USA p\u0159es Mexiko<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V srpnu jsem\u00a0<\/span>napsal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee budov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva je \u201eo zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed, nikoli o invazi \u2013 alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm\u2026 ale historie n\u00e1s u\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dasto p\u0159edch\u00e1z\u00ed eskalaci\u201c. V t\u00e9 dob\u011b se takov\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed zd\u00e1lo dostate\u010dn\u011b opatrn\u00e9. Okolnosti se v\u0161ak vyv\u00edjej\u00ed a samotn\u00fd rozsah sou\u010dasn\u00fdch nasazen\u00ed vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zku: bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edme se k prahu, kdy se zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bn\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edmou vojenskou akci?<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovi poradci ofici\u00e1ln\u011b pop\u00edraj\u00ed jak\u00fdkoli \u00famysl napadnout Venezuelu. P\u0159esto \u201epop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c historicky slou\u017eila jako preambule k eskalaci. Na druhou stranu, jak\u00a0<\/span>uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Asia Times , agresivn\u00ed sign\u00e1ly v\u016f\u010di Venezuele se ukazuj\u00ed jako \u201edar \u010c\u00edn\u011b\u201c, co\u017e posiluje argument Pekingu, \u017ee Washington pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 militarizovan\u00e9 n\u00e1tlakov\u00e9 prost\u0159edky m\u00edsto diplomacie. Koneckonc\u016f, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Caracas se v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee je v existen\u010dn\u00edm ohro\u017een\u00ed \u2013 a podle toho jedn\u00e1. Latinskoamerick\u00e1 redakce CNN uvedla\u00a0<\/span>,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u017ee Venezuela po\u017e\u00e1dala Rusko i \u010c\u00ednu o bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed pomoc, zat\u00edmco CNN Brasil uvedla\u00a0<\/span>tot\u00e9\u017e<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s dal\u0161\u00edmi podrobnostmi o \u017e\u00e1dostech o vojenskou koordinaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva a Peking zat\u00edm reagovaly r\u00e9torickou pevnost\u00ed, ale s uv\u00e1\u017eenou zdr\u017eenlivost\u00ed. Varovn\u00fdch sign\u00e1l\u016f se v\u0161ak st\u00e1le objevuje spousta. Alexej \u017duravljov (m\u00edstop\u0159edseda obrann\u00e9ho v\u00fdboru rusk\u00e9ho parlamentu) byl\u00a0<\/span>citov\u00e1n<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kdy\u017e prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Moskva by mohla Venezuele dodat balistick\u00e9 rakety st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu Ore\u0161nik. Rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov zase ned\u00e1vno\u00a0<\/span>uvedl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Kreml je \u201ep\u0159ipraven pln\u011b jednat v r\u00e1mci z\u00e1vazk\u016f, kter\u00e9 byly vz\u00e1jemn\u011b stanoveny v t\u00e9to dohod\u011b s na\u0161imi venezuelsk\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00e1teli\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Peking zase zv\u00fd\u0161il svou podporu odhalen\u00edm nov\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>obchodn\u00ed dohody s \u201enulov\u00fdmi cly\u201c<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s Caracasem b\u011bhem \u0161anghajsk\u00e9 v\u00fdstavy Expo 2025, kterou ozn\u00e1mil venezuelsk\u00fd n\u00e1m\u011bstek ministra zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu Coromoto Godoy. Pro Peking p\u0159edstavuje tato dohoda obchodn\u00ed a strategick\u00fd vstupn\u00ed bod na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli pr\u00e1v\u011b v dob\u011b, kdy Washington uprost\u0159ed nap\u011bt\u00ed zp\u0159\u00eds\u0148uje sv\u00e9 sankce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e9 spojen\u00ed by se nem\u011blo podce\u0148ovat. Krize poskytuje \u010c\u00edn\u011b strategickou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k pos\u00edlen\u00ed jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se prezentuje jako stabilizuj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00edla. Na rozd\u00edl od Washingtonu Peking nenese z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e desetilet\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch intervenc\u00ed v regionu. Nedostate\u010dn\u011b informovan\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 vazby, investice do infrastruktury a energetick\u00e1 partnerstv\u00ed d\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u010c\u00edn\u011b zna\u010dnou p\u00e1ku \u2013 dostate\u010dnou k p\u0159etvo\u0159en\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed diplomacie bez jedin\u00e9ho v\u00fdst\u0159elu. Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee \u010d\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed analytici ozna\u010duj\u00ed Trumpovu operaci za geopolitickou prohru, kterou si Washington s\u00e1m zp\u016fsobil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na Trump\u016fv vzorec \u2013 dostate\u010dn\u011b improviza\u010dn\u00ed, aby vyvolal \u0161oky, ale dostate\u010dn\u011b opatrn\u00fd, aby se vyhnul dlouhodob\u00e9mu nasazen\u00ed vojsk (odtud \u201e\u00a0<\/span>TACO<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c) \u2013 invaze v pln\u00e9m rozsahu je st\u00e1le nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1. C\u00edlen\u00e9 \u00fadery nebo razie speci\u00e1ln\u00edch operac\u00ed v\u0161ak nelze vylou\u010dit. Omezen\u00e1 akce by se dala v tuzemsku prezentovat jako \u201erozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed\u201c, ani\u017e by USA byly zapleteny do okupa\u010dn\u00edch povinnost\u00ed. P\u0159esto by i omezen\u00e9 \u00fadery st\u00e1le s sebou nesly obrovsk\u00e1 rizika eskalace.<\/span><\/p>\n

V \u010dervenci 2025 jsem\u00a0<\/span>tvrdil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Trumpova politika v\u016f\u010di Venezuele byla \u0159\u00edzena \u201ehyperpragmatismem\u201c a korpor\u00e1tn\u00edmi kalkulacemi n\u00e1klad\u016f a v\u00fdnos\u016f, zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o n\u00e1vrat Chevronu do Caracasu. Pokud st\u00e1vky destabilizuj\u00ed venezuelsk\u00e1 ropn\u00e1 pole, mohla by se glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nab\u00eddka p\u0159es noc z\u00fa\u017eit a ceny by se mohly zv\u00fd\u0161it. To by naru\u0161ilo z\u00e1klady Trumpova dom\u00e1c\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho sd\u011blen\u00ed, nemluv\u011b o tom, \u017ee by to zp\u016fsobilo bolesti hlavy americk\u00fdm energetick\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem, kter\u00e9 v regionu p\u016fsob\u00ed \u2013 nebo se o to sna\u017e\u00ed. Probl\u00e9m je v tom, \u017ee Washington ne v\u017edy jedn\u00e1 podle \u010dist\u011b racion\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 logiky, tak\u017ee extr\u00e9mn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e by se nem\u011bly tak rychle zavrhovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato patov\u00e1 situace je v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b kriz\u00ed suverenity Caracasu, ale tak\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed pro Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu v kontextu nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Nav\u00edc je to zkou\u0161ka jednoty pro Latinskou Ameriku \u2013 a vysoce rizikov\u00fd s\u00e1zkov\u00fd tah pro USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0159\u00edjezd americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva do Karibiku zintenziv\u0148uje Trumpovu konfrontaci s Venezuelou a zvy\u0161uje hrozbu \u00fader\u016f. Peking…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92472,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,30,22,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92471"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92471"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92471\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92472"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92471"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}