{"id":92299,"date":"2025-11-15T07:15:55","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T06:15:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92299"},"modified":"2025-11-15T07:15:55","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T06:15:55","slug":"elsa-boilly-zima-se-muze-stat-pro-ukrajinu-nejnebezpecnejsi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/15\/elsa-boilly-zima-se-muze-stat-pro-ukrajinu-nejnebezpecnejsi\/","title":{"rendered":"Elsa Boilly: Zima se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t pro Ukrajinu nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zima se pro Ukrajinu r\u00fdsuje jako extr\u00e9mn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 a hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se stane nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro zemi od za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu, p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm od prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace zah\u00e1jen\u00e9 p\u0159ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dty\u0159mi lety, kdy se ke Kyjevu p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eily kolony rusk\u00fdch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Situaci tehdy\u00a0<\/span>zachr\u00e1nil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zu\u0159iv\u00fd odpor Ukrajinc\u016f, 2 000 protitankov\u00fdch raket, kter\u00e9 Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie dodala jen n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f p\u0159ed vstupem vojsk, taktick\u00e9 chyby Ruska a odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 odm\u00edtnut\u00ed americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1vrhu na evakuaci prezidentem Volodymyrem Zelensk\u00fdm, p\u00ed\u0161e\u00a0<\/span>Politico<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed bude muset Ukrajina \u010delit dal\u0161\u00ed krut\u00e9 zim\u011b a hrdinstv\u00ed a vynal\u00e9zavost nemus\u00ed sta\u010dit. \u010c\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b je to proto, \u017ee osud Ukrajiny nebude zcela v jej\u00edch vlastn\u00edch rukou. Hodn\u011b bude z\u00e1viset na jej\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00edch spojenc\u00edch, zat\u00edmco Ukrajinci se budou muset b\u011bhem t\u011bchto chladn\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f vypo\u0159\u00e1dat se t\u0159emi hlavn\u00edmi probl\u00e9my.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaprv\u00e9, Ukrajin\u011b v roce 2026 hroz\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krize: ji\u017e v \u00fanoru by j\u00ed mohly doj\u00edt finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky, pokud Belgie nep\u0159ijme opravnou p\u016fj\u010dku ve v\u00fd\u0161i 140 miliard eur s vyu\u017eit\u00edm aktiv rusk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky dr\u017een\u00fdch depozit\u00e1\u0159em v Bruselu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prozat\u00edm ale nic nenasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee by veden\u00ed EU a belgick\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, znepokojen\u00e9 pr\u00e1vn\u00edmi kroky a odvetn\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi ze strany Ruska, na\u0161ly cestu z patov\u00e9 situace. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden se probl\u00e9m jen zhor\u0161il, kdy\u017e slovensk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Robert Fico prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee by se tak\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>postavil proti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0vyu\u017eit\u00ed zmrazen\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch aktiv pro ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Bez opravn\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dky bude pro EU obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 naj\u00edt tolik pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 financov\u00e1n\u00ed pro Ukrajinu, zejm\u00e9na po ukon\u010den\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed podpory USA za prezidenta Donalda Trumpa. Bez opravn\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dky se zd\u00e1 extr\u00e9mn\u011b nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by zem\u011b EU souhlasily s p\u016fj\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f na trhu. Vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed dostatek zdroj\u016f, se budou zdr\u00e1hat platit \u00faroky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

To by mohlo v\u00e9st \u201ekoalici ochotn\u00fdch\u201c k pokusu z\u00edskat finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky uprost\u0159ed politick\u00e9 nestability v Kyjev\u011b a povyku kolem\u00a0<\/span>obvin\u011bn\u00ed z korupce<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Tento t\u00fdden uprchl ze zem\u011b b\u00fdval\u00fd obchodn\u00ed partner Zelensk\u00e9ho pot\u00e9, co jej nez\u00e1visl\u00ed vy\u0161et\u0159ovatel\u00e9 obvinili spolu s \u0161esti dal\u0161\u00edmi osobami v p\u0159\u00edpadu zahrnuj\u00edc\u00edm kontrolu nad kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi st\u00e1tn\u00edmi podniky, v\u010detn\u011b n\u00e1rodn\u00ed agentury pro jadernou energii Energoatom.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V hled\u00e1\u010dku vy\u0161et\u0159ovatel\u016f je i korupce ve vojensk\u00fdch zak\u00e1zk\u00e1ch a podle anonymn\u00edch informovan\u00fdch zdroj\u016f brzy prob\u011bhnou dal\u0161\u00ed razie na ministerstvu obrany v r\u00e1mci vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed zak\u00e1zek s nadsazen\u00fdmi cenami.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00fd probl\u00e9m se t\u00fdk\u00e1 boji\u0161t\u011b, kde postupuj\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 jednotky st\u00e1le v\u00edce tla\u010d\u00ed na ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly. Ukrajina je na pokraji ztr\u00e1ty Pokrovska, kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho logistick\u00e9ho a dopravn\u00edho uzlu, kde boje prob\u00edhaj\u00ed ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e rok.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ta Pokrovska spust\u00ed novou f\u00e1zi bitvy o Donbas a usnadn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 dobyt\u00ed zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch 25 % Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti. Rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed bude moci zejm\u00e9na ohrozit strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 m\u011bsta Kramatorsk a Slavjansk.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b obav o financov\u00e1n\u00ed a d\u011bn\u00ed na boji\u0161ti existuje pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zimu t\u0159et\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed probl\u00e9m: energetick\u00e1 v\u00e1lka.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V p\u0159edchoz\u00edch zim\u00e1ch Ukrajinci d\u011blali v\u0161e, co bylo v jejich sil\u00e1ch, aby udr\u017eeli dod\u00e1vky energie, zat\u00edmco rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1lety vy\u0159adily z provozu energetick\u00fd syst\u00e9m zem\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tentokr\u00e1t jsou v\u0161ak rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho rozsahu a Ukrajina postr\u00e1d\u00e1 prost\u0159edky protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, aby je odrazila, a je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by je v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti z\u00edskala. Rusko nav\u00edc upravilo svou taktiku a zam\u011b\u0159uje se nejen na ukrajinsk\u00fd energetick\u00fd syst\u00e9m, ale i na jeho plyn\u00e1renskou infrastrukturu. \u0160edes\u00e1t procent Ukrajinc\u016f pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed plyn.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee zima na Ukrajin\u011b za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 u\u017e za m\u011bs\u00edc, mohla zem\u011b p\u0159ij\u00edt o t\u0159etinu sv\u00e9 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacity zemn\u00edho plynu. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u0159\u00edjna agentura Bloomberg\u00a0<\/span>informovala<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, \u017ee po st\u00e1vk\u00e1ch na za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v Poltav\u011b a Charkov\u011b, hlavn\u00edch regionech produkce plynu na Ukrajin\u011b, bylo odstaveno 60 % v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacity\u00a0<\/span>zem\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e1 unie dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Ukrajin\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e dva gigawatty elekt\u0159iny a tak\u00e9 se zav\u00e1zala k oprav\u011b a ochran\u011b zni\u010den\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 infrastruktury zem\u011b. Ozn\u00e1mila to p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 komise Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1 b\u011bhem projevu v Evropsk\u00e9m parlamentu. P\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Komise tak\u00e9 zopakovala sv\u016fj n\u00e1zor, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 v \u00famyslu \u201epou\u017e\u00edt zimu jako zbra\u0148\u201c. Von der Leyenov\u00e1 d\u00e1le nazna\u010dila, \u017ee zima \u201eur\u010d\u00ed budoucnost\u201c konfliktu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zima na Ukrajin\u011b se skute\u010dn\u011b r\u00fdsuje jako obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1. Ot\u00e1zkou je, zda se s n\u00ed zem\u011b vyrovn\u00e1.<\/span>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Elsa Boilly<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zima se pro Ukrajinu r\u00fdsuje jako extr\u00e9mn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 a hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se stane nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92300,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,26,1101],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92299"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92299"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92299\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}